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Hurricane Irene

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Xivsa
Profile Joined April 2011
United States1009 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-30 15:06:02
August 26 2011 00:57 GMT
#1
Edit: Text updated throughout the day, as well as certain links and images.

Tropical Storm Irene blew into Canada on Monday before finally falling apart and becoming a simple low pressure system. Its legacy will not be massive damage from high winds or a flooded tri-state area but rather extensive and severe inland flooding, inundating a large swath from Virginia to Philadelphia, up through central New Jersey and parts of the Hudson Valley, all the way to northern Vermont. Economic loss estimates have topped $5 bn for New York City with city shuttered for much of Sunday. The NY Times quoted one professor who placed a national economic damage estimate of $40 bn for Irene and its aftermath. CNN quoted an insurance analyst who estimated $10 bn property damage nationwide.

Philadelphia faced rising waters on both the Schuylkill to its west and the Delaware River on its eastern bank, with waters rising to levels not seen for over a century. Over 300 odd roadways are impassable in New Jersey, with Governor Christie warning that the Delaware, Passaic, and (especially) Ramapo Rivers may not have crested yet. Large sections Hoboken remains under water as residents wait for the waters to recede. New York counties have also experienced record floods, with rescues being conducted in Westchester County on north. Flooding in Vermont has been more severe than expected with over 250 roadways under water, several covered bridges washed away, and neighborhoods and towns facing disastrous conditions for residents' property. Already one woman was swept by the floodwaters to her death while watching the rising torrent with her boyfriend.

Power remains out for over 3 million residents of the states affected strongest by Irene. Already in North Carolina, over 100k have had power restored as of Monday morning. New Jersey's PSE&G estimates that it could take up to a week to restore power to all ~800k residents still without power. Almost 700k remain powerless in Connecticut, with another 750k in the dark in New York state. Southeastern Pennsylvania had power outages affecting 300k residents as of Monday morning. And Maryland's original 800k residents facing powerlessness should begin to be able to turn on the lights as Monday progresses.

According to the AP, confirmed dead total 40 across 11 states as of Tuesday. Other people have been reported to be missing or washed away, with fates to be determined.

For those wondering why the storm was so severe in certain areas while leaving other parts relatively unscathed, this NY Times articles describes how meteorologists got it, in part, wrong. Basically, the expected "eye wall replacement" cycle common to storms like this one did not complete, resulting in relatively calmer conditions immediately south of the center of the storm. And with the center passing directly over New York City, after the storm's front had moved north, the expected continuance of wind and rain never quite materialized.

Source - http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/29/us/29forecast.html?hp

Day 3, August 28 -
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

Hurricane Irene is now a tropical storm (the first to make landfall in NYC since 1893) that continues to work its way north in New England before reaching Canada. NOAA reports its maxed sustained winds at 45 mph, with some higher gusts, as of 8 PM Sunday evening. Irene finally has picked up speed, heading NNE at 26 mph (after 2 days of moving between 13-16 mph). After lashing North Carolina and Virginia yesterday, Irene made a second landfall in southern New Jersey, near Little Egg Inlet, at around 5:35 AM Sunday morning. Irene landed near Long Beach on Long Island at around 10 AM on Sunday. The storm cell is not collapsing, or falling apart, but transitioning into a hybrid low pressure system that will still pack tropical storm force winds.

The death toll from Irene stands at around 20 people so far, with casualties reported from at least six states.

Flooding is widespread in some coastal areas but has been more severe inland, with swollen rivers inundating towns in VA, PA, NJ, NY, CT, and VT. Between 10-14 inches of rain fell in parts of North Carolina, with similar totals likely to have hit New Jersey as well. Hopefully, many of the 2.3 million residents who were issued mandatory evacuation orders heeded them. Philadelphia is currently suffering from some severe flooding, with water as high as 15 ft in certain areas, approaching its all-time record of 17 ft in 1869. Vermont is also suffering from serious flooding along riverbanks.

