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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
Newbie | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
On March 08 2016 06:00 Shapelog wrote: Mafia KP is fractional. . Could someone awesome explain this to me? :D | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
On April 05 2016 09:12 DoYouHas wrote: Personally, I would like to hear from the newbies. What is their experience with mafia, why they are town, just generally being active. If we can get the newbies active they won't be easy scapegoats for scum and we should have a more productive d1. Are you implying we would be easy scapegoats based solely on #/length of posts? Maybe you want newbies to post a lot to clutter up the thread and muddle pro-town progress | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
On April 06 2016 05:01 Damdred wrote: LS might be a good lynch I remembered this game is a thing. Could you explain why you think so? | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
1. Early posts are fluff, no real added value. 2. This post: He says CHodge is voting a townie (Himself), but CHodge made a clear post about why he was voting him - which is a town characteristic. Doesn't really offer a counter argument - instead responds by dodging the question. He then votes LS seemingly out of nowhere - I guess because his townie read on CHodge. On April 06 2016 22:42 Race Bannon wrote: I meant the townvibe coming off of CHodge is obvious but he happens to be voting a townie, so I expect scum to encourage people to sheep him. ##LightingStrike 3. Then he does try to explain, which lacks confidence IMO. And on top of that he goes against his own advice of sheeping as a mafia trait and explains his LS vote as a good lynch based on others and not his own opinions. On April 07 2016 00:04 Race Bannon wrote: It could be anyone. Probably a lurker but I think others expressed issues with LS as well so it's a good lynch. So I think RB is a possible mafia which is best read I have thus far. ##Vote: Race Bannon | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
Also, CHodge why the flip? | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
Thoughts on the last minute flips: we basically had two wagons set up there at the end which ended with boxer lynched. I think it’s fair to assume that 1-2 mafia ended up on boxer (highly doubtful all three would be on it.) So those 4 are: GlowingBear, LightnightStrike, Fidei86, and Damdred. First Fidei: I’m inclined to believe his near death post as truth, had no reason to lie when it look like he was dead. Only case would be if Damdred and him were scheming together with the combo of that (almost town confirming post) and Dam’s super late flip. Cannot read too much into that at this time but it will be good for us to keep in mind moving forward by keeping an eye on both of their actions both independently and when analyzed together. For now I read Fidei86 as town with the above coupled with his great analysis post today. Now GB: I feel his case against Boxer was pretty weak and then he just stopped posting in the thread after he *maybe* thought he would be lynched. Leaning scum to me currently. Would love his thoughts after the ML. GlowingBear maybe mafia LS: Ok right off the bat I liked his anlysis on early analysis on CHodge: + Show Spoiler + On April 06 2016 22:13 LightningStrike wrote: Just woke up and I think CHodge is Town for a few reasons. 1. His approach to the game is quite different than a normal newbie regarding Vet players like myself and Artanis. 2. He been more thinking critically than me and everyone else up to this point. But if you take a look at his filter after that it is literally filled with 1 liners. Asks questions mainly that seem very very uninspired. He is tip-toeing around and not offering any analysis on whom he thinks could be mafia and why. He votes Boxer out of nowhere without analysis. Very scummy IMO. LightningStrike currently lacks inspiring confident posting – my read is likely mafia Finally Damdred: My read is poor on Dam right now. Most of posts do not offer significant analysis. Very wishy-washy at the end of the day with stating multiple lynch candidates. Decides to stay on boxer for unknown reason. Damdred neutral to maybe scum right now Now the peeps on Fidei86: Art, DYH, and Spike: Start with Art whom started this whole wagon shen: On April 07 2016 07:49 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Do we have the people to switch to Fidei? I really actually believe in him being far more likely to start playing dota 2h before deadline and not check in before as scum than as town. So he says this and then stays on Fidei even when Fidei comes back which would be a town trait according to him. Before all of this mess he is pushing GB super hard @ post #260, then suddenly drops it to start the wagon. On April 07 2016 07:10 Artanis[Xp] wrote: I'm also taking full credit when GB flips scum. So