EPT[GSL] Blizzard Cup Group B - Page 43
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Wintex
Norway16838 Posts
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Destructicon
4713 Posts
Back on topic, wow, Sniper has one vicious ZvZ, he is stealing some of DRG's old aggressive tendencies. | ||
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Tsubbi
Germany7996 Posts
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lichter
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
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Kiyo.
United States2284 Posts
On December 18 2012 20:18 TheBB wrote: Blizzard Cup Group B Sniper Expected score: 2.61-1.39 (sets: 6.42-3.07) Probability of achieving top 3: 100.00% Most likely place: 1st (60.71%) viOLet Expected score: 2.39-1.61 (sets: 5.07-4.42) Probability of achieving top 3: 96.10% Most likely place: 3rd (56.81%) Life Expected score: 2.80-1.20 (sets: 5.72-3.69) Probability of achieving top 3: 84.13% Most likely place: 2nd (69.54%) Seed Expected score: 1.20-2.80 (sets: 3.69-5.72) Probability of achieving top 3: 19.77% Most likely place: 4th (80.23%) Rain Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 3.00-7.00) Probability of achieving top 3: 0.00% Most likely place: 5th (100.00%) Why is Life's chance of 1st place only at 10% when you have him at an 80% chance to beat Seed and Sniper with a 60% chance to beat Violet? | ||
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Tsubbi
Germany7996 Posts
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vthree
Hong Kong8039 Posts
On December 18 2012 20:41 Kiyo. wrote: Why is Life's chance of 1st place only at 10% when you have him at an 80% chance to beat Seed and Sniper with a 60% chance to beat Violet? Because Life is behind on mapscore (which is counted before H2H). | ||
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On December 18 2012 20:41 Kiyo. wrote: Why is Life's chance of 1st place only at 10% when you have him at an 80% chance to beat Seed and Sniper with a 60% chance to beat Violet? Sniper beats him on map score in that case. Life's only chance of getting first is Violet beating Sniper, and then beating Violet on map score. | ||
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Kiyo.
United States2284 Posts
On December 18 2012 20:44 TheBB wrote: Sniper beats him on map score in that case. Life's only chance of getting first is Violet beating Sniper, and then beating Violet on map score. Ah I thought Khaldor had said H2H came first, that makes sense then. | ||
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AverageAsianDude
England91 Posts
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Tsubbi
Germany7996 Posts
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Dagobert
Netherlands1858 Posts
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/BGC2G.jpg?1) | ||
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Dark.Carnival
United States5095 Posts
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lichter
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
On December 18 2012 20:48 AverageAsianDude wrote: if violet loses and seed wins vs life he can still get through!! If Violet loses here and Seed wins, Seed definitely gets through. | ||
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Account252508
3454 Posts
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Wintex
Norway16838 Posts
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Weavel
Finland9222 Posts
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lichter
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
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BackSideAttack
1103 Posts
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
Sniper Expected score: 3.00-1.00 (sets: 7.00-2.00) Probability of achieving top 3: 100.00% Most likely place: 1st (100.00%) Life Expected score: 2.80-1.20 (sets: 5.71-3.70) Probability of achieving top 3: 91.41% Most likely place: 2nd (79.72%) viOLet Expected score: 2.00-2.00 (sets: 4.00-5.00) Probability of achieving top 3: 88.31% Most likely place: 3rd (88.31%) Seed Expected score: 1.20-2.80 (sets: 3.70-5.71) Probability of achieving top 3: 20.28% Most likely place: 4th (79.72%) Rain Expected score: 1.00-3.00 (sets: 3.00-7.00) Probability of achieving top 3: 0.00% Most likely place: 5th (100.00%) + Show Spoiler [Details] + Detailed placement probabilities Seed vs. Life Seed wins (20.10%): 2-0: 8.29% 2-1: 11.81% Life wins (79.90%): 2-0: 50.70% 2-1: 29.20% Most likely winner: Life (79.90%) Median outcome: Seed 0-2 Life ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Ub70H.png) details, data source, code | ||
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