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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1346

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Mafe
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany5966 Posts
February 27 2022 13:23 GMT
#26901
Guardian news ticker:
"Putin orders Russia's nuclear deterrence forces on high alert

Russian president Vladimir Putin has ordered military command to put nuclear deterrence forces on high alert after aggressive statements by Nato countries, Reuters reports."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 27 2022 13:30 GMT
#26902
Statement from Interfax (a Russian source):

MOSCOW. Feb 27 (Interfax) - Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered placing the Russian army's deterrence forces on a special alert.

"Top officials of leading NATO countries make aggressive statements about our country, so I order the defense minister and the chief of the General Staff to put the Russian army's deterrence forces on a special alert," Putin said during a meeting with Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff Valery Gerasimov.


In other news a peace talk may be occurring, but I see no confirmation in any Western source.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14164 Posts
February 27 2022 13:35 GMT
#26903
Germany was also refusing to allow what arms it sold to other countries to be sent to Ukraine or any country from the country it sold them to.

Now the floodgates are open and panzerfaust 3s are going to be in Ukraine. Those are supposed to be fighting the latest tanks Russia has in it's Arsenal and are as easy to use as rpgs.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria872 Posts
February 27 2022 13:35 GMT
#26904
On February 27 2022 22:23 Mafe wrote:
Guardian news ticker:
"Putin orders Russia's nuclear deterrence forces on high alert

Russian president Vladimir Putin has ordered military command to put nuclear deterrence forces on high alert after aggressive statements by Nato countries, Reuters reports."


Nice bluff but it's unclear of its motives... E.g. Is Russia that desperate as a result of committing Chechnya and Belarus into this war? Is it because of so called foreign legion? They didn't bother to explain.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14164 Posts
February 27 2022 13:37 GMT
#26905
On February 27 2022 22:30 LegalLord wrote:
Statement from Interfax (a Russian source):

Show nested quote +
MOSCOW. Feb 27 (Interfax) - Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered placing the Russian army's deterrence forces on a special alert.

"Top officials of leading NATO countries make aggressive statements about our country, so I order the defense minister and the chief of the General Staff to put the Russian army's deterrence forces on a special alert," Putin said during a meeting with Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff Valery Gerasimov.


In other news a peace talk may be occurring, but I see no confirmation in any Western source.

Putin offered talks but zelensky refused any nation that was launching missiles so not minsk.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
February 27 2022 13:40 GMT
#26906
Update on Kharkiv situation, Ukrainian Army/Police/National guard repelled the attack. It's relatively silent at the moment in the center.

We have a reports of many casualties from russian side, some of their soldiers surrendered

In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 27 2022 13:40 GMT
#26907
If these number are even close to accurate then can't think for a second it will be easy to hide domestically.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-27 13:54:35
February 27 2022 13:41 GMT
#26908
On February 27 2022 22:37 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 27 2022 22:30 LegalLord wrote:
Statement from Interfax (a Russian source):

MOSCOW. Feb 27 (Interfax) - Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered placing the Russian army's deterrence forces on a special alert.

"Top officials of leading NATO countries make aggressive statements about our country, so I order the defense minister and the chief of the General Staff to put the Russian army's deterrence forces on a special alert," Putin said during a meeting with Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff Valery Gerasimov.


In other news a peace talk may be occurring, but I see no confirmation in any Western source.

Putin offered talks but zelensky refused any nation that was launching missiles so not minsk.

Yes, that did happen a few hours ago, but 5 minutes ago Russian news said that a Ukraine delegation might be flying out to the proposed meeting site (Gomel, Belarus). Again, not sure if there's confirmation anywhere.

Edit: Details in flux, including location and delegation, and I suppose more importantly if it's actually going to happen. A neutral zone on the Ukraine-Belarus border is also floated as a possible site.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 27 2022 13:46 GMT
#26909
A peace conference in Belarus would be useless if they are preparing to send troops in to attack Ukraine.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22488 Posts
February 27 2022 13:48 GMT
#26910
same with the supposed order to take kyiv before monday.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
r00ty
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany1081 Posts
February 27 2022 13:49 GMT
#26911
I think 100bn is absolutely necessary to get the German forces into shape again and it's a good decision, we don't buy weapons and equipment, we produce it ourselves anyway.
I've always been a fan of general conscription and it can be reinstated at any time in case of a threat.
KobraKay
Profile Joined March 2010
Portugal4369 Posts
February 27 2022 13:53 GMT
#26912
On February 27 2022 22:40 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If these number are even close to accurate then can't think for a second it will be easy to hide domestically.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497895706568237056


apologies for my ignorance regarding military and real world warfare tacticts, but if those numbers are accurate, even accounting for defenders advantage preparation wise, it seems Ukraine is a very strong country military wise, which is something i wasnt expecting.

so to my untrained eye, either the casualties on the ukrainian side are even more massive, or there must be some non disclosed "help" doing some magic, no?

or these are the sort of numbers to be expected in such an invasion?
CJ Fighting! (--.--)
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22407 Posts
February 27 2022 13:55 GMT
#26913
Russian nuclear forces in special combat mode apparently, whatever that means. Gazprom dude killing himself is also a signpost.

