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HTC: Best of 69 Live Report Thread - Page 90

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Prev 1 88 89 90 91 92 94 Next
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 03 2015 01:12 GMT
#1781
Aligulac gives Snute a 0.42% chance of coming back and winning it all
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
June 03 2015 01:13 GMT
#1782
On June 03 2015 10:12 Shellshock wrote:
Aligulac gives Snute a 0.42% chance of coming back and winning it all

It's still nonzero. :D
kiss kiss fall in love
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
June 03 2015 01:14 GMT
#1783
not like this TT




if not for the SH change, this would just be game 30 or something
rip passion
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 03 2015 01:14 GMT
#1784
Snute wins Outboxer then Bunny wins MGR? Then Aligulac got the prematch prediction correct
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Fecalfeast
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada11355 Posts
June 03 2015 01:14 GMT
#1785
On June 03 2015 10:02 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 03 2015 10:00 Fecalfeast wrote:
Aligulac predicted 35-29 right?

yes that's the original prediction
+ Show Spoiler +
     (1917) Snute   0-0   Bunny (2012)     
-------------------------------------------
0.00% 35- 0 0-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 1 1-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 2 2-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 3 3-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 4 4-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 5 5-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 6 6-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 7 7-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 8 8-35 0.01%
0.00% 35- 9 9-35 0.02%
0.00% 35-10 10-35 0.05%
0.00% 35-11 11-35 0.09%
0.00% 35-12 12-35 0.16%
0.01% 35-13 13-35 0.27%
0.01% 35-14 14-35 0.43%
0.02% 35-15 15-35 0.64%
0.04% 35-16 16-35 0.91%
0.06% 35-17 17-35 1.25%
0.09% 35-18 18-35 1.65%
0.14% 35-19 19-35 2.11%
0.21% 35-20 20-35 2.61%
0.29% 35-21 21-35 3.13%
0.40% 35-22 22-35 3.64%
0.54% 35-23 23-35 4.13%
0.71% 35-24 24-35 4.57%
0.91% 35-25 25-35 4.94%
1.14% 35-26 26-35 5.22%
1.39% 35-27 27-35 5.40%
1.67% 35-28 28-35 5.47%
1.97% 35-29 29-35 5.44%
2.28% 35-30 30-35 5.31%
2.59% 35-31 31-35 5.10%
2.90% 35-32 32-35 4.82%
3.19% 35-33 33-35 4.48%
3.46% 35-34 34-35 4.10%
-------------------------------------------
24.04% 75.96%

Median outcome: Snute 29-35 Bunny

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

So if bunny wins this one, the result with the highest chance (% not median) will come true?
ModeratorINFLATE YOUR POST COUNT; PLAY TL MAFIA
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 03 2015 01:15 GMT
#1786
On June 03 2015 10:14 Fecalfeast wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 03 2015 10:02 Shellshock wrote:
On June 03 2015 10:00 Fecalfeast wrote:
Aligulac predicted 35-29 right?

yes that's the original prediction
+ Show Spoiler +
     (1917) Snute   0-0   Bunny (2012)     
-------------------------------------------
0.00% 35- 0 0-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 1 1-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 2 2-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 3 3-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 4 4-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 5 5-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 6 6-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 7 7-35 0.00%
0.00% 35- 8 8-35 0.01%
0.00% 35- 9 9-35 0.02%
0.00% 35-10 10-35 0.05%
0.00% 35-11 11-35 0.09%
0.00% 35-12 12-35 0.16%
0.01% 35-13 13-35 0.27%
0.01% 35-14 14-35 0.43%
0.02% 35-15 15-35 0.64%
0.04% 35-16 16-35 0.91%
0.06% 35-17 17-35 1.25%
0.09% 35-18 18-35 1.65%
0.14% 35-19 19-35 2.11%
0.21% 35-20 20-35 2.61%
0.29% 35-21 21-35 3.13%
0.40% 35-22 22-35 3.64%
0.54% 35-23 23-35 4.13%
0.71% 35-24 24-35 4.57%
0.91% 35-25 25-35 4.94%
1.14% 35-26 26-35 5.22%
1.39% 35-27 27-35 5.40%
1.67% 35-28 28-35 5.47%
1.97% 35-29 29-35 5.44%
2.28% 35-30 30-35 5.31%
2.59% 35-31 31-35 5.10%
2.90% 35-32 32-35 4.82%
3.19% 35-33 33-35 4.48%
3.46% 35-34 34-35 4.10%
-------------------------------------------
24.04% 75.96%