Millions of people have lost power in the tristate area - more than 500k in Long Island according to LIPA, almost 1 million in New Jersey according to PSE&G, over 70K in NYC and ~50k in Westchester according to ConEd, and almost 700k in Connecticut according to CL&P. No power has been lost in Manhattan, again according to conEd. Statewide in New York, 750k total people are in the dark. Around 3 million other residents are without power from states including North Carolina, Virginia, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and into New Jersey, bringing the total so far to over 4 million Americans. Power in New Jersey could take 5-7 days to restore. In Philadelphia, 21k residents were without power Sunday afternoon, with another 300k in the surrounding SE PA area. 800k Maryland residents are also currently without power as of Sunday. Tens of thousands have lost power in Rhode Island, and outages have occurred in Vermont as well with all the flooding.

The evacuation order for NYC was lifted at 3 PM on Sunday, with the mayor urging people to return at 6 PM. The MTA does not appear to have suffered serious damage to its underwater tunnels and is set to reopen at 6 AM on Monday morning, according to the AP. Government offices and financial markets will open on Monday. Airports in the tristate area are also set to reopen Monday.

New York City is trying out crowd-sourcing to let residents report damage. Feel free to do so here -
NYC Severe Weather

conEdison's interactive map for power outages so far - ConEd Outage Info

Also today: a 2.9 earthquake stuck New York state near Altamont. Governor Cuomo has ordered officials to assess any infrastructure damage in the area.

deeshoo's live report from the Upper West Side of Manhattan -
On August 29 2011 00:21 deeshoo wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Just woke up at 11am. Can still hear the wind but I don't feel it (winds are coming from the south west, I live on the northern side of the building) I feel like it was supposed to stay longer in NY, but otherwise the storm's pretty much gone. Sad I missed the eyewall passing overhead, but other than that, things are pretty uneventful now, thankfully

edit: lawl sun is coming out. people walking in streets with umbrellas, but otherwise not really giving a damn.

On August 28 2011 18:12 deeshoo wrote:
Live Update from Upper West Side Manhattan, 5:10 EST
edge of the storm's finally here, holy hell that's a lot of wind. it's straight up howling outside my window. not as much rain as i thought there would be, but i imagine it'll only get worse. stay safe everybody

On August 28 2011 11:20 deeshoo wrote:
22:16 EST Live from Upper West Side Manhattan
Ladies and gentlemen, we have lightning. Is that supposed to be typical of a hurricane or is this just some random summer thunderstorm that happens to be in Irene's path?

On August 28 2011 09:00 deeshoo wrote:
Live 19:58 EST from Upper West Side Manhattan, NYC
Starting to pour outside, winds picking up to a constant 12mph (source http://www.weather.com/weather/today/New York NY 10027). Few random cars going places on Broadway, hope they're just taxies taking people home :\

On August 28 2011 05:52 deeshoo wrote:
Live 16:55 EST from Upper West Side Manhattan, NYC
NYC (read: me) is pretty much turtled up now. I'm in my dorm room watching the window (which has a north facing view of Broadway on the right and the Hudson on the left), sticking my hand out every so often to check the climate. Nobody's out on the sidewalk, a few cars on the streets. Still no rain, but it's still super overcast (no surprise). Wind's picked up a little, pretty constant breeze of what I'm guessing is 10-15 mph. Just bought a lot of food in anticipation, local restaurants and markets are going to continue to be open for the rest of the day, but they're all closed for tomorrow. Praying for electricitiy and internet as the evening goes on, I want to watch MLG RA had a floor meeting last night explaining emergency procedures if worse came to worst, where we would take shelter in the auditorium for the rest of the night/day.

On August 28 2011 03:55 deeshoo wrote:
14:54 EST
Really overcast sky, pretty humid out. Slight sprinkle here and there but no winds at all yet. NYC is turtling hard though, big push coming from Irene soon



Day 2, August 27 -
+ Show Spoiler +
From The Weather Channel -
[image loading]

Hurricane Irene, a Category 1 hurricane, landed during the 7 AM hour EDT in North Carolina, close to Cape Lookout. The eye is expected to reach New York City by Sunday morning, with tropical storm winds arriving Saturday night, as it heads north with a current speed of ~16 mph. Heavy rains are being reported along with strong storm surges and gusts higher than its Category 1 status, as high as 115 mph along the coast. Rainfall totals of 6-8 inches are expected from the Chesapeake Bay, north along the NJ-PA border, north to Vermont, and all points east along the coast with 8-10 inches possible for the Delaware River Bay, eastern Chesapeake Bay, and central New Jersey. The storm's maximum sustained winds are ~80 mph according to CNN at the moment, but its danger has always been more due to its size and slow movement speed (causing widespread rain, wind, and storm surges) rather than the particularly strong winds that define Category 2 and above hurricanes. After suffering a partial eye wall replacement, Irene lost some of its potency and is not expected to strengthen again even as it passes over water instead of land.

