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TL Mafia XXVIII - Page 28

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
July 19 2010 21:39 GMT
#541
Lol oh I found one mistake as well yeah
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
July 19 2010 21:39 GMT
#542
fml, refresh
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
July 19 2010 22:15 GMT
#543
Resources (fixed)
+ Show Spoiler +
Jayme -> Amber[light]
Pandain -> abstain
DTA -> Abstain -> d3_crescentia
d3_crescentia -> DTA
DTA -> Unabstain
citi.zen -> DTA
rastaban -> citi.zen
youngminii -> Pyrrhuloxia
Pandain -> Incognito
SouthRawrea -> Abstain
~OpZ~ -> Chaoser
BloodyC0bbler -> Abstain
bumatlarge -> Divinek
Pandain -> BloodyC0bbler
Hyperbola -> SiNiquity
LaXercannon -> Abstain
Youngminii -> Abstain
Divinek -> Abstain
Tricode -> Abstain
Misder -> Hyperbola
Divinek -> Hyperbola
Pandain -> Hyperbola
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain
zeks -> Hyperbola
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola
Roffles -> Abstain
tree.hugger -> LaXercannon
Foolishness -> Abstain
lakrismamma -> LaXercannon
lakrismamma -> Subversion
BloodyC0bbler -> Pandain
~OpZ~ -> BloodyC0bbler
Pyrrhuloxia -> DTA
XeliN -> Brownbear
iNfuNdiBuLuM -> youngminii
youngminii -> iNfuNdiBuLuM
citi.zen -> ketomai
XeliN -> youngminii
chaoser -> abstain
Amber[LighT] -> abstain
treehugger -> DTA
Amber[LighT] -> youngminii
Roffles -> youngminii
lakrismamma -> ketomai
DTA -> Amber[LighT]
bumatlarge -> Hyperbola
BrownBear -> Hyperbola
Jayme -> Youngminii
Foolishness -> BloodyC0bbler
Misder -> LaXerCannon
zeks -> abstain
Subversion -> Hyperbola


BloodyC0bbler -> Abstain -> Pandain
bumatlarge -> Divinek -> Hyperbola*
BrownBear -> Hyperbola*
Chaoser -> Abstain
citi.zen -> ketomai
d3_crescentia -> DTA
Divinek -> Abstain -> Hyperbola*
DTA -> Abstain -> Amber[LighT]
Foolishness -> Abstain -> BloodyC0bbler
Hyperbola -> SiNiquity
iNfuNdiBuLuM -> youngminii
Jayme -> Amber[Light] -> youngminii
lakrismamma -> LaXerCannon -> Subversion -> ketomai
LaXercannon -> Abstain
Misder -> Hyperbola* -> LaXercannon
~OpZ~ -> Chaoser -> BloodyC0bbler
Pandain -> Abstain -> Incognito (?) -> BloodyC0bbler -> Hyperbola*
Protactinium -> Abstain
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain -> DTA
rastaban -> citi.zen
Roffles -> Abstain
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola*
SouthRawrea -> Abstain
Subversion -> Hyperbola
Tricode -> Abstain
tree.hugger -> LaXerCannon
XeliN -> Brownbear -> youngminii
youngminii -> Pyrrhuloxia -> abstain -> iNfuNdiBuLuM
zeks -> Hyperbola* -> abstain


What interests me is this block of voting:
Misder -> Hyperbola
Divinek -> Hyperbola
Pandain -> Hyperbola
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain
zeks -> Hyperbola
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola

and these people:
Misder -> Hyperbola* -> LaXercannon
zeks -> Hyperbola* -> abstain

My head hurts so I'll just give a couple one liners for now (I've been digging through this damned thread for like an eternity)

The Hyperbola bandwagon
Misder @ 10:43
Divinek @ 10:51
Pandain @ 10:56
zeks @ 11:22
SiNiquity @ 11:37