maybe I’m reading to much into this because the mixed up did create a lot of activity for later analysis which could have been his plan all along, but I’m currently reading it as a scummy. Artanis is maybe mafia Now DYH: I have no idea. I had scummy vibes coming from early on but that is purely gut. DYH is neutral Spika: pretty absent, maybe anti-town behaviors initially. Spikasaur is maybe mafia based purely on anti-town comments Others: Kuragari42: Like his dislike of the wagons and of the Boxer case by BG On April 07 2016 07:04 Kuragari42 wrote: I'm going to vote GB bc he was who I was leaning scum on earlier today and now he is pushing a BF lynch that I don't see reason behind. Other than that not much to go by, leaning town on Kura Tumblewood: I like his reads and analysis thus far. Seems not afraid to make a case, like with GB, and is willing to put is nickel down. Seems very pro-town to me right now. Tumblewood maybe town CHodge: Pro-town with posts and analysis. Town vibes CHodge maybe town Race still likely mafia based on my before post coupled with lack of activity since. Summary of my reads: Likely Mafia: Race Bannon, LightningStrike Maybe Mafia: Artanis[xp], GlowingBear, Damdred, Spikasaur No Clue: Kuragari42, DoYouHas Maybe Town: CHodge, Tumblewood Likely Town: Fidei86 | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
On April 06 2016 23:12 GlowingBear wrote: Yesterday I was auditioning all day long. Here I am today On April 07 2016 04:26 GlowingBear wrote: Whoopsie I was here but I forgot to do stuff On April 07 2016 05:16 GlowingBear wrote: Deadline is today, right? I am kinda busy, was going to put some effiort at midnight. Oh, well. On April 07 2016 05:23 GlowingBear wrote: I would if I played yesterday. But I didn't. On April 07 2016 05:26 GlowingBear wrote: Still, I need to read the 5 pages as a whole On April 07 2016 06:35 GlowingBear wrote: I'm heading to my classes, I won't be here on deadline I believe, so I'm placing my vote on boxerfred. I'll try to come back to see how the vote thread is going. I'm town. I'll put effort tonight, I promise. On April 08 2016 13:37 GlowingBear wrote: Ok I've read almost everything, kinda got bored at the last 3 pages. Artanis how does it feel to be mafia? So many posts about nothing - overly apologetic. If GB had town interest at heart GB would actually follow up. The last comment about being bored is completely useless. No real reads on anyone? Besides a few small one liners on me and some others. But GB pretty much ignores my longer analysis post. On April 08 2016 13:05 GlowingBear wrote: I dislike this. Goss hardly react to stuff, and the only thing he does is to write a case after a townie is already pushing the guy I would be ok with a GB lynch at this point. Would still like to see more thought content and process from LS who was another of my scum reads. @GB Anyways mentioned in my analysis earlier I'd like to hear about your thoughts and if you have any strong reads. Also @ Fidei, you were reading me top scum before, what are your thoughts now? | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
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Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
Also some input from Spika would help. We should consolidate our thoughts on GB and move forward as a unified town. | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
On April 08 2016 23:27 Kuragari42 wrote: Sorry about the lurking, I've been pretty busy irl. I am however half way through a post-by-post analysis of the game. This post struck me as something I should point out. By vote analysis you can determine that Me/GB/TW are most likely not your scum team. Kur what are your thoughts on anyone else in the game? Particularity on RB and TW | ||
Gossemerr
United States195 Posts
On April 09 2016 08:34 LightningStrike wrote: James decided to play Dota instead of playing the game at EoD hence the gif of the guy disappearing. What I still don't understand is why Artanis stayed with the Fidie vote even after he came back. And then didn't jump back on GB or switch to boxer. Too many other mafia on boxer maybe? On April 07 2016 07:49 Artanis[Xp] wrote: Do we have the people to switch to Fidei? I really actually believe in him being far more likely to start playing dota 2h before deadline and not check in before as scum than as town. Agreeing with others on the Art case; from my offline notes-- 1. D1 pushes GB very hard. 2. drops it and causes ML in the chaos 3. N1 doesnt seem to care about the ML 4. D2 brings back his push on GB, which if GB flips town he can just refer back to his earlier thoughts and have an explanation. I feel like we have strong cases on GB and Art collectively -- should consolidate and agree on one to lynch. I don't want to have a weird wagon like D1. Much more likely to lynch a scum with more than 4 votes on a single player-- less chance for wagon and flipping. | ||
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