WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Qualifiers Season 3 Winning Chances Trap has a 60.66% chance to win ----going from 14.38% to 18.3% if they get 1st, or 8.34% if they don't. Zest has a 59.38% chance to win ----going from 75.22% to 79.82% if they get 1st, or 68.49% if they don't. Stats has a 57.47% chance to win ----going from 62.36% to 67.99% if they get 1st, or 54.74% if they don't. HyuN has a 55.04% chance to win ----going from 5.72% to 7.88% if they get 1st, or 3.08% if they don't. Classic has a 53.95% chance to win ----going from 64.34% to 69.26% if they get 1st, or 58.59% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
TRUE has a 53.77% chance to win ----going from 4.16% to 5.84% if they get 1st, or 2.2% if they don't. Dear has a 53.29% chance to win ----going from 5.26% to 7.3% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't. TaeJa has a 53.04% chance to win ----going from 0.72% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Soulkey has a 52.08% chance to win ----going from 19.25% to 24.27% if they get 1st, or 13.78% if they don't. Hurricane has a 50.53% chance to win ----going from 0.9% to 1.4% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't. Cure has a 49.96% chance to win ----going from 0.87% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.41% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 45.13% chance to win ----going from 0.15% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. Leenock has a 44.82% chance to win ----going from 2.13% to 3.23% if they get 1st, or 1.23% if they don't. First has a 44.63% chance to win ----going from 0.37% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Terminator has a 43.63% chance to win ----going from 1.6% to 2.52% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't. jjakji has a 43.09% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Armani has a 42.87% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. San has a 41.94% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 0.79% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't. Super has a 40.41% chance to win ----going from 0.93% to 1.51% if they get 1st, or 0.53% if they don't. Journey has a 40.4% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. ByuN has a 40.23% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Arthur has a 39.73% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Sora has a 38.89% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Heart has a 38.23% chance to win ----going from 0.2% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. Losira has a 37.16% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SuperNova has a 36.91% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Pet has a 35.41% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Impact has a 35.21% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 34.93% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Hack has a 34.51% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. MarineKing has a 33.91% chance to win ----going from 0.43% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.28% if they don't. Center has a 33.5% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 33.45% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. DeParture has a 31.8% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. MC has a 30.91% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Reality has a 30.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ryung has a 30.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Ruin has a 30.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. YongHwa has a 29.93% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Shine has a 29.79% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 29.73% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. eMotion has a 28.59% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. ValuE has a 27.48% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Check has a 25.88% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Revival has a 25.64% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hush has a 25.54% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BrAvO has a 24.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Bunny has a 23.97% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Alicia has a 23.4% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Seed has a 23.34% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Spear has a 23.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. aLive has a 23.04% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Billowy has a 21.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. KeeN has a 21.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Action has a 20.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. inori has a 19.39% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miso has a 19.35% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Sleep has a 18.68% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Tiger has a 18.66% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. CranK has a 18.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a 17.14% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zoun has a 16.72% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Stork has a 16.51% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SalvatioN has a 16.33% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TheStC has a 13.92% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Daisy has a 13.27% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hunter has a 12.06% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. PenguiN has a 8.31% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. horror has a 7.62% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TerrOr has a 7.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LabyRinth has a 6.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TOP has a 6.57% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 6.55% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TAiLS has a 6.27% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Quiet has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SpeeD has a 4.65% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KellerMaN has a 3.92% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 권오건 has a 3.75% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Quiet has a 3.72% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TurN has a 3.15% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GuemChi has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Grid has a 2.95% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Kan has a 2.91% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dynamite has a 2.85% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Choya has a 2.79% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mysticism has a 2.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Picasso has a 2.54% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. maker has a 2.53% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Soloist has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. VIP has a 2.48% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. GooLA has a 2.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TANGTANG has a 2.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Strength has a 2.45% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Ruler has a 2.4% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. finale has a 2.37% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Fancy has a 2.34% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Just has a 2.31% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 날개달린코로네로 has a 2.27% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Muizz has a 2.26% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 하루한번신문투척 has a 2.23% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
they're already all into the double elim rounds or maybe there are just no single elim rounds this time idk but here are some results so far for people too lazy to click on the bracket/group pages
aLive 2-1 Shine Penguin 2-0 sKyHigh Hack 2-0 MarineKing Ruin 2-1 Reality Leenock 2-0 First DeParture 2-1 MC Impact 2-1 San Seed 2-1 Dynamite Dear 2-0 BBoongBBoong Cure 2-0 Pet
none of these players are eliminated yet. they fell to losers' bracket
Hyun 2-0 Center
edit: ok I see the full brackets in OP now. All the players I listed have at least made it to the semifinal of their bracket then
People out before these semis: Apocalypse Journey Hush Check Gamja SpeeD Heart Daisy Guilty Arthur Salvation
Here I was thinking SKT somehow got really unlucky with the afternoon brackets and had Classic, Billowy and Zoun somehow end up in the same group as the only 3 players in the group. Turns out it was just them notifying us of who will be playing in the afternoon =/
As a brutal and contagious virus plagues korea, these gamers left the safety of their home to try to grab the code A spot. How courageous and inspiring.
