• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EST 08:35
CET 14:35
KST 22:35
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
RSL Season 3 - Playoffs Preview0RSL Season 3 - RO16 Groups C & D Preview0RSL Season 3 - RO16 Groups A & B Preview2TL.net Map Contest #21: Winners12Intel X Team Liquid Seoul event: Showmatches and Meet the Pros10
Community News
Weekly Cups (Dec 1-7): Clem doubles, Solar gets over the hump1Weekly Cups (Nov 24-30): MaxPax, Clem, herO win2BGE Stara Zagora 2026 announced15[BSL21] Ro.16 Group Stage (C->B->A->D)4Weekly Cups (Nov 17-23): Solar, MaxPax, Clem win3
StarCraft 2
General
Weekly Cups (Dec 1-7): Clem doubles, Solar gets over the hump Chinese SC2 server to reopen; live all-star event in Hangzhou Maestros of the Game: Live Finals Preview (RO4) BGE Stara Zagora 2026 announced Weekly Cups (Nov 24-30): MaxPax, Clem, herO win
Tourneys
StarCraft2.fi 15th Anniversary Cup RSL Offline Finals Info - Dec 13 and 14! Tenacious Turtle Tussle Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament StarCraft Evolution League (SC Evo Biweekly)
Strategy
Custom Maps
Map Editor closed ?
External Content
Mutation # 503 Fowl Play Mutation # 502 Negative Reinforcement Mutation # 501 Price of Progress Mutation # 500 Fright night
Brood War
General
BW General Discussion Let's talk about Metropolis [ASL20] Ask the mapmakers — Drop your questions BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ Foreign Brood War
Tourneys
[Megathread] Daily Proleagues Small VOD Thread 2.0 [BSL21] RO16 Group D - Sunday 21:00 CET [BSL21] RO16 Group A - Saturday 21:00 CET
Strategy
Current Meta Game Theory for Starcraft How to stay on top of macro? PvZ map balance
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Nintendo Switch Thread EVE Corporation Path of Exile ZeroSpace Megathread
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas Survivor II: The Amazon Sengoku Mafia TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread YouTube Thread European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine
Fan Clubs
White-Ra Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread [Manga] One Piece Movie Discussion!
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
TL+ Announced Where to ask questions and add stream? The Automated Ban List
Blogs
I decided to write a webnov…
DjKniteX
Physical Exertion During Gam…
TrAiDoS
James Bond movies ranking - pa…
Topin
Thanks for the RSL
Hildegard
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 1467 users

[ASL10] Ro16 Preview P2: Crazy, Messy, Beautiful

Forum Index > BW General
20 CommentsPost a Reply
1 2 All last
QOGQOG
Profile Joined July 2019
834 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-11 01:20:09
October 11 2020 01:12 GMT
#2
I'm not so sure about Flash advancing, but maybe I'm underestimating him. RvP is strong and he's gotten better since that TEN thing.

Soulkey’s record shows him as probably the best ZvZ player in the ASL era

... What? SoulKey is an infamous choker in ZvZ, with a terrible record. He lost in ASTL against hero and Hyuk. I looked at ASL 8 and 9 and he went 0:4 in the matchup.
EsportsJohn
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4883 Posts
October 11 2020 02:43 GMT
#3
On October 11 2020 10:12 QOGQOG wrote:
I'm not so sure about Flash advancing, but maybe I'm underestimating him. RvP is strong and he's gotten better since that TEN thing.

Show nested quote +
Soulkey’s record shows him as probably the best ZvZ player in the ASL era

... What? SoulKey is an infamous choker in ZvZ, with a terrible record. He lost in ASTL against hero and Hyuk. I looked at ASL 8 and 9 and he went 0:4 in the matchup.


Prior to Season 8 (right before he went off to the military), Soulkey had a win rate of 65% in ZvZ with several of his wins coming from KSL. For almost a year, he was considered the best Zerg player, and he was after effort retired—and the entire time, he kept up a really stellar ZvZ record with very well executed games. His current form is suspect, though, I agree.
StrategyAllyssa Grey <3<3
QOGQOG
Profile Joined July 2019
834 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-11 05:57:32
October 11 2020 05:30 GMT
#4
On October 11 2020 11:43 EsportsJohn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 11 2020 10:12 QOGQOG wrote:
I'm not so sure about Flash advancing, but maybe I'm underestimating him. RvP is strong and he's gotten better since that TEN thing.

Soulkey’s record shows him as probably the best ZvZ player in the ASL era

... What? SoulKey is an infamous choker in ZvZ, with a terrible record. He lost in ASTL against hero and Hyuk. I looked at ASL 8 and 9 and he went 0:4 in the matchup.


