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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 717

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18826 Posts
September 21 2018 20:21 GMT
#14321
That's certainly plausible, but I'm not sure if anyone close enough to know that info is savvy enough to set a strategy like that in motion.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-21 20:24:09
September 21 2018 20:22 GMT
#14322
Well.... shit.



"Hearing Bill Shine rolling out media plan to build public support for Trump to fire Rosenstein"

2:58 PM · Sep 21, 2018

https://twitter.com/gabrielsherman/status/1043212861739294722

Bill Shine is a former producer and executive at Fox News. Most recently before moving to the Administration, he was co-president of Fox News, a position he held for 9 months before being forced out on May 1, 2017.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/20/us/politics/bill-shine-trump-communications.html
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-21 20:25:45
September 21 2018 20:25 GMT
#14323
The pieces are in motion. Either Trump has become aware of something that necessitates him trying to end the investigation immediately, despite the backlash the Republicans will face on the ballot, or he has simply reached the limit of his patience. Bill Shine acting and Hannity's messaging are telling.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
September 21 2018 20:30 GMT
#14324
On September 22 2018 05:25 On_Slaught wrote:
The pieces are in motion. Either Trump has become aware of something that necessitates him trying to end the investigation immediately, despite the backlash the Republicans will face on the ballot, or he has simply reached the limit of his patience. Bill Shine acting and Hannity's messaging are telling.


And it works because now he can credibly say that Rosenstein is working against him, and will likely even refer to him as part of the "Deep State". His shrinking but ever-present base will eat this up.

As I was told the other day: Republican voters are like mushrooms. Feed them shit and keep them in the dark.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21667 Posts
September 21 2018 20:34 GMT
#14325
Its been floated so many times, I'll believe it (and laugh my ass off) when it happens.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15686 Posts
September 21 2018 20:35 GMT
#14326
So lets say Trump fires everyone, including Mueller.

What about all that evidence they already have? I imagine at this point the evidence is so extensive even sections of the IC would split off to pursue it further. This can't get put back in the bottle.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24676 Posts
September 21 2018 20:38 GMT
#14327
I believe I recall congress saying if the president tries to sweep the investigation under the rug they will appoint Mueller themselves to close it out. Obviously not all members want that and I don't know how serious they were.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
September 21 2018 20:38 GMT
#14328
It's also possible that they are trying to play a semi-long game (assuming they can keep Trump's emotions in check). We all know that as soon as the midterms are over Sessions is fired. They may be setting things up early to justify firing Rosenstein then.
brian
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States9618 Posts
September 21 2018 20:50 GMT
#14329
On September 22 2018 05:22 Ayaz2810 wrote:
Well.... shit.

https://twitter.com/gabrielsherman/status/1043212861739294722

"Hearing Bill Shine rolling out media plan to build public support for Trump to fire Rosenstein"

2:58 PM · Sep 21, 2018

https://twitter.com/gabrielsherman/status/1043212861739294722

Bill Shine is a former producer and executive at Fox News. Most recently before moving to the Administration, he was co-president of Fox News, a position he held for 9 months before being forced out on May 1, 2017.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/20/us/politics/bill-shine-trump-communications.html

wasn’t the Times leak step one?
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
September 21 2018 20:58 GMT
#14330
"So Why Did Trump Get Cold Feet About Declassifying Those Russia Probe Documents?"

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a23363905/president-trump-declassify-russia-probe-documents/


Because they found the one they needed in McCabe's stuff and gave it to the NYT. Hence today's Rosenstein news. What do you guys think? Am I off in crazy land? It seems like it could have been that Trump was going to declassify everything, his allies in the DOJ/FBI found this nugget, and then they called off the declassification because they had what they wanted.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21667 Posts
September 21 2018 21:03 GMT
#14331
On September 22 2018 05:58 Ayaz2810 wrote:
"So Why Did Trump Get Cold Feet About Declassifying Those Russia Probe Documents?"

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a23363905/president-trump-declassify-russia-probe-documents/


Because they found the one they needed in McCabe's stuff and gave it to the NYT. Hence today's Rosenstein news. What do you guys think? Am I off in crazy land? It seems like it could have been that Trump was going to declassify everything, his allies in the DOJ/FBI found this nugget, and then they called off the declassification because they had what they wanted.
Ehm, the piece you linked has no mention of McCabe nor offers any insight beyond 'maybe Trump read the file".
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 21 2018 21:18 GMT
#14332
I wouldn't reach to much into all of this stuff being connected. It just the normal palace intrigue that is the White House that leaks all the time.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
September 21 2018 21:39 GMT
#14333
On September 22 2018 06:03 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2018 05:58 Ayaz2810 wrote:
"So Why Did Trump Get Cold Feet About Declassifying Those Russia Probe Documents?"

