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[GSL] Blizzard Cup Group A - Page 86

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 84 85 86 87 88 136 Next
Olli
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Austria24417 Posts
December 17 2012 08:58 GMT
#1701
On December 17 2012 17:57 Shellshock1122 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 17:56 DarkLordOlli wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:55 Shellshock1122 wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 DarkLordOlli wrote:
Did HerO play lategame vs zerg again? T_T

yeah pretty much every game he tried


Goddamnit. Silly person :'(

He tried to take a 4th on Abyssal City


That's two bases more than you should take :O
Administrator"Declaring anything a disaster because aLive popped up out of nowhere is just downright silly."
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
December 17 2012 08:59 GMT
#1702
On December 17 2012 17:58 opterown wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 17:56 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:51 vthree wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:50 Corsica wrote:
can parting still get top1 in group>?


Yes, he can still get 3-1 but he needs Leenock to drop a set.

possibly two if h2h counts over map score


Always map score before h2h

i distinctly remember some tourneys being otherwise. mlg for one (when they had groups). so we'll need to see


That is just dumb and dilutes the advantages of BoX groups =/
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
December 17 2012 09:01 GMT
#1703
On December 17 2012 17:59 lichter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 17:58 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:56 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:51 vthree wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:50 Corsica wrote:
can parting still get top1 in group>?


Yes, he can still get 3-1 but he needs Leenock to drop a set.

possibly two if h2h counts over map score


Always map score before h2h

i distinctly remember some tourneys being otherwise. mlg for one (when they had groups). so we'll need to see


That is just dumb and dilutes the advantages of BoX groups =/

i assume the main advantage is that boX groups discourage blind bo wins
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
samurai80
Profile Joined November 2011
Japan4225 Posts
December 17 2012 09:01 GMT
#1704
Kpop, long time no see
MCXD
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Australia2738 Posts
December 17 2012 09:02 GMT
#1705
On December 17 2012 17:58 opterown wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 17:56 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:51 vthree wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:50 Corsica wrote:
can parting still get top1 in group>?


Yes, he can still get 3-1 but he needs Leenock to drop a set.

possibly two if h2h counts over map score


Always map score before h2h

i distinctly remember some tourneys being otherwise. mlg for one (when they had groups). so we'll need to see


They showed the way it's scored on stream earlier:

1. Match score
2. Map score
3. Head to head
4. Penalties/Warnings

If a tie still exists, a rematch is played.
Account252508
Profile Joined February 2012
3454 Posts
December 17 2012 09:03 GMT
#1706
--- Nuked ---
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
December 17 2012 09:04 GMT
#1707
On December 17 2012 18:02 MCXD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 17:58 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:56 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:51 vthree wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:50 Corsica wrote:
can parting still get top1 in group>?


Yes, he can still get 3-1 but he needs Leenock to drop a set.

possibly two if h2h counts over map score


Always map score before h2h

i distinctly remember some tourneys being otherwise. mlg for one (when they had groups). so we'll need to see


They showed the way it's scored on stream earlier:

ah, okay cool. well parting still may need leenock to drop both sets if map scores aren't in his favour either ;p
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
DrPandaPhD
Profile Joined November 2011
5188 Posts
December 17 2012 09:05 GMT
#1708
On December 17 2012 18:04 opterown wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 18:02 MCXD wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:58 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:56 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:51 vthree wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:50 Corsica wrote:
can parting still get top1 in group>?


Yes, he can still get 3-1 but he needs Leenock to drop a set.

possibly two if h2h counts over map score


Always map score before h2h

i distinctly remember some tourneys being otherwise. mlg for one (when they had groups). so we'll need to see


They showed the way it's scored on stream earlier:

ah, okay cool. well parting still may need leenock to drop both sets if map scores aren't in his favour either ;p


Obviously not going to happen cause it's Leenock : )))
리노크 👑
Wildmoon
Profile Joined December 2011
Thailand4189 Posts
December 17 2012 09:05 GMT
#1709
My terran heart is hurting right now seeing only terran hope getting bullied by zerg and toss.
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
December 17 2012 09:06 GMT
#1710
On December 17 2012 18:01 opterown wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 17:59 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:58 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:56 lichter wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:54 opterown wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:51 vthree wrote:
On December 17 2012 17:50 Corsica wrote:
can parting still get top1 in group>?


Yes, he can still get 3-1 but he needs Leenock to drop a set.

possibly two if h2h counts over map score


Always map score before h2h

i distinctly remember some tourneys being otherwise. mlg for one (when they had groups). so we'll need to see


That is just dumb and dilutes the advantages of BoX groups =/

i assume the main advantage is that boX groups discourage blind bo wins


Player who plays better throughout the groups more likely to get through. 2-1 is better than 1-0. A player who goes 2-0, 2-0, 1-2, 1-2 (6-4) is definitely deserves to go through more than someone who goes 2-1, 2-1, 0-2, 0-2 (4-6) even if the first player loses to the latter player in their h2h and end up tied 2-2.
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
Account252508
Profile Joined February 2012
3454 Posts
December 17 2012 09:07 GMT
#1711
--- Nuked ---
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
December 17 2012 09:08 GMT
#1712
So, any complete results?
Wildmoon
Profile Joined December 2011
Thailand4189 Posts
December 17 2012 09:08 GMT
#1713
On December 17 2012 18:07 monkybone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 18:05 Wildmoon wrote:
My terran heart is hurting right now seeing only terran hope getting bullied by zerg and toss.


what happened? I didnt catch the previous matches


I just mean that Mvp is the only terran hope and he already lost 2 series. T_T
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
December 17 2012 09:09 GMT
#1714
On December 17 2012 18:08 boxerfred wrote:
So, any complete results?

check the OP
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
gengka
Profile Joined September 2010
Malaysia461 Posts
December 17 2012 09:09 GMT
#1715
As a Terran, it really feels funny when we see some tosses complaining that they have to race against the clock when playing with zergs.

