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Blizzcon Bracket Challenge! - Page 5

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
November 04 2013 20:53 GMT
#81
On November 05 2013 05:24 SpikeStarcraft wrote:
                     Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    Top 16   Top 32    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Polt 18.69% 10.91% 18.57% 23.88% 27.95% 0.00%
INnoVation 17.14% 13.57% 22.39% 30.05% 16.84% 0.00%
MMA 11.31% 8.62% 18.22% 17.79% 44.05% 0.00%
Mvp 9.47% 9.70% 15.09% 31.12% 34.62% 0.00%
sOs 7.52% 7.10% 14.19% 34.35% 36.84% 0.00%
TaeJa 6.65% 7.54% 13.29% 25.65% 46.88% 0.00%
Dear 5.65% 7.54% 14.60% 19.08% 53.12% 0.00%
Bomber 4.72% 5.09% 11.74% 22.51% 55.95% 0.00%
Maru 4.41% 5.94% 12.72% 21.85% 55.08% 0.00%
NaNiwa 3.61% 3.36% 8.20% 14.89% 38.00% 31.94%
HerO 3.32% 4.08% 8.26% 21.18% 63.16% 0.00%
Soulkey 3.13% 5.74% 14.69% 37.43% 39.01% 0.00%
MC 1.90% 4.40% 9.44% 39.34% 44.92% 0.00%
Jaedong 0.98% 2.34% 7.15% 24.15% 65.38% 0.00%
aLive 0.82% 1.71% 4.82% 20.59% 72.05% 0.00%
duckdeok 0.65% 2.12% 5.31% 8.76% 83.16% 0.00%
Revival 0.04% 0.22% 1.31% 7.38% 22.99% 68.06%
Median Outcome Bracket
+ Show Spoiler +
     Soulkey 3 ┐ 
├───── Soulkey 3 ┐
BYE 0 ┘ │
├───── Soulkey 1 ┐
NaNiwa 3 ┐ │ │
├────── NaNiwa 2 ┘ │
Revival 2 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┐
Bomber 3 ┐ │ │
├────── Bomber 2 ┐ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
BYE 0 ┘ │
├──────── Polt 4 ┐
HerO 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── HerO 2 ┐ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├───────── sOs 2 ┐ │ │
sOs 3 ┐ │ │ │ │
├───────── sOs 3 ┘ │ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┐ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
aLive 3 ┐ │ │
├─────── aLive 1 ┘ │
BYE 0 ┘ │
├─ Polt
Dear 3 ┐ │
├──────── Dear 2 ┐ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 2 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┐ │ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┐ │
Jaedong 3 ┐ │ │ │
├───── Jaedong 2 ┐ │ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┘ │ │
Mvp 3 ┐ │ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┘ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┘
Maru 3 ┐ │
├──────── Maru 2 ┐ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├────────── MC 1 ┐ │
MC 3 ┐ │ │ │
├────────── MC 3 ┘ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 2 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┐ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
duckdeok 3 ┐ │
├──── duckdeok 1 ┘
BYE 0 ┘

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Is that your bracket then?
I think Kespa + Taeja are really under-rated on aligulac though
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
SpikeStarcraft
Profile Joined October 2011
Germany2095 Posts
November 04 2013 21:03 GMT
#82
Nah i didnt bother to sign up there. I just thought it would be helpful to have an objective prediction (one that follows clear rules) just for orientation.

Kespa and Taeja underrated?`...So what would that mean for Dear vs Taeja?
I would probably rate MMA and Mvp lower than aligulac. All terran semi finals seems unlikely.
but you can see that a lot of matchups are really really close and aligulac has difficulties to make a clear prediction. A lot of 3:2s.
Sabu113
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States11089 Posts
November 04 2013 21:04 GMT
#83
Would not have expected this awhile ago but I have Dear winning. With Taeja the biggest scare and Maru likely to face him again. Bomber's luck of the bracket in turn results in him getting to the finals where his mechanical edge is just too much for Polt.

