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[Code A] RO24 - Day One Preview

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[Code A] RO24 - Day One Preview

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byMeko
May 15th, 2012 04:31 GMT
  • GSL on Liquipedia
  • Code A RO24: Day One Preview

Code A RO24: Day One Preview


By: Fionn & Waxangel



(Z)MvPDongRaeGu vs (T)ST_Virus

With nearly half the year gone, DongRaeGu's shocking collapse in GSL Code S Season II is already looking like one of the biggest mysteries of 2012. His abrupt 1 - 4 defeat and elimination from the GSL Ro32 was sandwiched between a GSL championship before, and two finals appearances in MLG after. With almost nothing suggesting that he suffered a real dip in skill, DongRaeGu's disastrous day invites all sorts of speculation. Did his championship win go to his head? Did continued ZvP practice hurt his ZvT ability? Was his style overexposed?

Whatever the case, DongRaeGu has come a long way towards burying that embarrassment in the past, winning MLG Spring Arena 1 while blazing his way through Code A (AcE did prove to be more trouble than expected). If we are to truly believe that this season's RO32 was just a blip, a fluke, something to never be repeated in a hundred years, then it's easy to predict that DongRaeGu will crush Virus and return directly to Code S.

However, while DongRaeGu was enigmatic for just one day, Virus has been vexing viewers for most of his career. After originally confusing people with his uncanny ability to stay in Code S, he complicated the situation this season by defeating GSL superstars MC and Nestea, and playing with a hitherto unseen level of skill.

If Virus plays at the very top end of the wide range of skill he has shown us, could he take triumph over DongRaeGu in an important series? I think the answer is an unequivocal yes. Decisively beating proven masters of not only Starcraft, but the GSL system in MC and Nestea is evidence enough. The real question is if that particularly deadly strain of Virus will show up to the games.

Prediction: DRG 2 - 1 Virus


(Z)BBoongBBoongPrime vs (P)MvPGenius

Though no one's received confirmation from Genius, it seems pretty safe to say that he couldn't be happier with his Code A opponent. When you think about his choice of NaNiwa as his RO16 opponent, you might say Genius is not the best at appraising other players. However, if you can look past that pick as just a typical (and sadly understandable) case of Koreans looking down on foreigners, you'll remember that Genius picked BboongBBoong as his RO32 opponent earlier in the tournament. Whether Genius decided on B4 because of well publicized poor ZvP stats, or other research of his own, it was a choice that paid big dividends as he claimed an all-around impressive victory against the Prime Zerg.

In the month and a half since that meeting, we haven't seen anything to suggest the two players' relationship should have changed. B4 still looks shaky in ZvP (even losing to the infamous walkover warrior, urGGanDoL). Genius has ranged from looking great to looking spectacularly mediocre in PvZ – either of which makes him better than B4 as we last remember him.

But these are two players whose skill levels seem to be continuously in flux, and a few weeks have passed since we last saw them play their relevant match-ups – an eternity in progaming time. Genius will be favored to win, but knowing these two, B4 might have been able to drastically turn the tables in time for this match.

Prediction: Genius 2 – 1 B4


(Z)TSL_Symbol vs. (T)NSH.Jjakji

Time sure does fly, doesn't it? It seemed like only yesterday when Jjakji made his run to the Code S finals, defying all the odds, and upsetting the heavy favorite Leenock in one of the best finals we've ever seen. Now, over a half year later, the player who expected nothing yet won is finding it hard to perform with the weight of expectations on his shoulders. Jjakji's TvP and TvZ are considered some of the best in the world, and he has shown his championship self on occasion, but he is still showing consistency issues.

His TvT still is by far his weakest match-up, usually resorting to using one base 1/1/1 variations to get wins in important matches. Luckily for him, he doesn't have a Terran this round and gets to show us if his TvZ is still as sharp as it was in the November finals. It might surprise you, but Jjakji has barely played any Zergs in the GSL. His last games against Zerg were all the way back in January where he rolled over Sen 2-0.

Even with his scary TvZ record backing him up, Jjakji has a tough test ahead of him in Symbol. A lot like Jjakji, Symbol started off with few expectations around him. But after getting 2nd at Iron Squid and defeating Seed and sC in the first two rounds of Code A, people are looking to him to as the player to put Zerg back on the map in the GSL. With his second place finish in the MLG Korean Online Qualifiers where he 2-0'd both Polt and MMA, Symbol is riding a wave of momentum against Terran heading into tonight's match.

