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Winter Warfare Mafia - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 00:05 GMT
#561
Don't agree with Koshi points but I don't disagree that he could have those thoughts legitimately. Not sure why he feels the need to interject in favour of trfel when only dp is really gunning for this trfel stance though.

Also bit sad that despite it being many years he still just seems bitter that I exist as a human being.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 02:22 GMT
#641
On December 11 2023 09:24 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 10 2023 21:27 Trfel wrote:
On December 10 2023 21:18 DarthPunk wrote:
On December 10 2023 21:06 Trfel wrote:
On December 10 2023 17:14 DarthPunk wrote:
The level 1 analysis of this is that a player is being aggressive early, not afraid to post and that would be good for Trfel. My initial feelings reading the post was that it felt forced, with a lot of generic statements to try and make Sandroba's post seeem worse than it was.

I disagree that at the point of the game in which we are right now, that everything said needs to progress the game in a meaningful way. Sure, I would like that to be the case, but I also don't think that someone being non-committal is alignment indicative, in fact, someone being strongly committed early tends to make me lean mafia more than town, Town are trying to figure shit out at the start and are more curious than committed.
DarthPunk, care to explain this?


What exactly do you want me to explain about it?
You said that being aggressive early is good, right? I assume good meaning town-indicative, as opposed to mafia-indicative.

So why then is someone being strongly committed a mafia trait? Does that mean that if someone is aggressive early but not committed then that indicates town? That doesn't make much sense to me, why would someone be aggressive without commitment, in fact how is that even possible?


I forgot to respond to this.

Essentially, when you are playing with people who are new, aggressiveness signals confidence in prosecuting a scum hunting agenda, townies are less refined in what they are looking for, and will see something that is potentially scummy and attack.

This is why on a surface level *level 1* early aggression is a town trait, and I think this holds true for newer players.

What I think is that as people develop in skill and understanding, aggression becomes a *tool* that is wielded, either by town to determine alignments or by mafia to hide in plain sight and push mis lynches in a way that is *too obvious to be scum*

The general differentiator in my opinion, is that town aggression tends to be built on curiosity and inquisitiveness, and mafia aggression tends to be built on decisions that have already been made.

Therefore, when I said you were too committed early, I was saying that you were aggressive in a way that seemed like you were prosecuting an agenda to find Sandro scummy, rather than curious about the reasoning behind his post.

Essentially, town want to find truth without agenda. Scum wants to advance their agenda without in spite of truth.

The reason I find you scummy is that you are aggressive without curiosity. And what follows are pushes without foundation.


Decent post for DP
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 11:22 GMT
#695
On December 11 2023 20:21 marvellosity wrote:
I think it’s a terrible case and parts of it make me suspicious - for example if I have a chess match, I will say so as either alignment, I have never lied about this sort of thing as either alignment. DP should know that.

I can’t really be arsed to try to attack DP for this (or other dumb bits) though as I’ll just get accused of omgus. You guys can draw your own conclusions.


He did say you wouldn't lie about it, just that you're much more likely to bring that up as mafia than town.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 11:27 GMT
#700
Agree with your case probably meaning something DP with the caveat that idk how new marv plays anymore because we're all old and have little involvement with the game to the same extent as we used to so not sure how old meta really applies here. Have you seen new marv be town?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 11:28 GMT
#701
Also idk if this was clarified anywhere but is it 2 mafia or 3 with 12 people? Assuming 2
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 11:53 GMT
#711
On December 11 2023 20:49 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 20:23 marvellosity wrote:
On December 11 2023 20:22 Holyflare wrote:
On December 11 2023 20:21 marvellosity wrote:
I think it’s a terrible case and parts of it make me suspicious - for example if I have a chess match, I will say so as either alignment, I have never lied about this sort of thing as either alignment. DP should know that.

I can’t really be arsed to try to attack DP for this (or other dumb bits) though as I’ll just get accused of omgus. You guys can draw your own conclusions.


He did say you wouldn't lie about it, just that you're much more likely to bring that up as mafia than town.

Same difference. I don’t happen to have more chess matches as mafia. I will mention something that takes me away from the game at end of day cycle 100% of the time as either.


It's actually really different. On one hand I am lying in order to make you look bad, the other I am making an observation of your, perhaps unknown, tendencies.


+1
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:14 GMT
#716
On December 11 2023 21:07 marvellosity wrote:
I mean if it’s Vivax and sandro and I’m gonna get lynched for the conclusions everyone else arrived at, so be it…

I’m low key more suspicious of HF for agreeing with DP than I am DP


I like your posts, more so because they defended me and seemed reasonable but it's undeniable that you seem low effort and it's also undeniable that you tried to prescribe intent to DP's case by saying he was lying about you, when it wasn't the case.

In a world where I'm starting to see more townie actiosn from people, you fall lower and lower down the totem pole because of it.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:14 GMT
#717
##vote vivax
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:20 GMT
#719
Slam
Palmar
Koshi
DarthPunk
die_meatbaby

Trfel
Raynpelikoneet




All of the above have some kind of reasonable series of posts that give them plausible deniability from being mafia, or at least that I think have posted things that I can see as even townie. Some of them even at multiple points (slam, DP etc).

