Code A Brackets Released - Page 11

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THM

Bulgaria1131 Posts

November 13 2012 12:55 GMT

#201

On November 13 2012 21:02 dignitasDreAm wrote:
LOL When do I play start play code A...

Soon.

Slackzftw

Germany361 Posts

November 13 2012 13:07 GMT

#202

Flash in CodeS next season. :>

Hryul

Austria2609 Posts

November 13 2012 15:14 GMT

#203

On November 13 2012 22:07 Slackzftw wrote:
Flash in CodeS next season. :>

your word in god's ear.

lichter

1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts

November 13 2012 15:18 GMT

#204

Flash and Jaedong have very doable brackets. Jangbi's looks difficult.

DonGrisu

Austria697 Posts

November 13 2012 16:03 GMT

#205

Byul >> MMA

2-0

U will see

...

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

November 13 2012 16:04 GMT

#206

On November 14 2012 01:03 DonGrisu wrote:
Byul >> MMA

2-0

U will see

...

I don't think anyone would be surprised, unless MMA starts kicking into high gear with training.

mhael

United States102 Posts

November 13 2012 17:29 GMT

#207

I am rooting for -
(Z)Dark vs. (T)TaeJa - Taeja
(T)Sparta vs. (T)Fantasy - Fantasy
(P)JYP vs. (T)Noblesse - JYP
(P)JangBi vs. (Z)Shine - JangBi
(T)MaruPrime vs. (Z)LosirA - LosirA
(Z)Jaedong vs. (Z)Sirius - Jaedong
(Z)BBoongBBoong vs. (T)jjakji - jjakji
(P)Rain vs. (P)DreAm - Rain
(T)Heart vs. (Z)NesTea - NesTea
(T)ByuN vs. (P)Terminator - Byun
(T)aLive vs. (P)Flying - aLive
(P)Squirtle vs. (Z)Miya - Squirtle
(P)Mini vs. (P)YongHwa - YongHwa
(T)Flash vs. (P)Brave - Flash
(T)MMA vs. (Z)ByuL - MMA

ArcticRaven

France1406 Posts

November 13 2012 17:36 GMT

#208

Center 2-0 Seed
Jjakji, having dumped his curse on Seed, rolls through his bracket.

Only 2 NSH players throughout GSL TT

Marou

Germany1371 Posts

November 13 2012 17:56 GMT

#209

So many good player on the verge of going to Code B. GSL is so insanely high level T_T

Advantageous

China1350 Posts

November 13 2012 19:16 GMT

#210

:O LosirA is back!

andiCR

Costa Rica2273 Posts

November 13 2012 19:34 GMT

#211

Ugh.. cant wait!! Rooting for Flash, THE DONG, Fantasy and my man, the pvz beast [gosi]Flying

Ethoex

United States164 Posts

November 13 2012 19:51 GMT

#212

so many good names in code A

Pasargadae

Korea (South)173 Posts

November 13 2012 20:05 GMT

#213

On November 13 2012 00:11 TheBB wrote:

Show nested quote +

On November 13 2012 00:06 ragz_gt wrote:

On November 13 2012 00:01 TheBB wrote:
Well, for what it's worth, here you are.

Dark, Hyvaa, Sin, Center, Brave and Brain don't have ratings yet, so those matches are not included.

Most even: Jangbi vs Shine. Biggest favourite: Squirtle.
+ Show Spoiler +

+ Show Spoiler [JYP vs. Noblesse] +

JYP vs. Noblesse

JYP wins (57.12%):
      2-0: 29.99%
      2-1: 27.13%

Noblesse wins (42.88%):
      2-0: 20.46%
      2-1: 22.41%

Most likely winner: JYP (57.12%)
Most likely outcome: JYP 2-0 Noblesse (29.99%)

+ Show Spoiler [San vs. IMHappy] +

San vs. IMHappy

San wins (59.50%):
      2-0: 31.77%
      2-1: 27.73%

IMHappy wins (40.50%):
      2-0: 19.04%
      2-1: 21.46%

Most likely winner: San (59.50%)
Most likely outcome: San 2-0 IMHappy (31.77%)

+ Show Spoiler [Sparta vs. Fantasy] +

Sparta vs. Fantasy

Sparta wins (21.10%):
      2-0: 8.76%
      2-1: 12.34%

Fantasy wins (78.90%):
      2-0: 49.56%
      2-1: 29.34%

Most likely winner: Fantasy (78.90%)
Most likely outcome: Sparta 0-2 Fantasy (49.56%)

