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Meapak_Ziphh
United States6786 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:06 CopCake wrote: So in conclusion oats is either mafia or miller. I would go mafia for Rayn’s death. So ##vote: Oats Welcome to the correct answer 12 pages later. I'm going to bed now | ||
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:08 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Then why are you having this conversation. This is really a pretty binary situation, we lynch oats. He flips miller/scum. We move on. He flips town, we have a discussion on D3 that you're trying to have right now. This theorycrafting you're doing is unproductive and gives a red check (WHO IS STATISTICALLY MOST LIKELY SCUM) a chance to escape. Before the NK, there are 19 people left, I'm bad at math so I used an internet calculator and maybe I set the equation up wrong but the probability of slam checking someone AND the probability of them being framed/the miller is 0.025% + Show Spoiler + (I think that's a %, I'm ready to get flamed by people who actually do math to tell me I'm wrong). That’s wrong lol what? Assuming 1 miller and a framer, chances are 1/16 + 1/13 ASSUMING framer is completely random 13% What is this ridiculous math argument tbh | ||
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DarthPunk
Australia10857 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:10 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Welcome to the correct answer 12 pages later. I'm going to bed now :D | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:08 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Then why are you having this conversation. This is really a pretty binary situation, we lynch oats. He flips miller/scum. We move on. He flips town, we have a discussion on D3 that you're trying to have right now. This theorycrafting you're doing is unproductive and gives a red check (WHO IS STATISTICALLY MOST LIKELY SCUM) a chance to escape. Before the NK, there are 19 people left, I'm bad at math so I used an internet calculator and maybe I set the equation up wrong but the probability of slam checking someone AND the probability of them being framed/the miller is 0.025% + Show Spoiler + (I think that's a %, I'm ready to get flamed by people who actually do math to tell me I'm wrong). I think it is closer to 1 in 40 than 1 in 4000 | ||
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DarthPunk
Australia10857 Posts
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:08 DarthPunk wrote: Slam is marv mafia or town to you? Town, I think that mason group gave heebies to scum and they didn't have 3 kp | ||
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DarthPunk
Australia10857 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:13 Alakaslam wrote: Town, I think that mason group gave heebies to scum and they didn't have 3 kp do you have a scum team right now? | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
Nope Leaning on my checks and getting NK I openly confess my laziness with a concrete dick Sorry | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
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CopCake
4378 Posts
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
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DarthPunk
Australia10857 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:15 Alakaslam wrote: Nope Leaning on my checks and getting NK I openly confess my laziness with a concrete dick Sorry Fair enough, I think you are better than this though as probably confirmed town Might be worth spending some time reading the thread and coming up with some reads. Like if you think DMB and Cake are both town (which is what I think your position is) then really you should think I am mafia here right? | ||
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DarthPunk
Australia10857 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:17 Oatsmaster wrote: Okay that mz post just triggered me so hard like what in the actual fuck was that. Which one? | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:17 Oatsmaster wrote: Okay that mz post just triggered me so hard like what in the actual fuck was that. I admit it's a pretty gross mathematical error at best... I still think it is closer to 1 in 40 though because the percentages don't stack. It isn't so much math as it is statistics. Which is a related, but different field. | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On March 07 2024 14:18 DarthPunk wrote: Fair enough, I think you are better than this though as probably confirmed town Might be worth spending some time reading the thread and coming up with some reads. Like if you think DMB and Cake are both town (which is what I think your position is) then really you should think I am mafia here right? No no no shhh don't give away my next check, I am trying to be useless enough to stay Alice! | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
Hold on brb | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
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