Within an hour, Hyperbola gets bandwagonned and is in first place:
5] Hyperbola (Misder, Divinek, Pandain, Zeks, SiNiquity)
2] DarthThienAn (d3_crescentia, citi.zen)
1] Amber[LighT] (jayme),
1] d3_crescentia (darthThienAn),
1] citi.zen (rastaban)
1] chaoser (~opz~)
1] Divinek (bumatlarge)
1] SiNiquity (Hyperbola)
6] abstain (BloodyC0bbler, LaXerCannon, youngminii, tricode, Pyrrhuloxia, Roffles)
@ 11:37 (after roffles' vote)

Definitely suspicious considering how fast and compact the votes were together

Misder -> Hyperbola* -> LaXercannon
zeks -> Hyperbola*
-> abstain

Misder -> starts bandwagon, jumps off when Hyperbola's screwed
zeks -> fourth voter for bandwagon, jumps off when Hyperbola's screwed

attempts at lowering suspicion?
Just keep swimming
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
July 19 2010 22:17 GMT
#544
Won't be able to post for a while. Dog going crazy(Lightning.)

I'll be making a long epic post containing my thoughts in case I get killed tonight.
flamewheel
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
FREEAGLELAND26781 Posts
July 19 2010 22:33 GMT
#545
On July 20 2010 07:17 Pandain wrote:
...Dog going crazy(Lightning.)
...

My bad^^
Writerdamn, i was two days from retirement
zeks
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Canada1068 Posts
July 19 2010 22:36 GMT
#546
i explained why i wasn't going to end up having my vote placed on hyperbola. I had it on him first to pressure him to talk and then I said he had a valid defense so I guaranteed that my vote wouldn't be left on him and I'll try to find someone else. When I returned to my comp like 8 hours later then I changed to abstain.

Don't get me wrong I think the Hyperbola list is a perfect choice (the obvious one) the look at cause he did flip town and who'd be more suspicious than the people who voted him.

"Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference."
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
July 19 2010 22:44 GMT
#547
So if I'm understanding this, youngminii was ahead in the votes, then BrownBear and bumatlarge voted for Hyperbola, which pushed Hyperbola ahead in the voting (and he stayed ahead until day end). So it's possible there was a push to save youngminii from being lynched.

Of course please correct me if I'm mistaken. The people above me who are doing the vote tally are very very very unorganized with their posts.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
SiNiquity
Profile Joined April 2010
United States734 Posts
July 19 2010 22:50 GMT
#548
On July 20 2010 06:27 SiNiquity wrote:
Sorry for my absence yesterday - visiting relatives (on my anniversary no less, though we celebrated last month prematurely while we were in Europe) went wayy longer than I thought. Went to bed thinking we weren't allowed to talk - glad BM changed his mind.

Day 1 Votes:
+ Show Spoiler [Voting Record (ordered by votes)] +

Pre-game votes:
[link] jayme ==> Amber[LighT]
[link] DarthThienAn ==> Abstain
[link] DarthThienAn ==> d3_crescentia
[link] d3_crescentia ==> DarthThienAn
[link] citi.zen ==> DarthThienAn
[link] rastaban ==> citi.zen