Median outcome: Snute 29-35 Bunny

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

So if bunny wins this one, the result with the highest chance (% not median) will come true?

yeah looks to be that way. 28-35 at 5.47
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19321 Posts
June 03 2015 01:16 GMT
#1787
Wow this is getting close to the end!
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
KtJ
Profile Joined October 2014
United States3514 Posts
June 03 2015 01:16 GMT
#1788
ONE MORE BUNNY YOU GOT THIS
"I thought I destroyed my CC but it seemed like the only thing I destroyed was Idra's mentality."
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
June 03 2015 01:16 GMT
#1789
HTC: Best of 69

(T)Bunny vs (Z)Snute
34-28

Map: Out Boxer

Bunny spawns in the bottom right
Snute spawns in the top left
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
June 03 2015 01:16 GMT
#1790
Here's another map that should make a comeback.
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Fecalfeast
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada11355 Posts
June 03 2015 01:17 GMT
#1791
I just want snute to keep winning so I can hear rifkin's anguish
ModeratorINFLATE YOUR POST COUNT; PLAY TL MAFIA
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 03 2015 01:17 GMT
#1792
winning like $2500 for this, a lot of work but definitely not bad at all
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
June 03 2015 01:19 GMT
#1793
On June 03 2015 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
HTC: Best of 69

(T)Bunny vs (Z)Snute
34-28

Map: Out Boxer

Bunny spawns in the bottom right
Snute spawns in the top left

2:00
Snute goes 14/14.
Bunny going reaper expand.

3:00
Zergling speed for Snute.
Bunny getting another reaper.

4:00
Bunny expands and gets a factory.
He has three reapers.
Zerglings start streaming into Bunny's natural.

5:00
Reapers are slightly out of position to get in a nearby bunker, making it so that the expansion falls uncontested.
Snute getting a lair.
Bunny getting 3CCs at home.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
erby
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
464 Posts
June 03 2015 01:21 GMT
#1794
But The_Templar gets no money

LR tip jar pls
TeamLiquid Pro Staff@erbytv
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
June 03 2015 01:22 GMT
#1795
that queen forcefield wow. just came back, match point?
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
June 03 2015 01:22 GMT
#1796
On June 03 2015 10:19 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 03 2015 10:16 The_Templar wrote:
HTC: Best of 69

(T)Bunny vs (Z)Snute
34-28

Map: Out Boxer

Bunny spawns in the bottom right
Snute spawns in the top left

2:00
Snute goes 14/14.
Bunny going reaper expand.

3:00
Zergling speed for Snute.
Bunny getting another reaper.

4:00
Bunny expands and gets a factory.
He has three reapers.
Zerglings start streaming into Bunny's natural.

5:00
Reapers are slightly out of position to get in a nearby bunker, making it so that the expansion falls uncontested.
Snute getting a lair.
Bunny getting 3CCs at home.

8:00 (T)Bunny 48 vs (Z)Snute 52
Snute runs by with 8 zerglings which kill two SCVs and force Bunny to back off.
Spire for Snute.
Bunny moving across the map with some hellions and two reapers.
Bunny tries to get into the main but a queen blocks it so that only reapers can make it inside.

10:00 (T)Bunny 55 vs (Z)Snute 60
Bunny has a viking.
Stim pack is half done, and +1 attack is starting.
Snute is getting mutalisks.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
June 03 2015 01:23 GMT
#1797
Bunny should have gone mech on this map
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
June 03 2015 01:23 GMT
#1798
On June 03 2015 10:23 Shellshock wrote:
Bunny should have gone mech on this map

the ty tank spots tho
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Yorkie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States12612 Posts
June 03 2015 01:24 GMT
#1799
Snute needs to l2 build a third base
Hwang Kang Hooooooooooo. Follow mah boy Shellshock @Shellshock1122
Yorkie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States12612 Posts
June 03 2015 01:25 GMT
#1800
...why the eff did he not morph banelings and literally a click to victory
Hwang Kang Hooooooooooo. Follow mah boy Shellshock @Shellshock1122
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