Tornado watches have been going off from North Carolina north to southern New York. Current areas with tornado watches include many central and eastern counties in New Jersey as well as New York, Long Island, and Westchester and Rockland counties north of the city. North Carolina Emergency Management reports that at least 3 tornadoes have touched down in southeastern NC. Another tornado made landfall near Virginia Beach as well this morning. And tonight, a tornado was reported to have landed in Lewes, Delaware, according to the DE governor. Other tornadoes might have landed in Maryland and New Jersey already as well.

Power has been knocked out for over 2 million residents of Virginia and over 1 million in North Carolina so far. Consolidated Edison in NYC has announced that it might shut down power facilities in low-lying areas around the tristate area if salt water threatens to flood the grid. NYC officials have announced that Manhattan, below Chambers St, might lose power if ConEd determines that the flooding there is severe enough.

There have been at least 9 deaths reported so far with 4 casualties in NC. A surfer off a VA beach has been killed, a young boy was crushed when his room was struck by a falling tree, and at least 2 other Virginians have perished so far. Blood bank shortages are already expected for states including and north of North Carolina.

According to the New York Times -
FEMA: 2/3 of fleet along eastern coast; 18 disaster-response teams as well.
The Coast Guard: more than 20 rescue helicopters and reconnaissance planes ready to take off.
The Defense Department: 18 more helicopters set aside for response.
The National Guard: about 101,000 members available to respond.
The American Red Cross: more than 200 emergency response vehicles and tens of thousands of ready-to-eat meals in areas due to be hit by the storm.

Also from The Weather Channel is this - formerly self-updated - image of Irene's potential paths and forecast wind speeds -

[image loading]


Day 1, August 26 -
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

I am beginning to appreciate Hurricane Irene's potential for causing widespread damage and destruction across the eastern seaboard of the United States. As of now, Irene is forecasted to plod along the coast after it smashes into the Outer Banks of NC. It is classified as a large and powerful Category 1 hurricane as of Saturday morning, expected to diminish to a tropical storm status in after hitting New York City. Irene's slow speed of ~14 mph so far is well below the usual 30 mph a storm of this size normally has, increasing the potential for flooding, property damage, and other inconveniences. Hurricane Irene's tropical storm-force wind field was already larger than Hurricane Katrina's in 2005 on Friday. According to the NY Times, over 55 million people could be affected in the eastern United States. The Weather Channel has added an 'extreme' threat level category for the storm stretching from NC into New England. Ripped from its website -

- Computer models are currently trending toward a forecast solution of rare potency for portions of the Northeast.
- Irene will be a serious and multi-hazard threat for the major metropolitan areas of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. This includes Norfolk, Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, Hartford, and Boston. This hurricane has the potential to produce flooding rains, high winds, downed trees (on houses, cars, power lines) and widespread power outages. Significant impacts along the immediate coast include high waves, surge and beach erosion.
- For North Carolina, the main impacts of damaging winds and storm surge flooding will be confined to the far eastern portions of the state. In addition to the Outer Banks, this potentially includes Morehead City and Atlantic Beach.
- Timing: Irene will make its closest approach to North Carolina late Friday night through Saturday. Northeast U.S. impacts would be Saturday night through early Monday.