+ Show Spoiler [Maru vs. LosirA] +

Maru vs. LosirA

Maru wins (36.09%):
      2-0: 16.50%
      2-1: 19.59%

LosirA wins (63.91%):
      2-0: 35.27%
      2-1: 28.65%

Most likely winner: LosirA (63.91%)
Most likely outcome: Maru 0-2 LosirA (35.27%)

+ Show Spoiler [Sirius vs. Jaedong] +

Sirius vs. Jaedong

Sirius wins (45.65%):
      2-0: 22.18%
      2-1: 23.47%

Jaedong wins (54.35%):
      2-0: 27.99%
      2-1: 26.36%

Most likely winner: Jaedong (54.35%)
Most likely outcome: Sirius 0-2 Jaedong (27.99%)

+ Show Spoiler [BBoongBBoong vs. jjakji] +

BBoongBBoong vs. jjakji

BBoongBBoong wins (38.88%):
      2-0: 18.09%
      2-1: 20.79%

jjakji wins (61.12%):
      2-0: 33.03%
      2-1: 28.09%

Most likely winner: jjakji (61.12%)
Most likely outcome: BBoongBBoong 0-2 jjakji (33.03%)

+ Show Spoiler [Dream vs. Rain] +

Dream vs. Rain

Dream wins (24.29%):
      2-0: 10.30%
      2-1: 13.99%

Rain wins (75.71%):
      2-0: 46.11%
      2-1: 29.60%

Most likely winner: Rain (75.71%)
Most likely outcome: Dream 0-2 Rain (46.11%)

+ Show Spoiler [SuperNova vs. First] +

SuperNova vs. First

SuperNova wins (60.83%):
      2-0: 32.80%
      2-1: 28.03%

First wins (39.17%):
      2-0: 18.26%
      2-1: 20.91%

Most likely winner: SuperNova (60.83%)
Most likely outcome: SuperNova 2-0 First (32.80%)

+ Show Spoiler [Bomber vs. ClassicPrime] +

Bomber vs. ClassicPrime

Bomber wins (69.42%):
      2-0: 40.02%
      2-1: 29.41%

ClassicPrime wins (30.58%):
      2-0: 13.50%
      2-1: 17.08%

Most likely winner: Bomber (69.42%)
Most likely outcome: Bomber 2-0 ClassicPrime (40.02%)

+ Show Spoiler [Bbyong vs. TAiLS] +

Bbyong vs. TAiLS

Bbyong wins (33.96%):
      2-0: 15.32%
      2-1: 18.65%

TAiLS wins (66.04%):
      2-0: 37.04%
      2-1: 28.99%

Most likely winner: TAiLS (66.04%)
Most likely outcome: Bbyong 0-2 TAiLS (37.04%)

+ Show Spoiler [Heart vs. NesTea] +

Heart vs. NesTea

Heart wins (54.22%):
      2-0: 27.90%
      2-1: 26.32%

NesTea wins (45.78%):
      2-0: 22.26%
      2-1: 23.52%

Most likely winner: Heart (54.22%)
Most likely outcome: Heart 2-0 NesTea (27.90%)

+ Show Spoiler [ByuN vs. Sang] +

ByuN vs. Sang

ByuN wins (71.69%):
      2-0: 42.12%
      2-1: 29.57%

Sang wins (28.31%):
      2-0: 12.32%
      2-1: 15.99%

Most likely winner: ByuN (71.69%)
Most likely outcome: ByuN 2-0 Sang (42.12%)

+ Show Spoiler [aLive vs. Flying] +

aLive vs. Flying

aLive wins (59.13%):
      2-0: 31.49%
      2-1: 27.64%

Flying wins (40.87%):
      2-0: 19.26%
      2-1: 21.61%

Most likely winner: aLive (59.13%)
Most likely outcome: aLive 2-0 Flying (31.49%)

+ Show Spoiler [ShinefOu vs. JangBi] +

ShinefOu vs. JangBi

ShinefOu wins (49.20%):
      2-0: 24.47%
      2-1: 24.73%

JangBi wins (50.80%):
      2-0: 25.54%
      2-1: 25.26%

Most likely winner: JangBi (50.80%)
Most likely outcome: ShinefOu 0-2 JangBi (25.54%)

