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[Up/Down] Group B 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 16

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
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TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
October 23 2012 10:00 GMT
#301
On October 23 2012 18:58 batterseapower wrote:
Current probability of advancement (assuming each match is a coin flip):

Show nested quote +
Bomber: 747 % 1280 (0.584)
DongRaeGu: 747 % 1280 (0.584)
Mini: 2 % 5 (0.400)
Genius: 277 % 1280 (0.216)
YoDa: 277 % 1280 (0.216)

Compare: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16654201

I wanted to implement a system to fix match results so that I can update after each match, but I didn't have time to get it in place before the up and downs.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 23 2012 10:06 GMT
#302
GRUDGE MATCH!!
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
batterseapower
Profile Joined October 2012
United Kingdom111 Posts
October 23 2012 10:06 GMT
#303
On October 23 2012 19:00 TheBB wrote:
I wanted to implement a system to fix match results so that I can update after each match, but I didn't have time to get it in place before the up and downs.


I wrote this program particularly to see how things change as the group develops, as the format can get pretty confusing! Using your ELO approach to improve the modelling of individual matches would probably be better than my naive approach, so I look forward to when you have this feature working.
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
October 23 2012 10:06 GMT
#304
oh look it's this match again :D
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 23 2012 10:06 GMT
#305
"We want that skinny guy with blonde hair!" LOL!
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
LimitSEA
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia9580 Posts
October 23 2012 10:07 GMT
#306
Wait, I muted it. What happened with YoDa/Mini?
Long live the King of Wings
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 23 2012 10:07 GMT
#307
GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
Genius (0-1) vs DongRaeGu (1-0)
Map: Entombed Valley


0:00
Genius spawns in the bottom left
DongRaeGu spawns in the top left
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 23 2012 10:07 GMT
#308
On October 23 2012 19:07 LimitSEA wrote:
Wait, I muted it. What happened with YoDa/Mini?

Mini is having mouse problems so they are playing this game while working on it
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Calt
Profile Joined September 2011
Germany1140 Posts
October 23 2012 10:07 GMT
#309
Gogo Genius do the stupid carrier build again, Maybe it will work this time!!
Maru | MMA | Ryung | MKP | NaDa | BoxeR | FOREVER SLAYERS
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
October 23 2012 10:07 GMT
#310
I hope Genius does a revenge ceremony if he wins.
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 23 2012 10:07 GMT
#311
Genius against DRG. Hope Genius beats the odds.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
Yergidy
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2107 Posts
October 23 2012 10:08 GMT
#312
"I have alot of hot six at my house at home." LOL.
One bright day in the middle of the night, Two dead boys got up to fight; Back to back they faced each other, Drew their swords and shot each other.
TommyP
Profile Joined December 2011
United States6231 Posts
October 23 2012 10:08 GMT
#313
Did anybody else see a probe head toward the mineral line but then jerked back to the nexus? Or am i crazy
#TheOneTrueDong
speknek
Profile Joined February 2012
758 Posts
October 23 2012 10:08 GMT
#314
On October 23 2012 19:00 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2012 18:58 batterseapower wrote:
Current probability of advancement (assuming each match is a coin flip):

Bomber: 747 % 1280 (0.584)
DongRaeGu: 747 % 1280 (0.584)
Mini: 2 % 5 (0.400)
Genius: 277 % 1280 (0.216)
YoDa: 277 % 1280 (0.216)

Compare: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16654201

I wanted to implement a system to fix match results so that I can update after each match, but I didn't have time to get it in place before the up and downs.

Do you have any stats on how often those predictions are correct?
LimitSEA
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia9580 Posts
October 23 2012 10:08 GMT
#315
On October 23 2012 19:07 Shellshock1122 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2012 19:07 LimitSEA wrote:
Wait, I muted it. What happened with YoDa/Mini?

Mini is having mouse problems so they are playing this game while working on it

Thank you muchly.

Gogo DRG! Helluva grudge match lol.
Long live the King of Wings
silent_owl
Profile Joined March 2011
Philippines3098 Posts
October 23 2012 10:10 GMT
#316
Slow lings for DRG.
"If you know your enemy and yourself, you need not fear the results of a hundred battles." - Sun Tzu
Laryleprakon
Profile Joined May 2011
New Zealand9496 Posts
October 23 2012 10:11 GMT
#317
This must be the worst all in to lose to.
Zeroxk
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway1244 Posts
October 23 2012 10:11 GMT
#318
Silly DRG you can't bop Genius
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
October 23 2012 10:11 GMT
#319
well that was a complete failure
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 23 2012 10:11 GMT
#320
On October 23 2012 19:07 Shellshock1122 wrote:
GSL Season 5 Up & Down Matches
Genius (0-1) vs DongRaeGu (1-0)
Map: Entombed Valley


0:00
Genius spawns in the bottom left
DongRaeGu spawns in the top left

2:00
Pool first for DRG
pylon block at the natural of DRG
forge for Genius

3:00
Nexus started for Genius
Hatch started at the 3rd base location of DRG
cannon started for Genius
Gateway for Genius
double gas for Genius
Hatch started at the natural of DRG

4:00
DRG making 12 lings
cybernetics core started for Genius
zealot started for Genius

5:00
DRG pumping out more slow lings
18 lings out for DRG with 6 more on the way
zealot is out for GEnius
sentry started for Genius

6:00
Genius starts another gate to wall behind the zealot
2nd cannon started for Genius
DRG has to back off because he cant break the wall
Genius is up by 15 workers
Genius goes up to 4 gas
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Prev 1 14 15 16 17 18 45 Next All
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