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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9487

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
December 11 2017 16:56 GMT
#189721
Kickboxer
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Slovenia1308 Posts
December 11 2017 17:02 GMT
#189722
On December 12 2017 01:55 Liquid`Drone wrote:
For the second part, from my perspective, Norway is a vastly superior society in 2017 compared to how it was in 1970. It also has more cultural relativism, acceptance for modern gender theory, accommodation of Islam, and acceptance of different ways of 'being a man'


You were alive and an adult in 1970? If not, how can you tell?

Also, if you guys are building mosques I'd love to repeat this discussion with you in 30 years. I firmly believe accommodating Islam is the most suicidally idiotic thing a liberal secular society can do. As for the rest we can agree to disagree
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 11 2017 17:05 GMT
#189723
On December 12 2017 02:02 Kickboxer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2017 01:55 Liquid`Drone wrote:
For the second part, from my perspective, Norway is a vastly superior society in 2017 compared to how it was in 1970. It also has more cultural relativism, acceptance for modern gender theory, accommodation of Islam, and acceptance of different ways of 'being a man'


You were alive and an adult in 1970? If not, how can you tell?

Also, if you guys are building mosques I'd love to repeat this discussion with you in 30 years. I firmly believe accommodating Islam is the most suicidally idiotic thing a liberal secular society can do. As for the rest we can agree to disagree

In the mid/late 1800s in the US, we said the same thing about the Catholics. It seemed to work out.

And you do know that Islam has existed next to and within Europe for centuries upon centuries, right? This isn’t a new thing for you all over there.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28916 Posts
December 11 2017 17:08 GMT
#189724
On December 12 2017 02:02 Kickboxer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2017 01:55 Liquid`Drone wrote:
For the second part, from my perspective, Norway is a vastly superior society in 2017 compared to how it was in 1970. It also has more cultural relativism, acceptance for modern gender theory, accommodation of Islam, and acceptance of different ways of 'being a man'


You were alive and an adult in 1970? If not, how can you tell?

Also, if you guys are building mosques I'd love to repeat this discussion with you in 30 years. I firmly believe accommodating Islam is the most suicidally idiotic thing a liberal secular society can do. As for the rest we can agree to disagree


Same reason I can tell that I prefer Norway 2017 over Norway year 1000. I have to be able to trust historical accounts.
Moderator
Kickboxer
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Slovenia1308 Posts
December 11 2017 17:10 GMT
#189725
Yes but you have no idea what Norway in 2170 will be like. The stuff you are advocating is in its infancy and had very little impact on your current setting, which is much closer to 1970 than whatever is coming next.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-11 17:26:30
December 11 2017 17:15 GMT
#189726
On December 12 2017 01:34 Kickboxer wrote:
Secular Islamic nations? What? The Quran specifically dictates apostates are to be murdered. Apart from Turkey, which is rapidly going to shit, do you have any specific examples?


Are you talking modern countries or no? The Golden Era of Islam pretty much ignored that concept to allow for advancements in scientific and historical understanding. They weren't going to murder their court physicians, after all. Unless you argue they weren't Islamic despite being a caliphate.

Kind of like how modern Christians (for the most part) ignore the parts of the Holy Book saying they should stone adulterers and destroy free markets and not perform usury. Or keep kosher.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
December 11 2017 17:29 GMT
#189727
On December 12 2017 01:56 Nevuk wrote:
https://twitter.com/_/status/940245936940478464


I really get the feeling Moore will still win and all the safe GOP areas will continue to be safe. It is interesting to me what a central issue abortion is for a lot of evangelicals. I can't help but wonder if there really is some kinda common ground solution.

It is a particularly weird situation because Planned Parenthood is the #1 way to reduce abortions.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-11 17:37:10
December 11 2017 17:36 GMT
#189728


CNN contributors were discussing the contents of the Times report, which was published on Saturday, just half an hour before Trump’s tweet. This suggests that Trump may have been claiming he does not watch CNN in response to what he just watched on CNN.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28916 Posts
December 11 2017 17:38 GMT
#189729
On December 12 2017 02:29 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2017 01:56 Nevuk wrote:
https://twitter.com/_/status/940245936940478464


I really get the feeling Moore will still win and all the safe GOP areas will continue to be safe. It is interesting to me what a central issue abortion is for a lot of evangelicals. I can't help but wonder if there really is some kinda common ground solution.

It is a particularly weird situation because Planned Parenthood is the #1 way to reduce abortions.


From what I've seen, it seems like anti-abortion groups have a strong tendency to make claims about what pro-abortion policies pro-abortion democrats actually favor. Like the arguments I see aren't 'abortions before week 12 are wrong' (even if this is what they think), it's 'he's an abortion extremist who favors late term abortions' and then the guy doesn't actually do that. Highly efficient smear campaigns and all that.
Moderator
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 11 2017 17:39 GMT
#189730
On December 12 2017 02:29 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2017 01:56 Nevuk wrote:
https://twitter.com/_/status/940245936940478464


I really get the feeling Moore will still win and all the safe GOP areas will continue to be safe. It is interesting to me what a central issue abortion is for a lot of evangelicals. I can't help but wonder if there really is some kinda common ground solution.

