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[Code A] RO24 Day 2 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 4

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
December 13 2012 06:54 GMT
#61
On December 13 2012 15:48 Havik_ wrote:
I so want Yonghwa to shock the world and beat Life.

that wouldn't be so shocking ;p
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
December 13 2012 06:57 GMT
#62
If Life is smart, he won't play straight up at all. He'll do one of his crazy builds.
Moderator
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-13 07:00:15
December 13 2012 06:58 GMT
#63
On December 13 2012 13:38 jalstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2012 01:09 TheBB wrote:

I've been working on a model that maximizes the utility (log of money) that you get from betting on odds if you know the true probability. Assuming your model is the true probability here's what it spits out:

3 units on BBYong to beat Polt (return: 2.499 units)
2 units on Baby to beat Symbol (return: 1.96 units)
3 units on sOs to beat MVP (return: 3.78 units)
3 units on YongHwa to beat Life (return: 4.41 units)
1 unit on YongHwa to win at least 1 game (return: 0.455 units)

Where 10 units are the most you'd be willing to bet, using odds from Pinnacle. No, I'm not actually betting as I live in the US.

Let me know if you want more details and thanks for all your work!

This is interesting.

Thanks for not betting, I wouldn't want to be responsible for your finances.

In the meantime, there's a new list out, where Polt got all the points from his IPL5 run.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
vayuu
Profile Joined May 2012
Canada66 Posts
December 13 2012 07:23 GMT
#64
MVP!
Talin
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Montenegro10532 Posts
December 13 2012 07:30 GMT
#65
Come on Yonghwa, fulfill your destiny.
jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
December 13 2012 07:30 GMT
#66
On December 13 2012 15:58 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2012 13:38 jalstar wrote:
On December 13 2012 01:09 TheBB wrote:

I've been working on a model that maximizes the utility (log of money) that you get from betting on odds if you know the true probability. Assuming your model is the true probability here's what it spits out:

3 units on BBYong to beat Polt (return: 2.499 units)
2 units on Baby to beat Symbol (return: 1.96 units)
3 units on sOs to beat MVP (return: 3.78 units)
3 units on YongHwa to beat Life (return: 4.41 units)
1 unit on YongHwa to win at least 1 game (return: 0.455 units)

Where 10 units are the most you'd be willing to bet, using odds from Pinnacle. No, I'm not actually betting as I live in the US.

Let me know if you want more details and thanks for all your work!

This is interesting.

Thanks for not betting, I wouldn't want to be responsible for your finances.

In the meantime, there's a new list out, where Polt got all the points from his IPL5 run.


As an American I can't use Pinnacle anyway, it's all just for fun.
mclalimace
Profile Joined December 2012
Canada66 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-13 07:56:13
December 13 2012 07:50 GMT
#67
My predictions :

(T)Bbyong 0-2 (T)Polt
(T)BaBy 2-1 (Z)Symbol
(T)Mvp 2-1 (P)sHy
(P)YongHwa 1-2 (Z)Life

BaBy really impressed me against Flash in ro32, i dont think that Symbol can beat him but we'll see...
Also GOGO Mvp!!! The return of the king!!
Laryleprakon
Profile Joined May 2011
New Zealand9496 Posts
December 13 2012 08:00 GMT
#68
Mvp Mvp Mvp!!!

SO excited to watch Mvp get his Nestea award (well next year but qualify for it)
samurai80
Profile Joined November 2011
Japan4225 Posts
December 13 2012 08:04 GMT
#69
Polt
Baby
Mvp
Life
LightAssassin
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia13 Posts
December 13 2012 08:11 GMT
#70
Come on Polt! You can get back into Code S.

Though I expect a 2-1 =)

Also would be nice to see Mvp in Code S even if he doesn't win again, but winning again would be amazing.
http://twitch.tv/lightassassin
Azzur
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia6259 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-13 08:20:25
December 13 2012 08:19 GMT
#71
Hoping for all the post-patchzergs to lose!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17662 Posts
December 13 2012 08:22 GMT
#72
On December 13 2012 17:19 Azzur wrote:
Hoping for all the post-patchzergs to lose!

with the new patch we don't really know who the new patchzergs are yet
"Expert" mods4ever.com
mambar
Profile Joined February 2012
United States841 Posts
December 13 2012 08:24 GMT
#73
Mvp!!!!!!!
Qwerty85
Profile Joined June 2012
Croatia5536 Posts
December 13 2012 08:44 GMT
#74
On December 13 2012 16:50 mclalimace wrote:
My predictions :

(T)Bbyong 0-2 (T)Polt
(T)BaBy 2-1 (Z)Symbol
(T)Mvp 2-1 (P)sHy
(P)YongHwa 1-2 (Z)Life

BaBy really impressed me against Flash in ro32, i dont think that Symbol can beat him but we'll see...
Also GOGO Mvp!!! The return of the king!!


Yes Baby really looked great in that series but that was TvT, it doesn't mean his TvZ is equally good.
But we will see.
eGoRama
Profile Joined July 2011
Bulgaria1542 Posts
December 13 2012 08:44 GMT
#75
Gogogo Mvp and YongHwa. I like Life, expecially his ZvT but I cannot root against my homeboy YongHwa.
LeLfe
Profile Joined February 2011
France3160 Posts
December 13 2012 08:51 GMT
#76
It's time for Mvp to collect his NesTea award
Writer for Red bull (Fr) and Iron Squid (En/Fr) @ClemLeLfe on twitter
Hiea
Profile Joined March 2012
Denmark1538 Posts
December 13 2012 08:52 GMT
#77
I think everything with the exception of Polt vs Bbyong, everything with be a 2-0, with either player winning, however Symbol will 2-0 BaBy.
NightOfTheDead
Profile Joined August 2009
Lithuania1711 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-13 08:55:27
December 13 2012 08:54 GMT
#78
On December 13 2012 17:52 Hiea wrote:
I think everything with the exception of Polt vs Bbyong, everything with be a 2-0, with either player winning, however Symbol will 2-0 BaBy.


I wouldnt write off Bbyong so soon. Yes Polt is the clear favorite, but we could see one game taken off. In mirror MU one considerable mistake is enough to lose the game.
Ruscour
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
5233 Posts
December 13 2012 08:58 GMT
#79
holy crap what a night

it's times like this I'm glad I have no life
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17662 Posts
December 13 2012 08:58 GMT
#80
stream is live!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
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