Jjakji is the veteran here, already having a championship won, but will face immense pressure to get back into Code S without having to face the daunting Up and Down matches. For Symbol, a win would be nice and continue his meteoric rise, but as one of the newer players to the GSL, getting to the third round is already a huge accomplishment for him. Both are very good in the TvZ/ZvT match-up, and while Jjakji's TvZ record and play in the GSL has always been great, Symbol is the one with the better streak of play lately.

Prediction: Symbol 2 - 1 Jjakji


(T)FnaticRCaLive vs. (Z)FXOLeenock

Here are three major points going into tonight's match between Alive and Leenock:

1. What has happened to Alive's TvZ? On paper, it still is statistically his best match-up in Korea, but if you look closely, he's been having trouble lately. He was eliminated from this season's Code S by losing to Zenio and July, and he has had even more trouble with his TvZ overseas where it was the main reason where he got eliminated from MLG Columbus.

2. Leenock might be in Code A, but look at who he lost to this season. He lost 0-2 to Squirtle in the RO32, but where is Squirtle now? The Code S Finals. Leenock also lost to HerO 1-2 in the RO16, but where did Hero end up? In the semifinals, getting eliminated by the aforementioned Squirtle. Finally, Leenock got eliminated from Code S by MVP, losing 1-2 in not only a close series, but the best we've seen so far in this season's GSL. MVP is now in his 5th finals and going up against Squirlte on the 19th of May. Leenock was only defeated this season in his worst match-up (ZvP) against the hottest player in the world (Squirtle) and in two close series against the other finalist and a semi-finalist.

3. Leenock recently defeated Alive 2-1 in the MLG Korean Online Qualifiers and got his spot in Spring Arena #2, eliminating Alive in the process. Revenge will be on aLive's mind, and Leenock will try to make sure he doesn't have to worry about Up and Down matches during his trip to New York City this weekend.

Alive finally lived up to his full potential, getting to the GSL semifinals and winning IPL4, but he still needs to work on his TvZ. Leenock, who only got beat by 3/4 of this season's final four, is still one of the best ZvT players in the world and will have the extra motivation of not wanting to juggle both the Up and Down matches and Spring Arena.

Prediction: Leenock 2 - 1 Alive











2012 Protoss Elections

[image loading]

Vote NaNiwa! by shiroiusagi.





Writers: Fionn and Waxangel.
Graphics and Art: Meko.
Editor: Waxangel.
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TL+ Member
TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8304 Posts
May 15 2012 04:36 GMT
#2
Exciting night! Leenock vs Alive will be close... I'm actually gonna have to predict Alive in that one.
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
Ansinjunger
Profile Joined November 2010
United States2451 Posts
May 15 2012 04:39 GMT
#3
Agree Squirtle is on fire, and Leenock's poor luck continues, it seems. I agree with the predictions except DRG 2-0, not 2-1.
Snijjer
Profile Joined September 2011
United States989 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-15 04:50:06
May 15 2012 04:49 GMT
#4
bunch of weak predictions (2-1s) xD

though I agree with all of them except for Jjakji
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
May 15 2012 04:56 GMT
#5
leenock won't be attending up and downs if he doesn't win... so he better win!!
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
neoghaleon55
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7435 Posts
May 15 2012 05:06 GMT
#6
FOR DRG!!!
<33333
moo...for DRG
GhandiEAGLE
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States20754 Posts
May 15 2012 05:07 GMT
#7
Go B4! Be the Farting Warrior Zerg you were born to be!!
Oh, my achin' hands, from rakin' in grands, and breakin' in mic stands
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-15 05:16:13
May 15 2012 05:15 GMT
#8
Please take Naniwa's pic down! It's already so annoying that every thread on Reddit has the word "naniwa" on it. I know he made it to ro8, but he's also a five time bailout seed receiver. If I get 5 free chances in the GSL, I would finish with the trophy in my hands twice already.
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
Marou
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Germany1371 Posts
May 15 2012 05:24 GMT
#9
On May 15 2012 14:07 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
Go B4! Be the Farting Warrior Zerg you were born to be!!


How can one be born to be a Farting Warrior Zerg, i'm really (ST_)curious about that.

Anyways, zergs fighting !! We need more of them in Code S
twitter@RickyMarou
Acidosis
Profile Joined April 2011
United States172 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-15 05:39:19
May 15 2012 05:24 GMT
#10
DRG, BBBB, Jjakji, Alive. Lots of upsets are going to happen.

