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Рабоче-Крестьянская Красная Армия мафия - Page 21

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
Prev 1 19 20 21 22 23 63 Next
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
March 07 2010 21:20 GMT
#401
no dozko you are wrong ^_^.

But who cares about probabilities? Xelin just said he doesn't want to follow the plan without even offering us an alternative. Looks like a good person to shoot over Malongo.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
March 07 2010 21:25 GMT
#402
I don't think i could come up with a plan that would be very beneficial, my disagreeing with yours means i should be killed?

I'll restate my position then to say that if the majority choose to go along with your plan then I will follow it as well.
Adonai bless
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
March 07 2010 21:27 GMT
#403
On March 08 2010 06:20 Ace wrote:
no dozko you are wrong ^_^.

But who cares about probabilities? Xelin just said he doesn't want to follow the plan without even offering us an alternative. Looks like a good person to shoot over Malongo.

Oh hey I don't need to kill you.

High five.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
Caller
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Poland8075 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-07 21:28:23
March 07 2010 21:28 GMT
#404
day post coming ~~ give it about 7 minutes
Watch me fail at Paradox: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=397564
dozko
Profile Joined December 2009
United Kingdom160 Posts
March 07 2010 21:28 GMT
#405
Please tell me how I am wrong. I am by no means saying that Xelin is more likely to be red than anyone else ( where the hell did you read this), as the chance of being red every game is clearly independent... I am simply saying that the chance of him being pro town 3 games in a row, including this one, is 11%.

I know this statistic is basically worthless but people shouldnt argue about stuff they have 0 understanding of.
People respond to incentives; the rest is commentary.
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
March 07 2010 21:39 GMT
#406
On March 08 2010 06:28 dozko wrote:
I know this statistic is basically worthless

Then there's no reason to post it when you could be applying the math on some other things...
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
Caller
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Poland8075 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-07 21:42:37
March 07 2010 21:40 GMT
#407
[image loading]

Day 2

Greetings Comrades! I hope you are ready to begin the second day of your proud worker's training!

Unfortunately, not all of you were able to wake up this morning.

Comrade 789 was in the middle of the Socialist' people's game of KoiKoi. After I cleaned out his pockets (with a 5 bright, Boar-Deer-Butterfly, 3 Purple Poems, Moon Viewing, Sakura Viewing (62 points at 500 rubles a piece is equivalent to 30 times your annual food ration)) he proceeded to bemoan his luck by visiting a Comrade to commiserate.. When he arrived at his companion's barracks, however, he discovered it was empty. 789 was about to leave when suddenly the barracks blew sky high.

Upon investigating the barracks we discovered the finger prints of disgraced ex-comrade Pyrrhuloxia. Needless to say we are once again on the hunt for this capitalist and the one that orchestrated his resurrection.

For now, Comrades, partake in our lesson for today: How to Pressure Generals into Executing Themselves For You.
Watch me fail at Paradox: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=397564
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
March 07 2010 21:42 GMT
#408
uh oh
looks like someone got saved
Caller
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Poland8075 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-03-07 21:43:48
March 07 2010 21:43 GMT
#409
By the way, Comrade General Caller is accepting all comers who dare challenge him in this capitalist game. Arrangements will be made for 1000 rubles per point, and we will play 6 rounds.
Watch me fail at Paradox: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=397564
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
March 07 2010 21:43 GMT
#410
On March 08 2010 06:42 Iaaan wrote:
uh oh
looks like someone got saved


If someone took a hit they should come out about it.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Fulgrim
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States560 Posts
March 07 2010 21:44 GMT
#411
Wow our medics ACTUALLY saved someone for once lol, gj medics
One does not simply walk into mordor
Vivi57
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States6599 Posts
March 07 2010 21:52 GMT
#412
holy shit

day is already almost 15 minutes long
Flash hwaiting! Nal_rA forever!
Vivi57
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States6599 Posts
March 07 2010 21:54 GMT
#413
ok, what we know:

malongo can shoot
98% chance ace can shoot


so I propose that malongo and ace are not shot and that ace does not do the shooting today
Flash hwaiting! Nal_rA forever!
dozko
Profile Joined December 2009
United Kingdom160 Posts
March 07 2010 21:56 GMT
#414
On March 08 2010 06:39 d3_crescentia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 06:28 dozko wrote:
I know this statistic is basically worthless

Then there's no reason to post it when you could be applying the math on some other things...


The reason is that I wanted to trashtalk Xelin ^^
People respond to incentives; the rest is commentary.
CynanMachae
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Canada1459 Posts
March 07 2010 21:58 GMT
#415
On March 08 2010 06:52 Vivi57 wrote:
day is already almost 15 minutes long

Lol

Well if we can get a confirmed town that would be a pretty good start. Just need to make sure it's the case because with this kind of write-up I'm not sure it's possible to know if one hit is missing or if somebody got saved etc.

On March 08 2010 06:54 Vivi57 wrote:
98% chance ace can shoot

how come?
Jang Yoon Chul hwaiting!
dozko
Profile Joined December 2009
United Kingdom160 Posts
March 07 2010 22:00 GMT
#416
Anyway on topic, I still think malongo is a bad choice of a first kill since I am pretty convinced hes not the CIA and killing him just to "maintain discipline" is a bit premature. Given that the CIA is not chosen by the ukranians as normal gfs I think 789's plan is a go. So we need to figure out who should abenson kill. Clearly anyone else taking justice in their hands should warrant a painfully tainted death.
People respond to incentives; the rest is commentary.
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3479 Posts
March 07 2010 22:03 GMT
#417
First we need the blocked hit. Either mafia doubled on 976 wich is highly unlikely, or a pair of players are in contact, i didnt take the hit. Seems we are going on the right pace without the nazi dont¿ :D
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
Vivi57
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States6599 Posts
March 07 2010 22:04 GMT
#418
On March 08 2010 06:58 CynanMachae wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 06:54 Vivi57 wrote:
98% chance ace can shoot

how come?

consistently saying he'll do the shooting today when he can't is a VERY ballsy play with a ton of risk and very little payoff. Ace isn't stupid
Flash hwaiting! Nal_rA forever!
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3479 Posts
March 07 2010 22:06 GMT
#419
On March 08 2010 07:04 Vivi57 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2010 06:58 CynanMachae wrote:
On March 08 2010 06:54 Vivi57 wrote:
98% chance ace can shoot

how come?

consistently saying he'll do the shooting today when he can't is a VERY ballsy play with a ton of risk and very little payoff. Ace isn't stupid

Ace just wanted to kill me, as much as he is not stupid that doesnt prove he has shots. Abenson is shooting regardless, he has some good targets in the nonposter list and some others proposed.
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
March 07 2010 22:08 GMT
#420
On March 08 2010 07:03 Malongo wrote:
First we need the blocked hit. Either mafia doubled on 976 wich is highly unlikely, or a pair of players are in contact, i didnt take the hit. Seems we are going on the right pace without the nazi dont¿ :D


Did you honestly expect the mafia to hit you?

Either way, yes, it's very unlikely they doubled on 789. If they were to double on someone, it'd probably be Ace. And even now it's very early in the game to be doubling up on people. Someone took a hit during the night.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
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