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TL Mafia XXVIII - Page 27

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
July 19 2010 17:00 GMT
#521
And...just to mention this....

I'm always against sheep voting...And I've seen better play from brownbear.

Baaaaaaaaa
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
July 19 2010 17:11 GMT
#522
*Pandain read the news this morning, the knowledge of what he had done burning on his mind. As his mind came to that single article he threw the newspaper on the ground, screaming. He threw stuff on the ground , breaking windows, plates, even his own heart(awwww).
For he had just killed an innocent man.

Pandain had learned one thing from the monstrosity, and that was to not jump to conclusions. Pandain would go back into the shadows, noting words, once in a while making acute observations.
But never again would his actions lead to the death of an innocent, a friendly, the man by the name Hyperbola."

LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
July 19 2010 17:13 GMT
#523
luckily I have this as my homepage or I would've missed the fact that talking was allowed again :X
Just keep swimming
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
July 19 2010 17:42 GMT
#524
I don't have much time currently to commit to this game as much as I'd like, still keeping track just can't go over things as carefully as I should. I'll be fine after tomorrow, just caught me at a unfortunately busy period.

Anyway, Young, going back I didn't respond to you. Your right about my criticism of you for trying to influence the action of the blues, I didn't properly read what you were suggesting, which hopefully if I am right was simply that we should have organised a system whereby we make sure the blues do not use their night actions on the same person. I stand by my analysis of you however, I went over your posts and they did strike me as suspicious. Particularly the way you were pressing for lynching someone who was going to be modkilled anyway or a no lynch, which only hurts us.

Currently the best thing to look at would be voting patterns and arguments in light of Hyperbola flipping town, I'd be careful though because it's plausible that none of the people who voted for Hyper are mafia, this is a first day lynch afterall.

Your sig freaked me out earlier when I read it Bill, was reading the rules//roles section and didnt realise sig changes apply to old posts so had a weird moment of de ja vu xD
Adonai bless
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
July 19 2010 18:06 GMT
#525
There is are six mafia in this game.

There is probably one mafia in each of these lists, but I'd also lean on citi and young being mafia candidates.
Hyperbola (Divinek, Pandain, SiNiquity, bumatlarge, BB, Subversion)

YoungMinii (XeliN, Amber[LighT, Roffles, Infizzleundibulumizzle)

abstain (LaXerCannon, tricode, SouthRawrea, Chaoser, protactinium, zeks)

citi.zen (rastaban)
SiNiquity (Hyperbola) [
b]Pandain (BC)
Infundibulum (youngminii)
[/b]

And probably two in this one:
DarthThienAn (d3_crescentia, Pyrrhuloxia, tree.hugger)
ketomai (citi.zen, lakrismamma)
Amber[LighT] (jayme, DarthThienAn),
BloodyC0bbler (~OpZ, Foolishness)
LaXerCannon (Misder, citi.zen)


Mafia vote counts are usually spread across the likely candidates, as the mafia don't know who our blue's are as much as we know who they are. So there's not a lot to be gained by them in focusing on one target, at least not yet. Therefore, there's probably some mafia who voted early, (I'd lean towards those being more experienced players, but possibly not.) some mafia who voted late, and some mafia who changed their votes. I tend to suspect people who voted against each other, as personal conflict give the mafia a great excuse to make a silly vote that won't ever be held to them. I think we've seen faux conflict be manufactured that way as well.

We'll see what more the hits tonight give us, but keep this day 1 voting template in mind.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
Divinek
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Canada4045 Posts
July 19 2010 18:44 GMT
#526
On July 20 2010 01:34 Roffles wrote:
Nah OpZ, not just one shitty post by BrownBear. Nearly all his posts are shitty. Don't really wanna dig up the post, but I do recall him voting first, then saying "I'm gonna go read".

