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WCS America - Ro32 Group G Preview - Season 3

Forum Index > SC2 General
23 CommentsPost a Reply
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WCS America - Ro32 Group G Preview - Season 3

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byMeru
August 12th, 2014 14:21 GMT
2014 WCS

WCS Season 3
Premier League



Brackets and standings on Liquipedia
America • Europe

WCS America Group G Preview

Tuesday, Aug 12 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)
by DarkLordOlli

WCS America's Ro32 continues with Group G, in which everyone has something to prove. For obvious favorite (T)TaeJa, the goal is to redeem himself after a disappointing and surprising exit last season. For (Z)XiGua and (Z)hendralisk, its all about showing the world that they can hang with the big guns. Finally, (P)LiquidHerO's slump has continued for far too long and he will try his hardest to put it in the past with a good run in WCS.

Let's start with the most recent IEM champion, (T)Liquid'TaeJa. His storyline in WCS America seems to be repeating itself season after season ever since its inception. TaeJa is out there claiming tournaments left and right, but hasn't performed up to his standards in the later stages of Premier League. A 0-3 loss to Pigbaby in last season's Ro8 wasn't the first time the Liquid terran has looked like the big favorite to win the entire season, only to then play uncharacteristically weak and get swept aside by the eventual champion.

TaeJa's results around WCS made his elimination from last season even more stunning: an undefeated Dreamhack run after a HSC IX win, then a brutal, one sided loss in Premier League, then an IEM Shenzhen championship? Something is entirely off here. Somehow, WCS America has eluded TaeJa entirely and once again, perhaps for the last time, TaeJa's only goal entering this tournament is to walk away from it with the trophy in his hands.

His first opponent of the night probably has his expectations set a bit lower. (Z)coL.hendralisk impressed in his Challenger match, sweeping ViBE 3-0 to reclaim his Premier League spot. Last season must have been a disappointment for him as well, falling out of the Ro32 in 4th place. This group looks even harder and hendralisk will have his work cut out for him if he wants any chance of making it through.

The ZvT matchup has historically been his weakest according to Aligulac statistics, which certainly does not bode well for him as he starts the day off against a very capable TvZer in TaeJa. Great ZvZ has been his ticket into Premier League twice, but the only other zerg in the group is XiGua who himself doesn't strike me as particularly vulnerable in the mirror matchup. On top of that, hendralisk might have to face off against another tournament favorite in HerO. He could surprise us again but the odds certainly aren't in his favor.

The Chinese zerg (Z)iG.XiGua is in a very similar spot to hendralisk in this group. He's not a tournament favorite by any means but has surprised us before. Falling to Heart and eventual champion Pigbaby last season is a result that was expected by many, but also one we can forgive him for. Those two were favored over him and ended up eliminating him. But now, XiGua must be aiming to take the next step. Heart and Pigbaby both reached the semifinals. They are the caliber of players that XiGua will have set his eyes on beating. Getting to the Ro16 is one thing, challenging tournament favorites there is another.
I wouldn't be surprised to see XiGua fall to TaeJa and HerO, but he really has nothing to lose here. He'll have another go at taking out potential contenders but we won't be too disappointed in him if he doesn't end up advancing.

Among all this talk of tournament favorites, we have to stop and ask ourselves this question: can (P)LiquidHerO be considered one at the moment? Ever since his IEM Cologne win, performances and results for the handsome protoss have declined massively. His Dreamhack Summer finals appearance ended in a 0-3 beating by TaeJa, and aside from that there are almost no impressive results for me to list. However, after having no practice for almost a month upon moving out of the IM house, he has finally shown a sign of life in the recent WEC qualifier. Looking sharp against Ryung, Nestea and Billowy, HerO qualified for the Chinese event and looked to have improved his overall shape at least a little.

WCS America has been a source of disappointment for his fans over the past few seasons, but he's vowed to do better this time:



With a healthy practice schedule in place again and the motivation and confidence to do well, perhaps HerO can start reclaiming his championship contender status tonight?

Predictions:

TaeJa is the obvious pick to win this group and not many would argue against it. With HerO slowly getting back in shape and the PvT matchup being his most reliable one though, the Liquid protoss might have a chance at taking first place in the group. The PvZ matchup is the one giving him trouble at the moment, but I would still favor him over both zergs in this group. XiGua has beaten HerO before, but I don't think it will happen again this time around. hendralisk got extremely unlucky with TaeJa as his first opponent and I don't see him recovering from what I believe is almost a certain initial loss. Also, Liquid bias.

TaeJa > hendralisk
XiGua < HerO
TaeJa > HerO
hendralisk > XiGua
HerO > hendralisk

TaeJa and HerO advance to the Ro16.


