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IEM gamescom groups announced - Page 3

Forum Index > SC2 General
84 CommentsPost a Reply
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Inflicted
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia18228 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-25 17:41:40
July 25 2015 17:40 GMT
#41
Should be soO-INno somewhere in Top 4, cant see them dropping sets to anyone there.

On July 26 2015 01:44 Lockdown- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 00:21 SNSeigifried wrote:
Finals should be (Z)soO vs (T)INnoVation/(P)Rain/(P)Lilbow baring no upsets.


No way lilbow makes it to the finals. I'm rooting for him, but don't see that happening.


Depends on the bracket draw. If we get soO-INno on one half, Lilbow should be favoured against anyone he meets (if he makes it out of groups)

Hmm, this feels like a really weak line-up for IEM. There's only 2-3 "unstoppable" Koreans, free WCS points for foreigners
Liquipedia"Expert"
chipmonklord17
Profile Joined February 2011
United States11944 Posts
July 25 2015 17:49 GMT
#42
On July 26 2015 02:40 Inflicted wrote:
Should be soO-INno somewhere in Top 4, cant see them dropping sets to anyone there.

Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 01:44 Lockdown- wrote:
On July 26 2015 00:21 SNSeigifried wrote:
Finals should be (Z)soO vs (T)INnoVation/(P)Rain/(P)Lilbow baring no upsets.


No way lilbow makes it to the finals. I'm rooting for him, but don't see that happening.


Depends on the bracket draw. If we get soO-INno on one half, Lilbow should be favoured against anyone he meets (if he makes it out of groups)

Hmm, this feels like a really weak line-up for IEM. There's only 2-3 "unstoppable" Koreans, free WCS points for foreigners


Its the same weekend as a different tournament that was supposed to give WCS points and then changed formats and isn't. So Bunny/Snute/JD are all tied up elsewhere. I still maintain that that's ridiculously unfair as they likely made the choice to go to one or the other based on both having WCS points but such is life.
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
July 25 2015 17:51 GMT
#43
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
July 25 2015 17:57 GMT
#44
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Blargh
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2103 Posts
July 25 2015 18:11 GMT
#45
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

I think he's a good foreigner right now, but he's probably only at the level of a code A Korean, or possibly worse. I don't really see him getting out of group stage, but it's definitely possible.

Sort of a shame that the tournament doesn't have a stronger lineup. Inno, soO, and Rain are the obvious top 3, and MMA, Fantasy, and Patience the only other contenders.
Alucen-Will-
Profile Joined October 2014
United States4054 Posts
July 25 2015 18:13 GMT
#46
This looks like an SkT/ex-SKT competition.

Then again isn't almost every tournament ^.^
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55594 Posts
July 25 2015 18:22 GMT
#47
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

The big issue for Lilbow is obviously getting out of a group with INno and Fantasy. Beyond that though, only INno and soO are clearly favoured (and Patience from the open bracket would probably beat him aswell). Which is mostly because Rain's PvP has been pretty atrocious (including a loss to Lilbow and almost being eliminated by HuK in Homestory Cup). MMA and ForGG haven't been doing so hot (although especially with MMA there's always a chance he performs I guess). And Stardust, well...
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
Alucen-Will-
Profile Joined October 2014
United States4054 Posts
July 25 2015 19:35 GMT
#48
On July 26 2015 03:22 Elentos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

The big issue for Lilbow is obviously getting out of a group with INno and Fantasy. Beyond that though, only INno and soO are clearly favoured (and Patience from the open bracket would probably beat him aswell). Which is mostly because Rain's PvP has been pretty atrocious (including a loss to Lilbow and almost being eliminated by HuK in Homestory Cup). MMA and ForGG haven't been doing so hot (although especially with MMA there's always a chance he performs I guess). And Stardust, well...
https://twitter.com/StardustSC2/status/623993684632162304