If you guys tweet questions at me REALLY fast before a player gets interviewed (like RIGHT after their match finishes) , I might be able to ask the players. You can post here too but no guarantee I'll see it in time.
On June 12 2015 14:32 Circumstance wrote: Actually pretty curious about the afternoon groups. I want to see who Zest, Stats and Classic lose to this time.
On June 12 2015 14:32 Circumstance wrote: Actually pretty curious about the afternoon groups. I want to see who Zest, Stats and Classic lose to this time.
TANGTANG hasn't played yet
there can only be so many miracles in a person's life
On June 12 2015 14:32 Circumstance wrote: Actually pretty curious about the afternoon groups. I want to see who Zest, Stats and Classic lose to this time.
TANGTANG hasn't played yet
there can only be so many miracles in a person's life
At the same time, the list of players who've beaten those 3 in Code B this year isn't quite star-studded. Departure, pre-accomplishment Dream, TANGTANG, Penguin, Hyun, Shine, Ryung, and Sleep. That's at least 5 miracles, probably 6.
so one of the eliminated players in the open bracket is Sbenu.SGW, I can only assume that's supposed to be ssoja since they're a protoss but it's still weird.
On June 12 2015 16:16 SetGuitarsToKill wrote: so one of the eliminated players in the open bracket is Sbenu.SGW, I can only assume that's supposed to be ssoja since they're a protoss but it's still weird.
I tried checking Sbenu's roster for those initials (Heart plays some online qualifiers as KMH). Nothing even close.
On June 12 2015 17:05 EGJAKERC wrote: whoever is editing the qualifier page on liquipedia completely fucked up and put Stork and Reality on like 4 notable teams, I will try to fix
Also put PenguiN to SKT, please fix that aswell since he's back to KT.
On June 12 2015 17:05 EGJAKERC wrote: whoever is editing the qualifier page on liquipedia completely fucked up and put Stork and Reality on like 4 notable teams, I will try to fix
hahahaha he's on pretty much all teams except his own.
On June 12 2015 17:19 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: Pigbaby 2-1 Stork, observer king is in Code A. Stork, pls T_T
Stork vs Stats final match lol
Stork or Stats: Who can disappoint harder in the GSL?
there is not even a match between a player-coach and a back to back SSL semi-finalist.
Tell that to Choya
in terms of disappointment. Nobody expects anything from Stork while Stats has his reputation to defend.
Stork is only allowed to win if his Code A opponent ends up being Flash.
as long as he beats some SKT/KT player I'd be happy. Still sad that Bravo/Reality failed TT, 2015 looking really bad for samsung, not even a Solar saving the season.
On June 12 2015 17:19 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: Pigbaby 2-1 Stork, observer king is in Code A. Stork, pls T_T
Stork vs Stats final match lol
Stork or Stats: Who can disappoint harder in the GSL?
there is not even a match between a player-coach and a back to back SSL semi-finalist.
Tell that to Choya
in terms of disappointment. Nobody expects anything from Stork while Stats has his reputation to defend.
Stork is only allowed to win if his Code A opponent ends up being Flash.
as long as he beats some SKT/KT player I'd be happy. Still sad that Bravo/Reality failed TT, 2015 looking really bad for samsung, not even a Solar saving the season.
On June 12 2015 17:19 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: Pigbaby 2-1 Stork, observer king is in Code A. Stork, pls T_T
Stork vs Stats final match lol
Stork or Stats: Who can disappoint harder in the GSL?
there is not even a match between a player-coach and a back to back SSL semi-finalist.
Tell that to Choya
in terms of disappointment. Nobody expects anything from Stork while Stats has his reputation to defend.
Stork is only allowed to win if his Code A opponent ends up being Flash.
as long as he beats some SKT/KT player I'd be happy. Still sad that Bravo/Reality failed TT, 2015 looking really bad for samsung, not even a Solar saving the season.
The hopes and dreams of the ENTIRE team rest on Dear's shoulders.
On June 12 2015 17:19 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: Pigbaby 2-1 Stork, observer king is in Code A. Stork, pls T_T
Stork vs Stats final match lol
Stork or Stats: Who can disappoint harder in the GSL?
there is not even a match between a player-coach and a back to back SSL semi-finalist.
Tell that to Choya
in terms of disappointment. Nobody expects anything from Stork while Stats has his reputation to defend.
Stork is only allowed to win if his Code A opponent ends up being Flash.
as long as he beats some SKT/KT player I'd be happy. Still sad that Bravo/Reality failed TT, 2015 looking really bad for samsung, not even a Solar saving the season.
The hopes and dreams of the ENTIRE team rest on Dear's shoulders.
