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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 02:27:12
February 20 2018 02:26 GMT
#13521
I don’t understand how a super collider lead to valuable science, but I support the research. I don’t understand that studys finding, but I’m good with people in this thread telling me the results. But given the laws that limit the scope government funded studies of gun violence, we don’t even get a lot of data to discuss.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
February 20 2018 02:42 GMT
#13522
On February 20 2018 11:20 Sermokala wrote:
The problem with just posting studies like that and acting like its you're whole argument is that the common person can't be expected to understand it with any respectable standard. I'm trying to understand some of the terms its using but I'm struggling a lot with questions that aren't answered (like what some of these numbers mean and how they got them) and a lot of the terminology. They throw out terms like throwing away variables when they decide other variables are better and never really expand past stating that they did that. Most of the thing is just talk about itself instead of actual data and then concluding what they wanted to conclude from the beginning.

I mean unpack "Use of a Poisson rather than a negative binomial model did not alter the results." I have no comprehension on that and I doubt a lot of people do. Theres a reason why academia doesn't have the same standing with the public like it used to.

In the end its not even a good argument to use in a debate. More guns means more homicides used with guns. Its not saying that more guns means more deaths. its not saying that having less guns means less deaths. Its just saying having guns available means its more common that guns are used.

It needs to go a lot further than saying these two things are correlated, to this one bears a causal relationship to the other. This is not an easy road for gun control proponents to travel (correlation). The cities with top homicide rates correlate with strict laws against carrying your weapon. The weapons most used in homicides are pistols, not the AR-15 bugaboo of recent days. The countries with high rates of gun violence correlate with low levels of gun ownership.

That's when you bring in ... yeah, there's other factors involved. But apparently this is a one-way street.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
GoTuNk!
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Chile4591 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 02:58:57
February 20 2018 02:58 GMT
#13523
On February 20 2018 06:16 chouithegewy wrote:
Instead of arming teachers (whose job it is to teach, not to use firearms), why not just post two cops at every school? Or hire armed security guards?


Exactly. Every government building has armed security, except the places filled with thousands of children.
Having armed teachers is obviously stupid. The White House has a security staff, not staffers carrying around hand guns.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44610 Posts
February 20 2018 03:00 GMT
#13524
On February 20 2018 11:20 Sermokala wrote:
The problem with just posting studies like that and acting like its you're whole argument is that the common person can't be expected to understand it with any respectable standard. I'm trying to understand some of the terms its using but I'm struggling a lot with questions that aren't answered (like what some of these numbers mean and how they got them) and a lot of the terminology. They throw out terms like throwing away variables when they decide other variables are better and never really expand past stating that they did that. Most of the thing is just talk about itself instead of actual data and then concluding what they wanted to conclude from the beginning.

I mean unpack "Use of a Poisson rather than a negative binomial model did not alter the results." I have no comprehension on that and I doubt a lot of people do. Theres a reason why academia doesn't have the same standing with the public like it used to.

In the end its not even a good argument to use in a debate. More guns means more homicides used with guns. Its not saying that more guns means more deaths. its not saying that having less guns means less deaths. Its just saying having guns available means its more common that guns are used.


Poisson and negative binomial are two distributions that can be used to model data Besides, SST acted like he knew everything about statistical modeling, so I'm sure the technical rhetoric won't be over his head.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44610 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 03:05:47
February 20 2018 03:03 GMT
#13525
On February 20 2018 11:42 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2018 11:20 Sermokala wrote:
The problem with just posting studies like that and acting like its you're whole argument is that the common person can't be expected to understand it with any respectable standard. I'm trying to understand some of the terms its using but I'm struggling a lot with questions that aren't answered (like what some of these numbers mean and how they got them) and a lot of the terminology. They throw out terms like throwing away variables when they decide other variables are better and never really expand past stating that they did that. Most of the thing is just talk about itself instead of actual data and then concluding what they wanted to conclude from the beginning.

I mean unpack "Use of a Poisson rather than a negative binomial model did not alter the results." I have no comprehension on that and I doubt a lot of people do. Theres a reason why academia doesn't have the same standing with the public like it used to.

In the end its not even a good argument to use in a debate. More guns means more homicides used with guns. Its not saying that more guns means more deaths. its not saying that having less guns means less deaths. Its just saying having guns available means its more common that guns are used.

It needs to go a lot further than saying these two things are correlated, to this one bears a causal relationship to the other. This is not an easy road for gun control proponents to travel (correlation). The cities with top homicide rates correlate with strict laws against carrying your weapon. The weapons most used in homicides are pistols, not the AR-15 bugaboo of recent days. The countries with high rates of gun violence correlate with low levels of gun ownership.