Like what the hell is that? I'm gonna blindly vote, then read, then afterwards he just makes it even better by saying, "Oh, I could change my vote. But nahhhhh"


yeah read the thread but didnt contribute anything and based on what his posts said he's probably worse than inactive at this point cause he actually voted

i see people say that alot 'oh shit rl busy im gonna read thread and post some stuff' then they dont, they just say this to take focus off them and possible votes

im for sure throwing my vote on him as soon as day comes so he can hopefully be forced to actually post something
Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.
Oh goodness me, FOX tv where do you get your sight? Can't you keep track, the puck is black. That's why the ice is white.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
July 19 2010 19:14 GMT
#527
On July 20 2010 03:44 Divinek wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 01:34 Roffles wrote:
Nah OpZ, not just one shitty post by BrownBear. Nearly all his posts are shitty. Don't really wanna dig up the post, but I do recall him voting first, then saying "I'm gonna go read".

Like what the hell is that? I'm gonna blindly vote, then read, then afterwards he just makes it even better by saying, "Oh, I could change my vote. But nahhhhh"


yeah read the thread but didnt contribute anything and based on what his posts said he's probably worse than inactive at this point cause he actually voted

i see people say that alot 'oh shit rl busy im gonna read thread and post some stuff' then they dont, they just say this to take focus off them and possible votes

im for sure throwing my vote on him as soon as day comes so he can hopefully be forced to actually post something

I like this. You will go on my "likely town" list.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
July 19 2010 19:31 GMT
#528
Just letting everyone know that I am alive. But I will not be posting anything of content ^^. I think I've said enough already.
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
Protactinium
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada550 Posts
July 19 2010 19:50 GMT
#529
I kind of want to draw focus to the "Abstain" list.
Abstain: (LaXerCannon, tricode, SouthRawrea, Chaoser, protactinium, zeks)

I haven't seen or read too many Mafia games with the "Abstain" voting option; normally I just see people voting for themselves but that is not allowed in this game. Regardless, the six people on this list are all fairly inactive or haven't been contributing much, myself included. Though tree.hugger has brought up that Mafia will spread their votes amongst other people, I do think he's right in assuming that at least one Mafia member is abstaining, since it's the easiest way out.

When I went back and searched for the relevant posts people had made, I found that most of the above-mentioned do not have really any substantial or substantiating posts. Luckily, chaoser has saved me some time by notating the abstain votes here. Interestingly, or not-really-so-, enough, abstainers have a pretty low level of useful activity.

Let's start with Laxercannon. He doesn't really seem to make an effort in the game, and only has one post in which he types more than a line of text. He abstains but then doesn't make any effort to change it over the course of the next four or so hours. Also, his lack of attentiveness can be seen in his latest comment, stating that he wasn't following the thread enough. From reading a few past games he's been in, he seems to normally be more active. It's really too early, in my opinion, to draw some sort of conclusive read but I think it can be conclusively said that from the evidence given so far, Laxercannon is not playing very pro-town.

I've never seen tricode play a game before, but I think he's one of the older players, judging by his posting attitude. Out of the people on the abstain list, he seems to be the only one who isn't just posting spam (besides myself, since I only have two posts... though even those two don't add anything!). He votes for an abstain because he has to see his dad off, and then says that lynches have to be used, since saying "what if" loses the game. This is a good idea. tricode reads pretty town in my eyes.

chaoser doesn't really seem to be saying too much, looking through his posts, though he did compile the voting list afterward for the final few hours of the first day. He reiterates some old points beforehand, but I do like the list afterward. Will have to beware of 'paraphrased wording,' of course. chaoser seems to be playing pro-town, but he doesn't do the analysis himself, saying that "others can make use of [this information] however they want." Undecided.

Southrawrea has almost nothing of value posted, and he seems like a new player, in part because of the editing. He wants to 'take it easy' day 1 since there's nothing to go off of, but isn't it beneficial to the Mafia to have the town discuss nothing? Once again I can't say anything conclusively (even to myself) at this point, but Southrawrea isn't playing very pro-town.

