|
Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. |
On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. My signature and account status belong to my future wife, good sir. However, you've already accepted terms so we'll see what shakes out
|
On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month.
On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them.
The wager (with yourself) has been acknowledged by the mods
|
On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month.
Hmmmmm sure I'll take that.
Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^
|
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
bernie winning leading to a trump presidency would be hilarious
|
On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^
More time to phonebank who knows maybe even go outside 
I think you'll be ok anyway, the media has already been talking about how they plan on paying more attention to Republicans in SC (same day as Nevada).
|
On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^
someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?)
farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence
|
2nd Worst City in CA8938 Posts
I'm not expecting Bernie to win NV/SC, nor does he have to. He just has to keep it close.
|
On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence
Ha, I'm still happy to bet on the nomination if this blowout has given you knew hope? Nothing on Iowa, wouldn't want to remind people of that shadiness either if I was a Hillary supporter...
Bernie's margin of victory is bigger than Kasich's vote total haha.
|
On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence
I'll predict Sanders takes NV and Clinton keeps SC.
|
On February 10 2016 12:43 jcarlsoniv wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence I'll predict Sanders takes NV and Clinton keeps SC.
i predict hillary to take both, which is why i'm willing to risk a monthlong bet on that 
sigbet for the split then?
|
On February 10 2016 12:43 GreenHorizons wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence Ha, I'm still happy to bet on the nomination if this blowout has given you knew hope? Nothing on Iowa, wouldn't want to remind people of that shadiness either if I was a Hillary supporter... Bernie's margin of victory is bigger than Kasich's vote total haha.
its not giving me hope, i'm just going based on what i see. the only adjustment i've made is that polls underestimate bernie's turnout.
i'm trying to avoid arguing about that kind of stuff, but look, let's put it this way. both sides have supporters who are, to put it gently, overzealous. hillary has them and bernie has them. they both do and say things that arent proper. i wont cite any specific examples.
|
On February 10 2016 12:47 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:43 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence I'll predict Sanders takes NV and Clinton keeps SC. i predict hillary to take both, which is why i'm willing to risk a monthlong bet on that  sigbet for the split then?
Yup!
On February 10 2016 12:49 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:43 GreenHorizons wrote:On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence Ha, I'm still happy to bet on the nomination if this blowout has given you knew hope? Nothing on Iowa, wouldn't want to remind people of that shadiness either if I was a Hillary supporter... Bernie's margin of victory is bigger than Kasich's vote total haha. its not giving me hope, i'm just going based on what i see. the only adjustment i've made is that polls underestimate bernie's turnout. i'm trying to avoid arguing about that kind of stuff, but look, let's put it this way. both sides have supporters who are, to put it gently, overzealous. hillary has them and bernie has them. they both do and say things that arent proper. i wont cite any specific examples.
Bernie was in a similar position on Iowa one month beforehand. If things continue the way they are now, with more national exposure, and with Clinton campaign handling things questionably, I think there's a possibility (yes, very small) he could win both.
It's a weird political climate. Who knows! \o/
|
I presume Kasich will be sending Christie a consolation cake from the cakeboss? Kasich owes his ability to run in 2020 to Christie.
On February 10 2016 12:49 ticklishmusic wrote:Show nested quote +On February 10 2016 12:43 GreenHorizons wrote:On February 10 2016 12:38 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:32 jcarlsoniv wrote:On February 10 2016 12:23 ticklishmusic wrote:On February 10 2016 12:19 xDaunt wrote:On February 10 2016 11:58 ticklishmusic wrote: I hate to disrupt the circlejerk, but you so realize that Hillary is leading Nevada and South Carolina by 20 point margins... you can jigger that with turnout (which has been underestimated) and other things, but I'll take a month ban if Bernie wins both of them. Bernie needs to show that he can win some other states before I'd put money on him winning the nomination. And he is hilariously unelectable at a national level. One of our rare moments of agreement outside sports.  It's okay, we can be friends until the end of election season. Then we can go back to half-jokingly hostile. To everyone else: So how about a banbet? 1 month NV + SC if Hillary/Sanders win both (you know what I mean), if there's a split we'll sigbet-- I tell you something to add to yours, you add to mine for a month. Hmmmmm sure I'll take that. Worst case, a 1 month break from posting. I could probably do with that anyway ^.^ someone willing to put something on the line (btw, how much money did you lose on the Iowa bet GH?) farva is excepted ofc, congrats on his engagement/relationship/life sentence Ha, I'm still happy to bet on the nomination if this blowout has given you knew hope? Nothing on Iowa, wouldn't want to remind people of that shadiness either if I was a Hillary supporter... Bernie's margin of victory is bigger than Kasich's vote total haha. its not giving me hope, i'm just going based on what i see. the only adjustment i've made is that polls underestimate bernie's turnout. i'm trying to avoid arguing about that kind of stuff, but look, let's put it this way. both sides have supporters who are, to put it gently, overzealous. hillary has them and bernie has them. they both do and say things that arent proper. i wont cite any specific examples.
So that's still a no?
|
United Kingdom13775 Posts
On February 10 2016 12:15 Deathstar wrote: Can't stump the trump train is alive. Get on board or get run over.
Polls seem to be a little more noisy than usual this year. Not sure what to make of it.
Nate Silver still actually doing a pretty good job though, all things considered.
|
Jeb Bush's speech sounds like he's not dropping out. He's more energized than ever lol
|
|
|
Holy shit Sanders is fucking crushing Clinton right now. Better than he could have hoped for.
And LOL Rubio in 5th. Such a mess for the Republicans.
|
On February 10 2016 13:13 Stratos_speAr wrote: Holy shit Sanders is fucking crushing Clinton right now. Better than he could have hoped for.
And LOL Rubio in 5th. Such a mess for the Republicans.
7 months ago it would be hard to find someone who said Bernie would make it to super Tuesday, looks like he's going there and beyond.
Same for Trump really.
Clearly this race isn't what people thought going into it.
Good news for conservatives is that no one even remembers Scott Walker ran so we'll see him in 2020 with Kasich
|
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Jeb has always had the disproportionately larger spending in the race so far.
Truth is that he is an average candidate who is neither particularly impressive nor terrible, and his family legacy is one of the least popular in the entire country. The voters already decided against him well before his campaign was underway.
|
|
|
|