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[NSSL] Ro4 Season 1 2015 - Page 2

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 2 3 4 5 111 112 113 Next
hborrgg
Profile Joined February 2015
United States888 Posts
March 05 2015 03:51 GMT
#21
On March 05 2015 12:33 fezvez wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2015 11:22 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2015

kr Stats vs kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances.
42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%.
57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%.
kr Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances.
57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%.
42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.

kr Life vs kr Dream in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.
66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%.
33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%.
kr Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances.
33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%.
66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.

StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 39.05% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 31.3% chance to win
----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Stats has a 15.97% chance to win
----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 13.67% chance to win
----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.


I don't get your predictions. How can Maru have "99.14%" chance to win SSL1 if he gets 2nd. What does it mean? If he gets 2nd, he has 0% chance of winning SSL1.

Those are blizzcon chances. It's the odds that Life will have enough WCS points to be invited to blizzcon at the end of the year.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 05 2015 04:00 GMT
#22
On March 05 2015 12:51 hborrgg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2015 12:33 fezvez wrote:
On March 05 2015 11:22 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2015

kr Stats vs kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances.
42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%.
57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%.
kr Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances.
57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%.
42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.

kr Life vs kr Dream in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.
66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%.
33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%.
kr Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances.
33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%.
66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.

StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 39.05% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 31.3% chance to win
----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Stats has a 15.97% chance to win
----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 13.67% chance to win
----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.


I don't get your predictions. How can Maru have "99.14%" chance to win SSL1 if he gets 2nd. What does it mean? If he gets 2nd, he has 0% chance of winning SSL1.

Those are blizzcon chances. It's the odds that Life will have enough WCS points to be invited to blizzcon at the end of the year.

Correct.
WCS Predictor shows how different events affect a player's chances of qualifying for Blizzcon/WCS Global Finals at the end of the year (and some other things too).
Here's the FAQ on the website http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=faq
and my thread is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471444-wcs-predictor-2015
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Xinzoe
Profile Joined January 2014
Korea (South)2373 Posts
March 05 2015 04:04 GMT
#23
Maru 4-1 Stats
Dream 4-2 Life
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
March 05 2015 04:07 GMT
#24
so much hype. Hoping Dream can make it happen tonight!
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
hborrgg
Profile Joined February 2015
United States888 Posts
March 05 2015 04:20 GMT
#25
Maru vs Stats is looking the scariest at the moment and is probably going to be pretty close. Maru hasn't really been looking to hot against protoss lately and there's a chance he could still be tilted from losing to PartinG again in GSL

Life vs Dream though, yeah, I think Dream's only hope right now is if practice against Flash has somehow completely wrecked Life's ZvT.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 05 2015 04:52 GMT
#26
hyped! gotta take my nap now, hopefully I'll get to watch the whole thing but 2 bo7s might be tough
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Soularion
Profile Blog Joined January 2014
Canada2764 Posts
March 05 2015 04:54 GMT
#27
Stats 4-2 Maru, Life 4-2 Dream

Hype as fuck though!
Writermaru pls
swag_bro
Profile Blog Joined July 2014
Japan782 Posts
March 05 2015 05:08 GMT
#28
Time for NSL semifinal predictions:

Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.

Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.
They hate us 'cause they ain't us.
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
March 05 2015 05:12 GMT
#29
On March 05 2015 14:08 swag_bro wrote:
Time for NSL semifinal predictions:

Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.

Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.

swag_bro man you have to stop. your logic is just too flawless and perfect for meer mortals to handle.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
chambertin
Profile Joined August 2011
United States1704 Posts
March 05 2015 05:34 GMT
#30
Holy shit... this combination of new info for me is makin' me crazy
(1) Re-schedule for double-feature
(2) Bo7 not Bo5 as I thought

and the old news
(3) possibility of Life vs Maru finals in KR-land

so hyped. lehgo
"I know one thing, that I know nothing" - Socrates?
GumBa
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United Kingdom31935 Posts
March 05 2015 05:35 GMT
#31
Come on Dream do your best!
To all the haters: you deserve to witness many, many more Serral victories, worthy of the godlike player he is.
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
March 05 2015 05:59 GMT
#32
yo when is this, calender says 4:30 but OP says 5:00
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
March 05 2015 06:08 GMT
#33
schedule thread Seeker posted says 4:30
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-05 06:55:39
March 05 2015 06:53 GMT
#34
(T)Maru 4 - 2 (P)Stats
(Z)Life 4 - 1 (T)Dream (hellbat/banshee timing yo)

On March 05 2015 14:12 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2015 14:08 swag_bro wrote:
Time for NSL semifinal predictions:

Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.

Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.

swag_bro man you have to stop. your logic is just too flawless and perfect for meer mortals to handle.

It really is. The meaning of his predictions and predications is just beyond us, that's why he isn't considered as a total god by everyone (yet).
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Noonius
Profile Joined April 2012
Estonia17413 Posts
March 05 2015 06:57 GMT
#35
with Stats, you can prove anything. For instance, Maru is 100% going to lose, because it's the R04 after all
Terran forever | Maru hater forever
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
March 05 2015 07:05 GMT
#36
On March 05 2015 15:57 Noonius wrote:
with Stats, you can prove anything. For instance, Maru is 100% going to lose, because it's the R04 after all

Maru won't lose until he meets Life.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
xrayEU
Profile Joined April 2010
Sweden571 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-05 07:07:48
March 05 2015 07:07 GMT
#37
(T)Maru 3-4 (P)Stats
(Z)Life 4-2 (T)Dream
GreenMash
Profile Joined August 2012
Norway1746 Posts
March 05 2015 07:14 GMT
#38
Maru vs Life would be an amazing final
I love hellbats
SC2Toastie
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
Netherlands5725 Posts
March 05 2015 07:19 GMT
#39
Maru comes in like a WREEEEECKING BALLLLLL
He doesn't care for Stats at allllll
Mura Ma Man, Dark Da Dude, Super Shot Sos!
SC2Toastie
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
Netherlands5725 Posts
March 05 2015 07:20 GMT
#40
Maru 4-2 Stats (a close one)
Life 4-2 Dream

Both mostly based on experience in higher levels of leagues and being a blind and foolish fan
Mura Ma Man, Dark Da Dude, Super Shot Sos!
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