Me... I don't feel like I should speak about myself. I just replaced in this game yesterday, caught up at the end of last night, and am making an attempt to PM and post now. I don't want to be an inactive bum, since that just benefits the Mafia. The less inactives there are, the fewer hiding spots the Mafia will have.

And finally, zeks. Votes for Hyperbola as a placeholder (why not abstain?) but then removes his vote after the rest of the votes for Hyperbola, disregarding Subversion's, have been cast. Doesn't really say anything of value, at most just reiterates some known things. Not very pro-town.

Will attempt to comment on other people later as I go along.
And so, we find the Sublime.
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
July 19 2010 20:00 GMT
#530
Analyze me! Analyze meeeee!
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
July 19 2010 20:04 GMT
#531
On July 20 2010 05:00 DarthThienAn wrote:
Analyze me! Analyze meeeee!

Reddish shade of brown of course.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
flamewheel
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
FREEAGLELAND26781 Posts
July 19 2010 20:22 GMT
#532
On July 20 2010 05:04 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 05:00 DarthThienAn wrote:
Analyze me! Analyze meeeee!

Reddish shade of brown of course.

Damn it, why is that breed so resilient?
Time to do some extermination.
Writerdamn, i was two days from retirement
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
July 19 2010 20:40 GMT
#533
On July 20 2010 05:22 flamewheel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 20 2010 05:04 citi.zen wrote:
On July 20 2010 05:00 DarthThienAn wrote:
Analyze me! Analyze meeeee!

Reddish shade of brown of course.

Damn it, why is that breed so resilient?
Time to do some extermination.

I supply the Darth, you bring the lightning.

Seriously, where is everyone?
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
July 19 2010 20:41 GMT
#534
On July 20 2010 04:50 Protactinium wrote:
I kind of want to draw focus to the "Abstain" list.
Show nested quote +
Abstain: (LaXerCannon, tricode, SouthRawrea, Chaoser, protactinium, zeks)

I haven't seen or read too many Mafia games with the "Abstain" voting option; normally I just see people voting for themselves but that is not allowed in this game. Regardless, the six people on this list are all fairly inactive or haven't been contributing much, myself included. Though tree.hugger has brought up that Mafia will spread their votes amongst other people, I do think he's right in assuming that at least one Mafia member is abstaining, since it's the easiest way out.

When I went back and searched for the relevant posts people had made, I found that most of the above-mentioned do not have really any substantial or substantiating posts. Luckily, chaoser has saved me some time by notating the abstain votes here. Interestingly, or not-really-so-, enough, abstainers have a pretty low level of useful activity.

Let's start with Laxercannon. He doesn't really seem to make an effort in the game, and only has one post in which he types more than a line of text. He abstains but then doesn't make any effort to change it over the course of the next four or so hours. Also, his lack of attentiveness can be seen in his latest comment, stating that he wasn't following the thread enough. From reading a few past games he's been in, he seems to normally be more active. It's really too early, in my opinion, to draw some sort of conclusive read but I think it can be conclusively said that from the evidence given so far, Laxercannon is not playing very pro-town.

I've never seen tricode play a game before, but I think he's one of the older players, judging by his posting attitude. Out of the people on the abstain list, he seems to be the only one who isn't just posting spam (besides myself, since I only have two posts... though even those two don't add anything!). He votes for an abstain because he has to see his dad off, and then says that lynches have to be used, since saying "what if" loses the game. This is a good idea. tricode reads pretty town in my eyes.

chaoser doesn't really seem to be saying too much, looking through his posts, though he did compile the voting list afterward for the final few hours of the first day. He reiterates some old points beforehand, but I do like the list afterward. Will have to beware of 'paraphrased wording,' of course. chaoser seems to be playing pro-town, but he doesn't do the analysis himself, saying that "others can make use of [this information] however they want." Undecided.

Southrawrea has almost nothing of value posted, and he seems like a new player, in part because of the editing. He wants to 'take it easy' day 1 since there's nothing to go off of, but isn't it beneficial to the Mafia to have the town discuss nothing? Once again I can't say anything conclusively (even to myself) at this point, but Southrawrea isn't playing very pro-town.