That's when you bring in ... yeah, there's other factors involved. But apparently this is a one-way street.


What do you mean by "gun control proponents"? The majority of Americans- and even the majority of gun owners- are in favor of some degree of gun control. I think more nuance is needed to describe whoever you wish to describe.

And yes, obviously correlation does not imply causation. However, establishing a causal relationship is absolutely not necessary for evidence to support the need for gun control.

"The countries with high rates of gun violence correlate with low levels of gun ownership."
Except for the United States, of course. Or are you trying to compare the USA to third world countries instead of other first world countries?
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23298 Posts
February 20 2018 03:07 GMT
#13526
I say disarm (or abolish) the police then you'll have cops, and therefore the right, calling to disarm the populace.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44610 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 03:19:45
February 20 2018 03:14 GMT
#13527
Is there any data on the demographics of the NRA? I'm curious as to the percentage of NRA members who are black or Hispanic or Muslim or otherwise stereotyped to be dangerous, even without a gun.

I found some data here, but none on race or religion: https://www.google.com/amp/www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/05/among-gun-owners-nra-members-have-a-unique-set-of-views-and-experiences/?amp=1

I found this too, even though it's not NRA-specific:
"Gun ownership varies considerably across demographic groups. For example, about four-in-ten men (39%) say they personally own a gun, compared with 22% of women. And while 36% of whites report that they are gun owners, about a quarter of blacks (24%) and 15% of Hispanics say they own a gun." http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2017/06/22/the-demographics-of-gun-ownership/
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
February 20 2018 03:40 GMT
#13528
On February 20 2018 12:03 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2018 11:42 Danglars wrote:
On February 20 2018 11:20 Sermokala wrote:
The problem with just posting studies like that and acting like its you're whole argument is that the common person can't be expected to understand it with any respectable standard. I'm trying to understand some of the terms its using but I'm struggling a lot with questions that aren't answered (like what some of these numbers mean and how they got them) and a lot of the terminology. They throw out terms like throwing away variables when they decide other variables are better and never really expand past stating that they did that. Most of the thing is just talk about itself instead of actual data and then concluding what they wanted to conclude from the beginning.

I mean unpack "Use of a Poisson rather than a negative binomial model did not alter the results." I have no comprehension on that and I doubt a lot of people do. Theres a reason why academia doesn't have the same standing with the public like it used to.

In the end its not even a good argument to use in a debate. More guns means more homicides used with guns. Its not saying that more guns means more deaths. its not saying that having less guns means less deaths. Its just saying having guns available means its more common that guns are used.

It needs to go a lot further than saying these two things are correlated, to this one bears a causal relationship to the other. This is not an easy road for gun control proponents to travel (correlation). The cities with top homicide rates correlate with strict laws against carrying your weapon. The weapons most used in homicides are pistols, not the AR-15 bugaboo of recent days. The countries with high rates of gun violence correlate with low levels of gun ownership.

That's when you bring in ... yeah, there's other factors involved. But apparently this is a one-way street.


What do you mean by "gun control proponents"? The majority of Americans- and even the majority of gun owners- are in favor of some degree of gun control. I think more nuance is needed to describe whoever you wish to describe.

And yes, obviously correlation does not imply causation. However, establishing a causal relationship is absolutely not necessary for evidence to support the need for gun control.

"The countries with high rates of gun violence correlate with low levels of gun ownership."
Except for the United States, of course. Or are you trying to compare the USA to third world countries instead of other first world countries?

I don't see how some metrics of majority/minority robs the term "gun control proponents" of any meaning. If you're advocating for more gun control, you're a gun control proponent. If I wanted to distinguish between longer wait times and repeal the 2nd amendment, I would've done so.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
February 20 2018 03:41 GMT
#13529
On February 20 2018 12:07 GreenHorizons wrote:
I say disarm (or abolish) the police then you'll have cops, and therefore the right, calling to disarm the populace.

It's always worried me how many idiots want the cops to be the only ones legally carrying weapons. I thought everybody was up in arms about these racist bodies terrorizing young black men and the like?

It never made sense.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23298 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 06:28:05
February 20 2018 06:27 GMT
#13530
On February 20 2018 12:41 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2018 12:07 GreenHorizons wrote:
I say disarm (or abolish) the police then you'll have cops, and therefore the right, calling to disarm the populace.

It's always worried me how many idiots want the cops to be the only ones legally carrying weapons. I thought everybody was up in arms about these racist bodies terrorizing young black men and the like?

It never made sense.


