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2019 - 2020 Football Thread - Page 192

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https://tl.net/forum/sports/563091-2020-2021-football-thread
Greg_J
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
China4409 Posts
June 27 2020 01:51 GMT
#3821
It think we could have a closer league next year (It would be hard not too) I doubt Liverpool will be quite as hot as they were earlier this season, City especially if Augero doesn't stay are flagging a little. Yanited and Chelsea seem to be gaining a bit of moment. But it was a big gap back to the top 2. Any chance Chelsea or Yanited could get involved with a title race next year?
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28796 Posts
June 27 2020 02:44 GMT
#3822
City en route to get 78 points this season. That represents a 20 point drop from the previous season. If we see a similar drop from Liverpool, then sure; Chelsea or United can plausibly get 80 point seasons for sure.

Chelsea also dropped 23 points from winning 16/17 to getting 5th place 17/18. And Blackburn dropped 28 points from 94/95 to 95/96. (Lost Shearer.. ) And Chelsea went from 87 points in 14/15 to 50 points in 15/16 - a 37 point drop.

However, with the exception of those three (four if we include this season), no other premier league season has featured the champion team of the previous season get more than 11 points fewer than they did the season before. So, going by history, it's overwhelmingly likely that Liverpool looks at a 90+ point season next season, too. Can understand why a Chelsea supporter has the impression that yo-yo performances are reasonably common, with their 87 - 50 - 93 - 70 streak some years ago, but almost all other champions fluctuate by fewer than 10 points per season. Of course, Liverpool's season has been absurdly magnificent, so replicating that is bound to be a bit harder than replicating your average 87 or whatever point league victory.
Moderator
Bacillus
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland2048 Posts
June 27 2020 04:35 GMT
#3823
I feel like the African Cup of Nations can upset the odds quite a bit if it gets fully realized. It's just an unusually badly (in terms of PL interference) scheduled tournament that'll take out 2 or 3 key players from Liverpool.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
June 27 2020 12:35 GMT
#3824
Yeah you are reading way too much into Liverpool and what they produced with 0 injuries over 2 years and no African Cup of nations to rip their 2 star players from them for a large time.

City will spend, regardless of champs league or not and will get players in that you wouldn't have thought would come, because at the end of the day money talks...Liverpool will struggle to finance this market they have said this already, Klopp himself. Chelsea and Yanited throwing a lot of money at the window as well.

I am not saying Liverpool will go back to what they were struggling for 4th, but they will find it very hard to back what they did this year up. They did exactly what City did last year, which was score late late goals and importantly in games where they did not look good. That doesn't happen all the time.

Plus we got Werner inbound, the league is over
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
DropBear
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Australia4400 Posts
June 27 2020 13:58 GMT
#3825
On June 27 2020 02:25 Pandemona wrote:
Bookmakers already have City as favourites for next season, then Liverpool then Chelsea and Yanited. I don't see Liverpool winning, rely too much on that front 3 and Mane will be 30. PLUS. African cup of nations is coming, say they keep the whole front 3, they lose Mane and Salah to african cup of nations for 4 weeks...


What is he going to drop off a cliff on his 30th birthday? The top scorer in England, Germany, Spain and Italy leagues this season were all 30 or older. Second place for all of the above besides Germany too
Sucker for nostalgia
Bacillus
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland2048 Posts
June 27 2020 16:41 GMT
#3826
Zero injuries is also stretching it a bit. Alisson was out quite a lot, Ox was out over a year, Keita has been out a lot. Salah has had some smaller injuries after Choudhury tackle. Matip and Gomez have been out occassionally and they've had players defenders Lovren in critical City matches and so on. The fortunate thing has been that someone has always covered well enough that the injuries haven't become major stories.

Liverpool definitely has been fortunate that there haven't been any total collapses like City's defense after Laporte injury or major superstar injuries like De Bruyne, but it isn't exactly a zero injury thing either.
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18635 Posts
June 27 2020 17:41 GMT
#3827
also why do you think african cup is going to be even played? Africa as a whole continent is months behind the west and we also cancelled olympics which would have been months in the future

corona will definitely say no to african cup
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-06-27 18:33:40
June 27 2020 18:23 GMT
#3828
On June 27 2020 22:58 DropBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 27 2020 02:25 Pandemona wrote:
Bookmakers already have City as favourites for next season, then Liverpool then Chelsea and Yanited. I don't see Liverpool winning, rely too much on that front 3 and Mane will be 30. PLUS. African cup of nations is coming, say they keep the whole front 3, they lose Mane and Salah to african cup of nations for 4 weeks...