Me... I don't feel like I should speak about myself. I just replaced in this game yesterday, caught up at the end of last night, and am making an attempt to PM and post now. I don't want to be an inactive bum, since that just benefits the Mafia. The less inactives there are, the fewer hiding spots the Mafia will have.

And finally, zeks. Votes for Hyperbola as a placeholder (why not abstain?) but then removes his vote after the rest of the votes for Hyperbola, disregarding Subversion's, have been cast. Doesn't really say anything of value, at most just reiterates some known things. Not very pro-town.

Will attempt to comment on other people later as I go along.


Well he did say that there would be no talking for the next 24 hours and I took that as law. Why would there be any reason to be checking the thread at all. Expect less activity that normal for this night.
Just keep swimming
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
July 19 2010 21:06 GMT
#535
I'm a bit confused. Shoudln't a mafia have killed someone already?
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
July 19 2010 21:12 GMT
#536
no, the day post comes up at 9pm EST tonight, so in like 4 hours.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
July 19 2010 21:21 GMT
#537
Anyway, for the lazy here's the voting stuff:
Jayme -> Amber[light]
Pandain -> Pandain (abstain)
DTA -> Abstain -> d3_crescentia
d3_crescentia -> DTA
DTA -> Unabstain
citi.zen -> DTA
rastaban -> citi.zen
youngminii -> Pyrrhuloxia
Pandain -> Incognito [what? he's not playing]
SouthRawrea -> Abstain
~OpZ~ -> Chaoser
BloodyC0bbler -> Abstain
bumatlarge -> Divinek
Pandain -> BloodyC0bbler
LaXercannon -> Abstain
Youngminii -> Abstain
Divinek -> Abstain
Tricode -> Abstain
Misder -> Hyperbola
Divinek -> Hyperbola
Pandain -> Pandain
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain
zeks -> Hyperbola
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola
Roffles -> Abstain
tree.hugger ->LaXercannon
Foolishness -> Abstain
lakrismamma -> LaXercannon
lakrismamma -> Subversion
BloodyC0bbler -> Pandain
~OpZ~ -> BloodyC0bbler
Pyrrhuloxia -> DTA
XeliN -> Brownbear
iNfuNdiBuLuM -> youngminii
youngminii -> iNfuNdiBuLuM
citi.zen -> ketomai
XeliN -> youngminii
chaoser -> abstain
Amber[LighT] -> abstain
treehugger -> DTA
Amber[LighT] -> youngminii
Roffles -> youngminii
lakrismamma -> ketomai
DTA -> Amber[LighT]
bumatlarge -> Hyperbola
BrownBear -> Hyperbola
Jayme -> Youngminii
Foolishness -> BloodyC0bbler
Misder -> LaXerCannon
zeks -> Hyperbola
Subversion -> Hyperbola

I tried to make this look nice for a couple hours but this is probably the cleanest I can get it. Analysis on this coming up later
Just keep swimming
SiNiquity
Profile Joined April 2010
United States734 Posts
July 19 2010 21:27 GMT
#538
Sorry for my absence yesterday - visiting relatives (on my anniversary no less, though we celebrated last month prematurely while we were in Europe) went wayy longer than I thought. Went to bed thinking we weren't allowed to talk - glad BM changed his mind.

Day 1 Votes:
+ Show Spoiler [Voting Record (ordered by votes)] +

Pre-game votes:
[link] jayme ==> Amber[LighT]
[link] DarthThienAn ==> Abstain
[link] DarthThienAn ==> d3_crescentia
[link] d3_crescentia ==> DarthThienAn
[link] citi.zen ==> DarthThienAn
[link] rastaban ==> citi.zen

