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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7793

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
June 07 2017 22:01 GMT
#155841
On June 08 2017 06:50 Nevuk wrote:

What's with the console display on that statement?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Wulfey_LA
Profile Joined April 2017
932 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-07 22:07:30
June 07 2017 22:06 GMT
#155842
A reminder of Trump denials past, back in May 18 or so, Trump explicitly denied leaning on Comey over the Flynn investigation. Comey is going to put the lie to that denial. Now Trump will have to find a way to explain leaning on Comey and why he denied it earlier.

President Donald Trump flatly denied Thursday that he ever urged ex-FBI Director James Comey to back off or close the investigation into former national security advisor Michael Flynn.
"No. No ... next question," Trump said when asked during a joint news conference with Colombian president Juan Manuel Santos if he had, in any way, tried to influence the probe. In a reported memo, Comey allegedly says Trump asked him to let the probe into Flynn go.


http://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/18/trump-denies-ever-urging-comey-to-back-off-of-flynn-investigation.html
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
June 07 2017 22:08 GMT
#155843
On June 08 2017 06:30 KwarK wrote:
Markets still seem to think that Trump's tax reforms are coming which is a good sign for him. Either that or it's a bubble.

I think it's a bubble. Anyone hoping for significant legislation right now is a fool. And there are definitely signs of irrational valuations. Though you are right that on a sufficiently long time scale you would always be right in predicting downturns, so meh.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 07 2017 22:11 GMT
#155844
On June 08 2017 07:08 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2017 06:30 KwarK wrote:
Markets still seem to think that Trump's tax reforms are coming which is a good sign for him. Either that or it's a bubble.

I think it's a bubble. Anyone hoping for significant legislation right now is a fool. And there are definitely signs of irrational valuations. Though you are right that on a sufficiently long time scale you would always be right in predicting downturns, so meh.


Lame duck president almost immediately.
HelpMeGetBetter
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States764 Posts
June 07 2017 23:07 GMT
#155845
so everything Comey is going to say has already been released? what is the point of tomorrow then?
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
June 07 2017 23:08 GMT
#155846
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
June 07 2017 23:10 GMT
#155847
On June 08 2017 08:07 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
so everything Comey is going to say has already been released? what is the point of tomorrow then?

Grandstanding, mostly.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-07 23:17:03
June 07 2017 23:12 GMT
#155848
On June 08 2017 08:07 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
so everything Comey is going to say has already been released? what is the point of tomorrow then?

Saying under oath and then questions. Unless you are into taking all press releases at face value.

Edit: again, law is super boring shit. There is a reason film is all about witnesses and closing arguments. And that shit is normally pretty boring too. If you every want to see how boring, read an unedited deposition on any lawsuit of substance.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22190 Posts
June 07 2017 23:14 GMT
#155849
On June 08 2017 08:07 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:
so everything Comey is going to say has already been released? what is the point of tomorrow then?

Due process. Evidence has to be formally heard by an investigation before it is used in said investigation.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2395 Posts
June 07 2017 23:17 GMT
#155850
Does the legality of anything that trump does matter given that impeachment is a political process? Isn't there also a weird equilibrium where republicans won't impeach and democrats want to continue the slow roast of this administration in the hopes that by the next election cycles the country turns decidedly democrat? The volatility of the current environment leads us to think that something big must happen soon but what if there's just going to be heavy turbulence for the rest of the flight?

Also, has anyone figured out what the hell is up with Qatar and the intentions behind trump taking sides?
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
June 07 2017 23:23 GMT
#155851
On June 08 2017 08:17 warding wrote:
Does the legality of anything that trump does matter given that impeachment is a political process? Isn't there also a weird equilibrium where republicans won't impeach and democrats want to continue the slow roast of this administration in the hopes that by the next election cycles the country turns decidedly democrat? The volatility of the current environment leads us to think that something big must happen soon but what if there's just going to be heavy turbulence for the rest of the flight?

