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Pick Your Power Mafia! - Page 34

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Korynne
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada990 Posts
May 06 2010 07:35 GMT
#661
I don't follow BM's logic with his last post. XD In any case I've been reading, I just haven't posted because I don't really have anything to say...

We now have 12 people left, 3 mafia.

Now that BM is gone I'm concerned that no one will stand up to Qatol in case he is mafia. But other than that I think town is better off without the distraction of what to invent and whether BM is pro town.

I know this is a very fluffy post but like I said not much I have to say... Just letting you know I'm still around.

TL Mawfyah~ http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Radfield
Profile Joined September 2009
Canada2720 Posts
May 06 2010 10:09 GMT
#662
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well

Radfield
Profile Joined September 2009
Canada2720 Posts
May 06 2010 10:25 GMT
#663
OK, lets look at some potential suspects. Foolishness certainly gets a pass for now, no reason to worry about him as long as he keeps shooting properly. But, I think it likely the mafia would have had someone put down 1 as there number, so....

Korynne: A lot of theorycrafting early on, but posting less and less as time goes on, barely contributing at all as far as our lynch suspect or compvig hit. She has continually mentioned that killing her off for info is a good idea. She voted 6th on the Sidesprang lynch with very little analysis. We would gain a bit of info from her death(if she's red then foolishness and citizen are almost certainly green) but not much

Korynne, I'm pointing the FoS at you. I don't have a great case, but I'd like to hear you on the record with who you find scummy and why, and who you think we should lynch/compvig today.


Also, I think it very unlikely that Qatol is mafia. Serial Killer maybe, but that goes for anyone at his point, no matter how pro-town they've been. Qatol basically got sidesprang killed by revealing that he went for copycat and missed. I can't think of any good reason for sidesprang's or qatol's actions if they were mafia buddies.
Radfield
Profile Joined September 2009
Canada2720 Posts
May 06 2010 10:44 GMT
#664
Forgot to mention, she also made some strange contradictory comments about role checking and alignment checking. It really jumped out at the time. She claimed Vanilla, and then suggested that we rolecheck her? If you were a Vanilla mafia a great way to clear some suspicious off of oneself would be to get rolechecked. It tells nothing about alignment, but makes you at worst a powerless mafia.


Also, a big note to the Serial Killer. You need to be playing on the town side. With a 8:3:1 ratio, things are definitely in favor of the mafia, considering we don't have any great leads. I propose we vote on the Serial Killer hit tonight in addition to our CompVig hit. Presumably it is in the best interests of the SK and he/she may follow along.

If the SK doesn't follow along, it doesn't hurt us anyways. Thoughts?



People who strike me as possible Mafia: One of JeeJee or Hobbes(where are you?) , Scamp, DarthTheinAn

I'd like to hear all of your thoughts on lynching and CompVig hitting.

People who strike me as Not-Mafia: Citizen, Qatol, Falcynn, maybe Zona
(I don't like innocent lists[check out incognito last game], and can explain all of the people on this list if need be)
Korynne
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada990 Posts
May 06 2010 11:55 GMT
#665
Going to work, will respond to you afterwards Radfield.
TL Mawfyah~ http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Korynne
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
Canada990 Posts
May 06 2010 12:51 GMT
#666
I have a couple minutes before work starts since I got in early.

But basically this is how my train of thought went:
Oh hey cool Qatol posted this big elaborate plan, sounds like fun, I should try and see if I can contribute anything... hmm, copycat stuff.
Okay, according to Qatol's plan I pick CompVig, so instead of picking JoaT like my original plan I pick CompVig.
Get roles back, I am vanilla townie. =( Somewhat bleh at this point.
So basically I figured either BM or Foolishness was mafia and wanted to get that sorted out, but I do know that if they're not then they're definitely power roles so I suggested lynching me to confirm what I said (especially since first day lynch isn't all that great at hitting mafia anyway) and then deal with them. Or to do some role checks and get it figured out.
I said role check me because I was supposed to take the role of CompVig so checking me confirms that I am indeed vanilla. Alignment check on BM or Foolishness would be for determining who was not on town's side because a role check on them would pretty much end up with inventor/compvig.
At this point I'm like awww crap, Qatol's plan's actually pretty good for mafia because they know which roles they can snipe. This would've only worked out better if we determined more roles it would seem. =\
Also not really sure why Foolishness would snipe my role. =(

So really at this point I'm just a bit mafia'd out, played 2 games before this one but I decided to stay in because L was needing a replacement and I didn't want to make the game even smaller. Plus the not getting a role when I was 3rd in the draft was =(. If you look at my previous 2 games I was townie in one and mafia in another and they pretty much played out the same. I just feel like larger games don't really work for me because I have a hard time getting a feel for everyone. I've still been actively reading everything but I don't feel like there was much to say other than if I was to randomly pick (or pick someone somewhat suspicious) a person and analyze them.

If Foolishness is not mafia and took my role and knew that I was likely going to pick it then I feel like he might be the Serial Killer. Since having 2 kill power would be quite awesome, not to mention that he could just go along with whoever town decides to lynch because it doesn't matter who dies as long as someone does.

Qatol's plan seemed to be quite mafia favouring after I thought about it (considering people's experiences with failed ability to gain roles they were assigned, or just me and Qatol I guess).

