• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 11:24
CEST 17:24
KST 00:24
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL22] Finals Preview: Sweet Victory!9[ASL22] Ro4 Preview: Mirror Mirror6[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: Within Reach5[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: In A Tizzy11[ASL22] Ro16 Preview: Holy Diver5
Community News
[$1250] International ShieldBattery League35Weekly Cups (October 5-11): Farewell to 5.0.164Rollback Netcode in Brood War1345.0.17 Patch Notes - October 7, 202624Weekly Cups Results (Sep 28-Oct 4)0
StarCraft 2
General
SCII needs to put more weight on strategy and tact Terran AddOns placement No more sc2 streamers on team liquid? Weekly Cups (October 5-11): Farewell to 5.0.16 Server Blocker
Tourneys
WORTEX Challenger Series — Open SC2 LAN in Budapes RSL goes to London! 2026 Offline Finals Nov 21-22 Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament Stellar Fest TWO the Moon (Dec 16-20) Master Swan Open (Global Bronze-Master 2)
Strategy
[H] ZvP Mid-Late Game: Stalkers Collossi HT
Custom Maps
[G] How to playtest arcade maps [A] Nemrods 1/4 players [M] (2) Sweltering Sands [M] (2) Frigid Storage
External Content
Mutation # 548 Shining Bright The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 547 Temple Of Terror Mutation # 546 Catch the Train
Brood War
General
Rollback Netcode in Brood War BW General Discussion Mineral gathering rate (boosted) for each patch Making an Online Broodwar Manager Game [Megathread] Daily Funny Videos
Tourneys
[ASL22] Grand Finals [$1250] International ShieldBattery League [Megathread] Daily Proleagues 2v2v2v2 Tournament
Strategy
Cliff Jump Revisited (1 in a 1000 strategy) Simple Questions, Simple Answers Replay Review Process - What do you do?
Other Games
General Games
Nintendo Switch Thread Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Dawn of War IV Warcraft III: The Frozen Throne General RTS Discussion Thread
Dota 2
Dota 2 Champions League Season 3 Begins April 25!
League of Legends
[TL LoL EUW IHs] Teemo shall perish
Heroes of the Storm
Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Artificial Intelligence Thread European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Russo-Ukrainian War Thread
Fan Clubs
Serral Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece
Sports
MLB/Baseball 2023 Football (Soccer) Thread TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
Recent Gifted Posts
Blogs
How Much Genes Contribute to…
TrAiDoS
ShieldBattery on Mac
Kraekkling
[ASL22] Ro4 Day1 Ticket Giv…
bITt.mAN
38 yo Retired SWE loo…
PurE)Rabbit-SF
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 9447 users

[NSSL] Ro4 Season 1 2015 - Page 2

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 2 3 4 5 111 112 113 Next
hborrgg
Profile Joined February 2015
United States888 Posts
March 05 2015 03:51 GMT
#21
On March 05 2015 12:33 fezvez wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2015 11:22 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2015

kr Stats vs kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances.
42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%.
57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%.
kr Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances.
57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%.
42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.

kr Life vs kr Dream in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.
66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%.
33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%.
kr Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances.
33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%.
66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.

StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 39.05% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 31.3% chance to win
----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Stats has a 15.97% chance to win
----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 13.67% chance to win
----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.


I don't get your predictions. How can Maru have "99.14%" chance to win SSL1 if he gets 2nd. What does it mean? If he gets 2nd, he has 0% chance of winning SSL1.

Those are blizzcon chances. It's the odds that Life will have enough WCS points to be invited to blizzcon at the end of the year.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
March 05 2015 04:00 GMT
#22
On March 05 2015 12:51 hborrgg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2015 12:33 fezvez wrote:
On March 05 2015 11:22 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2015

kr Stats vs kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances.
42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%.
57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%.
kr Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances.
57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%.
42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.

kr Life vs kr Dream in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.
66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%.
33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%.
kr Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances.
33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%.
66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.

StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 39.05% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 31.3% chance to win
----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Stats has a 15.97% chance to win
----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 13.67% chance to win
----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.


