EPTThe Flash Fan Club - Page 106
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Reaper9
United States1724 Posts
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GumBa
United Kingdom31935 Posts
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Starecat
940 Posts
Chances of a Terran win droped a lot | ||
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Gaskal
Canada241 Posts
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
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DroopyFR
France138 Posts
And maybe he will attend dreamhack Stockholm in 3 weeks? | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17724 Posts
On September 07 2014 07:26 GENerateSAYing wrote: Is it possible for Flash to make blizzcon with his loss? yes, from WCS Predictor http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55 Starts in   Flash must win this!Flash, StarDust in KeSPA Cup - Flash is at ~ 3.72 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 59.41 % of the time Flash wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.26 %.~ 40.59 % of the time Flash loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.------------------------------------------------- -  StarDust is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014~ 40.59 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %.~ 59.41 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %.~ 12.04 % of the time Flash gets 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 30.4 % ~ 87.96 % of the time Flash doesn't get 1st in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 0.07 % ~ 7.35 % of the time Flash gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup This would change Flash's Blizzcon chances from ~ 3.72 % to ~ 0.68 % | ||
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
Flash has to win? What about DH? He is currently 40th(1225) and needs to be at least 16th(2300 points atm). That means he needs 1075 points. http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/KeSPA_Cup 1) 1500 2) 800 3/4) 550 So if he gets 2nd he would only need ~200. Couldn't he go to DH? | ||
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
http://open.dreamhack.se/page/stockholm/ http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series/Standings (shows flash at 1475 points) | ||
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2014_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series Scroll down to Non-WCS Events A T1 event: Is the same as the Kespa cup. A T2 event (Which I think DH is): [Based on previous DH distribution] 1st 750 2nd 500 3rd 375 | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17724 Posts
On September 07 2014 08:24 GENerateSAYing wrote: http://wcs.battle.net/sc2/en/standings Flash has to win? What about DH? He is currently 40th(1225) and needs to be at least 16th(2300 points atm). That means he needs 1075 points. http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/KeSPA_Cup 1) 1500 2) 800 3/4) 550 So if he gets 2nd he would only need ~200. Couldn't he go to DH? You're not taking into account that Flash already has 250 WCS Points from KeSPA Cup, so if he gets 2nd then he doesn't gain 800 points he only gains 550. So if he gets 2nd in KeSPA Cup and then goes to and wins DreamHack Stockholm then he's at 2,775 WCS Points ~ 26.36 % of the time 2,775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon So yes he still has a chance if he gets 2nd at KeSPA Cup, that's why WCS Predictor gives him ~ 0.68 % chances if he gets 2nd place, because if he then goes on to win DH Stockholm he then has about 26% chances. But he isn't even confirmed to be going to DH Stockholm yet, if he confirms that he is attending then it will boost his chances on WCS Predictor. | ||
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
I think he will skip DH if he wins, but if he loses he will take 'last stab' at making it to Blizzcon. I want to wave my Last Generation flag for him and JD/Bomber when I'm there. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17724 Posts
On September 07 2014 08:46 GENerateSAYing wrote: I see sorry, I don't know how the predictor calculates, very interesting process. I think he will skip DH if he wins, but if he loses he will take 'last stab' at making it to Blizzcon. I want to wave my Last Generation flag for him and JD/Bomber when I'm there. If you want to know about how WCS Predictor works there are some explanations in my thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/436957-wcs-predictor-2014 and you could always ask questions in there  | ||
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
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Brownic
Australia69 Posts
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Gaskal
Canada241 Posts
On September 10 2014 20:30 Brownic wrote: he could end up playing soO in the quarterfinals. Hope he can pull through this time. 1.) Don't move entire army on creep 2.) Rally to own 3rd instead of outside zerg 4th Win | ||
The_Templar
your Country52797 Posts
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badboybC
Germany53 Posts
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
Have to pull for flash though since he doesn't have his blizzcon trip locked down. | ||
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GENerateSAYing
United States103 Posts
Sucks despite winning his odds have gone down http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=55 | ||
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