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a23363905/president-trump-declassify-russia-probe-documents/


Because they found the one they needed in McCabe's stuff and gave it to the NYT. Hence today's Rosenstein news. What do you guys think? Am I off in crazy land? It seems like it could have been that Trump was going to declassify everything, his allies in the DOJ/FBI found this nugget, and then they called off the declassification because they had what they wanted.
Ehm, the piece you linked has no mention of McCabe nor offers any insight beyond 'maybe Trump read the file".


Sorry a lot of sites are blocked at work. I was operating on what I thought was the right article. I couldn't go back and read it. Grrr......
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4329 Posts
September 21 2018 22:28 GMT
#14334
On September 22 2018 05:30 Ayaz2810 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2018 05:25 On_Slaught wrote:
The pieces are in motion. Either Trump has become aware of something that necessitates him trying to end the investigation immediately, despite the backlash the Republicans will face on the ballot, or he has simply reached the limit of his patience. Bill Shine acting and Hannity's messaging are telling.


And it works because now he can credibly say that Rosenstein is working against him, and will likely even refer to him as part of the "Deep State". His shrinking but ever-present base will eat this up.

As I was told the other day: Republican voters are like mushrooms. Feed them shit and keep them in the dark.

Support base ‘shrinking’
Republicans win Texas state senate seat held by democrats for 139 years.73% Black/Hispanic.
OK.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
September 21 2018 22:31 GMT
#14335
On September 22 2018 05:12 Ayaz2810 wrote:
I also think that Trump ordering the declassification of documents and then retracting the order is telling. I don't think he initially knew what was even in them, but when his allies took a look at them they panicked. I think he got a bunch of phone calls that were something like "bro, not only do these documents not help you if made public, but we think they show that you are in very big trouble". Maybe I'm wrong, but that paired with the Rosenstein thing, Manafort, and Cohen makes me think it may be sinking in that he is in very deep shit.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/trump-walks-back-his-plan-to-declassify-russia-probe-documents/2018/09/21/79d95f94-bdac-11e8-8792-78719177250f_story.html?utm_term=.a26ee75e9132


To add fuel to the conspiracy, just yesterday it was reported that Cohen has spoken extensively with Mueller's team in recent weeks, about their business dealings with Russia & the campaign.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-21 23:05:01
September 21 2018 22:54 GMT
#14336
On September 22 2018 07:28 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2018 05:30 Ayaz2810 wrote:
On September 22 2018 05:25 On_Slaught wrote:
The pieces are in motion. Either Trump has become aware of something that necessitates him trying to end the investigation immediately, despite the backlash the Republicans will face on the ballot, or he has simply reached the limit of his patience. Bill Shine acting and Hannity's messaging are telling.


And it works because now he can credibly say that Rosenstein is working against him, and will likely even refer to him as part of the "Deep State". His shrinking but ever-present base will eat this up.

As I was told the other day: Republican voters are like mushrooms. Feed them shit and keep them in the dark.

Support base ‘shrinking’
Republicans win Texas state senate seat held by democrats for 139 years.73% Black/Hispanic.
OK.


Hate to break it to you, but some dude winning a state Senate seat does not reflect on the President. But hey, if you wanna play that game, we can play that game. Here's a starter for you: "Republicans Lost Support in Every Special
Election Since Trump Became President"

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/04/25/us/politics/special-election-results-shift-democratic.html


"A new CNN poll found Trump's approval rating to be just 36% and put his approval among independents at 31%, a new low and down all the way from 47% last month.

Recent reports have suggested independents could make up as much as 30% of the electorate in the November midterms, meaning they could make or break the GOP's grip on its congressional majorities.

A separate poll from Quinnipiac University, also released Monday, found Trump's approval rating to be 38% and found 54% of American voters disapproved of the job he's doing. It also found just 36% of independent voters approved of Trump."

https://www.businessinsider.com/polls-trump-approval-rating-midterm-elections-2018-9

"President Trump's approval falls in new Minnesota Poll"

"President Donald Trump’s popularity is on the decline in Minnesota, according to a new Star Tribune/MPR News Minnesota Poll that shows a majority of likely voters disapprove of his job performance.

Statewide, 56 percent disapprove of Trump, while 39 percent approve. The Republican president remains popular with his base, with 95 percent of Republicans in support, along with 86 percent of those who voted for him in 2016."

http://www.startribune.com/trump-approval-falls-in-new-minnesota-poll/493794201/

"Donald Trump approval rating dips in Florida"

"A Florida Atlantic University poll released Wednesday found 39 percent of the state’s voters approve and 47 percent disapprove of Trump’s performance, a net negative of 8 percentage points.

