On December 13 2012 01:55 Bam Lee wrote: why do so many believe that life willk be crushed by yonghwa O_O i mean ok life didnt look that impressive versus parting but comeon its life lol
come on it's yonghwa lol
Artosis told us to believe in him and Artosis has never let us down before
You mean when he told you to believe in someone and you do the opposite, you will never be let down?
This match is very similar to Mvp's Code S Round of 32 match against Flying. Once again, his opponent is a Woongjin Protoss. Once again, the opponent has a high PvT win rate but only a few games played. Once again, Mvp will roll through his opponent with his splendid TvP.
I've been working on a model that maximizes the utility (log of money) that you get from betting on odds if you know the true probability. Assuming your model is the true probability here's what it spits out:
3 units on BBYong to beat Polt (return: 2.499 units) 2 units on Baby to beat Symbol (return: 1.96 units) 3 units on sOs to beat MVP (return: 3.78 units) 3 units on YongHwa to beat Life (return: 4.41 units) 1 unit on YongHwa to win at least 1 game (return: 0.455 units)
Where 10 units are the most you'd be willing to bet, using odds from Pinnacle. No, I'm not actually betting as I live in the US.
Let me know if you want more details and thanks for all your work!