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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5137

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 24 2016 14:36 GMT
#102721
The entire GOP line up was weak as fuck. Their delusional establishment threw their weight behind Bush like the US public was going to put a third member of that family in office.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
September 24 2016 14:44 GMT
#102722
On September 24 2016 23:33 Sent. wrote:
How can you be sure Clinton wouldn't beat some ordinary republican candidate? Rubio and Jeb showed nobody likes those anymore.

I cannot be sure; she might win anyways; but it'd be a much different race. This race is so strange in many ways it makes all predictions harder.
Jeb's problem wasn't being ordinary, imho it was that he really didn't seem interested in the position. that and the general anti-establishment vibe, and not wanting another bush.
also, what plays in the primary, and what wins the general have always been somewhat different.

one another note is that a lot of people voting for hillary are doing so simply because they feel a need to vote against trump, viewing him as utterly unfit;
so that wouldn't apply if it was a more normal candidate.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
RuiBarbO
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
United States1340 Posts
September 24 2016 15:02 GMT
#102723
On September 24 2016 23:34 Doodsmack wrote:
Did not see that Trump was accused of a 1994 rape in June. Apparently the media didn't cover it, which is surprising.

Trump's divorce records with Ivana are pretty disturbing too, including quotes from Trump Jr.

Guess he might be as filthy as Bill Clinton.


Isn't Trump still going to trial for racketeering, too? I feel like no one talks about that much, but whenever people are like, "Man the Clintons are so dirty," I always think, "Yeah, but so is Trump."
Can someone please explain/how water falls with no rain?
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
September 24 2016 15:24 GMT
#102724
At this point trump is gonna win, momentum is on his side and debate expectations favor him massively. Every act of terror and lawlessness goes in his favor, and with further email leaks coming I don't see the trend changing. It will be the democrats who have to evaluate how on earth they put a candidate so poor that she could lose to Trump. I'm not convinced of their self reflective ability however, as they will just blame the 'deplorables' for their loss and not their own incompetence.
Question.?
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
September 24 2016 15:31 GMT
#102725
On September 25 2016 00:24 biology]major wrote:
At this point trump is gonna win, momentum is on his side and debate expectations favor him massively. Every act of terror and lawlessness goes in his favor, and with further email leaks coming I don't see the trend changing. It will be the democrats who have to evaluate how on earth they put a candidate so poor that she could lose to Trump. I'm not convinced of their self reflective ability however, as they will just blame the 'deplorables' for their loss and not their own incompetence.


This argument assumes a fundamental inaccuracy in basically all polling since the conventions.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12615 Posts
September 24 2016 15:42 GMT
#102726
On September 25 2016 00:24 biology]major wrote:
as they will just blame the 'deplorables' for their loss and not their own incompetence.


If they lose, they'll blame Sanders. Much easier, and allows them to already explain why they don't choose a progressive next time either.
No will to live, no wish to die
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 24 2016 15:49 GMT
#102727
Right now, both party leaderships are incompetent and unwilling to change. One got stuck with a reality TV star, the other managed to convince enough people not to vote for a socialist, and they got the candidate they wanted: someone who could genuinely be defeated by a reality TV star that most people don't like.

Neither party wants to admit they need to realign to be better able to appeal to voters, of course. The Republican Party was obtuse enough to push Jeb Bush of all people as their preferred choice. And I'd say that bashing Jeb really gave Trump a lot of clout in the primaries.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 24 2016 16:06 GMT
#102728
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 24 2016 16:15 GMT
#102729
On September 25 2016 01:06 TheDwf wrote:
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?

No, they did not get 15%.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 24 2016 16:18 GMT
#102730
On September 25 2016 01:15 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2016 01:06 TheDwf wrote:
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?

No, they did not get 15%.

And how do people feel about it? This threshold sounds like it's designed to make it impossible for smaller parties/candidates to have access to the big scene.
TheFish7
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United States2824 Posts
September 24 2016 16:20 GMT
#102731
Since we're talking about sexual misconduct I'll just leave this here.

Both Trump And Clinton Went To Jeffrey Epstein's Sex Slave Island.

Shoulda picked Bernie?
~ ~ <°)))><~ ~ ~
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22683 Posts
September 24 2016 16:23 GMT
#102732
On September 25 2016 01:18 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2016 01:15 Plansix wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:06 TheDwf wrote:
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?

No, they did not get 15%.

And how do people feel about it? This threshold sounds like it's designed to make it impossible for smaller parties/candidates to have access to the big scene.