+ Show Spoiler +
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794&user=470741
Biomine is a drunken chick who is on industrial strength amphetamines and would just grab your dick and jerk it as hard and violently as she could while screaming 'OMG FUCK ME', because she saw it in a Sasha Grey video ...-Wombat_Ni
Fus
Profile Joined August 2010
Sweden1112 Posts
November 04 2013 21:07 GMT
#84
I think Taeja, Dear or Innovation will win. Rooting for Nani though <3
NaNiwa | Innovation | Flash | DeMuslim ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
ToKoreaWithLove
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Norway10161 Posts
November 04 2013 23:48 GMT
#85
Wait, isnt it ALL best of 5? Mvp won.
ModeratorFather of bunnies
slowbacontron
Profile Joined October 2012
United States7722 Posts
November 04 2013 23:52 GMT
#86
On November 05 2013 08:48 ToKoreaWithLove wrote:
Wait, isnt it ALL best of 5? Mvp won.

Well, the final is a Bo7.

...So Mvp won.
jjakji fan
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
November 05 2013 12:09 GMT
#87
bumpbump!
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
November 05 2013 22:32 GMT
#88
Believe in the Tyrent!

+ Show Spoiler +
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794&user=470789
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
November 05 2013 22:43 GMT
#89
[image loading]


ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
metzninja
Profile Joined November 2010
New Zealand626 Posts
November 06 2013 05:39 GMT
#90
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794&user=470813

I used the following algorithm:

- Polt and MMA bomb out at season finals
- Soulkey runs deep
- aLive performs better than expected: in this case, he wins one series
- HerO loses to sOs
- INnoVation crushes P and Z, loses to Maru
- Maru gets to Ro4
- Naniwa punches above his weight, which I think he will do by having a heart-stopping 3-2 series loss to Soulkey

Two rules I am sorry to neglect:

- Never underestimate Mvp
- TaeJa makes deep runs at the highest level of competition, without going past Ro4

And the worst abuse of the algorithm, by ignoring a rule that should be in there...

- Jaedong comes second

I expect Soulkey to beat Jaedong and my prediction to be ruined by the soft spot in my heart for the tyrant </3
bo1b
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Australia12814 Posts
November 06 2013 05:49 GMT
#91
The fact that jaedong isnt the only person being voted to win is a little disturbing.
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
November 06 2013 06:11 GMT
#92
On November 04 2013 14:04 rave[wcr] wrote:
no matter how hard i tried i just couldnt see mvp advance over dear. i hope he proves me wrong
+ Show Spoiler +
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794