Call me a bit skeptical, but do people realistically believe that Lilbow has any chance against soO/Inno/Rain, etc?

rotta
Profile Joined December 2011
5649 Posts
July 25 2015 19:49 GMT
#49
On July 26 2015 04:35 Alucen-Will- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 03:22 Elentos wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

The big issue for Lilbow is obviously getting out of a group with INno and Fantasy. Beyond that though, only INno and soO are clearly favoured (and Patience from the open bracket would probably beat him aswell). Which is mostly because Rain's PvP has been pretty atrocious (including a loss to Lilbow and almost being eliminated by HuK in Homestory Cup). MMA and ForGG haven't been doing so hot (although especially with MMA there's always a chance he performs I guess). And Stardust, well...
https://twitter.com/StardustSC2/status/623993684632162304


Call me a bit skeptical, but do people realistically believe that Lilbow has any chance against soO/Inno/Rain, etc?


I bet the French do.
don't wall off against random
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55594 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-25 19:57:31
July 25 2015 19:56 GMT
#50
On July 26 2015 04:35 Alucen-Will- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 03:22 Elentos wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

The big issue for Lilbow is obviously getting out of a group with INno and Fantasy. Beyond that though, only INno and soO are clearly favoured (and Patience from the open bracket would probably beat him aswell). Which is mostly because Rain's PvP has been pretty atrocious (including a loss to Lilbow and almost being eliminated by HuK in Homestory Cup). MMA and ForGG haven't been doing so hot (although especially with MMA there's always a chance he performs I guess). And Stardust, well...
https://twitter.com/StardustSC2/status/623993684632162304


Call me a bit skeptical, but do people realistically believe that Lilbow has any chance against soO/Inno/Rain, etc?


INno and soO pretty obviously not, they're rapidly approaching god tier, but Rain? He beat Rain at Homestory Cup as I mentioned. Rain's PvP is his biggest and most glaring weakness. Even in his GSL winning run he lost to the only Protoss he played against. Plus in PvP weird shit happens.

And etc.? MMA who played a god awful TvP series in Code A and hasn't been performing in foreign tournaments he attended (his shocking and embarassing exit at Dreamhack Tours comes to mind)? Patience? It's PvP and Patience isn't exactly top tier, it's not impossible. ForGG and StarDust have thoroughly embarassed themselves against Protoss players who aren't of Lilbow's caliber recently. I guess Fantasy? But then, he needs just 1 bo3 win against Fantasy to advance (if he loses the first match, wins the losers match and INno defeats Fanta) and that's definitely doable. And he could obviously beat every foreign player.
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
Aeromi
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
France14463 Posts
July 25 2015 20:01 GMT
#51
On July 26 2015 04:35 Alucen-Will- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 03:22 Elentos wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

The big issue for Lilbow is obviously getting out of a group with INno and Fantasy. Beyond that though, only INno and soO are clearly favoured (and Patience from the open bracket would probably beat him aswell). Which is mostly because Rain's PvP has been pretty atrocious (including a loss to Lilbow and almost being eliminated by HuK in Homestory Cup). MMA and ForGG haven't been doing so hot (although especially with MMA there's always a chance he performs I guess). And Stardust, well...
https://twitter.com/StardustSC2/status/623993684632162304


Call me a bit skeptical, but do people realistically believe that Lilbow has any chance against soO/Inno/Rain, etc?


Lilbow 2 - 0 Rain
He would lose against soO and INno though.
https://twitter.com/DrAeromi | Updates on live tournaments: @StarCrafteSport
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
July 25 2015 20:07 GMT
#52
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55594 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-25 20:23:02
July 25 2015 20:14 GMT
#53
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?

You should wait for this until after the open bracket. The odds are pretty drastically different depending on the 4th player. Could be Patience. Could be Goody.
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
July 25 2015 20:22 GMT
#54
On July 26 2015 05:14 Elentos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?

You should wait for this until after the open bracket. The odds are pretty drastically different depending on the 4th player.