+ Show Spoiler [Squirtle vs. Miya] +

Squirtle vs. Miya

Squirtle wins (83.00%):
      2-0: 54.46%
      2-1: 28.54%

Miya wins (17.00%):
      2-0: 6.86%
      2-1: 10.13%

Most likely winner: Squirtle (83.00%)
Most likely outcome: Squirtle 2-0 Miya (54.46%)

+ Show Spoiler [Mini vs. YongHwa] +

Mini vs. YongHwa

Mini wins (19.06%):
      2-0: 7.81%
      2-1: 11.25%

YongHwa wins (80.94%):
      2-0: 51.93%
      2-1: 29.02%

Most likely winner: YongHwa (80.94%)
Most likely outcome: Mini 0-2 YongHwa (51.93%)

+ Show Spoiler [MMA vs. ByuL] +

MMA vs. ByuL

MMA wins (67.72%):
      2-0: 38.50%
      2-1: 29.22%

ByuL wins (32.28%):
      2-0: 14.40%
      2-1: 17.87%

Most likely winner: MMA (67.72%)
Most likely outcome: MMA 2-0 ByuL (38.50%)

+ Show Spoiler [Trap vs. asd] +

Trap vs. asd

Trap wins (69.31%):
      2-0: 39.92%
      2-1: 29.39%

asd wins (30.69%):
      2-0: 13.56%
      2-1: 17.13%

Most likely winner: Trap (69.31%)
Most likely outcome: Trap 2-0 asd (39.92%)

All your most likely outcome are 2-0... not sure if make sense

Actually, under the model I'm using, it's always the case that a 2-0 is more likely than a 2-1. Suppose the best player has probability p to win any single game, and the other guy has probability 1-p. Then

p > 0.5
1-p < 0.5

Now, the probability of a 2-0 for the best player is p^2, and the probability of a 2-1 is 2(1-p)p^2 = 2(1-p) times the probability of a 2-0.

This factor 2(1-p) is always less than 1 (since 1-p < 0.5), so the probability of 2-1 is always smaller.

Your conclusion may be correct, but the math is faulty. You're assuming the probabilities are independent, which they are not. Good work either way though ^^

InsidiA

Canada1169 Posts

November 13 2012 20:52 GMT

#214

Heart vs NesTea sounds interesting

Shellshock

United States97274 Posts

November 13 2012 20:56 GMT

#215

I didnt see anyone post it but the schedule is up

Nov 16

Premium

Happy vs

San

Maru vs

Losira

BBoongBBoong vs

jjakji

SuperNova vs

First

Free

Genius vs

hyvaa

Sparta vs

FanTaSy

MC vs

BrAvO

Sirius vs

Jaedong

Nov 19
Premium

Bbyong vs

TAiLS

Seed vs

Center

aLive vs

Flying

mini vs

YongHwa

Free

TaeJa vs

Dark

Squirtle vs

Miya

Shine vs

jangbi

Heart vs

NesTea

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

November 13 2012 20:58 GMT

#216

UGH all of IM except Nestea is premium ;;

just had to be cheap this season...

bittman

Australia8759 Posts

November 13 2012 22:40 GMT

#217

On November 14 2012 05:56 Shellshock1122 wrote:
I didnt see anyone post it but the schedule is up

Nov 16

Premium

Happy vs

San

Maru vs

Losira

BBoongBBoong vs

jjakji

SuperNova vs

First

Free

Genius vs

hyvaa

Sparta vs

FanTaSy

MC vs

BrAvO

Sirius vs

Jaedong

Nov 19
Premium

Bbyong vs

TAiLS

Seed vs

Center

aLive vs

Flying

mini vs

YongHwa

Free

TaeJa vs

Dark

Squirtle vs

Miya

Shine vs

jangbi

Heart vs

NesTea

Nooooo, Jjakji, Manzenith, Losira, Seed and Yongwha premium! D=

Kasaraki

Denmark7115 Posts

November 13 2012 22:54 GMT

#218

Haha, they are kinda mean with the premiums this time around. Thanksfully I have premium.

opterown

Australia54784 Posts

November 13 2012 22:59 GMT

#219

it's really hard to choose which matches should be premium, and which shouldn't haha

negativedge

4279 Posts

November 13 2012 23:01 GMT

#220

whoa, Yonghwa. I wonder if artosis is going to demand to cast Code A that day

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