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General Discussion - Page 6147

Forum Index > Dota 2 General
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IRC chatter should remain in IRC - http://webchat.quakenet.org/?channels=tl.dota2

Posts that relate to topics with their own thread, such as in News, Tournaments or Strategy should go in those threads.
hootsushi
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany3468 Posts
August 13 2014 21:54 GMT
#122921
On August 14 2014 06:47 Sn0_Man wrote:
Also sing/xcalibur/1437 stack raping sneyking/fogged/friends stack on stream now lol


Tucker best player EU
FinestHour
Profile Joined August 2010
United States18466 Posts
August 13 2014 22:17 GMT
#122922
METAL....GEAR?!?
thug life.                                                       MVP/ex-
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 13 2014 22:20 GMT
#122923
On August 14 2014 06:41 Sn0_Man wrote:
The chances of randoming any hero twice in a row is like 1/100 or 1% so basically if you've randomed a hundred times then you should EXPECT this to happen.

Its good and random.

they're a tad lower than that
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Shaella
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
United States14828 Posts
August 13 2014 22:26 GMT
#122924
yeah its like 1/108 or somethin
don't tell me to provide a legend for those charts cause we already got shaella in this thread - eieio | Bulba is my waifu
Targe
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom14103 Posts
August 13 2014 22:26 GMT
#122925
On August 14 2014 06:39 Sbrubbles wrote:
Just randomed bh twice in a row. Just how "random" is random anyway? I get that given the thousands of games played daily in dota 2 as a whole it's bound to happen, but it's not the first "unlikely" random I've had (like randoming a hero I just picked the previous game for example).

id say this is a sign of it being truly random
11/5/14 CATACLYSM | The South West's worst Falco main
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-13 22:56:44
August 13 2014 22:55 GMT
#122926
On August 14 2014 07:26 Shaella wrote:
yeah its like 1/108 or somethin

lowerrr
people dont know how to stats it seems
its 1/#ofheroes²
else its just the chance to random one hero once
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Makro
Profile Joined March 2011
France16890 Posts
August 13 2014 22:59 GMT
#122927
On August 14 2014 06:09 hootsushi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 05:11 PassiveAce wrote:
On August 14 2014 05:02 Plansix wrote:
Metal Gear Rising was really fucking stupid in all the right ways. I mean, that game is fucking dumb and they you fight a US senator on a giant robot(after body slamming the giant robot to death) and then your robot dog brings you a sword.

Damn that game was awesome. Its the right level of summer movie stupid that I can get behind.

Hideo Kojima is pretty fun, but he needs someone to tell him no or budget him. MGS4 is an amazing piece of fan service and really fun, but its also has some of the worst writing in human creation. I mean, all the bosses are super models in giant robot suits that have been brain washed only for war. Like literally thats what they are, its not hyperbole or anything.

On August 14 2014 04:48 PassiveAce wrote:
metal gear rising revengeance is the most intellectually stimulating work of art I have ever experienced
+ Show Spoiler +
havnt been too impressed with the writing of the more recent games, presumably because kojima is less involved :/
hoping its a little more evened out this time around.


No, its because you got older and Kojima still writes the same way. He isn't the folks who wrote the last of us.

mgs3 was just better.
the bosses were just as goofily written but the message was way more interesting i think
mgs3 was all about "one mans terrorist is another mans freedom fighter" while mgr:r was about a good guy murdering hitler. the bad guys in the old mgs games all had tragic backstories about how their drive to make a better world drove them mad. while mgs4 just took that to the emotional extreme by having them all be helpless girls with generic "family was murdered" backstories. totally lame imo
/endrant


MGS5 has something which MGS4 had little off, Big Boss. The whole game will be about someone trying to make the world a better place but instead becoming the villain.

and using horse shit to take down soldiers
Matthew 5:10 "Blessed are those who are persecuted because of shitposting, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven".
TL+ Member
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
August 13 2014 22:59 GMT
#122928
On August 14 2014 07:55 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 07:26 Shaella wrote:
yeah its like 1/108 or somethin

lowerrr
people dont know how to stats it seems
its 1/#ofheroes²
else its just the chance to random one hero once

it seems its you that actually doesnt know how to do stats.

The chance to random any hero twice IS 1/# of heroes.
teddyoojo
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Germany22369 Posts
August 13 2014 23:00 GMT
#122929
On August 14 2014 07:55 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 07:26 Shaella wrote:
yeah its like 1/108 or somethin

lowerrr
people dont know how to stats it seems
its 1/#ofheroes²
else its just the chance to random one hero once

well it was about wahts the cahnce to random a hero twice in a row
and tahts 1/#ofheroes
if u talk about the chance of randoming bounty hunter twice in a row ur right
Esports historian since 2000. Creator of 'The Universe' and 'The best scrambled Eggs 2013'. Host of 'Star Wars Marathon 2015'. Thinker of 'teddyoojo's Thoughts'. Earths and Moons leading CS:GO expert. Lord of the Rings.
DV G
Profile Joined September 2012
Argentina2339 Posts
August 13 2014 23:01 GMT
#122930
Isnt the chance to random a hero::

Hero/total pool of heroes?