Day 1 Votes
[link] youngminii ==> Pyrrhuloxia
[link] Pandain ==> Incognito
[link] SouthRawrea ==> Incognito (edited to Abstain few hours later)
[link] ~OpZ~ ==> Chaoser
[link] BloodyC0bbler ==> Abstain
[link] bumatlarge ==> Divinek
[link] Pandain ==> BloodyC0bbler
[link] Hyperbola ==> SiNiquity
[link] LaXerCannon ==> Abstain
[link] youngminii ==> Abstain
[link] Divinek ==> Abstain
[link] Tricode ==> Abstain
[link] Misder ==> Hyperbola
[link] Divinek ==> Hyperbola
[link] Pandain ==> Hyperbola
[link] Pyrrhuloxia ==> Abstain
[link] Zeks ==> Hyperbola
[link] SiNiquity ==> Hyperbola
[link] Roffles ==> Abstain
[link] tree.hugger ==> LaXerCannon
[link] Foolishness ==> Abstain
[link] Lakrismamma ==> LaXerCannon
[link] Lakrismamma ==> Subversion
[link] BloodyC0bbler ==> Pandain
[link] ~OpZ~ ==> BloodyC0bbler
[link] Pyrrhuloxia ==> DarthThienAn
[link] XeliN ==> Brownbear
[link] iNfuNdiBuLuM ==> youngminii
[link] youngminii ==> iNfuNdiBuLuM
[link] citi.zen ==> ketomai
[link] XeliN ==> youngminii
[link] chaoser ==> Abstain
[link] Amber[LighT] ==> Abstain
[link] tree.hugger ==> DarthThienAn
[link] Amber[LighT] ==> youngminii
[link] Roffles ==> youngminii
[link] lakrismamma ==> ketomai
[link] DarthThienAn ==> Amber[LighT]
[link] bumatlarge ==> Hyperbola
[link] BrownBear ==> Hyperbola
[link] Protactinium ==> Abstain
[link] Jayme ==> youngminii
[link] Foolishness ==> BloodyC0bbler
[link] Misder ==> LaXerCannon
[link] zeks ==> Abstain
[link] Subversion ==> Hyperbola


+ Show Spoiler [Voting Record (ordered by player)] +

jayme ==> Amber[LighT] ==> youngminii
DarthThienAn ==> Abstain ==> d3_crescentia ==> Amber[LighT]
d3_crescentia ==> DarthThienAn
citi.zen ==> DarthThienAn ==> ketomai
rastaban ==> citi.zen
youngminii ==> Pyrrhuloxia ==> Abstain ==> iNfuNdiBuLuM
Pandain ==> Incognito ==> BloodyC0bbler ==> Hyperbola
SouthRawrea ==> Incognito/Abstain
~OpZ~ ==> Chaoser ==> BloodyC0bbler
BloodyC0bbler ==> Abstain ==> Pandain
bumatlarge ==> Divinek ==> Hyperbola
Hyperbola ==> SiNiquity
LaXerCannon ==> Abstain
Divinek ==> Abstain ==> Hyperbola
Tricode ==> Abstain
Misder ==> Hyperbola ==> LaXerCannon
Pyrrhuloxia ==> Abstain ==> DarthThienAn
Zeks ==> Hyperbola ==> Abstain
SiNiquity ==> Hyperbola
Roffles ==> Abstain ==> youngminii
tree.hugger ==> LaXerCannon ==> DarthThienAn
Foolishness ==> Abstain ==> BloodyC0bbler
Lakrismamma ==> LaXerCannon ==> Subversion ==> ketomai
XeliN ==> Brownbear ==> youngminii
iNfuNdiBuLuM ==> youngminii
chaoser ==> Abstain
Amber[LighT] ==> Abstain ==> youngminii
BrownBear ==> Hyperbola
Protactinium ==> Abstain
Subversion ==> Hyperbola