Also, has anyone figured out what the hell is up with Qatar and the intentions behind trump taking sides?

it matters slightly; mostly in that when things fall out of the range of plausible deniability, into implausible deniability, or smoking gun territory, it gets harder to defend him. impeachment and removal technically requires an actual crime; and there's usually a few people on the edge in congress who will waver and argue over whether the actual crime was committed. (i.e. the politics for them is such a close call that the minor questoin of legality actually affects their willingness to impeach).

there is some of that equilibrium effect.
it'll probably be turbulent for a long whlie; impeachment is slow absent a smoking gun; unless trump falls far the republicans decide to ditch him entirely or he goes really REALLY far off the rails.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-07 23:27:55
June 07 2017 23:26 GMT
#155852
On June 08 2017 08:17 warding wrote:
Does the legality of anything that trump does matter given that impeachment is a political process? Isn't there also a weird equilibrium where republicans won't impeach and democrats want to continue the slow roast of this administration in the hopes that by the next election cycles the country turns decidedly democrat? The volatility of the current environment leads us to think that something big must happen soon but what if there's just going to be heavy turbulence for the rest of the flight?

Also, has anyone figured out what the hell is up with Qatar and the intentions behind trump taking sides?

Trump doesn't matter. The office of the president matters. This is about bring the evidence before the public through due process. Impeachment isn't about making a case to the senate, is making a case to the US public that their duly elected President did something wrong and should be censured or removed from office. And the latter is undoing the will of the people, which is the foundation of our goverment.

Nothing about the political part is weird. Elections have consequences and president is mostly immune to tradition criminal prosecution(this isn't fully resolved legally). The people who voted for Trump gave him that protection and only the House can vote to remove it(through removing him). So until the people decide he needs to be removed, either through election or changing our sitting elected officials minds, our goverment will function(or dysfunction) like it is now.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 07 2017 23:57 GMT
#155853
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Wulfey_LA
Profile Joined April 2017
932 Posts
June 07 2017 23:59 GMT
#155854
There will never be an impeachment of an R President with an R congress. Never. But remember how Chaffetz and Co. got Trump elected. They did it through endless bullshit leaks of investigations into HRC's server. Thus, the process can make the politics. If proof of Trump obstructing the Flynn investigation comes out, we could get a D congress and all the rules go out the window.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
June 08 2017 00:01 GMT
#155855
Imagine if Democrats run on a platform of impeaching Trump in 2018 lol.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 08 2017 00:05 GMT
#155856
I could easily see Republicans move to impeach Trump. As soon as polls shows 65-70% disapproval and the house in danger of flipping or near flipping.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-08 00:07:41
June 08 2017 00:06 GMT
#155857
On June 08 2017 09:01 Doodsmack wrote:
Imagine if Democrats run on a platform of impeaching Trump in 2018 lol.

If they want to lose, that would be the platform. People vote for jobs and to improve their lives, not to remove someone from office.

So there is like a 57% chance that will be the platform.

On June 08 2017 09:05 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
I could easily see Republicans move to impeach Trump. As soon as polls shows 65-70% disapproval and the house in danger of flipping or near flipping.

That is close to magical thinking. Shit has got to get a lot worse. His numbers among republicans are still in the 70%. That needs to be in the 50% or lower.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-08 00:23:05
June 08 2017 00:06 GMT
#155858
It will be simultaneously hilarious and depressing if what ultimately saves Trump is that his attempts to obstruct the investigation are not obstruction because his horrific ignorance of his powers, duties, and responsibilities made his attempts totally useless.

On June 08 2017 08:17 warding wrote:
Also, has anyone figured out what the hell is up with Qatar and the intentions behind trump taking sides?


There are no intentions behind Trump taking sides. It was an off the cuff reaction with negative ramifications, like almost everything Trump does in office that isn't put in front of him by Ryan/the GOP.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
June 08 2017 00:33 GMT
#155859
Dude may well come completely unhinged

Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
June 08 2017 00:33 GMT
#155860
On June 08 2017 04:53 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2017 04:38 Danglars wrote:
On June 08 2017 04:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 08 2017 04:15 Danglars wrote:
On June 08 2017 03:34 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 08 2017 01:21 Danglars wrote:


Evergreen is full of win.