In terms of the lynch and compvig hits, like I said I didn't feel like participating much but I don't really want to hold back town through inactivity so I just went along with whatever. I read through people's reasoning on why sidesprang could be the mafia copycat and it seemed reasonable, I didn't go and verify it myself by checking the list and whatnot...

With johnnyspazz he didn't feel scummy but I really wasn't going to try and convince everyone to pick a different compvig target (too much effort, having to convince people why johnnyspazz isn't mafia, then finding another better target, having to stay up and convince people...) and I just didn't "feel" like johnny was mafia so like yeah, too much effort just going along the flow.

I'll try to be more active but really my heart's not in the game much... I mean you've seen that my previous 2 games were active whether I was mafia or townie. So yeah, I very much apologize to town if they decided to lynch me due to my failure at contributing, since I know how much it sucks when people are inactive and not doing much (*cough*RoL*cough* xP) and it's even worse when you cost town a townie lynch for it.

TL,DR:
Not really into the game, will try harder to participate. Understandable if you lynch me and I apologize ahead of time for it.
TL Mawfyah~ http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 06 2010 12:55 GMT
#667
On May 06 2010 14:14 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 13:58 Qatol wrote:
On May 06 2010 13:36 citi.zen wrote:
Which words did I put in your mouth?

On May 06 2010 12:56 citi.zen wrote:
On May 06 2010 12:51 Zona wrote:
On May 06 2010 12:34 Qatol wrote:
On May 06 2010 12:08 citi.zen wrote:
On May 06 2010 08:22 Qatol wrote:
On May 06 2010 08:10 citi.zen wrote:
On May 06 2010 07:50 Qatol wrote:
On May 06 2010 07:46 citi.zen wrote:
I do not want the discussion about names distract us from the function. Invent a gun_that_only_kills_Mafia. Or a grenade, so medic or bullet proof or vet does not stop it.

Grenade is a horrible idea. We do not want anything that can kill townies. We do not want anything bomb-related because of the cell phone. The gun I can accept.

Not if the name says it, right? Anyway, it should flat out kill, regardless of vet/protection status, and only kill reds. Can we agree this is better than a kit?

Sorry, I totally misinterpreted. A weapon that can kill SK or mafia is fine by me. I'm okay with Bill wanting to make it detonate if that player attacks him as well. But I don't see why it can't be a gun with bulletproof piercing rounds. I guess I'm just arguing semantics though.

You entire stance on this issue is extremely shaky. First you don't want a gun. Then you are OK with it, but would simply make it bullet-piercing (even though that still allows a medic-protected red to live, presumably). Then you are "ok" with the gun detonating if the attacker hits Bill - yet the whole freaking point of the gun is that it CAN ONLY KILL REDS - so if Bill is town making the gun he should have no need for it to detonate, since IT CAN'T KILL BILL ANYWAY.

This is very shaky reasoning about a very simple matter, totally out of character for you Qatol.

The original gun we were talking about could kill innocents. I hadn't thought of a gun that cannot kill innocents until someone else had brought it up. I'm okay with a gun that can't kill townies. Bill still has to give the gun to someone else to use. While it can't shoot him, he is giving it to someone we basically know has KP (though he hasn't acknowledged it). Thus he wants it to be able to detonate if that player shoots him even through other means. This idea also protects him in the future if he happened to give a gun to the mafia because if the mafia hit him, the gun blows up one of their members.

If we're going to randomly add arbitrary functionality to the invention - why not just make the bullets automatically home in on scum? Then we don't even have to worry about picking the good target. And let's not stop there. How about allowing it to penetrate bodies and continue onwards - so it'll hit more than one target! And the bullets might as well roleblock them at the same time, since that would kind of nice?

We might want to run a lot of these complicated devices through Ace before we dream up of more broken inventions that he'll never approve. If he's not even going to give us a +1 life invention that lasts more than one night, are we really expecting these to be approved?

A detective kit is probably the best viable idea so far. I'd hope for one that could find the serial killer as well as mafia but given that the specific serial killer advantage is that he or she appears innocent to cops, I don't think it's hopeful. Maybe a gunpowder detection kit instead. This would have the advantage of finding the serial killer as well as mafia, but would have the disadvantage of including town-aligned vigs in the results. But after the kit is used, the town can use supplementary evidence to differentiate between the two types.

By the way - Qatol's objections were never that it would not be allowed. Instead, he repeatedly tried to say such an invention would not help the town, even if allowed.

Don't speak for me. I can do that myself thank you.

Good one. So, in your own words - did you ever raise the objection that JeeJee's suggested invention was not permitted?

I don't even know what invention you are talking about any more. Either way, let me make my own objections to proposals. Call me out for being inconsistent if you will, but let me talk for myself.

On May 06 2010 16:35 Korynne wrote:
I don't follow BM's logic with his last post. XD In any case I've been reading, I just haven't posted because I don't really have anything to say...

We now have 12 people left, 3 mafia.

Now that BM is gone I'm concerned that no one will stand up to Qatol in case he is mafia. But other than that I think town is better off without the distraction of what to invent and whether BM is pro town.

I know this is a very fluffy post but like I said not much I have to say... Just letting you know I'm still around.


If you don't want me pushing around the town, then why don't you stand up to me yourself? Or why don't you read the last few pages and notice that citi.zen and I have been squabbling?

On May 06 2010 19:09 Radfield wrote:
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well


I think your scenario is probably the most likely one too. You caught a mafia and basically established yourself as likely not mafia. That makes you a pretty good target for a night hit.

