Here is who is still alive:
Alive playersd3_crescentia
JeeJee
Xelin
~Opz~
Amber[LighT]
Caller
haster27
Elemenope
iNfuNdiBuLuM
Zona
Fishball
Iaaan
meeple
Versatile
Nikon
Abenson
nemy
Now, i won't be on any of my analysis because i know i am townie, but obviously you can take this with a grain of salt. i don't aim to convince myself, i aim to convince you through my posts.
So we have 16 players (plus me). I think a reasonable number of mafia, as several people have pointed out is 4-5.
Let's talk about each of these people in order, and I will give my final list. for all of them, i'll give a quick summary of posts, then my opinion, then a 1-5star rating.
d3_crescentia-works with zona to fine-tune the revenge-lynch (back then it was revenge-nuke) plan
-does not think L is a worthy lynch candidate
-support revenge-lynch
-votes for L (this flags a "wtf?" in my head, as earlier he did not think L was lynch-worthy) but votes after a wagon has started.. interesting
-switches to RoL as per town plan
-contributes a few thoughts later on but is mostly inactive
This boggles me. on the other hand he starts off very pro-town, but then does something extremely weird if he were townie. he does not get into too many arguments but does contribute thoughts and follows through with town plans. I'm really on edge with this guy and will put him as:
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
3/5 - definitely not comfortable calling him pro-town. Please be more active d3, we need your opinions
xelin-starts off supporting L and revenge-lynch plan
-questions and fine tune's other's plans
-argues with fishball a bit
-against inactives
-bounces around votes a bit, settling on rol as per the rest of town
-wants nuke on caller to land
-suspects caller/bill/elemenope
-claims north korea, claims shot lmnop, noone has counterclaimed
-claims treehugger and verse are on same team
-argues a little with haster
my take? he starts off really pro-town, but then goes ahead and ruins it with an anonymous nuke on a probable pro-town player. as there's still no counter-claim i guess we might as well believe his claim to be legit..question is, what do we make of it?
i am actually leaning towards him being a third party. however, given that he (claims) has just one nuke, i can't fathom what his win condition is. of course an anonymous nuke would be a good way to start a nuclear shitstorm in an otherwise ordered game, so it could be win-by-tod. but of course this is a guess just like any other. i'm not comfortable calling him pro-town at all, and in fact leaning towards him being anti-town
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
*4/5
opzi don't really want to go through all his posts but really, he can be summed up as either the ballsiest mafia ever or a mason.
*1/5
amber-votes for L due to inactive, continues attacking him for a bit
-nuking as pro-town
-wants inactives to come out, encourages discussion
-discourage nukes early on
-points out flaws in others' plans
-bounces off of L (saying L will be useful in the future.. an interesting change) onto abenson
-argues with rol after rol's nuke
-against tree.hugger nuke, but does want him dead via lynch. although once he was nuked, he wanted it to fall
-supports MAD (an interesting change from no-nuking although given the shitstorm that transpired maybe expected)
He, like d3 actually, boggles me. He does have a few interesting flip-flops, but in context they are somewhat expected. but he also started off (with me in fact) on the no nuking policy and i applaud him for that. of course lately he switched to supporing M.A.D which i think is retarded, but oh well.
I'm not comfortable calling him pro-town.. quite on edge.
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
3/5
caller-screws around and spams early game without adding content
-votes for opz as a joke, then seemingly votes for bill as a joke
-claims has no anti-nukes (after rol shot him)
-..that's it
extremely inactive. mentioned something about sucking on day1 analysis, but daymn, this has been one hell of a day one. surely you'd have something to contribute by now
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
3/5 - i am not calling him pro-town mostly because he is not active AT ALL. by far one of the least active players in the game (alongside abenson i suppose although there may be PMs going on there), and while he hasn't done anything wrong.. that's only because he hasn't done anything! Start talking already.