I can't believe how incredibly stupid this article is. Did people actually read it?

It's pretty obviously both stupid and misleading. I'm sur.... No wait, it was Danglars posting this. That makes perfect sense.

Here's a video of the "Bat wielding mob" beating non thinkers with baseball bats from the idiotic article.



Danglars, wouldn't you want them to be able to carry guns instead anyway?

I knew I'd get a response from you, always dependable. They have been asked on their "community patrols" to not carry bats.

Dear RAD Students,

We are aware of a small group of students coordinating a community patrol of housing and campus. We acknowledge and understand the fear and concerns that are motivating these actions. We also understand that these students are seeking to provide an alternative source of safety from external entities as well as those community members who they distrust.

Community patrols can be a useful tool for helping people to feel safe, however the use of bats or similar instruments is not productive. Some members of this group have been observed carrying batons and/or bats. Carrying bats is causing many to feel unsafe and intimidated. The bats must be put away immediately in order to protect all involved. Non-students participating in this activity are advised to leave campus.

I know we have issues communicating. Openly carrying bats walking around campus on patrol is intimidation, particularly when the message is they're justified because of fake oppression. If there were more civil rights on campus and students were allowed to carry guns in self defense, I can imagine these radicals would think twice before using them. It's dumb and you're empowering all the wrong kinds of people by being so blatantly illiberal and intolerant on campus.


Of course you would get a response. I'm not going to let you post something so ridiculously stupid and not call you out for it. "fake oppression", really?

You realize WA is an open carry state? So people can walk around with guns displayed on their hip or on their shoulder if a long gun?

So you would prefer they were walking around with shotguns on their shoulders? Because this isn't about beating random people, it's self-defense. I'm guessing you didn't even read much beyond the garbage lie of a tweet.

This is exactly the kind of reinforcing of white supremacy I'm talking about. You know there are actual injustices on campus and in the area that people are trying to address while you're busy trying to prop up phantoms of the persecuted white man?

Do you ever look these things up before spouting off. Evergreen college bans any kind of carry for its students and teachers. They actually can't. Don't lie and invent to make argument, you're just reinforcing anti-speech stereotypes with a typical disinterested response to student groups patrolling campus with bats. It's like if they don't have a badge, you can't see intimidation.


lol So you're against students being able to carry guns on campus? You're correct that they can't currently carry (on campus), I was under the understanding that you supported students being able to carry guns on campus though?

I actually giggled when I saw the pictures and video compared to the hyperbolic bullshit describing it.

Like, holy sh*t man

Show nested quote +
campus has devolved into chaos, while the school administration cowers and capitulates to student mob rule.


are you serious with this trash?

Show nested quote +
It's like if they don't have a badge, you can't see intimidation


Is this you conceding the police regularly intimidate POC and that is an exponentially bigger problem than some marginalized people at Evergreen feeling the need to defend themselves from a dangerous and violent environment?

I lead with 'We have problems communicating' and sure enough, it happens. You lie and say guns are allowed, next reponse [no comment]. I say nothing about my opinion on guns on campus, you say "So you're against students being able to carry guns on campus." I'm rolling my eyes here.

I know you to be one of the more extreme posters here on white fragility, uncle tom blacks, "whiteness" (as in "Whiteness is complicit with white terrorists"-GH), and BLM. I put out my true opinions with the necessary bite to match.

You literally cannot see intimidation and only seek some kind of recognizance on police brutality against PoC? Just like in the past, I want police reform against brutality against all citizens. Not making this a race issue in the least. And I do accuse you and others of hurting blacks in inner cities. Police officers are more wary to do community policing given how BLM types won't hesitate to make every interaction another Ferguson. But to recognize and learn how your diatribes hurt blacks across the nation, you might have to stop shutting down speakers like Heather McDonald that made a whole book on the subject.

Your hierarchy of who matters when and your oppression gradient, with its attendant speech=violence and "danger" from liberal professors, is absolutely a problem here that I might not see resolved in my lifetime.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
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