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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5797

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6397 Posts
June 20 2026 01:02 GMT
#115921
On June 20 2026 07:05 Geiko wrote:
"She begged me to take a picture with her. She wanted a picture with me so badly. I wouldn't have taken it, but I felt sorry for her." Trump talking about the prime minister of Italy.

Can I get a comment on that quote from oblade or another centrist in here ? Is it going to be "It's just Drumpf being Drumpf" or "It's actually a cunning plan to get a better deal at a later time" ?

No, you don't get a comment. We need to stop you from Pavlovian training yourself to be unable to navigate significant European issues like "Trump said Meloni begged for a picture" without oBlade. The next challenge is "Starmer said Merkel has a crush on Macron and is jealous of Brigitte." Meanwhile in real US politics SCOTUS just ruled no guns for marijuana users infringes on the 2nd amendment.

On June 20 2026 09:30 Razyda wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2026 04:35 KwarK wrote:
On June 20 2026 04:26 dyhb wrote:
What are the eyewitness reports of underage girls partying with Trump and Epstein

Roger Stone wrote that he was there and saw it.

Also Trump himself. He's on record joking in 2002 about Epstein's habits, his first hand knowledge is evidenced by his own testimony.

On November 18 2025 05:57 KwarK wrote:
There is also this 1997 newspaper article that describes Anouska De Georgiou, one of Epstein's underage rape victims, being set up with Trump by their mutual friend, Ghislaine Maxwell.

https://www.thefreelibrary.com/How suite! Trump's Brit of all right.-a061140675
After their meeting, Trump flew Madam Maxwell and the model south to the sunshine state, where all three enjoyed a happy weekend together. When they returned to New York, Anouska was installed in one of Donald's many apartments there.

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.threads.com/@beingliberal/post/C4nvJperkt0/media?hl=zh-hk


The girl's name is Anouska De Georgiou. She was one of Epstein's rape victims.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/how-british-teen-model-was-lured-jeffrey-epstein-s-web-n1056901

Now it's possible that we can't trust the source behind the newspaper article. The Sunday Mirror is a bit of a gossip rag, we don't necessarily know who they heard it from. The newspaper is printing stories about Ghislaine Maxwell but we don't know if they researched those stories or spoke to anyone close to Ghislaine. We might guess based on the fact that the Sunday Mirror was owned by Robert Maxwell, father of Ghislaine Maxwell, but I guess we can't know.

Trump definitely had sex with one of Epstein victims. Though Anouska was over 18 by the time Ghislaine "installed" her in Trump's apartment.

The point about "why not defend Epstein while you're at it" is that the burden demanded by Trump apologists for a man who openly brags about being attracted to minors is so absurd that they might as well. It's not good faith. It is insisting that we suspend any and all ability to extrapolate from what we can see and what he tells us. If you're going to do that then do it properly. Otherwise quit pretending that you can't see what we see.



This story again? You do realise that you base your claim that Trump is paedophile on the fact that he had (as alleged by you) sex with adult?

LOL
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
dyhb
Profile Joined August 2021
United States621 Posts
June 20 2026 01:05 GMT
#115922
Where it started:
You’ve invented this whole alternate history where Democrats would have called Trump a pedophile even if he didn’t constantly go to parties on pedo island with his best friend the pedophile.


Where it ended:
But if people are going to insist that Trump barely knew Epstein/Ghislaine


That's the game. Say the most absurd shit, and move the goalposts if anybody calls you out.
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States3049 Posts
June 20 2026 01:10 GMT
#115923
The Trump supporters in this thread are now openly saying and laughing that Trump having sex with a woman trafficked by Ghislaine Maxwell means he's not a pedophile. Maybe pipe down about the goalposts.
"don't try to pull a LightSpectra-Trumper"
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2156 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-06-20 01:11:26
June 20 2026 01:11 GMT
#115924
I think most people would concede that it’s is only so extremely likely that it’s an almost certainty that he had sex with underage girls rather than it is a certainty. Work for you?
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44247 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-06-20 01:38:20
June 20 2026 01:37 GMT
#115925
Trump bragged that he's attracted to underage girls and liked to walk in on them changing so he could see their naked bodies without their consent.

