Hello again, Teamliquid.

Here's an update on Larva's progress for the month of May. According to classicyellow83, Larva's stats against Bisu, Last, and FlaSh are as follows.

Bisu - 7:11
Last - 40:61
FlaSh - 23:33

+ Show Spoiler +

K.H.J said that Larva won 24 games versus FlaSh, but I'll use the lower number that classicyellow83 provided.

Current Cumulative Win Ratio Against Bisu: 37/131 = 28.2%
Improvement from previous month (26.5%): +6.39%
Improvement from month 2 (15.2%): +86.4%

[image loading]

Current Cumulative Win Ratio Against Last: 85/270 = 31.5%
Improvement from previous month (26.0%): +20.9%
Improvement from month 2 (28.6%): +10.2%

[image loading]

Current Cumulative Win Ratio Against FlaSh: 82/272 = 30.1%
Improvement from previous month (27.3%): +10.4%
Improvement from month 2 (24.2%): +24.4%

[image loading]

Sincerely,
Shalashaska_123

Cascade

Australia5405 Posts

June 14 2017 09:23 GMT

#205

On June 14 2017 17:40 Shalashaska_123 wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jk-1TRDXbeM

Hello again, Teamliquid.

Here's an update on Larva's progress for the month of May. According to classicyellow83, Larva's stats against Bisu, Last, and FlaSh are as follows.

[STATS]

Cool! Do you have the raw numbers by month in a convenient format? I would like to play with the visualisation a bit if you dont mind.

Terrorbladder

2718 Posts

June 14 2017 10:28 GMT

#206

Let's see how this guy does in a real tournament

Dante08

Singapore4128 Posts

June 14 2017 11:11 GMT

#207

I would love to see out of the games lost vs Last and Flash, how many were bunker rushes or some kind of all-in from them. Looking at Larva's playstyle he can get overly greedy sometimes and just lose to a rush. If he can refine that area of his play I'm sure the stats will be much better.

Just an example yesterday vs Mong on blue storm, he scouted a wall in and early gas but chose to build his sunken way too late and ended up getting wrecked by vultures.

valaki

Hungary2476 Posts

June 15 2017 06:38 GMT

#208

Damn he is now like 5-0 vs Bisu

fLyiNgDroNe

Belgium4009 Posts

June 15 2017 08:40 GMT

#209

wtf his macro. reks protoss with hydra ling just sending 10 groups of units wave after wave

valaki

Hungary2476 Posts

June 15 2017 08:44 GMT

#210

Yeah, I really don't see a way protoss beating him past early game. His economy is mostly untouched through the games, but other than that, if he gets past the early game without much losses, he's pretty much unbeatable

fLyiNgDroNe

Belgium4009 Posts

June 15 2017 08:46 GMT

#211

kid is superfast and efficient
would be cool to see some protoss really countering his style and game mentality

Cascade

Australia5405 Posts

June 15 2017 10:14 GMT

#212

A different visualisation of the winrate development. No cumulative winrates, and with a crude uncertainty estimate.
[image loading]

I think the code is available here: www.r-fiddle.org. Just press "run code". Should be straightforward to add new data points and rerun. Also support for more opponents if it gets to that.

If that r-fiddle link doesn't work, attaching code here as well, that you can copy paste into r-fiddle or any R session anywhere. Data is included in the code and easy enough to add new data points.

+ Show Spoiler [data and code] +

#data from http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/brood-war/522647-larvas-progress-report
months = list(
'16-06'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=1, 'loss'=6),
'Last' = list('win'=2, 'loss'=10),
'Flash' = list('win'=1, 'loss'=11)
),
'16-07'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=3, 'loss'=15),
'Last' = list('win'=0, 'loss'=1),
'Flash' = list('win'=4, 'loss'=6)
),
'16-08'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=1, 'loss'=7),
'Last' = list('win'=4, 'loss'=4),
'Flash' = list('win'=3, 'loss'=8)
),
'16-09'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=0, 'loss'=16),
'Last' = list('win'=2, 'loss'=10),
'Flash' = list('win'=4, 'loss'=8)
),
'16-10'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=4, 'loss'=2),
'Last' = list('win'=5, 'loss'=6),
'Flash' = list('win'=3, 'loss'=11)
),
'16-11'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=5, 'loss'=4),
'Last' = list('win'=1, 'loss'=4),
'Flash' = list('win'=3, 'loss'=6)
),
'16-12'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=2, 'loss'=6),
'Last' = list('win'=0, 'loss'=1),
'Flash' = list('win'=2, 'loss'=4)
),
'17-01'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=NA, 'loss'=NA),
'Last' = list('win'=13, 'loss'=24),
'Flash' = list('win'=5, 'loss'=23)
),
'17-02'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=NA, 'loss'=NA),
'Last' = list('win'=12, 'loss'=56),
'Flash' = list('win'=5, 'loss'=21)
),
'17-03'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=4, 'loss'=8),
'Last' = list('win'=NA, 'loss'=NA),
'Flash' = list('win'=13, 'loss'=24)
),
'17-04'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=10, 'loss'=19),
'Last' = list('win'=5, 'loss'=9),
'Flash' = list('win'=16, 'loss'=35)
),
'17-05'=list(
'Bisu' = list('win'=7, 'loss'=11),
'Last' = list('win'=40, 'loss'=61),
'Flash' = list('win'=23, 'loss'=33)
)
)

#this function extracts data and adds it to the plot.
addOpponent = function(opponent, col='black', xshift=0) {
win = sapply(months, function(month) month[[opponent]]$win)
loss = sapply(months, function(month) month[[opponent]]$loss)
rate = win/(win+loss)
error = sqrt(pmin(win, loss))/(win+loss)

xs = 1:length(win) + xshift
points(xs, rate, pch=16, lwd='3', xlab='time', ylab='winrate', ylim=c(0,1), col=col)
segments(xs, rate+error, xs, rate-error, col=col)
}

opponents = c('Bisu', 'Last', 'Flash')
opponentColour = c('Bisu'=rgb(1, 0, 0), 'Last'=rgb(0, 0.5, 1), 'Flash'=rgb(0, 0, 0.7))
N = length(opponents)
xshifts = (1:N-N/2)/N/3
names(xshifts) = opponents

#blank plot
plot(1, 1, type='n', xlab='time (months)', ylab='winrate', xlim=c(1, length(months)), ylim=c(0,1), frame=F)
segments(-100, 0.5, 1e6, 0.5, lwd=2, col='grey')

#start adding the opponents
for ( opponent in opponents ) addOpponent(opponent=opponent, col=opponentColour[opponent], xshifts[opponent])

legend('topright', opponents, pch=16, col=opponentColour)

Kare

Norway786 Posts

June 15 2017 10:21 GMT

#213

Larva has become the Zerg version of Last. Last is probably better than FlaSh online, and almost unbeatable most of the time.. Larva is in the same position just for Zerg, probably the best online Zerg in the world at the moment.

(Well, FlaSh is probably better than Last, but you know what I mean)

fLyiNgDroNe

Belgium4009 Posts

June 15 2017 11:22 GMT

#214

is there a resource to recognize player's names?
im watching larva's stream but has no idea who those players he plays against are.

_vk_

219 Posts

June 15 2017 11:47 GMT

#215

On June 15 2017 20:22 fLyiNgDroNe wrote:
is there a resource to recognize player's names?
im watching larva's stream but has no idea who those players he plays against are.

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft/Fish_Server#List_of_Known_Fish_Server_Usernames_.28Ex-pro.2C_semi-pro.2C_high_level_Korean_amateurs.29