On May 06 2010 19:44 Radfield wrote:
Forgot to mention, she also made some strange contradictory comments about role checking and alignment checking. It really jumped out at the time. She claimed Vanilla, and then suggested that we rolecheck her? If you were a Vanilla mafia a great way to clear some suspicious off of oneself would be to get rolechecked. It tells nothing about alignment, but makes you at worst a powerless mafia.


Also, a big note to the Serial Killer. You need to be playing on the town side. With a 8:3:1 ratio, things are definitely in favor of the mafia, considering we don't have any great leads. I propose we vote on the Serial Killer hit tonight in addition to our CompVig hit. Presumably it is in the best interests of the SK and he/she may follow along.

If the SK doesn't follow along, it doesn't hurt us anyways. Thoughts?



People who strike me as possible Mafia: One of JeeJee or Hobbes(where are you?) , Scamp, DarthTheinAn

I'd like to hear all of your thoughts on lynching and CompVig hitting.

People who strike me as Not-Mafia: Citizen, Qatol, Falcynn, maybe Zona
(I don't like innocent lists[check out incognito last game], and can explain all of the people on this list if need be)

I wasn't really worried about citi.zen until a few pages ago when he started attacking me out of nowhere, so I'd like to hear your reasoning on him. And Falcynn has barely contributed in the thread. At the very least, he hasn't brought much in the way of new ideas to the conversation.

Who do you think is the strongest candidate for mafia on that list? Cases have been made against JeeJee and Scamp so far. Out of the other players, both Darth and Korynne started out strong, but have really faded due to recent inactivity (which is actually a pretty strong scum tell usually). I don't believe Hobbes was super active at any point in the game? What do you think about OpZ?

+ Show Spoiler [Bid list] +

1. Bill Murray - [17] [4]
2. Foolishness - [1] [1]
3. Korynne - [1] [5]
4. Falcynn [1] [7]
5. [NyC]HoBbes - [4] [1]
6. ~OpZ~ - [4] [14]
7. d3_crescentia - [4] [14]
8. Caller - [6] [1]
9. sidesprang - [6] [1] Couldn't have lied about his numbers
10. Qatol - [6] [1]
11. JeeJee - [6] [1]
12. DarthThienAn - [8] [1]
13. johnnyspazz - [8] [4]
14. Amnesia [8] [4-20] or [10] [1] - didn't claim
15. Radfield - [10] [1]
16. Scamp - [10] [11]
17. Zona - [12] [1]
18. citi.zen - [12] [3]

Groups:
+ Show Spoiler [Group 1] +

Bill Murray

+ Show Spoiler [Group 2] +

Foolishness
Korynne
Falcynn (could have lied and is really in Group 3)

+ Show Spoiler [Group 3] +

Hobbes
~OpZ~
d3_crescentia

+ Show Spoiler [Group 4] +

Caller
sidesprang
Qatol
JeeJee (could have lied and is really in Group 5)

+ Show Spoiler [Group 5] +

DarthThienAn
johnnyspazz
Amnesia (no idea where he belonged)

+ Show Spoiler [Group 6] +

Amnesia (no idea where he belonged)
Radfield
Scamp (could be in Group 7, but that is unlikely because Ace moved him + Radfield around together and it relies upon Amnesia being in this group)

+ Show Spoiler [Group 7] +

Zona
citi.zen

This is the time of the game where this list starts to become strong. Based on the number theory, I think it is unlikely that both Darth and JeeJee are mafia. Similarly, it is unlikely that Hobbes and OpZ are mafia together. Based on the list you presented, I think the best lynch target is Scamp. I want to give Darth and JeeJee a chance to distinguish themselves (I would have pushed for him based on what I was saying during the night except he actually came out and posted a few things which were somewhat constructive while Darth really hasn't done much since day 1). The biggest worrisome thing about this to me is that we know there is a medic out there still and I told Scamp to take medic very early. I don't know for sure that he did so, but it seems like a pretty likely bet. Thoughts anyone else?
Uff Da
JeeJee
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Canada5652 Posts
May 06 2010 13:21 GMT
#668
re: whoever brought up hobbes and me, you're absolutely correct. in fact, actually hobbes has more information than me (because he knows his role). i'm pretty sure hobbes understands my posts. hell, if he ever thinks i'm full of shit, he should definitely call me out. i believe he's townie.

p.s. to be honest there's something annoying about qatol, but i can't argue with his suspects -- at least not scamp. i can elaborate in some hours, after class.
(\o/)  If you want it, you find a way. Otherwise you find excuses. No exceptions.
 /_\   aka Shinbi (requesting a name change since 27/05/09 ☺)
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
May 06 2010 13:35 GMT
#669
On May 06 2010 19:09 Radfield wrote:
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

Interesting claim that you got hit and were protected. There is only one medic in the game (at most). They could be red I suppose, but if they aren't, this would be a very hard claim to fake since someone would know you are lying. So this moves the needle a bit more towards your innocence in my mind. And it certainly means you are NOT the SK - which is nice to know.

As far as BM - yes, I think he was a threat to the SK, in particular if he made some invention along the lines of what we suggested. It would provide a 3rd person with a way to find the SK and also kill them (assuming Ace allowed it to work like that).

Speaking of finding people - would a townie ever take the godfather role? That and the role-blocker are much stronger in mafia hands.

Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well


Yup, Bill changed his style, but isn't a better player unfortunately. In particular, when he is town he continues to be a big time liability. If he made no invention, I was going to vote for him 100%, which would be a wasted day. Given he was going to not make anything, it's actually a good thing the reds chose to kill him instead of someone else.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
May 06 2010 14:06 GMT
#670
For some reason I don't have the "show all posts" option anymore in the thread - does anyone know how I can get it back?
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 06 2010 14:33 GMT
#671
On May 06 2010 23:06 citi.zen wrote:
For some reason I don't have the "show all posts" option anymore in the thread - does anyone know how I can get it back?

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=121629
View all posts has been disabled for all threads > 25 pages. It's a serious pain for mafia threads. You basically need to use the archives now and doing research in older threads takes a lot more time.
Uff Da
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
May 06 2010 14:36 GMT
#672
Ack....
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
[NyC]HoBbes
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States803 Posts
May 06 2010 15:12 GMT
#673
JeeJee, I'm pretty sure I know what you're talking about. It would be nice if I could PM you to be sure, but I think we're on the same page here. In that case, I'm pretty sure you're also town-aligned
Where'er you walk cool gales shall fan the glade
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
May 06 2010 16:01 GMT
#674
On May 06 2010 22:35 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 19:09 Radfield wrote:
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

Interesting claim that you got hit and were protected. There is only one medic in the game (at most). They could be red I suppose, but if they aren't, this would be a very hard claim to fake since someone would know you are lying. So this moves the needle a bit more towards your innocence in my mind. And it certainly means you are NOT the SK - which is nice to know.

As far as BM - yes, I think he was a threat to the SK, in particular if he made some invention along the lines of what we suggested. It would provide a 3rd person with a way to find the SK and also kill them (assuming Ace allowed it to work like that).

Speaking of finding people - would a townie ever take the godfather role? That and the role-blocker are much stronger in mafia hands.

Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well


Yup, Bill changed his style, but isn't a better player unfortunately. In particular, when he is town he continues to be a big time liability. If he made no invention, I was going to vote for him 100%, which would be a wasted day. Given he was going to not make anything, it's actually a good thing the reds chose to kill him instead of someone else.


Well... it doesn't necessarily mean that he isn't the SK. All it means that the medic actually DID protect him, or else he's taking a risk in assuming that there are no medics left in the game so that he won't get called out. However, to me, he's 99% pro-town.


Hobbes and JeeJee seem to know something that no one else knows - either both of them are town, or both of them are mafia? Well... that's not necessarily true, but both of them think the other is of the same alignment at least. 1 could be mafia tricking the other into believe he is innocent using the role that they picked.

As for my "fading out", I've been reading pretty relatively regularly... well not "regularly" but frequently I think. I post when I have something to contribute, or have an idea. Plus, stuff happens. We all have lives =p.

On May 06 2010 19:25 Radfield wrote:
OK, lets look at some potential suspects. Foolishness certainly gets a pass for now, no reason to worry about him as long as he keeps shooting properly. But, I think it likely the mafia would have had someone put down 1 as there number, so....

Korynne: A lot of theorycrafting early on, but posting less and less as time goes on, barely contributing at all as far as our lynch suspect or compvig hit. She has continually mentioned that killing her off for info is a good idea. She voted 6th on the Sidesprang lynch with very little analysis. We would gain a bit of info from her death(if she's red then foolishness and citizen are almost certainly green) but not much

Korynne, I'm pointing the FoS at you. I don't have a great case, but I'd like to hear you on the record with who you find scummy and why, and who you think we should lynch/compvig today.


Also, I think it very unlikely that Qatol is mafia. Serial Killer maybe, but that goes for anyone at his point, no matter how pro-town they've been. Qatol basically got sidesprang killed by revealing that he went for copycat and missed. I can't think of any good reason for sidesprang's or qatol's actions if they were mafia buddies.


I'm not sure the mafia would've put someone down as 1. I mean, we basically had two or three people claiming they were going 1, 1 early right? I know L said that. It seems silly for them to waste their time doesn't it? The only reason I see them doing it, is they are assuming that only one person would pick 1,1, so they want to deny that person getting first pick.
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 06 2010 16:09 GMT
#675
On May 07 2010 01:01 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 22:35 citi.zen wrote:
On May 06 2010 19:09 Radfield wrote:
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

Interesting claim that you got hit and were protected. There is only one medic in the game (at most). They could be red I suppose, but if they aren't, this would be a very hard claim to fake since someone would know you are lying. So this moves the needle a bit more towards your innocence in my mind. And it certainly means you are NOT the SK - which is nice to know.

As far as BM - yes, I think he was a threat to the SK, in particular if he made some invention along the lines of what we suggested. It would provide a 3rd person with a way to find the SK and also kill them (assuming Ace allowed it to work like that).

Speaking of finding people - would a townie ever take the godfather role? That and the role-blocker are much stronger in mafia hands.

On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well


Yup, Bill changed his style, but isn't a better player unfortunately. In particular, when he is town he continues to be a big time liability. If he made no invention, I was going to vote for him 100%, which would be a wasted day. Given he was going to not make anything, it's actually a good thing the reds chose to kill him instead of someone else.


Well... it doesn't necessarily mean that he isn't the SK. All it means that the medic actually DID protect him, or else he's taking a risk in assuming that there are no medics left in the game so that he won't get called out. However, to me, he's 99% pro-town.