Just four weeks ago, Trump’s standing was better.

An Aug. 21 FAU poll found 43 percent of the state’s voters approved and 45 percent disapproved of Trump’s performance, a net negative of 2 percentage points."

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-ne-trump-approval-florida-fau-poll-september-20180918-story.html


I see your silly state Senate seat, and raise you some U.S. Senate seats.

"Arizona's US Senate race a "toss up"
https://www.paysonroundup.com/elections_2018/arizona-s-us-senate-race-a-toss-up/article_26d3dc7d-d669-50bd-8f3f-c0c8180c8e73.html

"Democrat pulls ahead in Tennessee Senate race: Poll"
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/democrat-pulls-ahead-in-tennessee-senate-race-poll

"Can A Democrat Really Win A Senate Race In Tennessee? Or Mississippi?!?!"
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-a-democrat-really-win-a-senate-race-in-tennessee-or-mississippi/

[image loading]


EDIT JUST FOR LOLS:

https://www.salon.com/2018/09/21/democratic-leader-nancy-pelosi-is-more-popular-than-president-donald-trump-rnc-poll-finds/

Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
September 21 2018 23:02 GMT
#14337
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/mccabe-memos-say-rosenstein-considered-secretly-recording-trump/2018/09/21/f4aa9a62-bdca-11e8-8792-78719177250f_story.html?

"Another person at the meeting, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations, insisted the recording comment was said in a moment of sarcasm, and that the 25th amendment was not discussed.

That person said the wire comment came in response to McCabe’s own pushing for the Justice Department to open an investigation into the president. To that, Rosenstein responded with what this person described as a sarcastic comment along the lines of, “What do you want to do, Andy, wire the president?”

THIS LEAK IS AN ORCHESTRATED DISTRACTION FROM KAVANAUGH.

It’s going to work. 100%.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 21 2018 23:10 GMT
#14338
Other former Justice Department attorney have said Rosenstein‘s favorite form of humor is dry sarcasm and all of the justice department make jokes about wiring someone. Law humor is not original.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
semantics
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
10040 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-22 00:09:15
September 21 2018 23:22 GMT
#14339
On September 22 2018 07:28 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2018 05:30 Ayaz2810 wrote:
On September 22 2018 05:25 On_Slaught wrote:
The pieces are in motion. Either Trump has become aware of something that necessitates him trying to end the investigation immediately, despite the backlash the Republicans will face on the ballot, or he has simply reached the limit of his patience. Bill Shine acting and Hannity's messaging are telling.


And it works because now he can credibly say that Rosenstein is working against him, and will likely even refer to him as part of the "Deep State". His shrinking but ever-present base will eat this up.

As I was told the other day: Republican voters are like mushrooms. Feed them shit and keep them in the dark.

Support base ‘shrinking’
Republicans win Texas state senate seat held by democrats for 139 years.73% Black/Hispanic.
OK.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/09/20/texas-republican-wins-state-senate-race-in-district-held-by-democrats-for-139-years.html
State senate seat special election win and the 19th district became less packed in 2010 when they redistricted.

Given how much the article talks about black and hispanic demographics in that district it be far more interesting if they actually had voter demographics. Texas has pretty terrible voter turnout to begin with, even on presidential years they hover around 50%, dips well at or below 30% in non presidential years let alone a special election.
http://www.electproject.org/2016g
http://www.electproject.org/2014g
http://www.electproject.org/2012g
http://www.electproject.org/2010g

26,077 voted initally
https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/jul31_330_state.htm?x=0&y=0&id=273
44,487 voted in the run off
https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/sep18_332_state.htm?x=0&y=0&id=170
241,627 voted in 2016 for that district
https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist319_state.htm
The district has somewhere near 811,147 people in it.
That would place voter turnout around 9% assuming around 51% voter turnout from 2016 (the state avg from 2016) without additional information specific to that district
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4329 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-21 23:40:06
September 21 2018 23:37 GMT
#14340
Why is Ford refusing to fly from California to D.C.? She is insisting on driving, which will take at least four days.

How can anybody argue that this is anything more than a stalling tactic now? Seems like they're voting on Monday regardless, hopefully Kavanaugh can get approved and we can leave this ridiculous saga behind us.

Re : Texas state senate seat won by republicans - New Voter ID laws likely played a role regarding lower turnout rates for Dems.Good move, seems fair that photo ID should be required to vote.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-texas-voters/u-s-appeals-court-upholds-texas-voter-id-law-allows-it-to-take-effect-idUSKBN1HY31U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
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