Writers: DarkLordOlli
Graphics: Meru.
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TL+ Member
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 12 2014 14:32 GMT
#2
such liquid bias
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
August 12 2014 14:33 GMT
#3
On August 12 2014 23:32 lichter wrote:
such liquid bias

Yeah, HerO might not advance.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Musicus
Profile Joined August 2011
Germany23576 Posts
August 12 2014 14:40 GMT
#4
Oh boy, I'm sorry Olli, but HerO might not advance.
Maru and Serral are probably top 5.
metroid composite
Profile Joined February 2007
Canada231 Posts
August 12 2014 14:47 GMT
#5
I find this group hard to predict, honestly.

In previous rounds of 32, Taeja has often lost one match, but still advanced second place. I do see him advancing regardless.

hendralisk is way better than people give him credit for. Xigua...Chinese players have the nuttiest builds, so he's a bit of a loose cannon. Hero's peak is way higher than these two, but has had a lot of disappointing results recently. Facing Xigua first could very well mess with his head, too. Any of these three could honestly advance.
Cats land on their feet. Toast lands peanut butter side down. A cat with toast strapped to its back will hover above the ground in a state of quantum indecision
XXTN
Profile Joined June 2011
United States124 Posts
August 12 2014 14:49 GMT
#6
My gut says taeja might not advance, maybe coz of injury?
Writer@TL_XXTN
vult
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United States9400 Posts
August 12 2014 14:49 GMT
#7
Dat TL bias

Calling TaeJa/XiGua here.
I used to play random, but for you I play very specifically.
Yorkie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States12612 Posts
August 12 2014 15:13 GMT
#8
Scared for HerO, but if he plays his best the two liquid players should make it out
Hwang Kang Hooooooooooo. Follow mah boy Shellshock @Shellshock1122
dark1882
Profile Joined October 2012
Ireland529 Posts
August 12 2014 15:14 GMT
#9
The preview is down as a recap on the liquipedia page
forge fast expand or die trying~Naniwa
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
August 12 2014 15:19 GMT
#10
Too much TL bias

But I'm hoping XiGua shows that he's 10 times better than HerO again
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
Trasko
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Sweden983 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-12 15:35:45
August 12 2014 15:35 GMT
#11
HerO over Xigua? TL bias.
Jaedong <3
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
August 12 2014 15:50 GMT
#12
ridiculous liquid bias. but who's actually surprised?
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Pino
Profile Joined June 2013
1032 Posts
August 12 2014 15:56 GMT
#13
Will Taeja cares?? Sometimes he looks like he doesn't care and throws around Taeja's gg timing
JustPassingBy
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
10776 Posts
August 12 2014 16:00 GMT
#14
Xigua fighting!!! Hero is definitely beatable!!
brickrd
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States4894 Posts
August 12 2014 16:02 GMT
#15
On August 12 2014 23:47 metroid composite wrote:
I find this group hard to predict, honestly.

In previous rounds of 32, Taeja has often lost one match, but still advanced second place. I do see him advancing regardless.

hendralisk is way better than people give him credit for. Xigua...Chinese players have the nuttiest builds, so he's a bit of a loose cannon. Hero's peak is way higher than these two, but has had a lot of disappointing results recently. Facing Xigua first could very well mess with his head, too. Any of these three could honestly advance.

i agree, hero can smash hendra and xigua on a good day, but on a bad day his pvz is terrible. i dont know a lot about xiguas zvp, but i think if youre not considering matchup then hero is still the favored player in terms of skill. hendralisk also has the potential to beat him. basically this whole group is the question of hero's form
TL+ Member
Spect8rCraft
Profile Joined December 2012
649 Posts
August 12 2014 16:10 GMT
#16
It's summer, and when it's summer, people like to eat watermelons.

Ergo, it is only logical that I root for Taeja and the Watermelon Zerg!
Tamagoshi
Profile Joined September 2012
Brazil981 Posts
August 12 2014 16:15 GMT
#17
Taeja can't practice much because of his injury, I do think he will get through the group, but it will be hard for him to win the whole thing
Jer99
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada8158 Posts
August 12 2014 17:10 GMT
#18
TaeJa and HerO/hendralisk, it'll depend on how HerO plays
StrategyTaeJa #1 || @TL_Jer99 || "seeker seeked out his seeking"
Starecat
Profile Joined August 2014
939 Posts
August 12 2014 20:01 GMT
#19
Damm it fells that Taeja will forfeit this match too.
:3
vult
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United States9400 Posts
August 12 2014 20:07 GMT
#20
On August 13 2014 05:01 Starecat wrote:
Damm it fells that Taeja will forfeit this match too.


What makes you say that?
I used to play random, but for you I play very specifically.
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