Hobbes and JeeJee seem to know something that no one else knows - either both of them are town, or both of them are mafia? Well... that's not necessarily true, but both of them think the other is of the same alignment at least. 1 could be mafia tricking the other into believe he is innocent using the role that they picked.

As for my "fading out", I've been reading pretty relatively regularly... well not "regularly" but frequently I think. I post when I have something to contribute, or have an idea. Plus, stuff happens. We all have lives =p.

Show nested quote +
On May 06 2010 19:25 Radfield wrote:
OK, lets look at some potential suspects. Foolishness certainly gets a pass for now, no reason to worry about him as long as he keeps shooting properly. But, I think it likely the mafia would have had someone put down 1 as there number, so....

Korynne: A lot of theorycrafting early on, but posting less and less as time goes on, barely contributing at all as far as our lynch suspect or compvig hit. She has continually mentioned that killing her off for info is a good idea. She voted 6th on the Sidesprang lynch with very little analysis. We would gain a bit of info from her death(if she's red then foolishness and citizen are almost certainly green) but not much

Korynne, I'm pointing the FoS at you. I don't have a great case, but I'd like to hear you on the record with who you find scummy and why, and who you think we should lynch/compvig today.


Also, I think it very unlikely that Qatol is mafia. Serial Killer maybe, but that goes for anyone at his point, no matter how pro-town they've been. Qatol basically got sidesprang killed by revealing that he went for copycat and missed. I can't think of any good reason for sidesprang's or qatol's actions if they were mafia buddies.


I'm not sure the mafia would've put someone down as 1. I mean, we basically had two or three people claiming they were going 1, 1 early right? I know L said that. It seems silly for them to waste their time doesn't it? The only reason I see them doing it, is they are assuming that only one person would pick 1,1, so they want to deny that person getting first pick.

Okay without Hobbes/JeeJee as mafia and without anyone who picked 1 as mafia, and I'll take out yourself and radfield you are basically saying the mafia are 3 of these 4: Opz, scamp, zona/citizen, and myself. Is that an accurate assessment of the situation to you?
Uff Da
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 06 2010 16:14 GMT
#676
On May 07 2010 01:09 Qatol wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2010 01:01 DarthThienAn wrote:
On May 06 2010 22:35 citi.zen wrote:
On May 06 2010 19:09 Radfield wrote:
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

Interesting claim that you got hit and were protected. There is only one medic in the game (at most). They could be red I suppose, but if they aren't, this would be a very hard claim to fake since someone would know you are lying. So this moves the needle a bit more towards your innocence in my mind. And it certainly means you are NOT the SK - which is nice to know.

As far as BM - yes, I think he was a threat to the SK, in particular if he made some invention along the lines of what we suggested. It would provide a 3rd person with a way to find the SK and also kill them (assuming Ace allowed it to work like that).

Speaking of finding people - would a townie ever take the godfather role? That and the role-blocker are much stronger in mafia hands.

On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well


Yup, Bill changed his style, but isn't a better player unfortunately. In particular, when he is town he continues to be a big time liability. If he made no invention, I was going to vote for him 100%, which would be a wasted day. Given he was going to not make anything, it's actually a good thing the reds chose to kill him instead of someone else.


Well... it doesn't necessarily mean that he isn't the SK. All it means that the medic actually DID protect him, or else he's taking a risk in assuming that there are no medics left in the game so that he won't get called out. However, to me, he's 99% pro-town.


Hobbes and JeeJee seem to know something that no one else knows - either both of them are town, or both of them are mafia? Well... that's not necessarily true, but both of them think the other is of the same alignment at least. 1 could be mafia tricking the other into believe he is innocent using the role that they picked.

As for my "fading out", I've been reading pretty relatively regularly... well not "regularly" but frequently I think. I post when I have something to contribute, or have an idea. Plus, stuff happens. We all have lives =p.

On May 06 2010 19:25 Radfield wrote:
OK, lets look at some potential suspects. Foolishness certainly gets a pass for now, no reason to worry about him as long as he keeps shooting properly. But, I think it likely the mafia would have had someone put down 1 as there number, so....

Korynne: A lot of theorycrafting early on, but posting less and less as time goes on, barely contributing at all as far as our lynch suspect or compvig hit. She has continually mentioned that killing her off for info is a good idea. She voted 6th on the Sidesprang lynch with very little analysis. We would gain a bit of info from her death(if she's red then foolishness and citizen are almost certainly green) but not much

Korynne, I'm pointing the FoS at you. I don't have a great case, but I'd like to hear you on the record with who you find scummy and why, and who you think we should lynch/compvig today.


Also, I think it very unlikely that Qatol is mafia. Serial Killer maybe, but that goes for anyone at his point, no matter how pro-town they've been. Qatol basically got sidesprang killed by revealing that he went for copycat and missed. I can't think of any good reason for sidesprang's or qatol's actions if they were mafia buddies.


I'm not sure the mafia would've put someone down as 1. I mean, we basically had two or three people claiming they were going 1, 1 early right? I know L said that. It seems silly for them to waste their time doesn't it? The only reason I see them doing it, is they are assuming that only one person would pick 1,1, so they want to deny that person getting first pick.

Okay without Hobbes/JeeJee as mafia and without anyone who picked 1 as mafia, and I'll take out yourself and radfield you are basically saying the mafia are 3 of these 4: Opz, scamp, zona/citizen, and myself. Is that an accurate assessment of the situation to you?