What is he going to drop off a cliff on his 30th birthday? The top scorer in England, Germany, Spain and Italy leagues this season were all 30 or older. Second place for all of the above besides Germany too

Yes that is an interesting stat but also the 30 plus things is many different reasons. Body isn't repairing as well, value of said player is also depreciating a lot but you also need to throw money at them to keep them from their heads being turned. So the 30 issue is a lot more complex than if he drops off a cliff, in which some players have shown...Ivanovic one day came back into a new season and could no longer run lol and was just destroyed at right back against any winger lol, season before he won the league with best defensive record and was in team of the years etc xD


CAF has announced they are going ahead with January 2021 African Cup of nations but have a backup in place just in case but are prioritizing the 2021 January start. So yes i think it is going ahead, same way i am sure the Olympics in 2021 and Euros in 2021 will go ahead.


The injuries to Salah were a few games we had this discussion before, he and Firminho last season missed like 4 games at the end (including Barca in champs league, both back for final) and this year the front 3 have played 40, 41 and 45 games this season.

Salah missed 1 premier league game for injury vs Yanited. Mane missed 2 games this season to injury. Firminho has missed 0 games all season. All this front 3 played every champs league game indeed.

They missed players like Allison for sure but the rest were not missed because their squad is so small but keep them fit and they can compete quite clearly they can!
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18635 Posts
June 29 2020 13:56 GMT
#3829
barca going to pay 60mil for pjanic? ok then it really is money laundering...

artur+10mil for Pjanic is insane
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
June 29 2020 17:30 GMT
#3830
Yeah so;

Barcelona have confirmed that Arthur is to join Juventus in a £75m deal later this summer, while they will sign Miralem Pjanic for £59.4m the other way.


I think Pjanic is very very good, but is the wrong age for Barca i think. So that makes this deal even crazier as they are gifting them a player who is way way younger. Still maybe Barca know what they want from Pjanic, a bit more of a forward pass that they are not getting with their midfield 3 right now.
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
sneirac
Profile Joined July 2012
Germany3464 Posts
June 29 2020 20:25 GMT
#3831
Exeter losing their 3rd playoff final in 4 years, thats not very fan friendly
possession wins games, kante is washed up and shit - pande
Bacillus
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland2048 Posts
June 29 2020 21:15 GMT
#3832
On June 30 2020 02:30 Pandemona wrote:
I think Pjanic is very very good, but is the wrong age for Barca i think. So that makes this deal even crazier as they are gifting them a player who is way way younger. Still maybe Barca know what they want from Pjanic, a bit more of a forward pass that they are not getting with their midfield 3 right now.

It definitely feels off. I think the ideal thingy now would be Pjanic playing a few years of his best football and allowing Barca to remain somewhat competitive while preparing for the inevitable post-Messi era and introducing some young & fresh talent around Pjanic.

That being said, it looks more like accounting motivated move without any actual footballing reasons involved.
WillyWanker
Profile Joined December 2011
France1915 Posts
June 30 2020 00:08 GMT
#3833
On June 30 2020 06:15 Bacillus wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2020 02:30 Pandemona wrote:
I think Pjanic is very very good, but is the wrong age for Barca i think. So that makes this deal even crazier as they are gifting them a player who is way way younger. Still maybe Barca know what they want from Pjanic, a bit more of a forward pass that they are not getting with their midfield 3 right now.

That being said, it looks more like accounting motivated move without any actual footballing reasons involved.

Yup.

The club is a shit show. I thought with the break, players would come back motivated and we wouldn't see any drama until at least the end of the season... But now there seems to be a complete separation between players and the coaches and it's in every media, no one is hiding it. I never thought Setien would be good enough for Barça long term, but he could at least be the solution until the elections. Because if they sack him at the end of the season, who in their right mind would take the team? Knowing that in 2021 they would automatically get sacked, bar a miracle season, and they'd be inheriting a team of overpaid, spoiled, lazy, old champions that'd throw the coach under the bus the moment things don't go well.

