EPTWho will win NASL Finals? - Page 3
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DailYLeet
Germany827 Posts
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Monokeros
United States2493 Posts
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Dac
Canada538 Posts
On July 06 2011 05:15 mbr2321 wrote: Here is my logic for the decision: 1. Statistically, it is more likely that a subset from the population with 3 members will eventually win than a subset with 2-- this rules out Korean-P, Euro-P, NA-Z, Taiwan-Z, and NA-T. 2. Of the 3 groups that remain (Euro-Z, Korean-Z, and Korean-T), I want to pick the group with the three strongest players. 3. Although that, of the 9 players remaining, I think Ret and MorroW are extremely strong candidates, I think Darkforce kind of slows the group down compared to July, Zenio, and Moon, who are all gsl code S contenders (even people who scoff at Moon, I point to DreamHack and Columbus) 4. BoxeR is hurt, aLive has yet to truly prove himself to me, and PuMa, although making a tremendous showing in the open bracket, is still in the transition from BW imo. That leads us to: Korean-Z. I'm going to highjack your logic and hope that since darkforce is better than you think one of them 3 will win. Particularly morrow or Ret  | ||
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mikyaJ
1834 Posts
On July 06 2011 05:15 mbr2321 wrote: Here is my logic for the decision: 1. Statistically, it is more likely that a subset from the population with 3 members will eventually win than a subset with 2-- this rules out Korean-P, Euro-P, NA-Z, Taiwan-Z, and NA-T. 2. Of the 3 groups that remain (Euro-Z, Korean-Z, and Korean-T), I want to pick the group with the three strongest players. 3. Although that, of the 9 players remaining, I think Ret and MorroW are extremely strong candidates, I think Darkforce kind of slows the group down compared to July, Zenio, and Moon, who are all gsl code S contenders (even people who scoff at Moon, I point to DreamHack and Columbus) 4. BoxeR is hurt, aLive has yet to truly prove himself to me, and PuMa, although making a tremendous showing in the open bracket, is still in the transition from BW imo. That leads us to: Korean-Z. So, you're one of those people who only pays attention to the happenings in the GSL. You know, there are other tournaments that go on in Korea outside of the GSL. Lets take a look at Korean Z vs Korean T Firstly, both Moon and BoxeR and in Code B. They both can hold their own in foreign tournaments, but honestly they're never usually contenders to win the whole thing; Moon getting 2nd at Dream Hack was surprising. This leaves aLive and Puma vs Zenio and July. Now July had a disappointing exit from the GSL, and Zenio had a strong 2-0 earlier today. However, July did win the CSN Clash of the Houses event, which shouldn't be overlooked. In regards to the Terrans, both of them have equally ridiculous TvP records at 14-4. Puma is 4th in Korean ELO, aLive at 10th, July and Zenio are 32nd and 30th respectively in ELO. Puma is actually 29-8 overall, and has a 1st and a 3rd place finish in the ICCup Korean Weekly. aLive has a 1st place finish in the ICCup Korean Weekly. aLive is getting out of his group probably too; him, Polt, and Puma, have the best TvP in Korea, so they got lucky having both Huk and Sangho in there group. Back to the Zergs, Zenio has amazing ZvZ, but his other MU's are sub .500; July has great ZvT, but his other MU's are sub .500. Both of there weakest MU's is vs T, but they would just be competing against eachother. | ||
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`MemoRY
United States80 Posts
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GrapeD
Canada679 Posts
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fds
Slovenia258 Posts
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tritium_3
United States19 Posts
 BoxeR | ||
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Ryps
Romania2740 Posts
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eyeEX
United States64 Posts
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ELA
Denmark4608 Posts
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rafaliusz
Poland482 Posts
Voted Mc 'cause that's the safest and most probable scenario. 2nd choice would probably be korean Z (July or Moon) as they both are high skilled and have a lot of experience in international SC2 tournaments. | ||
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TORTOISE
United States515 Posts
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Zeri
United States773 Posts
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Rococo
United States331 Posts
On the right side of the bracket MC is a clear favorite, with only White-Ra and aLive standing any chance against him. Sorry BoxeR. Out of the left side I'm guessing either PuMa, July, or Moon in that order of likelihood. PuMa's amazing but his TvZ was looking a little shaky last night against a relatively unknown player (he didn't seem to know how to deal with infestors), and he could be playing three TvZs back to back. PuMa could take MC, but July or Moon would get crushed. So yeah, MC's got to be feeling pretty good about his chances. | ||
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Art_of_Kill
Zaire1232 Posts
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Morphie
Netherlands4 Posts
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EternalSC
Sweden313 Posts
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yellingnewt
United States22 Posts
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awakenx
United States341 Posts
No seriously, they think Zergs are too weak while on bnet forums terrans are just QQing about zerg. | ||
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