He was close friends with Epstein, the most notorious pedophile sex trafficker, of our time and they partied together numerous times. Trump described Epstein as a terrific guy.

Trump expressed first hand knowledge of Epstein's perversions, stating that what they had in common was that Epstein loved beautiful women as much as he did, and many of them are on the younger side.

Roger Stone reported seeing Trump at a party at Epstein's mansion with underage girls.

Many of Epstein's underage victims were girls that were employed by Trump as spa attendants.

Ghislaine Maxwell, who helped Epstein rape girls, and Anouska de Georgiou, one of their victims, both confirm that Ghislaine also procured Epstein victims for Trump to have sex with.

Trump bragged that his wealth and power let him assault women. That he can grab them by the pussy.

Trump is, legally speaking, a rapist. He preys on women.

At a certain point I don't know what we're doing here other than wasting time with contrarians. Of course he's a fucking pedophile. He brags that he assaults girls that he's attracted to and he brags that the girls that he's attracted to are under 18 and he brags about violating their privacy so he can see their underage bodies. And that's him just telling it how it is. That's in his own words before you even get into his relationship with Epstein.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27272 Posts
June 20 2026 01:49 GMT
#115926
On June 20 2026 10:37 KwarK wrote:
Trump bragged that he's attracted to underage girls and liked to walk in on them changing so he could see their naked bodies without their consent.

He was close friends with Epstein, the most notorious pedophile sex trafficker, of our time and they partied together numerous times. Trump described Epstein as a terrific guy.

Trump expressed first hand knowledge of Epstein's perversions, stating that what they had in common was that Epstein loved beautiful women as much as he did, and many of them are on the younger side.

Roger Stone reported seeing Trump at a party at Epstein's mansion with underage girls.

Many of Epstein's underage victims were girls that were employed by Trump as spa attendants.

Ghislaine Maxwell, who helped Epstein rape girls, and Anouska de Georgiou, one of their victims, both confirm that Ghislaine also procured Epstein victims for Trump to have sex with.

Trump bragged that his wealth and power let him assault women. That he can grab them by the pussy.

Trump is, legally speaking, a rapist. He preys on women.

At a certain point I don't know what we're doing here other than wasting time with contrarians. Of course he's a fucking pedophile. He brags that he assaults girls that he's attracted to and he brags that the girls that he's attracted to are under 18 and he brags about violating their privacy so he can see their underage bodies. And that's him just telling it how it is. That's in his own words before you even get into his relationship with Epstein.

Yep.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States3049 Posts
June 20 2026 03:11 GMT
#115927
They know they're supporting a sexual predator. They want to be able to also get away with sexual predation, so they're trying their hardest to make it socially acceptable by acting like it's reasonable to have impossible burdens of proof to believe someone is a sexual predator. Nobody is responding to them thinking they'll change their minds, but rather so they have to go to ever greater lengths at pretending to be stupid enough to get away with playing dumb. At this point every single post they make is just pure brain damage in verbal form and they still won't call it quits. Fine by me.
"don't try to pull a LightSpectra-Trumper"
Geiko
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
France2025 Posts
June 20 2026 03:22 GMT
#115928
On June 20 2026 10:37 KwarK wrote:
Trump bragged that he's attracted to underage girls and liked to walk in on them changing so he could see their naked bodies without their consent.

He was close friends with Epstein, the most notorious pedophile sex trafficker, of our time and they partied together numerous times. Trump described Epstein as a terrific guy.

Trump expressed first hand knowledge of Epstein's perversions, stating that what they had in common was that Epstein loved beautiful women as much as he did, and many of them are on the younger side.

Roger Stone reported seeing Trump at a party at Epstein's mansion with underage girls.

Many of Epstein's underage victims were girls that were employed by Trump as spa attendants.

Ghislaine Maxwell, who helped Epstein rape girls, and Anouska de Georgiou, one of their victims, both confirm that Ghislaine also procured Epstein victims for Trump to have sex with.

Trump bragged that his wealth and power let him assault women. That he can grab them by the pussy.