Well i am pretty confident in my bet, the guy betting against me should probably wait though, i agree.
This bet only counts if the groups stay the same btw (just in case Innovation and fantasy decide to stay in korea :D)
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
July 25 2015 20:39 GMT
#55
On July 26 2015 02:57 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 02:51 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 02:39 The_Red_Viper wrote:
People still hype lilbow? He won't make it out of that group guys...

What's wrong with hyping skill? Oo

I think he is completely overhyped tbh.
People act like he is the third best player at this gamescom, i very much doubt that though

Since the first of April, Lilbow has a ~72% WR. On the same period, Bunny has ~57% and Snute ~60%. Since I know your love for offline events, if we take the WR on the same period but only offline, Lilbow goes up to ~73% while Bunny goes down to ~53% and Snute to 46%. As far as Koreans are concerned, Lilbow showed that he could go toe to toe with strong koreigners like JaeDong and Hydra, and he was also able to PvP GSL and HSC champion Rain out of his way. He also did beat FanTa in a Bo1 online, although that doesn't mean much if anything at all.
So yeah, I don't know if Lilbow is the third best player all-around (I'd personally rank him fourth or fifth depending on which FanTaSy shows up), but in a head-to-head, he can beat anyone here except soO and INnoVation.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
July 25 2015 20:58 GMT
#56
On July 26 2015 05:14 Elentos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?

You should wait for this until after the open bracket. The odds are pretty drastically different depending on the 4th player. Could be Patience. Could be Goody.


Honestly, Patience is the only real threat in the open bracket. If I knew he is not goint to be in the group, I would easily bet against Viper.
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
July 25 2015 21:04 GMT
#57
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?


Sure, but a fair deal would be 7 day ban for me, and 30 day ban for you. Thoughts?
rip passion
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-25 21:17:43
July 25 2015 21:06 GMT
#58
On July 26 2015 06:04 Deathstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?


Sure, but a fair deal would be 7 day ban for me, and 30 day ban for you. Thoughts?

I am proud to have invented the differential ban/sig bet
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
July 25 2015 21:20 GMT
#59
On July 26 2015 06:04 Deathstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?


Sure, but a fair deal would be 7 day ban for me, and 30 day ban for you. Thoughts?

Haha i see, let me think.
If you are banned you cannot do anything on TL i guess? That means the duel in the "Zest is best" fpl group would be kinda over, hmhmhm
I will think about it and let you know, in general i am ok with 7/30 though. We still have a few days to make it happen

On July 26 2015 06:06 OtherWorld wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 06:04 Deathstar wrote:
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?


Sure, but a fair deal would be 7 day ban for me, and 30 day ban for you. Thoughts?

I am proud to have invented the differential ban


I doubt this wasn't a thing before
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
July 25 2015 21:23 GMT
#60
On July 26 2015 06:20 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 06:04 Deathstar wrote:
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?


Sure, but a fair deal would be 7 day ban for me, and 30 day ban for you. Thoughts?

Haha i see, let me think.
If you are banned you cannot do anything on TL i guess? That means the duel in the "Zest is best" fpl group would be kinda over, hmhmhm
I will think about it and let you know, in general i am ok with 7/30 though. We still have a few days to make it happen

Show nested quote +
On July 26 2015 06:06 OtherWorld wrote:
On July 26 2015 06:04 Deathstar wrote:
On July 26 2015 05:07 The_Red_Viper wrote:
Ok anyone wanna bet with me, i say Lilbow won't even make it out of the group.
30 days ban?


Sure, but a fair deal would be 7 day ban for me, and 30 day ban for you. Thoughts?

I am proud to have invented the differential ban


I doubt this wasn't a thing before


I may change my mind after the 4th person is revealed and I am in a moment of french euphoria. How about this, instead of ban we take it to 7 day/30 day sigbet, which won't interfere with your zest fpl group.
rip passion
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