Day 1 Votes
[link] youngminii ==> Pyrrhuloxia
[link] Pandain ==> Incognito
[link] SouthRawrea ==> Incognito (edited to Abstain few hours later)
[link] ~OpZ~ ==> Chaoser
[link] BloodyC0bbler ==> Abstain
[link] bumatlarge ==> Divinek
[link] Pandain ==> BloodyC0bbler
[link] Hyperbola ==> SiNiquity
[link] LaXerCannon ==> Abstain
[link] youngminii ==> Abstain
[link] Divinek ==> Abstain
[link] Tricode ==> Abstain
[link] Misder ==> Hyperbola
[link] Divinek ==> Hyperbola
[link] Pandain ==> Hyperbola
[link] Pyrrhuloxia ==> Abstain
[link] Zeks ==> Hyperbola
[link] SiNiquity ==> Hyperbola
[link] Roffles ==> Abstain
[link] tree.hugger ==> LaXerCannon
[link] Foolishness ==> Abstain
[link] Lakrismamma ==> LaXerCannon
[link] Lakrismamma ==> Subversion
[link] BloodyC0bbler ==> Pandain
[link] ~OpZ~ ==> BloodyC0bbler
[link] Pyrrhuloxia ==> DarthThienAn
[link] XeliN ==> Brownbear
[link] iNfuNdiBuLuM ==> youngminii
[link] youngminii ==> iNfuNdiBuLuM
[link] citi.zen ==> ketomai
[link] XeliN ==> youngminii
[link] chaoser ==> Abstain
[link] Amber[LighT] ==> Abstain
[link] tree.hugger ==> DarthThienAn
[link] Amber[LighT] ==> youngminii
[link] Roffles ==> youngminii
[link] lakrismamma ==> ketomai
[link] DarthThienAn ==> Amber[LighT]
[link] bumatlarge ==> Hyperbola
[link] BrownBear ==> Hyperbola
[link] Protactinium ==> Abstain
[link] Jayme ==> youngminii
[link] Foolishness ==> BloodyC0bbler
[link] Misder ==> LaXerCannon
[link] zeks ==> Abstain
[link] Subversion ==> Hyperbola


+ Show Spoiler [Voting Record (ordered by player)] +

jayme ==> Amber[LighT] ==> youngminii
DarthThienAn ==> Abstain ==> d3_crescentia ==> Amber[LighT]
d3_crescentia ==> DarthThienAn
citi.zen ==> DarthThienAn ==> ketomai
rastaban ==> citi.zen
youngminii ==> Pyrrhuloxia ==> Abstain ==> iNfuNdiBuLuM
Pandain ==> Incognito ==> BloodyC0bbler ==> Hyperbola
SouthRawrea ==> Incognito/Abstain
~OpZ~ ==> Chaoser ==> BloodyC0bbler
BloodyC0bbler ==> Abstain ==> Pandain
bumatlarge ==> Divinek ==> Hyperbola
Hyperbola ==> SiNiquity
LaXerCannon ==> Abstain
Divinek ==> Abstain ==> Hyperbola
Tricode ==> Abstain
Misder ==> Hyperbola ==> LaXerCannon
Pyrrhuloxia ==> Abstain ==> DarthThienAn
Zeks ==> Hyperbola ==> Abstain
SiNiquity ==> Hyperbola
Roffles ==> Abstain ==> youngminii
tree.hugger ==> LaXerCannon ==> DarthThienAn
Foolishness ==> Abstain ==> BloodyC0bbler
Lakrismamma ==> LaXerCannon ==> Subversion ==> ketomai
XeliN ==> Brownbear ==> youngminii
iNfuNdiBuLuM ==> youngminii
chaoser ==> Abstain
Amber[LighT] ==> Abstain ==> youngminii
BrownBear ==> Hyperbola
Protactinium ==> Abstain
Subversion ==> Hyperbola