Trump is, legally speaking, a rapist. He preys on women.

At a certain point I don't know what we're doing here other than wasting time with contrarians. Of course he's a fucking pedophile. He brags that he assaults girls that he's attracted to and he brags that the girls that he's attracted to are under 18 and he brags about violating their privacy so he can see their underage bodies. And that's him just telling it how it is. That's in his own words before you even get into his relationship with Epstein.


"Well yeah but what about marijuana users and their second amendment rights?" - oblade (probably)
geiko.813 (EU)
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44247 Posts
June 20 2026 06:04 GMT
#115929
The text of the MOU is public. Iran is permitted to keep their uranium stockpile but they commit to blending it and to the status quo. The agreement literally says status quo. That’s what Trump got them to agree to.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8171 Posts
June 20 2026 08:02 GMT
#115930
Then again, Trump fucked a pornstar while his third wife, 30 years younger wife was pregnant and paid her hush money with campaign donations. They still voted for him. Three times.

Trump was absolutely right to say he could shoot someone on 5th avenue and there would be no consequences. His supporters are totally impervious to ideas like morality and decency unless they are weaponized against their perceived enemies.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2868 Posts
June 20 2026 11:11 GMT
#115931
On June 20 2026 17:02 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Then again, Trump fucked a pornstar while his third wife, 30 years younger wife was pregnant and paid her hush money with campaign donations. They still voted for him. Three times.

Trump was absolutely right to say he could shoot someone on 5th avenue and there would be no consequences. His supporters are totally impervious to ideas like morality and decency unless they are weaponized against their perceived enemies.


That alone would make me never vote against a politician. What they say they will do is bullshit because the future is unwritten. You want someone who has morals you can trust so when a new decision is made its going to be just and in line with their convictions.
Which could be ideological, pragmatic or whatever.
Unity, support, family, and kneecapping bitches.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8171 Posts
June 20 2026 12:33 GMT
#115932
On June 20 2026 20:11 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2026 17:02 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Then again, Trump fucked a pornstar while his third wife, 30 years younger wife was pregnant and paid her hush money with campaign donations. They still voted for him. Three times.

Trump was absolutely right to say he could shoot someone on 5th avenue and there would be no consequences. His supporters are totally impervious to ideas like morality and decency unless they are weaponized against their perceived enemies.


That alone would make me never vote against a politician. What they say they will do is bullshit because the future is unwritten. You want someone who has morals you can trust so when a new decision is made its going to be just and in line with their convictions.
Which could be ideological, pragmatic or whatever.

Ye, I really don’t need politicians to be saints, but if you elect an absolute cunt, you will have cunty results. Trump is about the worst human being conceivable. He doesn’t have one redeeming quality and is vicious beyond conceit.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46291 Posts
June 20 2026 12:40 GMT
#115933
On June 20 2026 21:33 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2026 20:11 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
On June 20 2026 17:02 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Then again, Trump fucked a pornstar while his third wife, 30 years younger wife was pregnant and paid her hush money with campaign donations. They still voted for him. Three times.

Trump was absolutely right to say he could shoot someone on 5th avenue and there would be no consequences. His supporters are totally impervious to ideas like morality and decency unless they are weaponized against their perceived enemies.


That alone would make me never vote against a politician. What they say they will do is bullshit because the future is unwritten. You want someone who has morals you can trust so when a new decision is made its going to be just and in line with their convictions.
Which could be ideological, pragmatic or whatever.

Ye, I really don’t need politicians to be saints, but if you elect an absolute cunt, you will have cunty results. Trump is about the worst human being conceivable. He doesn’t have one redeeming quality and is vicious beyond conceit.

Yeah he's on a whole other level in terms of douchebaggery and scumbaggery and lying and breaking the law, compared to the usual/traditional politicians in the pre-MAGA era.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22408 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-06-20 13:13:11
June 20 2026 13:00 GMT
#115934
Has anyone wondered if Meloni wants to deal with US politics ? I think most Italians are generally annoyed by having it shoved in their face all the time. It‘s very invasive nowadays.

The term won‘t last forever but the next challenge is having to deal with US elites entitling themselves to anything they want or using force to do that, even outside of their own country.