Prior to Season 8 (right before he went off to the military), Soulkey had a win rate of 65% in ZvZ with several of his wins coming from KSL. For almost a year, he was considered the best Zerg player, and he was after effort retired—and the entire time, he kept up a really stellar ZvZ record with very well executed games. His current form is suspect, though, I agree.

I got curious and did some Liquipedia-ing. Here are all SoulKey's offline ZvZs:

ASL 1 - Did not participate
ASL 2 - No ZvZ
ASL 3 - 1:0 PURPOSE (I have no idea who this is) 1:0 EffOrt
ASL 4 - 1:0 Jaedong 2:3 hero
ASL 5 - 0:1 Action
ASL 6 - 0:1 EffOrt
ASL 7 - No ZvZ
ASL 8 - 0:1 Action 0:2 Sacsri
ASL 9 - 0:1 Soma

Total ASL Score: 5 : 9
Last ZvZ victory in ASL: October 10, 2017

ASTL - 0:1 hero 0:1 Hyuk

Total ASTL Score: 0 : 2
Last ZvZ victory in ASTL: N/A

KSL 1 - No ZvZ
KSL 2 - 3:1 Larva
KSL 3 - 3:1 Action
KSL 4 - Did not participate

Total Score: 6 : 2
Last ZvZ victory: April 25, 2019

It's actually better than I thought. I'd forgotten about his performance in KSL. Maybe there's more hope than I'm giving him credit for. But given he hasn't won a single ZvZ for five seasons of ASL (and also, not entirely coincidentally, hasn't made it past the Ro16 in that time either) and has barely better than a 1/3 winrate, I think my incredulity at him being called "the best ZvZ player in the ASL era" is justifiable.

(Just as a note, I enjoyed the writeup. I just thought that claim was... questionable)
TaardadAiel
Profile Joined May 2017
Bulgaria750 Posts
October 11 2020 05:41 GMT
#5
On October 11 2020 14:30 QOGQOG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 11 2020 11:43 EsportsJohn wrote:
On October 11 2020 10:12 QOGQOG wrote:
I'm not so sure about Flash advancing, but maybe I'm underestimating him. RvP is strong and he's gotten better since that TEN thing.

Soulkey’s record shows him as probably the best ZvZ player in the ASL era

... What? SoulKey is an infamous choker in ZvZ, with a terrible record. He lost in ASTL against hero and Hyuk. I looked at ASL 8 and 9 and he went 0:4 in the matchup.


Prior to Season 8 (right before he went off to the military), Soulkey had a win rate of 65% in ZvZ with several of his wins coming from KSL. For almost a year, he was considered the best Zerg player, and he was after effort retired—and the entire time, he kept up a really stellar ZvZ record with very well executed games. His current form is suspect, though, I agree.

I got curious and did some Liquipedia-ing. Here are all SoulKey's offline ZvZs:

ASL 1 - Did not participate
ASL 2 - No ZvZ
ASL 3 - 1:0 PURPOSE (I have no idea who this is) 1:0 EffOrt
ASL 4 - 1:0 Jaedong 2:3 hero
ASL 5 - 0:1 Action
ASL 6 - 0:1 EffOrt
ASL 7 - No ZvZ
ASL 8 - 0:1 Action 0:2 Sacsri
ASL 9 - 0:1 Soma

Total ASL Score: 5 : 9
Last ZvZ victory in ASL: October 10, 2017

ASTL - 0:1 hero 0:1 Hyuk

Total ASYL Score: 0 : 2
Last ZvZ victory in ASYL: N/A

KSL 1 - No ZvZ
KSL 2 - 3:1 Larva
KSL 3 - 3:1 Action
KSL 4 - Did not participate

Total Score: 6 : 4
Last ZvZ victory: April 25, 2019

It's actually better than I thought. I'd forgotten about his performance in KSL. Maybe there's more hope than I'm giving him credit for. But given he hasn't won a single ZvZ for five seasons of ASL (and also, not entirely coincidentally, hasn't made it past the Ro16 in that time either) and has barely better than a 1/3 winrate, so I think my incredulity at him being called "the best ZvZ player in the ASL era" is justifiable.

(Just as a note, I enjoyed the writeup. I just thought that claim was... questionable)


You are five minutes ahead of me, I was just going to check. I had the same impression, not backed by data, that ZvZs were what was leading to his early exits more often than not. And I too forgot about the KSL, where he seemed to be doing better in general (he won season 2, after all).

