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Code S RO24 Preview: Solar, Super, TaeJa, Rogue

Forum Index > SC2 General
16 CommentsPost a Reply

Code S RO24 Preview: Solar, Super, TaeJa, Rogue

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
June 26th, 2020 22:16 GMT

2020 GSL Code S Season 2 - Round of 24

by Orlok

After an unsurprising Group B which gave us the exact results Aligulac.com predicted, we're onto another group where the end result seems like a foregone conclusion on paper. Is there any chance of an upset here? We take a closer look in our preview.

More info: GSL Code S Season 2 on Liquipedia


Group C Preview: Solar, Super, TaeJa, Rogue

Start time: Saturday, Jun 27 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)

For a long time, TL.net previews referred to Trap as the most 'hardstuck' group stage player in GSL Code S—perhaps it's time to turn our attention to Solar in 2020. For all his prowess in online competitions and short-term tournaments like the Super Tournament or Assembly, he's really struggled to play up to his reputation in GSL Code S over the past few years. Ever since his last quarterfinals appearance in 2017, he’s failed to advance from the group stage in six consecutive attempts.

Last season, Solar was eliminated from the RO16 with 0-2 losses to TY and Stats, another reminder that he's just not a serious championship contender in Code S anymore. Despite never hitting a massive slump or period of bad form, Solar seems just stuck in the middle. Despite all this, it's hard to think the RO24 will present too much of a challenge for a player who is excellent in all other competitions. Like many of the favorites in the RO24, Solar's true test lies ahead in the RO16, where he'll try to take down some of the real contenders to prove that he deserves to be mentioned in the same breath.

Super, on the other hand, is already in extreme peril in the RO24. Like all other returnees from military services, he's had a rough time trying to rekindle his StarCraft II career. It’s a sad but true fact that returnees generally max out at Code S qualification, with even RO16 advancement being a huge success. For the most part, Super has had the same tough go of it. He came, saw, and failed to conquer at IEM Katowice (he literally didn't win a match), and barely qualified for this season of Code S at all. Alongside Impact, Super was one of the last two players to advance from the third and final round of qualifiers—his overall map win-rate over the course of those qualifiers was barely over 50%. While Super deserves credit for his heroic, one-man army performance in the GTC, the reality is that most of his opponents in the Chinese teamleague were below Code S quality. Thus, you hardly have to be a pessimist to predict Super to get destroyed here in this group. The only chance he has is to go full-Has and cheese every game, and see if the gods of Chaos favor him on the day.

The prospects for TaeJa, the other military returnee in Group C, are just slightly rosier than Super's. Last season, he managed to get over the RO24 hump, defeating Hurricane and SpeCial in his first group. They weren't the toughest opponents, but it was progress nonetheless. While he was eliminated in the RO16 with losses to Dear and Dark, he showed us glimmers of the old TaeJa in his TvZ games. When TaeJa was able to set up his economy and allowed to execute parade pushes from a decent position, even Dark had trouble matching his strength in pure macro games. On the other hand, TaeJa fell apart when Dark took the action to him. Ling run-by's ruin everyone’s day, but they're especially hard on F2-addicts like TaeJa—once Dark stopped trying to fight him head on and just focused on counter-attacking, TaeJa fell apart. If TaeJa can stay in the drivers seat, then he has an outside shot of advancing into the RO16 for a second consecutive season. Solar's proclivity for playing macro-games might make him a good match-up, but the aggressive and cunning Rogue is sure to be a nightmare of a first match.

Rogue is back in our lives after what seems like forever. In what's becoming an embarrassing tradition for Rogue, he followed his momentous victory at IEM Katowice by getting eliminated in the Code S season that immediately followed, falling to Scarlett's cheeses in the RO24. Even so, Rogue comes into this group as the favorite due to his reputation, as he's the only player in this group that's won a championship in the recent past. Taeja and Solar could unseat him given some favorable circumstances—perhaps Rogue will have his foot half on the gas for yet another season, content to take it easy until the next $100k tournament approaches (Rogue himself admitted that he didn't go all-out in 2019 until he realized balance was favoring Zerg heavily). This group will be as much of a check-up on Rogue's drive as it will be for the other players' skill.

Predictions: While Rogue is the clear favorite out of sheer respect, the second place player is harder to predict. Yes, Taeja showed some great gameplay last season, but that was in absolute best-case scenario games. Solar has just been consistently strong for the longest time, while Super still has Protoss devilry in his back pocket. I'm going to go out on a limb and put my faith in TaeJa having patched the holes in his game, and predict him to advance in second place.

Solar 2-0 Super
Taeja 1-2 Rogue
Rogue 2-0 Solar
Taeja 2-0 Super
Solar 1-2 Taeja

Rogue and Taeja to advance.