Every single day the superficial misdirection that is the Democratic party's strategy for dealing with the problems plaguing society becomes more and more evident. I hope the same has been happening for you with Republicans. Probably talk you into leaving a party that left you behind a long time ago before I do most liberals here.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
chouithegewy
Profile Joined April 2016
United States25 Posts
February 20 2018 07:10 GMT
#13531
On February 20 2018 07:14 Zambrah wrote:
It disturbs me how prison like schools would be with armed guards.


college campuses already have police. doesn't feel to authoritarian. but yea lol
Don't worry, be happy! (chilos)
PoulsenB
Profile Joined June 2011
Poland7711 Posts
February 20 2018 08:52 GMT
#13532
On February 20 2018 16:10 chouithegewy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2018 07:14 Zambrah wrote:
It disturbs me how prison like schools would be with armed guards.


college campuses already have police. doesn't feel to authoritarian. but yea lol

having police on campus is very different from actual teachers packing heat
IdrA fan forever <3 || the clueless one || Marci must be protected at all costs
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1923 Posts
February 20 2018 18:51 GMT
#13533
On February 20 2018 17:52 PoulsenB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2018 16:10 chouithegewy wrote:
On February 20 2018 07:14 Zambrah wrote:
It disturbs me how prison like schools would be with armed guards.


college campuses already have police. doesn't feel to authoritarian. but yea lol

having police on campus is very different from actual teachers packing heat


Disarming the police is perfectly viable, except for in certain situations where it is obviously necessary. Cops in the US do a TON of unnecessary shooting, and are very rarely caught for it.

More guns is not the problem.

One solution could be making the gunstores partly responsible for how their guns are used by their customers.
Buff the siegetank
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24701 Posts
February 20 2018 20:15 GMT
#13534
On February 21 2018 03:51 Slydie wrote:
One solution could be making the gunstores partly responsible for how their guns are used by their customers.

How would this work? Gun stores have the right to deny the sale to anyone they want if they suspect that person is a risk? That's a bit different than expecting bars not to serve drinks to obviously intoxicated people. Would it be a violation of rights if a store only sold guns to people of certain races or heritages due to their preconceived notions about who it is safer to sell guns to? What do you do to the store when the gun has been resold three times before being used in a crime?
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44610 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 20:18:04
February 20 2018 20:17 GMT
#13535
On February 21 2018 03:51 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 20 2018 17:52 PoulsenB wrote:
On February 20 2018 16:10 chouithegewy wrote:
On February 20 2018 07:14 Zambrah wrote:
It disturbs me how prison like schools would be with armed guards.


college campuses already have police. doesn't feel to authoritarian. but yea lol

having police on campus is very different from actual teachers packing heat


Disarming the police is perfectly viable, except for in certain situations where it is obviously necessary. Cops in the US do a TON of unnecessary shooting, and are very rarely caught for it.

More guns is not the problem.

One solution could be making the gunstores partly responsible for how their guns are used by their customers.


I think this would be an awful idea tbh, unless the gun store workers neglected to follow the proper protocols, like not doing a background check. If everything comes up as a green light for a buyer though, the gun store should not be held even partially responsible.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 20 2018 20:38 GMT
#13536
That isn’t really a law that could do that for any product. Unless the person buying the gun was clearly going to commit an active of violence immediately, there is no way to extend the liability to the seller.

The better solution is to provide a path to have someone’s right to own a fire arm temporally suspended if there is reasonable and clear evidence they are likely to commit acts of violence. Full due process for the gun owner, but give law enforcement a way to intervene without the need for criminal charges. The FL case had a ton of people calling and saying there was something wrong with the shooter and that he was going to commit a violent act. A DA, with mental health services and the police should be able to bring an action and get approval to step in.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-20 22:02:07
February 20 2018 21:16 GMT
#13537
On February 21 2018 05:38 Plansix wrote:
That isn’t really a law that could do that for any product. Unless the person buying the gun was clearly going to commit an active of violence immediately, there is no way to extend the liability to the seller.

The better solution is to provide a path to have someone’s right to own a fire arm temporally suspended if there is reasonable and clear evidence they are likely to commit acts of violence. Full due process for the gun owner, but give law enforcement a way to intervene without the need for criminal charges. The FL case had a ton of people calling and saying there was something wrong with the shooter and that he was going to commit a violent act. A DA, with mental health services and the police should be able to bring an action and get approval to step in.

Temporary restraining order-style laws do have some conservative suppport. It also stands out among ideas for actually having a shot at stopping the FL shooter.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 20 2018 21:22 GMT
#13538
On February 21 2018 06:16 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2018 05:38 Plansix wrote:
That isn’t really a law that could do that for any product. Unless the person buying the gun was clearly going to commit an active of violence immediately, there is no way to extend the liability to the seller.