EBWOP: That should be opz/falcynn depending on whether or not you trust opz's #s
Uff Da
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 06 2010 16:15 GMT
#677
On May 07 2010 01:14 Qatol wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2010 01:09 Qatol wrote:
On May 07 2010 01:01 DarthThienAn wrote:
On May 06 2010 22:35 citi.zen wrote:
On May 06 2010 19:09 Radfield wrote:
I have been shot at and saved by the medic. Good work medic.

Likely scenario:Foolishness kills Jspazz, Mafia shoot at me, SK kills Bill Murray.

If you think about it, BM was a bigger threat to the SK then anyone else in the game. Considering that the only way the SK can get found is either the tracker or BM's inventions.

Interesting claim that you got hit and were protected. There is only one medic in the game (at most). They could be red I suppose, but if they aren't, this would be a very hard claim to fake since someone would know you are lying. So this moves the needle a bit more towards your innocence in my mind. And it certainly means you are NOT the SK - which is nice to know.

As far as BM - yes, I think he was a threat to the SK, in particular if he made some invention along the lines of what we suggested. It would provide a 3rd person with a way to find the SK and also kill them (assuming Ace allowed it to work like that).

Speaking of finding people - would a townie ever take the godfather role? That and the role-blocker are much stronger in mafia hands.

On May 06 2010 15:50 Bill Murray wrote:
good game guys. i was going to not invent anything as if i was a mafia i'd obviously invent something and give it to the mafia. by way of not inventing anything, i was proving to you all i was innocent.


i hope you all win.


Wow, the likelihood of us lynching you for this move was decently high... oh well


Yup, Bill changed his style, but isn't a better player unfortunately. In particular, when he is town he continues to be a big time liability. If he made no invention, I was going to vote for him 100%, which would be a wasted day. Given he was going to not make anything, it's actually a good thing the reds chose to kill him instead of someone else.


Well... it doesn't necessarily mean that he isn't the SK. All it means that the medic actually DID protect him, or else he's taking a risk in assuming that there are no medics left in the game so that he won't get called out. However, to me, he's 99% pro-town.


Hobbes and JeeJee seem to know something that no one else knows - either both of them are town, or both of them are mafia? Well... that's not necessarily true, but both of them think the other is of the same alignment at least. 1 could be mafia tricking the other into believe he is innocent using the role that they picked.

As for my "fading out", I've been reading pretty relatively regularly... well not "regularly" but frequently I think. I post when I have something to contribute, or have an idea. Plus, stuff happens. We all have lives =p.

On May 06 2010 19:25 Radfield wrote:
OK, lets look at some potential suspects. Foolishness certainly gets a pass for now, no reason to worry about him as long as he keeps shooting properly. But, I think it likely the mafia would have had someone put down 1 as there number, so....

Korynne: A lot of theorycrafting early on, but posting less and less as time goes on, barely contributing at all as far as our lynch suspect or compvig hit. She has continually mentioned that killing her off for info is a good idea. She voted 6th on the Sidesprang lynch with very little analysis. We would gain a bit of info from her death(if she's red then foolishness and citizen are almost certainly green) but not much

Korynne, I'm pointing the FoS at you. I don't have a great case, but I'd like to hear you on the record with who you find scummy and why, and who you think we should lynch/compvig today.


Also, I think it very unlikely that Qatol is mafia. Serial Killer maybe, but that goes for anyone at his point, no matter how pro-town they've been. Qatol basically got sidesprang killed by revealing that he went for copycat and missed. I can't think of any good reason for sidesprang's or qatol's actions if they were mafia buddies.


I'm not sure the mafia would've put someone down as 1. I mean, we basically had two or three people claiming they were going 1, 1 early right? I know L said that. It seems silly for them to waste their time doesn't it? The only reason I see them doing it, is they are assuming that only one person would pick 1,1, so they want to deny that person getting first pick.

Okay without Hobbes/JeeJee as mafia and without anyone who picked 1 as mafia, and I'll take out yourself and radfield you are basically saying the mafia are 3 of these 4: Opz, scamp, zona/citizen, and myself. Is that an accurate assessment of the situation to you?

EBWOP: That should be opz/falcynn depending on whether or not you trust opz's #s

EBWOP again: ugh. Sorry. I mean opz/falcynn depending on whether or not you trust FALCYNN's #s
Uff Da
Radfield
Profile Joined September 2009
Canada2720 Posts
May 06 2010 16:23 GMT
#678
On May 07 2010 00:12 [NyC]HoBbes wrote:
JeeJee, I'm pretty sure I know what you're talking about. It would be nice if I could PM you to be sure, but I think we're on the same page here. In that case, I'm pretty sure you're also town-aligned



Well, as far as I'm concerned this takes both Hobbes and JeeJee off the short list. They might both be mafia together, but in that case one will lead us to the other.



Qatol, I was re-reading those posts I put up this morning, and I was a little bit confused as to why I put Citizen on that non-mafia list as well. The reason is this though, pretty much everyone on my suspicious list has called out citizen as potential mafia. Citizen style this game also just seems so obviously scummy, (right down to the pointless arguing with you, when you are very obviously in my eyes non-mafia) that I'm inclined to think him a townie. If pressed I would take him off the non-mafia list, but I don't think him all that likely to be scummy.