If THAT starts going off, I hope that Ukraine was worth it to you.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-27 13:58:29
February 27 2022 13:57 GMT
#26914
On February 27 2022 22:53 KobraKay wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 27 2022 22:40 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If these number are even close to accurate then can't think for a second it will be easy to hide domestically.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497895706568237056


apologies for my ignorance regarding military and real world warfare tacticts, but if those numbers are accurate, even accounting for defenders advantage preparation wise, it seems Ukraine is a very strong country military wise, which is something i wasnt expecting.

so to my untrained eye, either the casualties on the ukrainian side are even more massive, or there must be some non disclosed "help" doing some magic, no?

or these are the sort of numbers to be expected in such an invasion?

With the caveat that I am by no means an expert in contemporary military analysis, those numbers being even ball-park accurate suggests to me that there is no technological means of easily addressing the advantage that spirited defenders have in the face of an invasion. Lord knows the US has seen that very thing play out before.

On February 27 2022 22:55 Vivax wrote:
Russian nuclear forces in special combat mode apparently, whatever that means. Gazprom dude killing himself is also a signpost.

If THAT starts going off, I hope that Ukraine was worth it to you.

You’re exactly the kind of person Putin hoped was in charge when he started this thing. It’s nice to see he was wrong.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 27 2022 13:58 GMT
#26915
On February 27 2022 22:53 KobraKay wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 27 2022 22:40 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If these number are even close to accurate then can't think for a second it will be easy to hide domestically.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497895706568237056


apologies for my ignorance regarding military and real world warfare tacticts, but if those numbers are accurate, even accounting for defenders advantage preparation wise, it seems Ukraine is a very strong country military wise, which is something i wasnt expecting.

so to my untrained eye, either the casualties on the ukrainian side are even more massive, or there must be some non disclosed "help" doing some magic, no?

or these are the sort of numbers to be expected in such an invasion?

Ukraine has a reasonably strong military in size and equipment; probably significantly better than most countries in Eastern Europe. Caveat being that their best equipment is mostly stuff from the Soviet era, which means it's at least 30 years old, and that strength is "on paper" until you actually get into a battle.

Estimations of enemy casualties are always going to be on the optimistic side, of course. How optimistic is the real question.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
PoulsenB
Profile Joined June 2011
Poland7749 Posts
February 27 2022 13:59 GMT
#26916
On February 27 2022 22:40 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If these number are even close to accurate then can't think for a second it will be easy to hide domestically.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497895706568237056

Even if you divide these numbers by a factor of 2 or 3, these are still considerable losses for a few days of fighting, especially in vehicles. Modern tanks and aircraft are not cheap.
IdrA fan forever <3 || the clueless one || Marci must be protected at all costs
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 27 2022 14:00 GMT
#26917
Look at Sergey Shoygu...

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 27 2022 14:01 GMT
#26918
Telegram post from Zelensky's office (using Google translate from Ukrainian):

Alexander Lukashenko called Vladimir Zelensky.

Politicians have agreed that the Ukrainian delegation will meet with the Russian delegation without preconditions on the Ukrainian-Belarusian border, near the Pripyat River.

Alexander Lukashenko has taken responsibility for ensuring that all planes, helicopters and missiles stationed on Belarusian territory remain on the ground during the Ukrainian delegation's travel, talks and return.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9956 Posts
February 27 2022 14:02 GMT
#26919
On February 27 2022 22:55 Vivax wrote:
Russian nuclear forces in special combat mode apparently, whatever that means. Gazprom dude killing himself is also a signpost.

If THAT starts going off, I hope that Ukraine was worth it to you.


Seems like a desperate, irrational move on Putin's part tbh.
There is no actual reason for him to do this other than posturing or some genuine will to see the world destroyed.
There are many, many cards to be played before nuclear war is a thing.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Sadist
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States7328 Posts
February 27 2022 14:04 GMT
#26920
If Russia and Ukraine were to negotiate a ceasefire or a peace treaty how long do you think the sanctions remain in place? Id assume a portion of them remain no matter what but id think the heaviest sanctions would go away fairly quickly
How do you go from where you are to where you want to be? I think you have to have an enthusiasm for life. You have to have a dream, a goal and you have to be willing to work for it. Jim Valvano
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