Source: TWC Hurricane Irene Storm Coverage

Mandatory evacuations have been issued up and down the eastern coast of the nation - over 2.3 million residents so far, according to the AP. Connecticut, Delaware, Maine Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Virginia have issued states of emergency ahead of the storm with more states to do the same, potentially, as the weekend progresses. Hurricane warnings have been issued by the National Weather Service for NC, VA, MD, DE, and NJ; hurricane watches have been issued for NY, CT, RI, and MA. The US Naval Station at Norfolk has ordered ships out to sea to better ride out the storm than at harbor. Governor Andrew Cuomo of NY has announced that the MTA will shut down entirely as of noon on Saturday, along with other regional commuter transit systems. Amtrak has cancelled train service from Friday - Sunday south of Washington, DC. The dedication ceremony for the new Rev. The Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority has suspended all service for Sunday. Martin Luther King Jr. Memorial along the National Park Mall in Washington, DC, has been postponed indefinitely after originally being scheduled for Sunday. Construction sites have been ordered to stop in the tristate area, with inspectors checking that heavy equipment is secured, and work on naval ships in Virginia has also been suspended.

JFK International Airport, LaGuardia Airport, and Newark Liberty International Airport have stopped receiving arriving flights as of noon Saturday and closed down. JetBlue, United and other airlines have wiped out over thousands of flights for this weekend alone. Check with any airline you or others might be using to see if rescheduling is possible. Expect delays in air travel throughout the nation, to varying degrees, due to grounding of planes and the fact that the east coast is the most heavily trafficked section.

All in all, this will be a serious meteorological event for the eastern seaboard of the US. Property damage has already been estimated to top $1 BN when all is said and done. The fact that it will likely be, as of now, a tropical storm by the time it reaches New Jersey and NYC will still mean sustained winds and rain that the area has not seen for many years. The last major hurricane this far north was in 1944 but much farther east, out to sea in the Atlantic. With the eye of the storm potentially crawling up the NJ shore, the area may not be as lucky this time around. The shutdown of the entire MTA in New York as of noon on Saturday is also unprecedented, but completely necessary. The 39 mph threshold for winds that the service cannot operate adequately or safely seems low, but then again this could be a once-in-a-century(lifetime) occurrence.

Hopefully, officials will have over-prepared and the storm will not be as dire as forecasts indicate. I wish anyone potentially affected the best of luck and encourage people to remember those in the most need during such, potentially, trying times.


This is self-updating image from NOAA of the nation -

[image loading]

Google has a Crisis Response division with some useful and instructive interactive maps -

Google Crisis Response

NY Times Interactive Map for NYC's Hurricane Evacuation Zones -

NYC Hurricane Evacuation Zones

For more information (and my sources for much of this info) -

TWC Hurricane Tracker - http://www.weather.com/weather/hurricanecentral/tracker
NOAA - http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4 shtml/211943.shtml?gm_track#contents
NYT Hurricane Irene Tracker - http://www.nytimes.com/projects/hurricanes/#!/2011/Irene?hp
Updated NYT - http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/28/us/28hurricane-irene.html?hp
2nd NYT Article - http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/28/nyregion/new-yorkers-warned-of-possible-electrical-shutdown.html
Wikipedia - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Irene_(2011)

(PS: First ever topic created on TL)
I don't know half of you half as well as I should like and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve. - Bilbo
Wire
Profile Joined July 2009
United States494 Posts
August 26 2011 01:02 GMT
#2
holy crap thats insane. gl and best wishes to everyone who lives in those areas D:

this could ruin government as we know it, if the hurricane smashes all our nice buildings
"You sacced your ovie, which is great, but then you didn't watch it die, which is bad :("
Probe1
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States17920 Posts
August 26 2011 01:03 GMT
#3
I heavily doubt
Wire what the fuck?

....

I highly doubt there will be severe damage. After 24ish years of hurricane season, this one doesn't seem that bad at all.
우정호 KT_VIOLET 1988 - 2012 While we are postponing, life speeds by
mizU
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States12125 Posts
August 26 2011 01:05 GMT
#4
Irene, I say again, Irene.