And if you are randoming again, does the 1st random counts do to the math or it just resets and so the twice in a row hero is the same chance as getting the 1st hero? I have no clue how randoming works, so im asking.
Go pro or die trying
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
August 13 2014 23:02 GMT
#122931
On August 14 2014 08:01 DV G wrote:
Isnt the chance to random a hero::

Hero/total pool of heroes?


And if you are randoming again, does the 1st random counts do to the math or it just resets and so the twice in a row hero is the same chance as getting the 1st hero? I have no clue how randoming works, so im asking.

The chance to random any hero is 100%. You always get a hero. The chance to random that same hero again is 1/number of heroes.

Noone talked about the chance of randomning a specific hero, and then to random that hero again.
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 13 2014 23:03 GMT
#122932
On August 14 2014 07:59 SKC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 07:55 Erasme wrote:
On August 14 2014 07:26 Shaella wrote:
yeah its like 1/108 or somethin

lowerrr
people dont know how to stats it seems
its 1/#ofheroes²
else its just the chance to random one hero once

it seems its you that actually doesnt know how to do stats.

The chance to random any hero twice IS 1/# of heroes.

so the chance to random one random hero once is 1 ? cool
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 13 2014 23:04 GMT
#122933
On August 14 2014 08:02 SKC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 08:01 DV G wrote:
Isnt the chance to random a hero::

Hero/total pool of heroes?


And if you are randoming again, does the 1st random counts do to the math or it just resets and so the twice in a row hero is the same chance as getting the 1st hero? I have no clue how randoming works, so im asking.

The chance to random any hero is 100%. You always get a hero. The chance to random that same hero again is 1/number of heroes.

Noone talked about the chance of randomning a specific hero, and then to random that hero again.

except that the discussion is about randoming bh twice in a row
mad reading skills or trying to not look like a complete idiot?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-13 23:06:22
August 13 2014 23:04 GMT
#122934
On August 14 2014 08:03 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 07:59 SKC wrote:
On August 14 2014 07:55 Erasme wrote:
On August 14 2014 07:26 Shaella wrote:
yeah its like 1/108 or somethin

lowerrr
people dont know how to stats it seems
its 1/#ofheroes²
else its just the chance to random one hero once

it seems its you that actually doesnt know how to do stats.

The chance to random any hero twice IS 1/# of heroes.

so the chance to random one random hero once is 1 ? cool

Yes, the chance to get any hero when you random is 100%
teddyoojo
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
Germany22369 Posts
August 13 2014 23:05 GMT
#122935
why so mad erasme
Esports historian since 2000. Creator of 'The Universe' and 'The best scrambled Eggs 2013'. Host of 'Star Wars Marathon 2015'. Thinker of 'teddyoojo's Thoughts'. Earths and Moons leading CS:GO expert. Lord of the Rings.
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 13 2014 23:05 GMT
#122936
yeahh...
i hope you don't have any stats class this year or you'll simply fail.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-13 23:07:53
August 13 2014 23:06 GMT
#122937
On August 14 2014 08:04 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 14 2014 08:02 SKC wrote:
On August 14 2014 08:01 DV G wrote:
Isnt the chance to random a hero::

Hero/total pool of heroes?


And if you are randoming again, does the 1st random counts do to the math or it just resets and so the twice in a row hero is the same chance as getting the 1st hero? I have no clue how randoming works, so im asking.

The chance to random any hero is 100%. You always get a hero. The chance to random that same hero again is 1/number of heroes.

Noone talked about the chance of randomning a specific hero, and then to random that hero again.

except that the discussion is about randoming bh twice in a row
mad reading skills or trying to not look like a complete idiot?

Read the post you quoted. It stated ANY hero.

And the guy was surprised he got BH twice. Could have been any hero. He wasn't surprised he got BH the first time, and then surprised again he got it the second time. Only the second roll was "unlikely". He would have had the same reaction no matter the hero that rolled twice.

You could do (1/numberofheroes^2)^2 to represent that it doesnt matter which hero, but its the same thing
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
August 13 2014 23:07 GMT
#122938
Okay time for a lesson
Evenement A: u random bh. Chances : 1/#ofheroes
Evenement B: u random bh again in a row. Chances: 1/#ofheroes²
Lets do it with dices. Chances to get 1 is 1/6. Chances to get 1 again is 1/36 aka 1/6².
Wow only one passed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-13 23:10:24
August 13 2014 23:08 GMT
#122939
On August 14 2014 08:07 Erasme wrote:
Okay time for a lesson
Evenement A: u random bh. Chances : 1/#ofheroes
Evenement B: u random bh again in a row. Chances: 1/#ofheroes²
Lets do it with dices. Chances to get 1 is 1/6. Chances to get 1 again is 1/36 aka 1/6².
Wow only one passed.

It doesnt matter that it was BH. Could have been any other hero.

Its the odds of rolling the same number on a dice twice, not the odds of rolling 1 twice.

Read the comment you replied to. It specifically said ANY hero.
Qbek
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Poland12923 Posts
August 13 2014 23:08 GMT
#122940
You bunch of fucking dumb asses are at it again lol
This space left intentionally dank /)3(\ http://i.imgur.com/RmeEUcF.png
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