Comments:
+ Show Spoiler [Look at the data yourself first] +

Few things that jumped out at me:
  • Jayme voted for youngminii, not Amber[LighT] (brings youngminii's vote up to 5 from 4 - this is important, as you'll see in a bit).
  • Subversion Votes for Hyperbola with a one liner as night approaches, 45 minutes before the deadline. The vote was previously tied at 5-5. There wasn't a vote count with the Jayme mistake in it, as Jayme voted in between the Last Non-Final Vote Count (4.5 hours before deadline) and the Final Vote Count. It could be a freak coincidence, and had it been left at tied Hyperbola would've won, as he achieved more votes first. But maybe it was too close for comfort, as it was 7 - 5 before two people unvoted Hyperbole. Who's to say another wouldn't have jumped ship? Putting it 6-5 made it more secure.
  • youngminii as implied by the Subv.'s move. Again, this could be coincidence.
  • Rastaban left his vote on citi.zen, a pre-game/pre-role vote, despite promising to change it. He doesn't disappear after this, but rather continues in the thread to argue about the lynch/no-lynch debate, even up until a few hours before the deadline, without ever changing his vote.
  • citi.zen and lakrismamma left their votes on ketomai, someone who was almost assuredly going to get mod-killed. Citi.zen did this initially to "get ketomai to participate," and lak followed suit, though when ketomai didn't participate (obv. modkill target) the vote should've been moved, especially after he was replaced by Protactinium. Likely a simple mistake, but should've been addressed more when DTA points out the wtf'ness
  • BrownBear sticks out to me for the reasons already been covered. You'd think he's never played Mafia before based on the way he's playing, but that's hardly the case.
'i' before 'e' except after 'c' ~ it's scientifically proven.
SiNiquity
Profile Joined April 2010
United States734 Posts
July 19 2010 21:28 GMT
#539
Well this is what I get for not refreshing the thread. At the very least, it gives us 2 points of comparison. Any differences between the two can be noted.
'i' before 'e' except after 'c' ~ it's scientifically proven.
SiNiquity
Profile Joined April 2010
United States734 Posts
July 19 2010 21:36 GMT
#540

+ Show Spoiler [On July 20 2010 06:21 LaXerCannon wrote] +

Anyway, for the lazy here's the voting stuff:
Jayme -> Amber[light]
Pandain -> Pandain (abstain)
DTA -> Abstain -> d3_crescentia
d3_crescentia -> DTA
DTA -> Unabstain
citi.zen -> DTA
rastaban -> citi.zen
youngminii -> Pyrrhuloxia
Pandain -> Incognito [what? he's not playing]
SouthRawrea -> Abstain
~OpZ~ -> Chaoser
BloodyC0bbler -> Abstain
bumatlarge -> Divinek
Pandain -> BloodyC0bbler
LaXercannon -> Abstain
Youngminii -> Abstain
Divinek -> Abstain
Tricode -> Abstain
Misder -> Hyperbola
Divinek -> Hyperbola
Pandain -> Pandain Should be Hyperbola
Pyrrhuloxia -> Abstain
zeks -> Hyperbola
SiNiquity -> Hyperbola
Roffles -> Abstain
tree.hugger ->LaXercannon
Foolishness -> Abstain
lakrismamma -> LaXercannon
lakrismamma -> Subversion
BloodyC0bbler -> Pandain
~OpZ~ -> BloodyC0bbler
Pyrrhuloxia -> DTA
XeliN -> Brownbear
iNfuNdiBuLuM -> youngminii
youngminii -> iNfuNdiBuLuM
citi.zen -> ketomai
XeliN -> youngminii
chaoser -> abstain
Amber[LighT] -> abstain
treehugger -> DTA
Amber[LighT] -> youngminii
Roffles -> youngminii
lakrismamma -> ketomai
DTA -> Amber[LighT]
bumatlarge -> Hyperbola
BrownBear -> Hyperbola
Jayme -> Youngminii
Foolishness -> BloodyC0bbler
Misder -> LaXerCannon
zeks -> Hyperbola Should be abstain
Subversion -> Hyperbola

I tried to make this look nice for a couple hours but this is probably the cleanest I can get it. Analysis on this coming up later

Couple of mistakes in there (double checked w/ my links)...
'i' before 'e' except after 'c' ~ it's scientifically proven.
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