*Fucking IRENEEEEE*

Be safe everyone.
if happy ever afters did exist <3 @watamizu_
Alejandrisha
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States6565 Posts
August 26 2011 01:05 GMT
#5
Drivin to NC tomorrow :/
*crosses fingers*
get rich or die mining
TL+ Member
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
August 26 2011 01:05 GMT
#6
I really am wondering how this will affect MLG this weekend. Hopefully it doesn't cause a power outage or a lot of damage to the area.
dangerjoe
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark1866 Posts
August 26 2011 01:06 GMT
#7
Here is another link: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4 shtml/211943.shtml?gm_track#contents

Hope all you guys will be okay
Ask Beavis, I get nothing Butt-head
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10154 Posts
August 26 2011 01:07 GMT
#8
This thing delayed my cruise by one day to bermuda (celebrity X) now the cruise before us will now get one day extra in bermuda while we get less... but the cruise said since it is a 2 1/2 day journey from NYC to bermuda, they would quicken pace to get us there in 1 1/2 days, thereby getting us ON bermuda on the same date, so its all good

yeah, chris christie ordered a sate of emergency. its pretty intense right now.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Probe1
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States17920 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-26 01:10:03
August 26 2011 01:07 GMT
#9
MLG


Raleigh is a fair distance inland, there shouldn't be severe flooding. Maybe power outages if Irene makes landfall directly on NC but chances are equal that it'll follow the stream out into the Atlantic.


On August 26 2011 10:07 FlaShFTW wrote:
This thing delayed my cruise by one day to bermuda (celebrity X) now the cruise before us will now get one day extra in bermuda while we get less... but the cruise said since it is a 2 1/2 day journey from NYC to bermuda, they would quicken pace to get us there in 1 1/2 days, thereby getting us ON bermuda on the same date, so its all good

yeah, chris christie ordered a sate of emergency. its pretty intense right now.

My friends are stuck in the Dominican Republic :| They tried to convince me to come down on a weekend surfing trip. They've been stuck there for over a week now. They tell me there wasn't any super severe damage at least and they were ok.
우정호 KT_VIOLET 1988 - 2012 While we are postponing, life speeds by
Probe1
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States17920 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-26 01:09:39
August 26 2011 01:09 GMT
#10
double post
우정호 KT_VIOLET 1988 - 2012 While we are postponing, life speeds by
HuKPOWA
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States1604 Posts
August 26 2011 01:09 GMT
#11
Hopefulyl this doesn't affect MLG :\
SafeAsCheese
Profile Joined June 2011
United States4924 Posts
August 26 2011 01:14 GMT
#12
Where I live

[image loading]
deeshoo
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States319 Posts
August 26 2011 01:18 GMT
#13
On August 26 2011 10:14 SafeAsCheese wrote:
Where I live

[image loading]


bunker up
gl hf :D
Probe1
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States17920 Posts
August 26 2011 01:18 GMT
#14
Do you have a evacuation route planned SafeAsCheese? I don't really know what building codes are like in Virginia but if it's a cat2 I wouldn't want you to stick around to see it :|
우정호 KT_VIOLET 1988 - 2012 While we are postponing, life speeds by
Yergidy
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2107 Posts
August 26 2011 01:20 GMT
#15
On August 26 2011 10:18 deeshoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 26 2011 10:14 SafeAsCheese wrote:
Where I live

[image loading]


bunker up

Ya dude. Have a bunch of SCVs mass repair that shit! Lol
One bright day in the middle of the night, Two dead boys got up to fight; Back to back they faced each other, Drew their swords and shot each other.
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
August 26 2011 01:22 GMT
#16
--- Nuked ---
FeUerFlieGe
Profile Joined April 2011
United States1193 Posts
August 26 2011 01:25 GMT
#17
obx is gona be flooded it looks like
To unpathed waters, undreamed shores. - Shakespeare
Diizzy
Profile Joined August 2011
United States828 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-08-26 01:45:19
August 26 2011 01:43 GMT
#18
hmm catergory 3. not too bad. might just cause some damage in the area but it wont hurt anybody i think. hope everyone is careful.

oh ok i read it wrong. that is powerful. crap. be safe! evacuate if you can plz.
XXGeneration
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States625 Posts
August 26 2011 01:47 GMT
#19
I'm in NJ; everyone here is whoring up food like crazy. We're a small suburban town, so we're hoping for the best!
"I was so surprised when I first played StarCraft 2. I couldn't believe that such an easy game exists... I guess the best way to attract people these days is to make things easy and simple." -Midas
RusHXceL
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1004 Posts
August 26 2011 01:48 GMT
#20
MLG is going to get crazy when the hurricane comes

quote me.
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