Any Terran who feels the same? Give me 5!
Make Love Not War
Account252508
Profile Joined February 2012
3454 Posts
December 17 2012 09:09 GMT
#1716
--- Nuked ---
Olli
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Austria24417 Posts
December 17 2012 09:10 GMT
#1717
On December 17 2012 18:09 gengka wrote:
As a Terran, it really feels funny when we see some tosses complaining that they have to race against the clock when playing with zergs.

Any Terran who feels the same? Give me 5!


Or you know, not.
Administrator"Declaring anything a disaster because aLive popped up out of nowhere is just downright silly."
Coolhwip
Profile Joined March 2011
Sweden1381 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-17 09:11:21
December 17 2012 09:10 GMT
#1718
On December 14 2012 23:37 TheBB wrote:
Blizzard Cup Group A

PartinG
      Expected score: 3.01-0.99 (sets: 6.57-3.09)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 92.78%
      Most likely place: 1st (55.04%)

Leenock
      Expected score: 2.41-1.59 (sets: 5.57-4.19)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 80.21%
      Most likely place: 2nd (34.43%)

HerO
      Expected score: 2.13-1.87 (sets: 5.15-4.66)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 70.25%
      Most likely place: 3rd (28.85%)

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 1.26-2.74 (sets: 3.61-6.15)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 30.74%
      Most likely place: 5th (41.34%)

Mvp
      Expected score: 1.19-2.81 (sets: 3.43-6.23)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 26.02%
      Most likely place: 5th (40.75%)

details, data source, code

Detailed placement probabilities

5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Mvp: 40.75% 33.23% 16.13% 7.39% 2.51%
DongRaeGu: 41.34% 27.92% 18.26% 9.18% 3.30%
HerO: 9.86% 19.89% 28.85% 23.92% 17.48%
Leenock: 6.33% 13.46% 24.10% 34.43% 21.68%
PartinG: 1.72% 5.50% 12.67% 25.08% 55.04%

Match score

0-4 1-3 2-2 3-1 4-0
Mvp: 19.67% 47.71% 26.91% 5.37% 0.34%
DongRaeGu: 19.48% 43.32% 29.23% 7.39% 0.58%
HerO: 2.31% 22.36% 41.52% 27.73% 6.08%
Leenock: 1.52% 12.88% 37.36% 39.84% 8.41%
PartinG: 0.23% 3.67% 20.80% 45.42% 29.88%

Set score

-8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Mvp: 2.45% 6.98% 6.89% 8.71% 16.97% 16.98% 10.29% 10.38% 9.58% 4.94% 2.46% 1.92% 0.97% 0.27% 0.13% 0.07% 0.01%
DongRaeGu: 2.22% 6.48% 7.03% 8.10% 14.89% 15.61% 10.42% 10.83% 10.54% 5.79% 3.17% 2.73% 1.44% 0.42% 0.21% 0.12% 0.02%
HerO: 0.14% 0.58% 0.89% 1.62% 5.31% 8.49% 7.94% 10.91% 15.87% 12.69% 9.12% 10.59% 8.00% 3.37% 2.30% 1.74% 0.43%
Leenock: 0.07% 0.34% 0.60% 1.04% 2.90% 4.86% 5.20% 8.94% 14.16% 12.40% 11.04% 15.23% 11.93% 4.83% 3.12% 2.57% 0.76%
PartinG: 0.01% 0.04% 0.08% 0.19% 0.62% 1.26% 1.79% 3.50% 7.24% 8.27% 9.02% 15.60% 16.89% 10.25% 10.02% 10.95% 4.28%


What confidence interval are you using for the top predictions, 95% or 99% maybe? And what kind of distribution are you using? Normal, Binomial?
crack
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
December 17 2012 09:13 GMT
#1719
On December 17 2012 18:07 monkybone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 18:05 Wildmoon wrote:
My terran heart is hurting right now seeing only terran hope getting bullied by zerg and toss.


what happened? I didnt catch the previous matches


MVP played great against DRG in the 1st series. First game he won very convincingly in a longer game on entombed. 2nd he narrowly held a heavy-roach assault but DRG followed up with nydus and blocked off his third for too long and overpowered him. 3rd MVP tried to open with a little 2 rax aggression into expand, it did okay but not enough, DRG eventually overpowered him.

Almost killed PartinG game 1, but PartinG held his all-in. 2nd Parting just killed him with an immortal bust that MVP didn't prepare adequately for.

I think there's a LR for a more detailed account of what happened. MVP is looking sharp today, but not enough to instill a lot of confidence.
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
thesums
Profile Joined December 2010
Taiwan257 Posts
December 17 2012 09:13 GMT
#1720
-_- sigh, is it me or is SC2 losing some excitement? They should get rid of smart casting and unlimited units in groups to up the skill ceiling. I am sure that would give the game more balance, more consistency among the pros AND more excitement to know that the pros are doing things we cannot do such as making groups right b4 battle and use 1t2t3t3t for storms instead of just 1t.
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