Hurricane is legit decent too. Dear is good but I don't think he's even ro8 level so it's kinda bad since he's our best player. Whatever Solar will find some way to farm some more foreigner money :D
On June 12 2015 17:19 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote: Pigbaby 2-1 Stork, observer king is in Code A. Stork, pls T_T
Stork vs Stats final match lol
Stork or Stats: Who can disappoint harder in the GSL?
there is not even a match between a player-coach and a back to back SSL semi-finalist.
Tell that to Choya
in terms of disappointment. Nobody expects anything from Stork while Stats has his reputation to defend.
Stork is only allowed to win if his Code A opponent ends up being Flash.
as long as he beats some SKT/KT player I'd be happy. Still sad that Bravo/Reality failed TT, 2015 looking really bad for samsung, not even a Solar saving the season.
The hopes and dreams of the ENTIRE team rest on Dear's shoulders.
Hurricane is legit decent too. Dear is good but I don't think he's even ro8 level so it's kinda bad since he's our best player. Whatever Solar will find some way to farm some more foreigner money :D
On June 12 2015 17:20 Elentos wrote: [quote] Stork vs Stats final match lol
Stork or Stats: Who can disappoint harder in the GSL?
there is not even a match between a player-coach and a back to back SSL semi-finalist.
Tell that to Choya
in terms of disappointment. Nobody expects anything from Stork while Stats has his reputation to defend.
Stork is only allowed to win if his Code A opponent ends up being Flash.
as long as he beats some SKT/KT player I'd be happy. Still sad that Bravo/Reality failed TT, 2015 looking really bad for samsung, not even a Solar saving the season.
The hopes and dreams of the ENTIRE team rest on Dear's shoulders.
Hurricane is legit decent too. Dear is good but I don't think he's even ro8 level so it's kinda bad since he's our best player. Whatever Solar will find some way to farm some more foreigner money :D
I meant in Proleague specifically.
in proleague we need good match ups for the 4guys and prey that 3 of them are in form. Kinda hard. Even vs SKT we got rekted while we had the best match ups possible with a double TvT and a good one for Dear.
On June 12 2015 17:42 Elentos wrote: But seriously. DRG has Hack, jjakji, MMA, Bomber for ZvT practice and loses to quasi-retired TaeJa...
you have some intel about TaeJa's training? Summer is coming and you never know with him, if he trains he's still ro8 material at least. Kid's a beast when in form.
On June 12 2015 17:42 Elentos wrote: But seriously. DRG has Hack, jjakji, MMA, Bomber for ZvT practice and loses to quasi-retired TaeJa...
you have some intel about TaeJa's training? Summer is coming and you never know with him, if he trains he's still ro8 material at least. Kid's a beast when in form.
No but I'm pretty sure at this point he's just playing for fun and waiting for his military service to start.
On June 12 2015 17:48 Elentos wrote: I'm seriously interested about the ZvZs Sleep is playing. His series take ages, what, does he 3-base turtle to broodlords?
you should be seriously interested about all ZvZ's
On June 12 2015 17:48 Elentos wrote: I'm seriously interested about the ZvZs Sleep is playing. His series take ages, what, does he 3-base turtle to broodlords?
Guys I finished editing the notable participants section on the qualifier liquipedia page, if you notice any errors let me know, idk if you guys can see changes tho it might have not been approved yet
On June 12 2015 18:22 dazed25 wrote: woo zest and god damn stats. you were supposed to be solid not slumpy. any other major upsets so far?
MC is my personal biggest disappointment. I think he's getting ever closer to ending his career now on his weird "team". Also TaeJa eliminated DRG. And aLive made Code A. Whoever that is.
On June 12 2015 22:45 Caihead wrote: Stats :< yay rest of KT
Almost the entire team made Code A today <.<
(Except Stats, Believe, PenguiN and SpeeD, who will live in shame from this point forth)
So 7/11 is almost the entire team? d:
4 people making it in a Code A from qualifier is pretty damn good. Stats lost to Stork, I'm sort of okay with that. PenguiN had 2 chances but couldn't crack it.
On June 12 2015 22:45 Caihead wrote: Stats :< yay rest of KT
Almost the entire team made Code A today <.<
(Except Stats, Believe, PenguiN and SpeeD, who will live in shame from this point forth)
So 7/11 is almost the entire team? d:
It is. Realistically speaking 7 is very close to 11. 10 if you consider that Believe didn't participate at all. PenguiN and Stats also went to the final decider matches of their groups. It could have been 9. But Stats had to lose to friggin Stork. And getting 4 guys through qualifiers is a lot.
On June 13 2015 01:41 chipmonklord17 wrote: Another season, another no show from Byun. Also glad to see another Prime player in the GSL, maybe they aren't as bad as they seem in Proleague :/
On June 13 2015 01:41 chipmonklord17 wrote: Another season, another no show from Byun. Also glad to see another Prime player in the GSL, maybe they aren't as bad as they seem in Proleague :/
He and Soulkey. Chillin out in KeSPA Jail.
Maybe SK is going to EU/NA? He is on TCM still right? Although I think there was a rumor he was gonna play BW again so who knows