Italy’s a bit like an open air museum under heavy attrition from mass tourism. Not as wealthy as it should be for that.

What’s next, does one need a presidential permit to get a drivers license in Europe ?
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8171 Posts
June 20 2026 14:08 GMT
#115935
On June 20 2026 10:02 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2026 07:05 Geiko wrote:
"She begged me to take a picture with her. She wanted a picture with me so badly. I wouldn't have taken it, but I felt sorry for her." Trump talking about the prime minister of Italy.

Can I get a comment on that quote from oblade or another centrist in here ? Is it going to be "It's just Drumpf being Drumpf" or "It's actually a cunning plan to get a better deal at a later time" ?

No, you don't get a comment. We need to stop you from Pavlovian training yourself to be unable to navigate significant European issues like "Trump said Meloni begged for a picture" without oBlade. The next challenge is "Starmer said Merkel has a crush on Macron and is jealous of Brigitte." Meanwhile in real US politics SCOTUS just ruled no guns for marijuana users infringes on the 2nd amendment.

Show nested quote +
On June 20 2026 09:30 Razyda wrote:
On June 20 2026 04:35 KwarK wrote:
On June 20 2026 04:26 dyhb wrote:
What are the eyewitness reports of underage girls partying with Trump and Epstein

Roger Stone wrote that he was there and saw it.

Also Trump himself. He's on record joking in 2002 about Epstein's habits, his first hand knowledge is evidenced by his own testimony.

On November 18 2025 05:57 KwarK wrote:
There is also this 1997 newspaper article that describes Anouska De Georgiou, one of Epstein's underage rape victims, being set up with Trump by their mutual friend, Ghislaine Maxwell.

https://www.thefreelibrary.com/How suite! Trump's Brit of all right.-a061140675
After their meeting, Trump flew Madam Maxwell and the model south to the sunshine state, where all three enjoyed a happy weekend together. When they returned to New York, Anouska was installed in one of Donald's many apartments there.

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.threads.com/@beingliberal/post/C4nvJperkt0/media?hl=zh-hk


The girl's name is Anouska De Georgiou. She was one of Epstein's rape victims.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/how-british-teen-model-was-lured-jeffrey-epstein-s-web-n1056901

Now it's possible that we can't trust the source behind the newspaper article. The Sunday Mirror is a bit of a gossip rag, we don't necessarily know who they heard it from. The newspaper is printing stories about Ghislaine Maxwell but we don't know if they researched those stories or spoke to anyone close to Ghislaine. We might guess based on the fact that the Sunday Mirror was owned by Robert Maxwell, father of Ghislaine Maxwell, but I guess we can't know.

Trump definitely had sex with one of Epstein victims. Though Anouska was over 18 by the time Ghislaine "installed" her in Trump's apartment.

The point about "why not defend Epstein while you're at it" is that the burden demanded by Trump apologists for a man who openly brags about being attracted to minors is so absurd that they might as well. It's not good faith. It is insisting that we suspend any and all ability to extrapolate from what we can see and what he tells us. If you're going to do that then do it properly. Otherwise quit pretending that you can't see what we see.



This story again? You do realise that you base your claim that Trump is paedophile on the fact that he had (as alleged by you) sex with adult?

LOL

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20260620-trump-escalates-spat-with-italy-s-meloni-over-g7-photo-claim

How is everything going in your little post factual bubble ?
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States3049 Posts
June 20 2026 15:18 GMT
#115936
If this Twitter beef with Italy goes on much longer we might end up paying them $300B.
"don't try to pull a LightSpectra-Trumper"
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44247 Posts
June 20 2026 15:38 GMT
#115937
On June 20 2026 23:08 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2026 10:02 oBlade wrote:
On June 20 2026 07:05 Geiko wrote:
"She begged me to take a picture with her. She wanted a picture with me so badly. I wouldn't have taken it, but I felt sorry for her." Trump talking about the prime minister of Italy.

Can I get a comment on that quote from oblade or another centrist in here ? Is it going to be "It's just Drumpf being Drumpf" or "It's actually a cunning plan to get a better deal at a later time" ?