Edit: Oh another Virus pun...
“The will to win is not nearly as important as the will to prepare to win.” -BK
brokenLoL
Profile Joined May 2012
United Kingdom419 Posts
May 15 2012 06:06 GMT
#11
I agree with this, especially the jjakji one. Cheesy players like him usually don't last too long. I still remember when e cheesed the fuck out of Leenock game two of November 2011 finals.
Save me from myself
Oiseaux
Profile Joined May 2011
United States676 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-15 06:21:34
May 15 2012 06:08 GMT
#12
On May 15 2012 14:15 NoGasfOu wrote:
Please take Naniwa's pic down! It's already so annoying that every thread on Reddit has the word "naniwa" on it. I know he made it to ro8, but he's also a five time bailout seed receiver. If I get 5 free chances in the GSL, I would finish with the trophy in my hands twice already.


No, you wouldn't.

edit: unless this is magically Stephano's TL account, I stand by my original statement.

edit2: and wtf 5 times, pretty sure hes been seeded 3 times, 1 of those being this season when he made ro8, more than proving he deserved that seed.
"[S]o be ready to kiss a few donkeys with glued-on paper horns during your unicorn hunt." -Some stupid 4x4 magazine
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33385 Posts
May 15 2012 06:16 GMT
#13
you make a better poster then
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
LeLfe
Profile Joined February 2011
France3160 Posts
May 15 2012 07:05 GMT
#14
I've the same liquidbets as Fionn and waxangel, doesn't look good for me

nice write up guys! Symbol I belieeeeeve!
Writer for Red bull (Fr) and Iron Squid (En/Fr) @ClemLeLfe on twitter
liberate71
Profile Joined October 2011
Australia10252 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-15 07:37:31
May 15 2012 07:26 GMT
#15
On May 15 2012 14:15 NoGasfOu wrote:
Please take Naniwa's pic down! It's already so annoying that every thread on Reddit has the word "naniwa" on it. I know he made it to ro8, but he's also a five time bailout seed receiver. If I get 5 free chances in the GSL, I would finish with the trophy in my hands twice already.


hahaha I was going to write something similar. NaNiWa got sent home (see my sig) by the King of SC2. He has a seed into next GSL (which is good, cause I want to see another repeat day of infinite butt-hurt around the R016/R08).

Wow all these games are pretty much Code S quality!

Dee Are Jee
B4... Genius had me on his hype train, till he stopped looking so genius
Symbol
Leenock

Zerg bias - initiated!

Seriously though, have you seen how fast Overlords move now? The guy that made Artosis F-bomb, an IPL Champion, a Former GSL Champion, and a Blizzcon Champ got nothing on TOPGUN OVERLORDS!
Minelord Stimfestor, also known as karma.
Daehlie
Profile Joined September 2010
United States43 Posts
May 15 2012 07:33 GMT
#16
Symbol over Jjakji? Not sure I can agree with that but its close, alive v leenock is much more of a coin flip imo.
SK.MC ftw
Yaki
Profile Joined April 2011
France4234 Posts
May 15 2012 07:37 GMT
#17
some pretty sick matches today
MC ■ MarineKing ■ LosirA ■ To someone who has lost after trying his best, no words from the winner can console him.
althaz
Profile Joined May 2010
Australia1001 Posts
May 15 2012 09:07 GMT
#18
Holy crap even Code A is ridiculously stacked now. Imagine what it's going to be like when you add a bunch of talented noobies in the form of BW pros! The quality of players here is frankly astonishing, pretty much all of these guys are easily good enough to be in Code S.
The first rule we don't talk about race conditions. of race conditions is
6BiT
Profile Joined December 2011
513 Posts
May 15 2012 10:53 GMT
#19
Even though DRG/Virus & Genius/BBoongBBoong have just been played. I agree with all these prediction with the exception of Jjakji v Symbol, feel like Jjakji will win that one
stuff & things
6BiT
Profile Joined December 2011
513 Posts
May 15 2012 11:34 GMT
#20
On May 15 2012 19:53 6BiT wrote:
Even though DRG/Virus & Genius/BBoongBBoong have just been played. I agree with all these prediction with the exception of Jjakji v Symbol, feel like Jjakji will win that one


Well I look abit silly now lol!
stuff & things
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