haster-argues plans and works with L/zona. supports revenge-nuking instead of revenge-lynching though
-thinks mafia will not lurk due to modkill policy
-agrees with revenge-lynch though
-does not want people to vote for L
-votes rol
-an interesting post "o god i wish PM were allowed in this game"
-freaks out over idiots
-wants L's nuke stopped, johnny's not
-suspect list:
Versatile
tree.hugger
Xelin
-continues to argue, raise discussion, get people involved
i really like this guy. i think he's definitely playing pro-town, and am comfortable calling him town aligned. not as much as say opz or abenson but he's definitely a good player to have imo
*1/5
elemenopeok i'll be honest, i don't want to bother reading his walls of texts, which he has been exclusively posting. this post is already taking way too long. personally, i took him off my suspects list when he got nuked by north korea because i don't feel like NK is town-aligned. however, his posts (the ones that i have skimmed) have been reasonably helpful, at least at first glance. he is also fairly active, which is always an asset to the town. i would say just BREAK UP YOUR DAMN POSTS MAN (and yes i know, pot calling kettle black, but i never post walls of text, this is like my first one)
**2/5
infundi-for revenge-lynch, against lynching L
-votes rol, suspects d3, tree, xelin
-folows a no-nuke policy
-supports lmnop, and actually thought tree might flip green given the chaos that transpired
overall pretty good record i feel, just not that active. still, i feel he may be a bored townie rather than a lurking mafia
**2/5
zonai don't want to go into detail on this guy, but suffice to say he has been driving discussion (barring his one afk spell for a day or 2), suggesting plans, and having generally well-reasoned arguments. he's one of the most pro-town players in this game, and noticeable too.
*1/5
fishball-votes L without much reasoning, but changes to rol as per town plan
-heavily argues with L
-suggests that we are chasing ghosts
-aligned with me on the nuking situation
i would be a lot less suspicious of him if he were a) more active b) not on the L list. i feel quite strongly that there has to be mafia on that list, especially since L flipped town, it would've been in their interests to knock him out. on the other hand, he hasn't done anything wrong per se.. but like caller, it's mostly because he hasn't done anything! i would give him a 3/5 like caller, but alas he is on the L list, which knocks him up a notch
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
*4/5
iaaan-against lynching L
-for rol's nuke hitting
-wants johnny and L to die, and lynch tree.hugger
-has a big logic flaw where if L is green, tree.hugger has to die
-supports shooting down anonymous nuke
-suspects both BM and L
-"i want all nukes in the air to fall because none of the players are confirmed townies" another logic flaw
-also wants verse to die
this set off some flags when i was skimming through his posts. it seems like this guy wants a lot of people dead, and quick. a townie wouldn't be so triggerhappy in my opinion, as deaths + votelists are more useful than just deaths. hell, at the end of this day, we still have just one vote list, although we DO still have a crapload of information. either way, this one is a major suspect for me
*[yellow]*[/yellow]
**5/5
meeple-not particularly against L dying, but prefers others
-points out nemy and in general the concept of mafia riding bandwagons
-tries to stay neutral in the various ad hominem arguments
-suspects iaaan
-agrees with lynching verse
-glad anonymous nuke was shot down
-his suspect list:
Iaaan
Caller
d3-cres
Amber
overall, he stays interestingly in the background and is not so active. however, he's active enough to stay alive. overall his suspect list is pretty decent, and as i'm going through this, i will probably come up with something similar. undecided on this fella,
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
3/5
versei've outlined many reasons for why i believe verse is mafia. she has started chaos, launched two nukes at now confirmed townies. however, she managed to stay alive through a nuke, which i don't know what to make of (this i have also outlined)
still, i am leaning towards non-town aligned, although not as heavily, as say iaaan
*[yellow]*[/yellow]
*4/5
nikonthis kid's retarded, i do hope zona gets saved. i might be blinded by my trust of zona, but seriously dude, what the hell were you thinking. either way, i have outlined this guy earlier, so i'll just paste that here:
Nikon
-against early nukes
-for lynch-the-nuker plan.
-randomly suggests a 3rd mason in opz/abenson circle
-a little ad hominem vs bill murray
-wants xelin dead
well, aside from that there's not too much substance in his posts. and of course there aren't that many posts to begin with (24 i believe after the /confirm post). however the points he has made (or rather, agreed with) have been pro-town. I'm leaning towards the fact that nikon is town-aligned, but i feel there's something odd. most importantly i notice that he hasn't actually contributed much more beyond agreeing with pro-town plans. i still feel it's not a big deal, it's just that his random "zona is red" and hinting at his desire to nuke zona made me raise an eyebrow. what do you guys (and nikon in particular) think?
my take is he's town-aligned, but as long as we still have day, might as well keep discussing, n'est pas?
i just don't understand why he would nuka zona. do. not. get. it. if before i would rate him 2-3/5, that nuke definitely brings him up a point to 3-4/5
*[yellow]*[/yellow]
*4/5
abensonsame deal as opz
*1/5
nemy-against lynching L
-votes bill, then to rol as per town plan
-..that's it?
not very active, falls into the caller/infundi territory. be more active, dammit
**[yellow]*[/yellow]
3/5
EPT