No, you don't get a comment. We need to stop you from Pavlovian training yourself to be unable to navigate significant European issues like "Trump said Meloni begged for a picture" without oBlade. The next challenge is "Starmer said Merkel has a crush on Macron and is jealous of Brigitte." Meanwhile in real US politics SCOTUS just ruled no guns for marijuana users infringes on the 2nd amendment.

On June 20 2026 09:30 Razyda wrote:
On June 20 2026 04:35 KwarK wrote:
On June 20 2026 04:26 dyhb wrote:
What are the eyewitness reports of underage girls partying with Trump and Epstein

Roger Stone wrote that he was there and saw it.

Also Trump himself. He's on record joking in 2002 about Epstein's habits, his first hand knowledge is evidenced by his own testimony.

On November 18 2025 05:57 KwarK wrote:
There is also this 1997 newspaper article that describes Anouska De Georgiou, one of Epstein's underage rape victims, being set up with Trump by their mutual friend, Ghislaine Maxwell.

https://www.thefreelibrary.com/How suite! Trump's Brit of all right.-a061140675
After their meeting, Trump flew Madam Maxwell and the model south to the sunshine state, where all three enjoyed a happy weekend together. When they returned to New York, Anouska was installed in one of Donald's many apartments there.

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.threads.com/@beingliberal/post/C4nvJperkt0/media?hl=zh-hk


The girl's name is Anouska De Georgiou. She was one of Epstein's rape victims.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/how-british-teen-model-was-lured-jeffrey-epstein-s-web-n1056901

Now it's possible that we can't trust the source behind the newspaper article. The Sunday Mirror is a bit of a gossip rag, we don't necessarily know who they heard it from. The newspaper is printing stories about Ghislaine Maxwell but we don't know if they researched those stories or spoke to anyone close to Ghislaine. We might guess based on the fact that the Sunday Mirror was owned by Robert Maxwell, father of Ghislaine Maxwell, but I guess we can't know.

Trump definitely had sex with one of Epstein victims. Though Anouska was over 18 by the time Ghislaine "installed" her in Trump's apartment.

The point about "why not defend Epstein while you're at it" is that the burden demanded by Trump apologists for a man who openly brags about being attracted to minors is so absurd that they might as well. It's not good faith. It is insisting that we suspend any and all ability to extrapolate from what we can see and what he tells us. If you're going to do that then do it properly. Otherwise quit pretending that you can't see what we see.



This story again? You do realise that you base your claim that Trump is paedophile on the fact that he had (as alleged by you) sex with adult?

LOL

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20260620-trump-escalates-spat-with-italy-s-meloni-over-g7-photo-claim

How is everything going in your little post factual bubble ?

That reminds me, oblade's posts earlier in the war are peak comedy following the US surrender. Fucking months of every other person going "it seems like the US is going to lose this one" and oblade insisting over and over that the US had already won and Iran would give in to all the US demands any day now.

I did suggest to him that it'd be less embarrassing for him down the line if he stopped taking the words of a known liar at face value and repeating them as his own analysis but he just doubled down harder.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2156 Posts
June 20 2026 15:56 GMT
#115938
On June 20 2026 06:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
And now Israel and Hezbollah have supposedly agreed to a ceasefire again, just a day after Israel's attack and Hezbollah's retaliation, and apparently the fighting is still happening anyway: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/6/19/iran-war-live-jd-vance-defends-iran-deal-as-us-says-naval-blockade-lifted

Israel vs. Anyone "agreeing to a ceasefire" is really feeling like a never-ending series of pranks. It seems like both sides just attack each other whenever they want, and then whenever they want to take a smoke break or a power nap, they "announce a ceasefire". And then they just go at it again whenever they feel refreshed, sometimes just hours or days later.

It is because Israel never agreed, the USA agreed for them. Israel did agree to a ceasefire with Lebanon, but that did not include Hezbollah. The basics of it was that Israel would only attack Hezbollah and once they cleared areas of Hezbollah (yes, who knows if they ever actually say they are clear) the Lebanon army would take over those areas called pilot zones.