I don't get your predictions. How can Maru have "99.14%" chance to win SSL1 if he gets 2nd. What does it mean? If he gets 2nd, he has 0% chance of winning SSL1.

Those are blizzcon chances. It's the odds that Life will have enough WCS points to be invited to blizzcon at the end of the year.

Correct.
WCS Predictor shows how different events affect a player's chances of qualifying for Blizzcon/WCS Global Finals at the end of the year (and some other things too).
Here's the FAQ on the website http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=faq
and my thread is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471444-wcs-predictor-2015
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Xinzoe
Profile Joined January 2014
Korea (South)2373 Posts
March 05 2015 04:04 GMT
#23
Maru 4-1 Stats
Dream 4-2 Life
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
March 05 2015 04:07 GMT
#24
so much hype. Hoping Dream can make it happen tonight!
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
hborrgg
Profile Joined February 2015
United States888 Posts
March 05 2015 04:20 GMT
#25
Maru vs Stats is looking the scariest at the moment and is probably going to be pretty close. Maru hasn't really been looking to hot against protoss lately and there's a chance he could still be tilted from losing to PartinG again in GSL

Life vs Dream though, yeah, I think Dream's only hope right now is if practice against Flash has somehow completely wrecked Life's ZvT.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17750 Posts
March 05 2015 04:52 GMT
#26
hyped! gotta take my nap now, hopefully I'll get to watch the whole thing but 2 bo7s might be tough
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Soularion
Profile Blog Joined January 2014
Canada2764 Posts
March 05 2015 04:54 GMT
#27
Stats 4-2 Maru, Life 4-2 Dream

Hype as fuck though!
Writermaru pls
swag_bro
Profile Blog Joined July 2014
Japan782 Posts
March 05 2015 05:08 GMT
#28
Time for NSL semifinal predictions:

Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.

Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.
They hate us 'cause they ain't us.
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
March 05 2015 05:12 GMT
#29
On March 05 2015 14:08 swag_bro wrote:
Time for NSL semifinal predictions:

Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.

Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.

swag_bro man you have to stop. your logic is just too flawless and perfect for meer mortals to handle.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
chambertin
Profile Joined August 2011
United States1704 Posts
March 05 2015 05:34 GMT
#30
Holy shit... this combination of new info for me is makin' me crazy
(1) Re-schedule for double-feature
(2) Bo7 not Bo5 as I thought

and the old news
(3) possibility of Life vs Maru finals in KR-land

so hyped. lehgo
"I know one thing, that I know nothing" - Socrates?
GumBa
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United Kingdom31935 Posts
March 05 2015 05:35 GMT
#31
Come on Dream do your best!
To all the haters: you deserve to witness many, many more Serral victories, worthy of the godlike player he is.
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
March 05 2015 05:59 GMT
#32
yo when is this, calender says 4:30 but OP says 5:00
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
March 05 2015 06:08 GMT
#33
schedule thread Seeker posted says 4:30
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-05 06:55:39
March 05 2015 06:53 GMT
#34
(T)Maru 4 - 2 (P)Stats
(Z)Life 4 - 1 (T)Dream (hellbat/banshee timing yo)

On March 05 2015 14:12 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2015 14:08 swag_bro wrote:
Time for NSL semifinal predictions:

Life 4-3 Dream: On any other day, I would say that 4-0 in favour of Life. I think Dream can manage to cheese Life out of a few games and catch him off guard. Life has a tendency to get caught off guard, hence his loss against Bbyong. That or he is starting a slump phase again. I will give Life the benefit of the doubt and say that he is not slumping, he just got caught off guard. He is still the best player in the world and no Terran other than Bbyong can stop him.

Maru 1-4 Stats: Maru has been on losing streaks. He lost against Life at IEM then a few days ago he loses to another Protoss in Proleague. If that does not scream slump then I do not know what does. Stats winning would not be an upset. In fact, with the way Maru has been playing lately, I would say that Maru winning would be an upset. Remember when Flash was on a huge losing streak? Well I think that will be Maru these next series. Hoping for the best, but after seeing his play in Proleague, I sort of doubt he will put up much of a fight. His one win will probably be a proxy two barracks.

swag_bro man you have to stop. your logic is just too flawless and perfect for meer mortals to handle.