As far as Falcynn, my sole reasoning is that he immediately agreed with my origional post about sidesprang, and the way he worded everything strikes me as town. No one else had agreed with me about Sidesprang yet, and yet he was still the first one aboard. I think a mafia would have been slightly less ok with it.

The post I'm referring to:

On May 04 2010 22:52 Falcynn wrote:
Show nested quote
On May 04 2010 21:08 Radfield wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
2b Falcynn wishy washily claimed VANILLA without actually doing it


Alright, I guess I should clearly state, I'm a vanilla townie. I decided not to make mention of it since . Was preparing for/doing this on Friday/Saturday http://www.filmracing.com/Cities/sanfrancisco.htm and missed the role claims because of it. I'll make a blog of it Thursday night/Friday since we're not allowed to upload our video until after the screening (yeah, this is really more to just get attention for my future blog post then to actually explain myself )

Anyways, as for lynching sidesprang, you're logic seems pretty sound, I guess at this point with all the information that's been gathered, it'd be nice to make sure whether or not everyone at the top of the list has been telling the truth about their roles. If we can get a day vig hit then that might help, although I'm not sure if we'd be able to figure out another lynch target and pile the votes on them in time. It'd suck to essentially waste a day vig hit by not getting the lynch to add to it =/


On May 04 2010 22:52 Falcynn wrote:
oh right
##vote sidesprang ##



Korynne: I completely understand what you're saying about possibly being burnt out etc. However, I think you're a very clever player. You played your first game as a very active townie, you played your second game as a very active mafia, and being very convincing at that. I'm inclined to think that if you got mafia again in this game, you might play it exactly the way you are. Fake being tired of Mafia as an excuse to post less. Unfortunately for all of us, there's little you can do at this point to remove suspicion from yourself. Anyways, I'm genuinely hoping you're mafia, and that you're burnt out routine is an act, because you seem like a good player to have around.


Who do you think is the strongest candidate for mafia on that list? Cases have been made against JeeJee and Scamp so far. Out of the other players, both Darth and Korynne started out strong, but have really faded due to recent inactivity (which is actually a pretty strong scum tell usually). I don't believe Hobbes was super active at any point in the game? What do you think about OpZ?


Korynne is a good target, because I think despite her alignment, she told the truth about being Vanilla. So worst case scenario we kill a vanilla townie who isn't that upset about being killed anyways, but gives us a lead to Foolishness maybe. Best case we get a vanilla mafia.

JeeJee and Hobbes should get a pass for today, but if a bunch of other targets turn up innocent, we might have to hit them both. At some point the information they are sharing needs to be made public. If we don't hit a mafia with our lynch or comphit hit today, and the SK hits another townie, we'll need as much info as we can get. If we had to lynch one of them, I'd go with JeeJee

I stand by what I said earlier about Scamp, but if we decide to lynch him and he is the medic, then he needs to roleclaim. If no one contradicts him, then we call off the lynch. Keep in mind, the medic is basically a confirmed townie, and pretty much a confirmed non-SK. I can't see why the SK would take medic as a role, though perhaps to deny it from the town, perhaps because it gives him/her a convenient cover.


~opz~: I think Opz threw me off his trail by his vehement defense when I called him out. He just seemed outraged that I was wasting time by putting him on any suspect lists. What made me suspect him was how he tried to sidetrack my Sidesprang argument, but looking at it now makes me think it was just a knee-jerk reaction of seeing his name on a suspect list. I also buy his story of trying for CompVig and failing. Likely Vanilla either way. Personally his posting makes me think he's town. I put him as a second string lynch target for now.


DarthTheinAn seems suspect. He made a case against ~opz~ early on. Votes for Jspazz over JeeJee for the CV hit. Try's to give Scamp a pass for being TOO mafia. None of these things necessarily make him a mafia. But his posting in general smacks of mafia to me, I recommend everyone look through his posting. Points out lots of obvious stuff, steers the convo away from certain people, lots of theorycrafting early on, not much talk about voting later on. Darth seems mafia, and seems like he might lead us to other mafia.

I vote we lynch DarthTheinAn, If he flops red, then I propose we Compvig Scamp, and ask the SK to hit JeeJee

##Vote DarthTheinAn##


I haven't really talked about Zona, but I really don't have much to say about him. He seems fairly legit and is likely working hard on the zbot....

I didn't proofread as I've run out of time and steam. If there's anything I said that doesn't make sense please point it out.
Radfield
Profile Joined September 2009
Canada2720 Posts
May 06 2010 16:30 GMT
#679
I just realized contradicted myself a bit about JeeJee. I first said he should get a pass, and then said we should hit him. It's because I only saw the Darth connection after I wrote the first part.

Of course all of this only holds if Darth flops red.
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 06 2010 16:40 GMT
#680
On May 07 2010 01:23 Radfield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2010 00:12 [NyC]HoBbes wrote:
JeeJee, I'm pretty sure I know what you're talking about. It would be nice if I could PM you to be sure, but I think we're on the same page here. In that case, I'm pretty sure you're also town-aligned



Well, as far as I'm concerned this takes both Hobbes and JeeJee off the short list. They might both be mafia together, but in that case one will lead us to the other.