The better solution is to provide a path to have someone’s right to own a fire arm temporally suspended if there is reasonable and clear evidence they are likely to commit acts of violence. Full due process for the gun owner, but give law enforcement a way to intervene without the need for criminal charges. The FL case had a ton of people calling and saying there was something wrong with the shooter and that he was going to commit a violent act. A DA, with mental health services and the police should be able to bring an action and get approval to step in.

Temporary restraining order-style laws do have some conservative report. It also stands out among ideas for actually having a shot at stopping the FL shooter.

It is a far easier solution and one that can be easily expended on without impacting gun owner’s ability to purchase fire arms. Beyond a standard TRO, they need to provide a system for judicial oversight into the gun owner’s treatment/solution for whatever issue lead to police filing the injunction.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
February 21 2018 00:27 GMT
#13539
On February 21 2018 05:17 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2018 03:51 Slydie wrote:
On February 20 2018 17:52 PoulsenB wrote:
On February 20 2018 16:10 chouithegewy wrote:
On February 20 2018 07:14 Zambrah wrote:
It disturbs me how prison like schools would be with armed guards.


college campuses already have police. doesn't feel to authoritarian. but yea lol

having police on campus is very different from actual teachers packing heat


Disarming the police is perfectly viable, except for in certain situations where it is obviously necessary. Cops in the US do a TON of unnecessary shooting, and are very rarely caught for it.

More guns is not the problem.

One solution could be making the gunstores partly responsible for how their guns are used by their customers.


I think this would be an awful idea tbh, unless the gun store workers neglected to follow the proper protocols, like not doing a background check. If everything comes up as a green light for a buyer though, the gun store should not be held even partially responsible.


Yeah, as the case is now, gun stores are required legally to do the correct checks and not allow for straw purchases. Making them liable for the usage of guns by their customers, even if these gun stores followed the law and did everything right, is a nonsense idea.

If you want to make guns less accessible, then make them less accessible using the law. If you want the requirements to be stricter, then pass laws making the requirements stricter. Passing laws making stores liable even when following existing law is definitely not the way to go about this.

Disarming the police would be great, but as things are now, disarming the police entirely would not be a good idea. If this were Japan and criminals didn't have guns, I'd be fine if the police didn't have guns. Since this is America, and tons of people have guns, if I call the police I want them to have the ability to deal with a gun situation.

Of course, this could just mean we need to have extensive gun control first or something, but I think removing police guns first would be like, really really bad.
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23298 Posts
February 21 2018 00:37 GMT
#13540
On February 21 2018 09:27 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 21 2018 05:17 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On February 21 2018 03:51 Slydie wrote:
On February 20 2018 17:52 PoulsenB wrote:
On February 20 2018 16:10 chouithegewy wrote:
On February 20 2018 07:14 Zambrah wrote:
It disturbs me how prison like schools would be with armed guards.


college campuses already have police. doesn't feel to authoritarian. but yea lol

having police on campus is very different from actual teachers packing heat


Disarming the police is perfectly viable, except for in certain situations where it is obviously necessary. Cops in the US do a TON of unnecessary shooting, and are very rarely caught for it.

More guns is not the problem.

One solution could be making the gunstores partly responsible for how their guns are used by their customers.


I think this would be an awful idea tbh, unless the gun store workers neglected to follow the proper protocols, like not doing a background check. If everything comes up as a green light for a buyer though, the gun store should not be held even partially responsible.


Yeah, as the case is now, gun stores are required legally to do the correct checks and not allow for straw purchases. Making them liable for the usage of guns by their customers, even if these gun stores followed the law and did everything right, is a nonsense idea.

If you want to make guns less accessible, then make them less accessible using the law. If you want the requirements to be stricter, then pass laws making the requirements stricter. Passing laws making stores liable even when following existing law is definitely not the way to go about this.

Disarming the police would be great, but as things are now, disarming the police entirely would not be a good idea. If this were Japan and criminals didn't have guns, I'd be fine if the police didn't have guns. Since this is America, and tons of people have guns, if I call the police I want them to have the ability to deal with a gun situation.

Of course, this could just mean we need to have extensive gun control first or something, but I think removing police guns first would be like, really really bad.


I think it would make sense not to make them liable in the traditional sense, but to make them require to carry a type of insurance that pairs with the purchasers insurance that helps put more of the social cost (externalities) of gun ownership on gun sellers/owners. I would expect manufacturers to be included as well.

Not a preferred solution of mine, but one within our current social framework that makes sense from there.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
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