Comments:
+ Show Spoiler [Look at the data yourself first] +

Few things that jumped out at me:
  • Jayme voted for youngminii, not Amber[LighT] (brings youngminii's vote up to 5 from 4 - this is important, as you'll see in a bit).
  • Subversion Votes for Hyperbola with a one liner as night approaches, 45 minutes before the deadline. The vote was previously tied at 5-5. There wasn't a vote count with the Jayme mistake in it, as Jayme voted in between the Last Non-Final Vote Count (4.5 hours before deadline) and the Final Vote Count. It could be a freak coincidence, and had it been left at tied Hyperbola would've won, as he achieved more votes first. But maybe it was too close for comfort, as it was 7 - 5 before two people unvoted Hyperbole. Who's to say another wouldn't have jumped ship? Putting it 6-5 made it more secure.
  • youngminii as implied by the Subv.'s move. Again, this could be coincidence.
  • Rastaban left his vote on citi.zen, a pre-game/pre-role vote, despite promising to change it. He doesn't disappear after this, but rather continues in the thread to argue about the lynch/no-lynch debate, even up until a few hours before the deadline, without ever changing his vote.
  • citi.zen and lakrismamma left their votes on ketomai, someone who was almost assuredly going to get mod-killed. Citi.zen did this initially to "get ketomai to participate," and lak followed suit, though when ketomai didn't participate (obv. modkill target) the vote should've been moved, especially after he was replaced by Protactinium. Likely a simple mistake, but should've been addressed more when DTA points out the wtf'ness
  • BrownBear sticks out to me for the reasons already been covered. You'd think he's never played Mafia before based on the way he's playing, but that's hardly the case.


wtf, how much more organized can you get than this? Only thing missing is fixed-formatting which TL doesn't have AFAIK
'i' before 'e' except after 'c' ~ it's scientifically proven.
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
July 19 2010 23:01 GMT
#549
Guys if I die tonight, then I am mafia.

Death Post:+ Show Spoiler +
Godfather
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
Pyrrhuloxia
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States6700 Posts
July 19 2010 23:02 GMT
#550
On July 20 2010 07:44 Foolishness wrote:
So if I'm understanding this, youngminii was ahead in the votes, then BrownBear and bumatlarge voted for Hyperbola, which pushed Hyperbola ahead in the voting (and he stayed ahead until day end). So it's possible there was a push to save youngminii from being lynched.

Of course please correct me if I'm mistaken. The people above me who are doing the vote tally are very very very unorganized with their posts.

From looking at the post after this one, I think Hyperbola had 5 to youngminii's 4, and then brownbear and bumatlarge made it 7-4.
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
July 19 2010 23:02 GMT
#551
The ordered by player list doesn't help for anything.

The only thing that's useful out of these lists is tracking the changes of who was ahead in the voting and how they got ahead. For instance, youngminii was ahead in votes at some point (I believe), looking at who were the people that pushed Hyperbola over is what's important. You also need the timestamps of when these votes happen, in order to confirm if there was a mafia pushover.

It's been said before, mafia spread out their votes as much as possible. I wouldn't be surprised if there was only 1 mafia in the votes for youngminii and hyperbola combined. The only exception to this is if a mafia was about to be lynched, as the team would try to save that person. That's what we need to look out for.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
July 19 2010 23:03 GMT
#552
On July 20 2010 08:02 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 07:44 Foolishness wrote:
So if I'm understanding this, youngminii was ahead in the votes, then BrownBear and bumatlarge voted for Hyperbola, which pushed Hyperbola ahead in the voting (and he stayed ahead until day end). So it's possible there was a push to save youngminii from being lynched.

Of course please correct me if I'm mistaken. The people above me who are doing the vote tally are very very very unorganized with their posts.

From looking at the post after this one, I think Hyperbola had 5 to youngminii's 4, and then brownbear and bumatlarge made it 7-4.

But the final was 6-4 right?
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
SouthRawrea
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada608 Posts
July 19 2010 23:04 GMT
#553
Talking at night is stupid D:. It takes away from what the game is supposed to be.
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
July 19 2010 23:05 GMT
#554
On July 20 2010 08:01 DarthThienAn wrote:
Guys if I die tonight, then I am mafia.

Death Post:+ Show Spoiler +
Godfather

You might as well just roleclaim whatever blue role you have to the town. I mean, if the mafia don't kill you tonight they are either stupid or you are in fact mafia. If you aren't dead after night then you should be top priority for lynch.