Them being on the stage would just take time away from the real candidate.

The electoral collage makes the US a two party system, trying to pretend its anything else is pointless.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
September 24 2016 16:39 GMT
#102733
On September 25 2016 01:23 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2016 01:18 TheDwf wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:15 Plansix wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:06 TheDwf wrote:
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?

No, they did not get 15%.

And how do people feel about it? This threshold sounds like it's designed to make it impossible for smaller parties/candidates to have access to the big scene.

Them being on the stage would just take time away from the real candidate.

The electoral collage makes the US a two party system, trying to pretend its anything else is pointless.

Yeah well, when you get Clinton vs Trump as the result of your political system, you should maybe ask yourself a few questions...
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
September 24 2016 16:43 GMT
#102734
Look up Juanita Broadderick, Norma Kelsey (her hotel roommate at the time of the alleged rape), Guy Kuehn, and Ray Trentham.

Bill Clinton is a disgusting monster
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
September 24 2016 16:43 GMT
#102735
On September 25 2016 01:39 TheDwf wrote:
Yeah well, when you get Clinton vs Trump as the result of your political system, you should maybe ask yourself a few questions...

People have been asking those questions for a long time, but getting 3rd party candidates into the debates is one of the least effective ways to fix the problem. It really wouldn't change anything.

We need change to happen at a much more basic level.
Moderator
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9336 Posts
September 24 2016 16:51 GMT
#102736
15% seems a bit too high but I think not inviting irrelevant candidates is a good idea. TV stations in my country didn't learn that yet and we end up with shitty "debates" between 8 or more people who just repeat their campaign slogans because they don't get enough time to say anything else.
You're now breathing manually
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-09-24 16:53:33
September 24 2016 16:53 GMT
#102737
Part of the problem with an election in general is that there's not enough time to get a really good look at a large number of candidates; so you have to rely on surface assessments and filtering. Personally, I'd prefer a system that lets you really properly and fully vet a large field of candidates.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18487 Posts
September 24 2016 16:56 GMT
#102738
On September 25 2016 01:43 Doodsmack wrote:
Look up Juanita Broadderick, Norma Kelsey (her hotel roommate at the time of the alleged rape), Guy Kuehn, and Ray Trentham.

Bill Clinton is a disgusting monster

Lucky you! You get to choose between a pervert and a woman who covered for a pervert.

And I thought house of cards was fiction...
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
September 24 2016 16:56 GMT
#102739
On September 25 2016 00:24 biology]major wrote:
At this point trump is gonna win, momentum is on his side and debate expectations favor him massively. Every act of terror and lawlessness goes in his favor, and with further email leaks coming I don't see the trend changing. It will be the democrats who have to evaluate how on earth they put a candidate so poor that she could lose to Trump. I'm not convinced of their self reflective ability however, as they will just blame the 'deplorables' for their loss and not their own incompetence.

Hillary's a competent debater when she's at her best. Her trouble is appearing personable and her hubris. She has a good shot at stopping Trump's momentum which is why I'll be watching the debate with interest.

On September 25 2016 01:39 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2016 01:23 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:18 TheDwf wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:15 Plansix wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:06 TheDwf wrote:
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?

No, they did not get 15%.

And how do people feel about it? This threshold sounds like it's designed to make it impossible for smaller parties/candidates to have access to the big scene.

Them being on the stage would just take time away from the real candidate.

The electoral collage makes the US a two party system, trying to pretend its anything else is pointless.

Yeah well, when you get Clinton vs Trump as the result of your political system, you should maybe ask yourself a few questions...

When there's seventeen people up on the debate stage to start, you have to ask a few questions. The plurality opposing Trump was split all over the damn place. It just makes the stage a morning zoo.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22683 Posts
September 24 2016 17:00 GMT
#102740
On September 25 2016 01:39 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2016 01:23 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:18 TheDwf wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:15 Plansix wrote:
On September 25 2016 01:06 TheDwf wrote:
I assume the Monday debate won't include the other candidates?

No, they did not get 15%.

And how do people feel about it? This threshold sounds like it's designed to make it impossible for smaller parties/candidates to have access to the big scene.

Them being on the stage would just take time away from the real candidate.

The electoral collage makes the US a two party system, trying to pretend its anything else is pointless.

Yeah well, when you get Clinton vs Trump as the result of your political system, you should maybe ask yourself a few questions...

Plenty of people here have advocated fixing the system so that more parties become viable but your not going to do that by putting 4 people on stage instead of 2.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
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