Credits and acknowledgements

Writer: Orlok
Images: AfreecaTV
Statistics: Aligulac.com and Liquipedia

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TL+ Member
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
8979 Posts
June 26 2020 22:39 GMT
#2
Summer of TaeJa is upon us. Let us pray.
whiterabbit
Profile Joined June 2009
2675 Posts
June 26 2020 22:54 GMT
#3
Exciting group, looking forward to Taeja's games, he was so fun to watch last season!
NUTELLA y u no make me skinny?!?
catplanetcatplanet
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
3829 Posts
June 26 2020 22:55 GMT
#4
I think 2020 taeja is a super badass. 2020 taeja will wipe the floor with solar
I think it's finally time to admit it might not be the year of Pet
rickzou
Profile Joined May 2019
46 Posts
June 26 2020 23:37 GMT
#5
solar lose to taeja? very unlikely
Alucen-Will-
Profile Joined October 2014
United States4054 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-06-26 23:54:09
June 26 2020 23:38 GMT
#6
I'm really interested to see what Taeja brings tonight. Solar has been very solid recently and Rogue is perenially strong. Taeja's performance last season was very promising to say the least. The long macro game against Dark he won in the ro16 last season convinced me that Taeja still has the top-level skill he is known for.

pvsnp
Profile Joined January 2017
7676 Posts
June 26 2020 23:52 GMT
#7
Hoping for Taeja to make the Ro16, since he showed a great performance last season.
Denominator of the Universe
TL+ Member
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33339 Posts
June 26 2020 23:54 GMT
#8
I think there could be a HINT of trouble for Solar and Rogue since they insist on playing macro vs lesser players, but I still expect them to advance.
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
Andi_Goldberger
Profile Joined July 2018
Germany1608 Posts
June 26 2020 23:59 GMT
#9
I believe in Taeja, reward the faithful please :D. I dont think he can beat rogue tho, so rogue + taeja lets go
~~~~~
Kuchikikun
Profile Joined March 2013
Italy560 Posts
June 27 2020 00:22 GMT
#10
Solar > Super
Taeja < Rogue
Rogue > Solar
Taeja < Super
Solar > Taeja
Hyak
Profile Joined April 2011
United States8 Posts
June 27 2020 01:29 GMT
#11
Why is this not on the Calendar?
NoS-Craig
Profile Joined July 2011
Australia3094 Posts
June 27 2020 03:48 GMT
#12
I'm predicting Rogue and Solar to advance tonight.
Artosis loves Starcraft
wchigo
Profile Joined September 2010
China71 Posts
June 27 2020 05:03 GMT
#13
Taeja and Solar could unseat him given some favorable circumstances—perhaps Dark will have his foot half on the gas for yet another season, content to take it easy until the next $100k tournament approaches (Rogue himself admitted that he didn't go all-out in 2019 until he realized balance was favoring Zerg heavily). This group will be as much of a check-up on Rogue's drive as it will be for the other players' skill.

I think that was meant to be Rogue? At least the part following up seems to indicate as much.

I agree with the predictions and think it will be Rogue-Taeja, but it could as easily go Rogue-Solar. Went with my heart in this one.
Howard_Kao
Profile Joined September 2018
China261 Posts
June 27 2020 05:55 GMT
#14
It's funny how solar being the #1on kr ladder and advaning out of his group still doesn't get a team after tsg's disbandment
"You don't need a gsl champion, you don't need a esl champion. I feel like I'm just a normal man. I just practice very hard this time, like 15hrs everyday" Oliveira 2023
Beelzebub1
Profile Joined May 2015
1004 Posts
June 27 2020 14:03 GMT
#15
Rogue will probably win it all in this group, but Taeja still has it after that macro victory after Dark.

Can't count out Solar either, he's been in good form lately, this group is looking tough!
ilax30
Profile Joined November 2019
720 Posts
June 27 2020 22:16 GMT
#16
On June 27 2020 23:03 Beelzebub1 wrote:
Rogue will probably win it all in this group, but Taeja still has it after that macro victory after Dark.

Can't count out Solar either, he's been in good form lately, this group is looking tough!


Funny when you post this hours after the group finished
neptunusfisk
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
2286 Posts
June 28 2020 09:49 GMT
#17
On June 28 2020 07:16 ilax30 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 27 2020 23:03 Beelzebub1 wrote:
Rogue will probably win it all in this group, but Taeja still has it after that macro victory after Dark.

Can't count out Solar either, he's been in good form lately, this group is looking tough!


Funny when you post this hours after the group finished


Tbh if you live in the wrong timezone (eg europe) it's very difficult to comment on the prediction before the matches, as the prediction was posted after midnight and the matches happen before lunch the next morning.

If you wake up and read it with your breakfast you have a window of an hour or so to comment before the matches :p
maru G5L pls
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