Of course, you could just actually act normal and help us out to save you a bunch of trouble.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Pyrrhuloxia
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States6700 Posts
July 19 2010 23:07 GMT
#555
On July 20 2010 07:15 LaXerCannon wrote:
Resources (fixed)
+ Show Spoiler +
Jayme -> Amber[light]
Pandain -> abstain
DTA -> Abstain -> d3_crescentia
d3_crescentia -> DTA
DTA -> Unabstain
citi.zen -> DTA
rastaban -> citi.zen
youngminii -> Pyrrhuloxia
Pandain -> Incognito
SouthRawrea -> Abstain
~OpZ~ -> Chaoser
BloodyC0bbler -> Abstain
bumatlarge -> Divinek
Pandain -> BloodyC0bbler
Hyperbola -> SiNiquity
LaXercannon -> Abstain
Youngminii -> Abstain
Divinek -> Abstain
Tricode -> Abstain
Misder -> Hyperbola
Divinek -> Hyperbola
Pandain -> Hyperbola
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain
zeks -> Hyperbola
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola
Roffles -> Abstain
tree.hugger -> LaXercannon
Foolishness -> Abstain
lakrismamma -> LaXercannon
lakrismamma -> Subversion
BloodyC0bbler -> Pandain
~OpZ~ -> BloodyC0bbler
Pyrrhuloxia -> DTA
XeliN -> Brownbear
iNfuNdiBuLuM -> youngminii
youngminii -> iNfuNdiBuLuM
citi.zen -> ketomai
XeliN -> youngminii
chaoser -> abstain
Amber[LighT] -> abstain
treehugger -> DTA
Amber[LighT] -> youngminii
Roffles -> youngminii
lakrismamma -> ketomai
DTA -> Amber[LighT]
bumatlarge -> Hyperbola
BrownBear -> Hyperbola
Jayme -> Youngminii
Foolishness -> BloodyC0bbler
Misder -> LaXerCannon
zeks -> abstain
Subversion -> Hyperbola


BloodyC0bbler -> Abstain -> Pandain
bumatlarge -> Divinek -> Hyperbola*
BrownBear -> Hyperbola*
Chaoser -> Abstain
citi.zen -> ketomai
d3_crescentia -> DTA
Divinek -> Abstain -> Hyperbola*
DTA -> Abstain -> Amber[LighT]
Foolishness -> Abstain -> BloodyC0bbler
Hyperbola -> SiNiquity
iNfuNdiBuLuM -> youngminii
Jayme -> Amber[Light] -> youngminii
lakrismamma -> LaXerCannon -> Subversion -> ketomai
LaXercannon -> Abstain
Misder -> Hyperbola* -> LaXercannon
~OpZ~ -> Chaoser -> BloodyC0bbler
Pandain -> Abstain -> Incognito (?) -> BloodyC0bbler -> Hyperbola*
Protactinium -> Abstain
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain -> DTA
rastaban -> citi.zen
Roffles -> Abstain
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola*
SouthRawrea -> Abstain
Subversion -> Hyperbola
Tricode -> Abstain
tree.hugger -> LaXerCannon
XeliN -> Brownbear -> youngminii
youngminii -> Pyrrhuloxia -> abstain -> iNfuNdiBuLuM
zeks -> Hyperbola* -> abstain


What interests me is this block of voting:
Misder -> Hyperbola
Divinek -> Hyperbola
Pandain -> Hyperbola
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain
zeks -> Hyperbola
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola

and these people:
Misder -> Hyperbola* -> LaXercannon
zeks -> Hyperbola* -> abstain

My head hurts so I'll just give a couple one liners for now (I've been digging through this damned thread for like an eternity)

The Hyperbola bandwagon
Misder @ 10:43
Divinek @ 10:51
Pandain @ 10:56
zeks @ 11:22
SiNiquity @ 11:37