It seems, as usual with Soulkey, that it's a matter of choking and not general skill level. Applies to all matchups. Soulkey performing at 100% is champion material and has been since ASL3. I'll repeat myself: must be very tough to be a SK fan, his form varies so wildly.
WriterReV hwaiting!
KobraKay
Profile Joined March 2010
Portugal4231 Posts
October 11 2020 08:39 GMT
#6
Very nice write up. This time around, I wish your predictions come true!

Im excited and stressed out at the same time for what Flash will do.
CJ Fighting! (--.--)
Djabanete
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States2786 Posts
October 11 2020 08:54 GMT
#7
Good luck, Flash!
May the BeSt man win.
AntiHack
Profile Joined January 2009
Switzerland553 Posts
October 11 2020 14:47 GMT
#8
Imagine having this ASL10 right after one of the best season of all times... I mean BW is getting better and better, aging like wine I'd say
"I am very tired of your grammar errors" - Zoler[MB]
Zeronova
Profile Joined September 2020
54 Posts
October 11 2020 15:17 GMT
#9
+ Show Spoiler +
Super surprised by how well Flash did. I shouldn’t have been a hater. Shout out to Free too. He didn't make it out but I think he still exceeded expectations


For group D I agree with your assessment. Likely both Zergs get out. PvZ is hard. However, my heart says Shuttle. He is so impressive and just keeps smashing expectations.
RKC
Profile Joined June 2012
2848 Posts
October 11 2020 16:06 GMT
#10
Soulkey, I believe!

He just seems to get stuck at the group stages, for some reason. He'll show good games in BO3-B05. Really hope to see him advance through 1st place!
gg no re thx
EsportsJohn
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4883 Posts
October 11 2020 18:10 GMT
#11
On October 11 2020 14:30 QOGQOG wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 11 2020 11:43 EsportsJohn wrote:
On October 11 2020 10:12 QOGQOG wrote:
I'm not so sure about Flash advancing, but maybe I'm underestimating him. RvP is strong and he's gotten better since that TEN thing.

Soulkey’s record shows him as probably the best ZvZ player in the ASL era

... What? SoulKey is an infamous choker in ZvZ, with a terrible record. He lost in ASTL against hero and Hyuk. I looked at ASL 8 and 9 and he went 0:4 in the matchup.


Prior to Season 8 (right before he went off to the military), Soulkey had a win rate of 65% in ZvZ with several of his wins coming from KSL. For almost a year, he was considered the best Zerg player, and he was after effort retired—and the entire time, he kept up a really stellar ZvZ record with very well executed games. His current form is suspect, though, I agree.


Total Score: 6 : 2
Last ZvZ victory: April 25, 2019


Just want to point out that Soulkey was also gone to the military for 6-7 months, so using this date might be somewhat of an exaggeration.

It's actually better than I thought. I'd forgotten about his performance in KSL. Maybe there's more hope than I'm giving him credit for. But given he hasn't won a single ZvZ for five seasons of ASL (and also, not entirely coincidentally, hasn't made it past the Ro16 in that time either) and has barely better than a 1/3 winrate, I think my incredulity at him being called "the best ZvZ player in the ASL era" is justifiable.

(Just as a note, I enjoyed the writeup. I just thought that claim was... questionable)


I think he's definitely been a really bad slump ever since his KSL3 win, and he does tend to choke in offline events in general, so I agree that his chances at winning a ZvZ much less topping the group are slim and would be surprising, yet I think it makes the most sense. After doing some digging though, I agree that although Soulkey was very good with a decent ZvZ record prior to going to the military, Action seems to be the best ZvZ player in the ASL era since coming back in ASL6. Action has winning records against Jaedong, Effort (at the height of his strength), and Soulkey, so I think that makes him probably the best overall. (Funny note: Soma has a Bo3 victory over Action from last season tho).
StrategyAllyssa Grey <3<3
nimdil
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Poland3751 Posts
October 11 2020 20:34 GMT
#12
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?
EsportsJohn
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4883 Posts
October 11 2020 20:41 GMT
#13
On October 12 2020 05:34 nimdil wrote:
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?


Basically.
StrategyAllyssa Grey <3<3
Piste
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
6180 Posts
October 11 2020 21:07 GMT
#14
On October 12 2020 05:34 nimdil wrote:
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?

In the interview he said he wanted to challenge himself and is taking the challenge seriously.

Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
October 11 2020 21:57 GMT
#15
On October 12 2020 05:41 EsportsJohn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2020 05:34 nimdil wrote:
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?


Basically.


