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Timeline
5 hours remaining.
Amber[light] (2): Jackal, deconduo
Coagulation (4): GGQ, Barundar, Darmousseh, GMarshal
Jackal58 (1): Amber[light]
No lynch: (1): OriginalName
Coagulation comes online posts 3 suspects. Amber bandwagon by coag, gmarshal, darmousseh and ggq
1 hour remaining
Amber[light] (6): Jackal, deconduo, Coagulation, GMarshal, Darmousseh and GGQ
Coagulation (1): Barundar
Jackal58 (1): Amber[light]
No lynch (1): OriginalName
Coagulation starts GGQ bandwagon. GMarshal joins. Amber talks for lynching Jackal, then Darmousseh over ggq. Jackal joins the GGQ bandwagon. GGQ defends himself.
~½ hour remaining
Amber[light] (3): deconduo, Darmousseh, GGQ
GGQ (3): Coagulation, GMarshal, Jackal58
Coagulation (1): Barundar
Jackal58 (1): Amberlight[light]
No lynch (1): OriginalName
Darmousseh and Amber[light] does a .59 minute switch to coagulation.
final tally
Amber[light] (2): deconduo, GGQ
GGQ (3): Coagulation, GMarshal, Jackal58
Coagulation (3): Barundar, Amber[light], Darmousseh
No lynch (1): OriginalName
GGQ thinks he is lynched and tries to vote Coag to save himself. Amber tries unvoting coag, either to save GGQ or to save Coagulation.
I see 3 possible scenarios:
1) Fist possibility I listed above, with Amber trying to undo his vote to save coag, leaving Coag, Gmarshal and Amber[light] as scumteam. Looking over it I must admit it looks unlikely that coag and Gmarshal should be on team with Amber[light]
2a) Other possibility is Amber[light] last minute saving GGQ with Darmousseh. Really the votes was tied so Amber didn’t have to switch to save GGQ, unless he knew Darmousseh was switching as well. Darmousseh voted after Amber[light], so one explanation could be Amber[light] and Darmousseh switching at the same time to even up votes. This is however very unlikely, considering Amber afterwards was under the impression GGQ was going to die.
2b) Last option still assumes Amber switches to save GGQ, not Coagulation. It is very possible that Amber[light] didn’t know Darmousseh was going to switch. Darmousseh made a post 2 min before his vote, so it looks like he just came back to check the thread, and decided a lynch was better than no lynch. This means Amber tried to remove his vote to save GGQ alone, without any agreements with Darmousseh. This seems the most likely, considering both GGQ and Amber[light] was under the impression that GGQ was going to die.
I guess the most obvious conclusion is option 2b). 1) seems unlikely when both GMarshal and Coagulation would volunteer to blow up Amber[light]. 2a) is unlikely considering how both Amber and GGQ thinks that GGQ is going to get lynched with Darmousseh's switch. Option 2b) makes perfect sense if Amber and GGQ is on a scumteam together, and their remaining member was inactive at the time.
My guess on a scum team would then be Amber[light], GGQ and OriginalName.
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Those 3 names have been tossed around alot regarding who is scum.
On February 20 2011 11:01 GMarshal wrote:
so the scum team is GGQ, Amber[Light] and I suspect Original Name, brilliant
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I would replace either Amber[Light] or Original Name with Darmousseh
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Doesn't make sense coag. Darmousseh would have killed GGQ by changing vote to you if Amber[light] hadn't changed at same time.
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wow, that was really screwed up.
Ok, so there was about to be a tie so I voted coag since that would mean GGQ got lynched (since no one else was voting amber).. I probably should have just voted GGQ but I didn't really have any time to think, and I wasn't convinced he is mafia. Amber is really fluffy and has been the whole game. I don't know why coag you suddenly had everyone jump ship.
I think coag is most likely town because he's being very agressive at making people make mistakes. Decon, ON, and barun are the most suspicious for not being super active, but they could just be bored townies. Barun finally posts something significant, but he also didn't really do anything when we had a tie situation on our hands. We needed to lynch someone and by not participating it makes me suspicious.
My guess as to the mafia
GGQ
Amber
gmarshal
Gmarshal this whole time has been just following along and when coag switched, he was one of the first to switch. Maybe he knew that there was a possibility of saving both ggq and amber by not lynching either. I'm like 50% sure on gmarshal. If not gmarshal then it's probably barun or ON.
At the same time, gmarshal is probably just a bandwagoning townie.
Did anyone notice that decon claimed medic?
In any case, it's a travesty that both ggq and amber lived. They are probably both mafia. Let's lynch one, bomb the other.
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United States4264 Posts
On February 21 2011 04:00 darmousseh wrote:
wow, that was really screwed up.
Did anyone notice that decon claimed medic?
Ya but I was hoping nobody else did.
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On February 21 2011 04:06 Jackal58 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 21 2011 04:00 darmousseh wrote:
wow, that was really screwed up.
Did anyone notice that decon claimed medic? Ya but I was hoping nobody else did.
I figured it was worth it. If mafia target me and there is a second medic that clears two of us for tomorrow and also gives us an extra lynch (assuming he prots me, which was the whole point of claiming). Even if there isn't a second medic it gets fairly WIFOMish for them to go after me.
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United States4264 Posts
You're a braver man than I. Good luck man.
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United States4264 Posts
Night is almost over.
GGQ
Original Name
Amber[L]ight
Darmousseh
One of them is a townie.
Which one?
I honestly have no real idea.
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Day 2![[image loading]](http://www.larryfuchsphoto.com/show-image/485372/Larry-Fuchs/Heron-at-Daybreak.jpg) Is today the last?
Jackal58 the Fanatic is dead
Voting ends 11:00KST Feb 23
I've updated the OP
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LOL. Mafia just told Jackal to shut up.
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United States4264 Posts
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United States22154 Posts
Interesting choice of targets... who wanted Jackal dead again?
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Wow if this isn't an obvious setup I don't know what is. Cmon guys do you really think that if I was mafia I would allow something like that to happen? Let's think before we go crazy and start bombing unnecessarily.
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I'm disappointed no one blew the bomb before my day post 
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Coagulation the Fanatic is dead
GGQ the Medic is dead
Game Over
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United States4264 Posts
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Coag wtf we should've discussed this. It's obvious there's some lurking going on AND HEY LOOK MY ANALYSIS ON GGQ WAS CORRECT.
THere's only 1 medic in this game. Deconduo was lying. Think about it.
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EPT![[image loading]](http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_Lwyp--6UDlE/S7o6GTi-Q5I/AAAAAAAACkQ/1w2bIxJQga8/s1600/Suicide-Bomber--15424.jpg)