Within an hour, Hyperbola gets bandwagonned and is in first place:
Show nested quote +
5] Hyperbola (Misder, Divinek, Pandain, Zeks, SiNiquity)
2] DarthThienAn (d3_crescentia, citi.zen)
1] Amber[LighT] (jayme),
1] d3_crescentia (darthThienAn),
1] citi.zen (rastaban)
1] chaoser (~opz~)
1] Divinek (bumatlarge)
1] SiNiquity (Hyperbola)
6] abstain (BloodyC0bbler, LaXerCannon, youngminii, tricode, Pyrrhuloxia, Roffles)
@ 11:37 (after roffles' vote)

Definitely suspicious considering how fast and compact the votes were together

Misder -> Hyperbola* -> LaXercannon
zeks -> Hyperbola*
-> abstain

Misder -> starts bandwagon, jumps off when Hyperbola's screwed
zeks -> fourth voter for bandwagon, jumps off when Hyperbola's screwed

attempts at lowering suspicion?

When this supposed bandwagon started, I believe no one had more than one vote. I can't see more than one or two reds organizing a vote against youngminii in this situation. Reds bandwagon to save their own and no one was in mortal danger. Even if they thought youngminii was blue (I didn't see any reason to think that), they could kill him at night. Herd mentality isn't suspicious, it's par for the course.
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
July 19 2010 23:07 GMT
#556
On July 20 2010 07:44 Foolishness wrote:
So if I'm understanding this, youngminii was ahead in the votes, then BrownBear and bumatlarge voted for Hyperbola, which pushed Hyperbola ahead in the voting (and he stayed ahead until day end). So it's possible there was a push to save youngminii from being lynched.

Of course please correct me if I'm mistaken. The people above me who are doing the vote tally are very very very unorganized with their posts.


I had to map the votes in excel to make it easier to analyze.

Before bum and BB voted for hyper, the count was 5-4 in Hyperbolas favor.

So they vote, and the tally is Hyperbola 7, Youngminii 4. DTA and ketomai each had two votes.

Jayme votes for youngminii to make it 7-5.

Then, misder and zeks switch their votes to Laxercannon and abstain, respectively. So the count is now 5-5.

Finally, subversion comes in and drops his vote on Hyperbola. 6-5.

Siniquity's analysis has detailed the important parts of this pretty well, i think.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Pyrrhuloxia
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States6700 Posts
July 19 2010 23:08 GMT
#557
On July 20 2010 08:04 SouthRawrea wrote:
Talking at night is stupid D:. It takes away from what the game is supposed to be.

I've never played a game without it... Don't see any reason things have to be like the parlor game so much.
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
July 19 2010 23:08 GMT
#558
On July 20 2010 08:05 Foolishness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 08:01 DarthThienAn wrote:
Guys if I die tonight, then I am mafia.

Death Post:+ Show Spoiler +
Godfather

You might as well just roleclaim whatever blue role you have to the town. I mean, if the mafia don't kill you tonight they are either stupid or you are in fact mafia. If you aren't dead after night then you should be top priority for lynch.

Of course, you could just actually act normal and help us out to save you a bunch of trouble.


lol. Just doing my job ^^.

On another note, I think Hyberbola was Godfather, so he flipped green... I mean, BM didn't officially say that he was a townie in the night post. :D:D:D
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
Divinek
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada4045 Posts
July 19 2010 23:10 GMT
#559
darth is so getting my vote after brown bear
Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.
Oh goodness me, FOX tv where do you get your sight? Can't you keep track, the puck is black. That's why the ice is white.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
July 19 2010 23:10 GMT
#560
On July 20 2010 07:33 flamewheel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 07:17 Pandain wrote:
...Dog going crazy(Lightning.)
...

My bad^^


I forgive you.

Dog's doing way better now(weird).

Just reread the rules, and am I right that the DT has as long as the twilight post to pm the host and say who they want to check. If so, I HIGHLY suggest them to check youngmini. He's definitely going to be active and I have to say, has been playing (at least) strange.

Of course, I'm still giving Youngmini the benefit of the doubt just because we are in a secret friendship alliance, and why would he lie in a secret friendship alliance? But just in case, I would suggest the DT to check them.
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