It is a particularly weird situation because Planned Parenthood is the #1 way to reduce abortions.

The GOP’s attacks on Planned Parenthood is the dog chasing car of politics. They do it all the time and it drives people to the polls. But every once and a while they catch Planned Parenthood and it ends up destroying a state’s health services. Mike Pence is a prime example of this. His attacks on planned parenthood caused an HIV outbreak in the poorest sections of his state. And they voted his ass out of office because of it.

This is why all the arguments of “we will give the money to other groups willing to provide healthcare in those regions” rings hollow. The GOP’s classic lie that defunding something will magically create a new thing to provide that service. Let us destroy this thing and trust us.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
December 11 2017 17:40 GMT
#189731
So what are the odds Jones wins tomorrow? Fox has him up 10 points, but everyone else has Moore up 6-9
Something witty
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28916 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-11 17:43:46
December 11 2017 17:41 GMT
#189732
how can there be 16-19 point swings in polls? wtf.

(ok, reading about it it seems like the fox polls use cellphones while other polls only use landlines. Historically I guess landlines are more accurate because people who have landlines actually vote, but lets see how it works out in 2017.. )
Moderator
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
December 11 2017 17:42 GMT
#189733
On December 12 2017 02:41 Liquid`Drone wrote:
how can there be 16-19 point swings in polls? wtf.

No one is certain how to poll the question "so, would you vote for the child molester?" accurately
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22675 Posts
December 11 2017 17:42 GMT
#189734
On December 12 2017 02:40 IyMoon wrote:
So what are the odds Jones wins tomorrow? Fox has him up 10 points, but everyone else has Moore up 6-9

Easy win for Moore.

Alabama is Alabama.

On December 12 2017 02:39 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 12 2017 02:29 Mohdoo wrote:
On December 12 2017 01:56 Nevuk wrote:
https://twitter.com/_/status/940245936940478464


I really get the feeling Moore will still win and all the safe GOP areas will continue to be safe. It is interesting to me what a central issue abortion is for a lot of evangelicals. I can't help but wonder if there really is some kinda common ground solution.

It is a particularly weird situation because Planned Parenthood is the #1 way to reduce abortions.

The GOP’s attacks on Planned Parenthood is the dog chasing car of politics. They do it all the time and it drives people to the polls. But every once and a while they catch Planned Parenthood and it ends up destroying a state’s health services. Mike Pence is a prime example of this. His attacks on planned parenthood caused an HIV outbreak in the poorest sections of his state. And they voted his ass out of office because of it.

This is why all the arguments of “we will give the money to other groups willing to provide healthcare in those regions” rings hollow. The GOP’s classic lie that defunding something will magically create a new thing to provide that service. Let us destroy this thing and trust us.

Same deal with the ACA.

Please trust us to provide a superior healthcare system after we destroyed this one.
No we can't tell you whats in it.
What do you mean we had 6+ years to come up with something else.
Just trust us to get it right.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
December 11 2017 17:42 GMT
#189735
On December 12 2017 02:41 Liquid`Drone wrote:
how can there be 16-19 point swings in polls? wtf.


Welcome to Alabama 2017.
I would guess its different pollsters trying to guess on who turns out because of the allegations. If you think turnout is low I would guess you put Jones ahead, if turnout is normal I think Moore wins
Something witty
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
December 11 2017 17:45 GMT
#189736
On December 12 2017 02:40 IyMoon wrote:
So what are the odds Jones wins tomorrow? Fox has him up 10 points, but everyone else has Moore up 6-9

I believe the response from NPR was "Go home polls, you're drunk."

Polling this close to the election is worthless. A complete waste of money and time.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2397 Posts
December 11 2017 17:47 GMT
#189737
I would guess it might be very difficult for pollsters to guess how likely each demographic is to vote tomorrow. Some might be using the standard models they've always used for Alabama, others might be guessing minorities will have a higher turnout whereas moderate republicans will have a lower turnout. Those different assumptions might be driving some of the differences in polling.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
December 11 2017 17:50 GMT
#189738
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/doug-jones-is-just-a-normal-polling-error-away-from-a-win-in-alabama/

Five thirty eight article on the polls and jones chances
Something witty
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22675 Posts
December 11 2017 17:54 GMT
#189739
Fox's 8 points to Jones is also extremely suspect and I would consider it an attempt to drive hesitant Republicans to the polls by threatening a Democratic victory.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
December 11 2017 17:55 GMT
#189740
On December 12 2017 02:54 Gorsameth wrote:
Fox's 8 points to Jones is also extremely suspect and I would consider it an attempt to drive hesitant Republicans to the polls by threatening a Democratic victory.


That seems a little bit much don't you think?
Something witty
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