thats the exact same problem i ran into, i would love nothing more than for mvp to take it all though!
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
StarStruck
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
25339 Posts
November 06 2013 06:12 GMT
#93
On November 05 2013 05:53 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2013 05:24 SpikeStarcraft wrote:
                     Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    Top 16   Top 32    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Polt 18.69% 10.91% 18.57% 23.88% 27.95% 0.00%
INnoVation 17.14% 13.57% 22.39% 30.05% 16.84% 0.00%
MMA 11.31% 8.62% 18.22% 17.79% 44.05% 0.00%
Mvp 9.47% 9.70% 15.09% 31.12% 34.62% 0.00%
sOs 7.52% 7.10% 14.19% 34.35% 36.84% 0.00%
TaeJa 6.65% 7.54% 13.29% 25.65% 46.88% 0.00%
Dear 5.65% 7.54% 14.60% 19.08% 53.12% 0.00%
Bomber 4.72% 5.09% 11.74% 22.51% 55.95% 0.00%
Maru 4.41% 5.94% 12.72% 21.85% 55.08% 0.00%
NaNiwa 3.61% 3.36% 8.20% 14.89% 38.00% 31.94%
HerO 3.32% 4.08% 8.26% 21.18% 63.16% 0.00%
Soulkey 3.13% 5.74% 14.69% 37.43% 39.01% 0.00%
MC 1.90% 4.40% 9.44% 39.34% 44.92% 0.00%
Jaedong 0.98% 2.34% 7.15% 24.15% 65.38% 0.00%
aLive 0.82% 1.71% 4.82% 20.59% 72.05% 0.00%
duckdeok 0.65% 2.12% 5.31% 8.76% 83.16% 0.00%
Revival 0.04% 0.22% 1.31% 7.38% 22.99% 68.06%
Median Outcome Bracket
+ Show Spoiler +
     Soulkey 3 ┐ 
├───── Soulkey 3 ┐
BYE 0 ┘ │
├───── Soulkey 1 ┐
NaNiwa 3 ┐ │ │
├────── NaNiwa 2 ┘ │
Revival 2 ┘ │
├───────── MMA 2 ┐
Bomber 3 ┐ │ │
├────── Bomber 2 ┐ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
MMA 3 ┐ │ │
├───────── MMA 3 ┘ │
BYE 0 ┘ │
├──────── Polt 4 ┐
HerO 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── HerO 2 ┐ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├───────── sOs 2 ┐ │ │
sOs 3 ┐ │ │ │ │
├───────── sOs 3 ┘ │ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
Polt 3 ┐ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┐ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │
├──────── Polt 3 ┘ │
aLive 3 ┐ │ │
├─────── aLive 1 ┘ │
BYE 0 ┘ │
├─ Polt
Dear 3 ┐ │
├──────── Dear 2 ┐ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 2 ┐ │
TaeJa 3 ┐ │ │ │
├─────── TaeJa 3 ┘ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┐ │
Jaedong 3 ┐ │ │ │
├───── Jaedong 2 ┐ │ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┘ │ │
Mvp 3 ┐ │ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┘ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├───────── Mvp 3 ┘
Maru 3 ┐ │
├──────── Maru 2 ┐ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├────────── MC 1 ┐ │
MC 3 ┐ │ │ │
├────────── MC 3 ┘ │ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 2 ┘
INnoVation 3 ┐ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┐ │
BYE 0 ┘ │ │
├── INnoVation 3 ┘
duckdeok 3 ┐ │
├──── duckdeok 1 ┘
BYE 0 ┘

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

Is that your bracket then?
I think Kespa + Taeja are really under-rated on aligulac though


Yep, cannot trust it. Thank Heavens other guys use it for their bets though or else I wouldn't have anyone to bet with. D:
Moobla
Profile Joined May 2011
United States186 Posts
November 06 2013 06:35 GMT
#94
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794&user=425731

I have a feeling that despite the season Taeja will go beast mode. Innovation will beat Maru this time around I think, because he did say in his interview that he has really been focusing on his TvT and is very confident in it now. And he should be aware of Maru's shenanigans this time. But Taeja will still be too stronk for Innovation.
"If you aren't attacking, you are probably losing." -QXC
triforks
Profile Joined November 2010
United States370 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-11-06 06:46:24
November 06 2013 06:46 GMT
#95
[image loading]
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
November 06 2013 07:12 GMT
#96
sOs winning 2 PvTs in a row is a pretty ballsy prediction
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
DinosaurPoop
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
687 Posts
November 06 2013 09:30 GMT
#97
On November 06 2013 15:46 triforks wrote:
[image loading]

INnoVation beating Maru wat
MMA beating Soulkey wat
sOs beating Polt wat
When cats speak, mice listen.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
November 06 2013 23:48 GMT
#98
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
November 07 2013 01:08 GMT
#99
On November 07 2013 08:48 Pandain wrote:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794

omg you have exactly the same bracket as me
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
Random_0
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
United States1163 Posts
November 07 2013 01:20 GMT
#100
http://www.bracketmaker.com/predict.cfm?parent=865794&user=470883

Dear 4 - Soulkey 2 in the Finals.

Great idea, Opterown! This makes me even more hyped for the WCS Finals by seeing all the amazing matchups that can ensue.
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