The fighting has never stopped between Hezbollah (Iran) and Israel. For example in the 48 hours before we heard about it on our main stream news, Hezbollah had attacked Israel 72 times; 25 assaults, 63 rockets, 1 missile, 7 UAV strikes 2 IED explosions and 1 infiltration. And Israel probably did the same or more. When we hear about it is when Hezbollah kills Israeli troops because Israel then responds with the big missiles, or when Israel kills Iranian QUDs or IGRC (the guys leading Hezbollah) and Hezbollah or one of the Iranian armies in another country shoots ballistics.

Iran feels there position is so strong with the US that not only can they get everything they want for Iran proper but that they can also keep their colonial armies abroad.

Israel, unlike the US, has the same goals now as at the start of the war. They want Iran to have no enriched uranium, no ballistic missile capability, no Iranian armies on their boarders. Regime change seems to be more like a like to have, rather than a need to have.

And this is how Iran plays the US like a fiddle. They put Lebanon in any deal, then they have Hezbollah attack Israel, who responds every time (hell never stops) and then Iran proper goes, those Israelis did it again we need more concessions. And the US is capitulating so hard that they fall all over themselves to get the "deal" back on track. And rinse repeat Iran gets more.

Not surprisingly Trumps popularity in Israel has plummeted like crazy. He promised them the above goals and instead has made the armies around them, whos only stated goal is too kill all Jews and everyone who supports them.

I don't see anyway that Israel stops. Netanyahu needs the far right to keep his power and they are all in on this. The other people who vote for him do so with the the belief that he is the only one that will be willing and able to get their enemies armies off their boarders and back to Iran and the people in north Israel can return to their homes and be safe from rocket attacks. If he capitulates like Trump, it is over for him. And that doesn't mean just losing power, it means jail time.

My prediction is this just keeps going, Israel and Hezbollah continue fighting, eventually Hezbollah has some success, either killing soldiers or one of their rockets gets some civilian's. Then Israel responds with their ballistics and cruise missiles at IGRC and QUDs. Iran calls foul, threatens or blocks the strait, the US give them more and begs Israel to stop. Rinse and repeat.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22530 Posts
June 20 2026 16:12 GMT
#115939
On June 21 2026 00:56 Billyboy wrote:My prediction is this just keeps going, Israel and Hezbollah continue fighting, eventually Hezbollah has some success, either killing soldiers or one of their rockets gets some civilian's. Then Israel responds with their ballistics and cruise missiles at IGRC and QUDs. Iran calls foul, threatens or blocks the strait, the US give them more and begs Israel to stop. Rinse and repeat.
You might be a little behind the new, Iran has already closed the strait again.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44247 Posts
June 20 2026 16:16 GMT
#115940
On June 21 2026 00:56 Billyboy wrote:
And this is how Iran plays the US like a fiddle. They put Lebanon in any deal, then they have Hezbollah attack Israel, who responds every time (hell never stops) and then Iran proper goes, those Israelis did it again we need more concessions. And the US is capitulating so hard that they fall all over themselves to get the "deal" back on track. And rinse repeat Iran gets more.

While you're not wrong about Iran exploiting this issue, this isn't a masterstroke by Iran but a colossal avoidable failure by the US. They created a coalition without discussing the goals of the coalition and now they cannot end the war unilaterally because they do not agree with their coalition partner regarding whether the goals have been met.

What Iran is doing is simply refusing to allow the Israel US coalition to end.

In a vacuum if there was a dispute between Israel and Iran over Hezbollah then closing the strait for everyone would be utterly intolerable, they'd never do that, it would be a colossal and indefensible overreaction. And the US wants desperately for that to be the situation, for this to be two separate wars and for them not to be involved in the second Lebanon one.

But both Iran and Israel want this to be a theatre within the broader coalition conflict, Iran because if the US remains the adversary then they can act accordingly, and Israel because they want to keep the US involved. And it is incredibly difficult to say that the coalition has met its goals and ended and the conflict for which it was created is over when they couldn't be bothered to do the paperwork at the front end. They win or lose with their coalition partner and Israel absolutely does not accept that the war is lost.

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