It really is. The meaning of his predictions and predications is just beyond us, that's why he isn't considered as a total god by everyone (yet).
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Noonius
Profile Joined April 2012
Estonia17413 Posts
March 05 2015 06:57 GMT
#35
with Stats, you can prove anything. For instance, Maru is 100% going to lose, because it's the R04 after all
Terran forever | Maru hater forever
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
March 05 2015 07:05 GMT
#36
On March 05 2015 15:57 Noonius wrote:
with Stats, you can prove anything. For instance, Maru is 100% going to lose, because it's the R04 after all

Maru won't lose until he meets Life.
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
xrayEU
Profile Joined April 2010
Sweden571 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-05 07:07:48
March 05 2015 07:07 GMT
#37
(T)Maru 3-4 (P)Stats
(Z)Life 4-2 (T)Dream
GreenMash
Profile Joined August 2012
Norway1746 Posts
March 05 2015 07:14 GMT
#38
Maru vs Life would be an amazing final
I love hellbats
SC2Toastie
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
Netherlands5725 Posts
March 05 2015 07:19 GMT
#39
Maru comes in like a WREEEEECKING BALLLLLL
He doesn't care for Stats at allllll
Mura Ma Man, Dark Da Dude, Super Shot Sos!
SC2Toastie
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
Netherlands5725 Posts
March 05 2015 07:20 GMT
#40
Maru 4-2 Stats (a close one)
Life 4-2 Dream

Both mostly based on experience in higher levels of leagues and being a blind and foolish fan
Mura Ma Man, Dark Da Dude, Super Shot Sos!
Prev 1 2 3 4 5 111 112 113 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 36m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Codebar 81
StarCraft: Brood War
Britney 46221
Calm 2933
Shuttle 2412
Jaedong 1186
EffOrt 868
Horang2 578
Mini 522
Stork 380
Rush 373
Soulkey 360
[ Show more ]
firebathero 314
ZerO 233
actioN 210
BeSt 199
Killer 147
Snow 104
Zeus 96
Barracks 95
sorry 88
hero 86
Mong 79
Sea.KH 57
Creator 53
Sexy 50
Shinee 41
ToSsGirL 29
soO 28
Sacsri 26
Hm[arnc] 24
Bishop 22
Yoon 21
Shine 20
Terrorterran 18
Trap 17
Aegong 15
HiyA 13
yabsab 11
scan(afreeca) 10
ProTech0
Dota 2
Dendi1386
syndereN358
Fuzer 130
Other Games
singsing2574
B2W.Neo1196
hiko1122
Lowko390
Beastyqt385
crisheroes285
Hui .178
Liquid`VortiX178
ToD134
KnowMe86
QueenE58
ZerO(Twitch)17
Organizations
Other Games
WardiTV443
[ Show 12 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• ChaeLyn 3
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• WagamamaTV646
League of Legends
• Nemesis4047
• Jankos2572
Upcoming Events
Monday Night Weeklies
36m
IntoTheTV X SOOP
19h 36m
PiGosaur Cup
1d 8h
The PondCast
1d 18h
Kung Fu Cup
1d 19h
IntoTheTV X SOOP
2 days
FEL
4 days
FEL
5 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
5 days
Replay Cast
6 days
[ Show More ]
WardiTV Weekly
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

ASL Season 22
Blizzard Classic Cup 2026
HCC Season 3

Ongoing

Acropolis #5
IPSL Winter 2026-27
KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 4
Acropolis #5 - GSC
1win Private Club #2
Thunderpick World Champ. '26
ESL Pro League Season 24
Stake Ranked Episode 4
1win Private Club #1
Logitech G Play Connect 2026
SL StarSeries Fall 2026
FISSURE Playground #3
BLAST Open Fall 2026
Esports World Cup 2026

Upcoming

BSL Season 23
SC4ALL II: Brood War
BSL 23: Non-Korean Championship
HSC XXX
Stellar Fest 2: Lunar Cup
SC4ALL II: StarCraft II
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
RSL Offline Finals
eXTREMESLAND 2026
PGL Major Singapore 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 6
BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
IEM Beijing 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 5
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.