Qatol, I was re-reading those posts I put up this morning, and I was a little bit confused as to why I put Citizen on that non-mafia list as well. The reason is this though, pretty much everyone on my suspicious list has called out citizen as potential mafia. Citizen style this game also just seems so obviously scummy, (right down to the pointless arguing with you, when you are very obviously in my eyes non-mafia) that I'm inclined to think him a townie. If pressed I would take him off the non-mafia list, but I don't think him all that likely to be scummy.

As far as Falcynn, my sole reasoning is that he immediately agreed with my origional post about sidesprang, and the way he worded everything strikes me as town. No one else had agreed with me about Sidesprang yet, and yet he was still the first one aboard. I think a mafia would have been slightly less ok with it.

The post I'm referring to:

Show nested quote +
On May 04 2010 22:52 Falcynn wrote:
Show nested quote
On May 04 2010 21:08 Radfield wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
2b Falcynn wishy washily claimed VANILLA without actually doing it


Alright, I guess I should clearly state, I'm a vanilla townie. I decided not to make mention of it since . Was preparing for/doing this on Friday/Saturday http://www.filmracing.com/Cities/sanfrancisco.htm and missed the role claims because of it. I'll make a blog of it Thursday night/Friday since we're not allowed to upload our video until after the screening (yeah, this is really more to just get attention for my future blog post then to actually explain myself )

Anyways, as for lynching sidesprang, you're logic seems pretty sound, I guess at this point with all the information that's been gathered, it'd be nice to make sure whether or not everyone at the top of the list has been telling the truth about their roles. If we can get a day vig hit then that might help, although I'm not sure if we'd be able to figure out another lynch target and pile the votes on them in time. It'd suck to essentially waste a day vig hit by not getting the lynch to add to it =/


On May 04 2010 22:52 Falcynn wrote:
oh right
##vote sidesprang ##



Korynne: I completely understand what you're saying about possibly being burnt out etc. However, I think you're a very clever player. You played your first game as a very active townie, you played your second game as a very active mafia, and being very convincing at that. I'm inclined to think that if you got mafia again in this game, you might play it exactly the way you are. Fake being tired of Mafia as an excuse to post less. Unfortunately for all of us, there's little you can do at this point to remove suspicion from yourself. Anyways, I'm genuinely hoping you're mafia, and that you're burnt out routine is an act, because you seem like a good player to have around.


Show nested quote +
Who do you think is the strongest candidate for mafia on that list? Cases have been made against JeeJee and Scamp so far. Out of the other players, both Darth and Korynne started out strong, but have really faded due to recent inactivity (which is actually a pretty strong scum tell usually). I don't believe Hobbes was super active at any point in the game? What do you think about OpZ?


Korynne is a good target, because I think despite her alignment, she told the truth about being Vanilla. So worst case scenario we kill a vanilla townie who isn't that upset about being killed anyways, but gives us a lead to Foolishness maybe. Best case we get a vanilla mafia.

JeeJee and Hobbes should get a pass for today, but if a bunch of other targets turn up innocent, we might have to hit them both. At some point the information they are sharing needs to be made public. If we don't hit a mafia with our lynch or comphit hit today, and the SK hits another townie, we'll need as much info as we can get. If we had to lynch one of them, I'd go with JeeJee

I stand by what I said earlier about Scamp, but if we decide to lynch him and he is the medic, then he needs to roleclaim. If no one contradicts him, then we call off the lynch. Keep in mind, the medic is basically a confirmed townie, and pretty much a confirmed non-SK. I can't see why the SK would take medic as a role, though perhaps to deny it from the town, perhaps because it gives him/her a convenient cover.


~opz~: I think Opz threw me off his trail by his vehement defense when I called him out. He just seemed outraged that I was wasting time by putting him on any suspect lists. What made me suspect him was how he tried to sidetrack my Sidesprang argument, but looking at it now makes me think it was just a knee-jerk reaction of seeing his name on a suspect list. I also buy his story of trying for CompVig and failing. Likely Vanilla either way. Personally his posting makes me think he's town. I put him as a second string lynch target for now.


DarthTheinAn seems suspect. He made a case against ~opz~ early on. Votes for Jspazz over JeeJee for the CV hit. Try's to give Scamp a pass for being TOO mafia. None of these things necessarily make him a mafia. But his posting in general smacks of mafia to me, I recommend everyone look through his posting. Points out lots of obvious stuff, steers the convo away from certain people, lots of theorycrafting early on, not much talk about voting later on. Darth seems mafia, and seems like he might lead us to other mafia.

I vote we lynch DarthTheinAn, If he flops red, then I propose we Compvig Scamp, and ask the SK to hit JeeJee

##Vote DarthTheinAn##


I haven't really talked about Zona, but I really don't have much to say about him. He seems fairly legit and is likely working hard on the zbot....

I didn't proofread as I've run out of time and steam. If there's anything I said that doesn't make sense please point it out.

First thing that jumps out at me is if you believe the mafia didn't intentionally pick the same number (on 6 or 8 no less), JeeJee and Darth are not mafia together.

I fully agree about opz. He went crazy when I mentioned him too. I took him off my list for the moment because of that. He's either an amazing actor or is legitimately townie, and I'm leaning towards the latter, especially since I haven't seen any indications of amazing play in his previous games.

I'd like Darth to respond to my post before I decide he's the best target. Why not push for Scamp right now though? With your lynch plan he would have to roleclaim as medic before the mafia/SK hit list is posted anyways. The only thing I see Darth resolving for us is JeeJee who I think is basically equally suspect.
Uff Da
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