So much to change in the club, it's going to be painful to watch until at least summer 21. And then the new project will still need to be smart to get rid of those old guys without ruining the locker room.
Greg_J
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
China4409 Posts
June 30 2020 00:23 GMT
#3834
On June 30 2020 05:25 sneirac wrote:
Exeter losing their 3rd playoff final in 4 years, thats not very fan friendly

We got physically dominated by Town. Matt Taylor's talking about the club not been able to afford to keep a players out of contract this summer. Pretty depressing all around.
aseq
Profile Joined January 2003
Netherlands3999 Posts
June 30 2020 10:42 GMT
#3835
This looks like another out-of-position deal by Barca. They've got Busi, certainly one of the best 6's in the world, and Frenkie, who also prefer to play in that position. Let's buy another defensive midfielder that's 1 year younger than Busquets?

So many transfers that don't make sense over the last few years, what are they doing? Pjanic, Griezmann, Coutinho, Braithwaite, Vidal, Kevin Prince. I remember raising an eyebrow when they bought Turan, but it's only gotten worse...
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
June 30 2020 12:07 GMT
#3836
Who would buy him?

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18287 Posts
June 30 2020 12:24 GMT
#3837
For $450m? PSG
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26766 Posts
June 30 2020 16:03 GMT
#3838
On June 30 2020 19:42 aseq wrote:
This looks like another out-of-position deal by Barca. They've got Busi, certainly one of the best 6's in the world, and Frenkie, who also prefer to play in that position. Let's buy another defensive midfielder that's 1 year younger than Busquets?

So many transfers that don't make sense over the last few years, what are they doing? Pjanic, Griezmann, Coutinho, Braithwaite, Vidal, Kevin Prince. I remember raising an eyebrow when they bought Turan, but it's only gotten worse...

I just listened to a podcast running through their signings since the summer they got Suarez, it’s actually a staggering list of big money moves that don’t have anything approaching a coherent plan behind them.

I can’t really think of anything comparable in terms of players failing to deliver so consistently over a period of years with so much money being spent.

They’re being absolutely shockingly run, what’s it look like if they didn’t have Messi so consistently doing his thing?
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-06-30 19:20:51
June 30 2020 16:19 GMT
#3839
On June 30 2020 19:42 aseq wrote:
This looks like another out-of-position deal by Barca. They've got Busi, certainly one of the best 6's in the world, and Frenkie, who also prefer to play in that position. Let's buy another defensive midfielder that's 1 year younger than Busquets?

So many transfers that don't make sense over the last few years, what are they doing? Pjanic, Griezmann, Coutinho, Braithwaite, Vidal, Kevin Prince. I remember raising an eyebrow when they bought Turan, but it's only gotten worse...


Hes not really a very good defensive midfielder though. He loses the ball in bad places doing risky shit and his passing hasnt really improved under what under Sarri is a more pass happy Juve.

He sucked at Juve under Sarri playing a regista. Well sucked is maybe not the right word. But he wasnt as good as he has been in previous Juve teams

So I would think Barca plan to use mostly his offensive skills and play him in advanced positions to create instead of Messi having to do it. De Jong is an excellent deep player with good defense and possession management/distribution so they won't be overlapping roles much.


Thats the only real rational one could put forward as a benefit over Arthur, because Arthur is good but he hasnt really made that step up yet to killer creativity. Maybe he will...

But like.. its a real gamble. Pjanic is a mostly spent commodity and its not very good value for money. I dont know we will see. Seems more of a band aid solution which has been Barca's MO for a while now. And very few of the band aids have actually stuck.

On July 01 2020 01:03 Wombat_NI wrote:

They’re being absolutely shockingly run, what’s it look like if they didn’t have Messi so consistently doing his thing?


They would be fighting for Europa league spots at best.

sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18635 Posts
June 30 2020 16:31 GMT
#3840
I dont think they would do that badly because atm none of the barca players give a damn because in the end messi will win the game for them but once he is really gone they will step up to get top4 at least but no way they would challenge for the title
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