"[God] does not play dice with the universe" - Albert Einstein, 1926

"Watch me" - Flash, 2020
[゚n゚] SSSSssssssSSsss ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Marine/Raven Guide:http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=163605
KobraKay
Profile Joined March 2010
Portugal4231 Posts
October 11 2020 23:00 GMT
#16
On October 12 2020 06:57 Antisocialmunky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2020 05:41 EsportsJohn wrote:
On October 12 2020 05:34 nimdil wrote:
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?


Basically.


"[God] does not play dice with the universe" - Albert Einstein, 1926

"Watch me" - Flash, 2020


Oh the Flash memes hero! You're back at the same level as before xD
CJ Fighting! (--.--)
Antisocialmunky
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States5912 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-12 00:34:27
October 12 2020 00:33 GMT
#17
[image loading]
[゚n゚] SSSSssssssSSsss ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Marine/Raven Guide:http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=163605
Sabu113
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States11075 Posts
October 12 2020 01:40 GMT
#18
On October 12 2020 05:34 nimdil wrote:
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?


Uh you need to watch. Badly. This Ro16 has been ridiculously good.

I'm just posting here preparing to be smug when mini dances on some zerg corpses. MINI HWAITING. (though I hope Soma is good )
Biomine is a drunken chick who is on industrial strength amphetamines and would just grab your dick and jerk it as hard and violently as she could while screaming 'OMG FUCK ME', because she saw it in a Sasha Grey video ...-Wombat_Ni
Amanebak
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Czech Republic528 Posts
October 12 2020 16:46 GMT
#19
On October 12 2020 09:33 Antisocialmunky wrote:
[image loading]

Haha, good job!
On October 12 2020 05:34 nimdil wrote:
I haven't watched ASL for a while. Why Flash is playing random? To easy with Terran? Too boring?

I bumped into this video:

BW
Golgotha
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Korea (South)8418 Posts
October 17 2020 14:21 GMT
#20
Haha. Good job Blind for the perfect flash and snow prediction
nimdil
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Poland3751 Posts
October 19 2020 10:28 GMT
#21
THanks for the answers. The matches were a blast. I especially like how Tastosis hyped facial expression for R->T :D
1 2 All last
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 3h 25m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
LamboSC2 178
ProTech98
BRAT_OK 83
StarCraft: Brood War
Britney 46520
Calm 5225
Horang2 2106
GuemChi 1105
Soma 975
Light 860
Sharp 686
Stork 610
Mini 583
actioN 506
[ Show more ]
Snow 464
ZerO 426
Rush 349
JYJ 260
Hyuk 234
Hyun 128
Pusan 78
910 60
PianO 57
ToSsGirL 57
JulyZerg 25
soO 21
scan(afreeca) 21
Sacsri 17
ajuk12(nOOB) 16
Terrorterran 14
SilentControl 12
HiyA 8
Noble 7
Dota 2
Gorgc4135
singsing2830
XcaliburYe144
febbydoto1
Counter-Strike
olofmeister2095
x6flipin584
shoxiejesuss561
oskar116
Other Games
B2W.Neo968
crisheroes350
Fuzer 320
RotterdaM209
Hui .190
QueenE66
ZerO(Twitch)12
Organizations
StarCraft: Brood War
lovetv 5
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 16 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• StrangeGG 66
• intothetv
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• blackmanpl 38
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• C_a_k_e 1674
• lizZardDota255
League of Legends
• Jankos2278
• HappyZerGling92
Upcoming Events
StarCraft2.fi
3h 25m
Tenacious Turtle Tussle
10h 25m
The PondCast
20h 25m
WardiTV 2025
22h 25m
StarCraft2.fi
1d 3h
WardiTV 2025
1d 22h
StarCraft2.fi
2 days
RSL Revival
2 days
IPSL
3 days
Sziky vs JDConan
RSL Revival
3 days
Classic vs TBD
herO vs Zoun
[ Show More ]
WardiTV 2025
3 days
IPSL
4 days
Tarson vs DragOn
Wardi Open
4 days
Monday Night Weeklies
5 days
Replay Cast
5 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
5 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Acropolis #4 - TS3
RSL Revival: Season 3
Kuram Kup

Ongoing

IPSL Winter 2025-26
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 4
YSL S2
BSL Season 21
Slon Tour Season 2
WardiTV 2025
META Madness #9
SL Budapest Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 8
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025
IEM Chengdu 2025
PGL Masters Bucharest 2025
Thunderpick World Champ.
CS Asia Championships 2025
ESL Pro League S22

Upcoming

BSL 21 Non-Korean Championship
Acropolis #4
IPSL Spring 2026
Bellum Gens Elite Stara Zagora 2026
HSC XXVIII
Big Gabe Cup #3
RSL Offline Finals
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter Qual
eXTREMESLAND 2025
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.