It leaves me with:

marvellosity
Vivax
Chezinu
Sandroba

Sure, there's the chance that you're the town in this 4, and it's actually quite a high possibility(!) but I haven't seen the things comparatively that the other players above have given to cross you off the list. Which is crazy considering koshi and slam are in it.

Vivax's posts are boring, he also has no proper engagement. Sandro similarly, more concerned with trying to look ok than solve the game. Chezinu is whatever, religious nonsense.

Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:21 GMT
#720
On December 11 2023 21:15 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 21:14 Holyflare wrote:
On December 11 2023 21:07 marvellosity wrote:
I mean if it’s Vivax and sandro and I’m gonna get lynched for the conclusions everyone else arrived at, so be it…

I’m low key more suspicious of HF for agreeing with DP than I am DP


I like your posts, more so because they defended me and seemed reasonable but it's undeniable that you seem low effort and it's also undeniable that you tried to prescribe intent to DP's case by saying he was lying about you, when it wasn't the case.

In a world where I'm starting to see more townie actiosn from people, you fall lower and lower down the totem pole because of it.

Back at you


ya fair, I don't play mafia anymore for a reason :D
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:33 GMT
#724
On December 11 2023 09:18 Vivax wrote:
Rayn has made a few observations I could see coming from town.

I don't want to read DP either way yet. Or at least I don't think I can.

Discussing HFs alignment on D1 is pointless you either lynch him because he's HF or you don't, but not because he's town.

Palmar + Slam lists looked reasonable to me, mostly.

+ Show Spoiler +
On December 11 2023 02:10 Palmar wrote:
Quick list post:


Slam
Palmar

Marv
Rayn
Trfel

DP

Sandroba


Haven't thought about Vivax, and Koshi, die_meatbaby (I need a shorthand for that...) HF and Chez haven't really said anything.

It is a little suspicious that Chez hasn't tried to form a multinational corporation hellbent on world takeover though.



On December 11 2023 08:31 Alakaslam wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 08:28 DarthPunk wrote:
On December 11 2023 08:24 Alakaslam wrote:
On December 11 2023 08:06 DarthPunk wrote:
Slam is chez town?

Leaning toward a hard yes but can't give a hard yes yet.

He is no fool, but he can fool...


Any other reads?>

Yes.

Koshi town.
You (DP) town.
Rayn town.
Palmar town.

Holyflare possible scum but 1. I have a fear negative bias out of respect for his scum play and 2. He has been culling that in me, but 3. 1 makes this wifom.

Trfel possible scum.

The rest are unclear enough for me to not provide reads.



When reading Sandro, I don't see it explained why he assumes that I'm his worst voter.


This is possibly the worst post vivax has made. Really low commitment to calling rayn town, with enough of a way out to back off from it.

Pretty sure he slips that I'm town here too.

The Sandro post is ??? Literally no conclusions about Sandro, it's just a statement. In fact these are all just pointless statements.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:38 GMT
#725
On December 11 2023 20:42 DarthPunk wrote:
If you can't be bothered reading the big post (you really fucking should)

This is a snapshot. a pretty egregious case of incongruence:

Rayn asks for an opinion on holyflare. Marv is.... Non-commital.

Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 04:42 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I am gonna take a little break. My feet have been cold for like 3 days because of shitty socks, and i just want to go to sauna now that i can. Will be back in an hour.

If anyone would like to have an opinion on Holyflare, and especially on what i said on him, i would appreciate.


Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 06:49 marvellosity wrote:

I admit I can’t make much of any of it…


Two unrelated posts later.

Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 07:34 marvellosity wrote:
On December 11 2023 06:38 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On December 11 2023 06:35 Trfel wrote:
I think at this point I'd be okay with lynching Koshi (if he is going to play like this), and potentially okay with lynching DarthPunk. Sandroba's recent set of posts were more interesting to me, I didn't necessarily agree with everything he was saying but it helps me to put together his mindset/approach. Holyflare's point that he's focusing on defending himself from presumed incorrect accusations instead of actually finding mafia or being productive is strong, now that he's actually shared suspicions I look forward to him coming back tomorrow. Vivax I could definitely see being mafia but I don't think I want to lynch him as much as Koshi or DarthPunk at this point.

Holyflare is not townie in any way, in any point of his game. He might be misguided as fuck but never ever has he done anything townie.

Not sure I agree, I can follow his thoughts




Marv thinks holyflare is town, or at least not mafia because he can follow his thoughts. Why does Marv not say that in the first place? Why does he say nothing at all when it is clear he in fact has something to say?

between those posts, holyflare had not posted a thing.



I don't think this is as strong a point as you're making it out to be btw. He says he can't make much of Rayn's points about me and then denies rayn calling me mafia by saying he can follow my thought process (something you say you use to see if someone is townie too). Context is important here.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 12:58 GMT
#729
On December 11 2023 21:51 Vivax wrote:
DP is scum probably.
Cba to attempt to be less boring in this company lmao. The way the wagon on me formed is a total hellspawn and maybe there's a bit of fun to be had with rayn, Koshi and marv.

I claim VT.

I would also destroy Palmar in an MMA match fyi.


why dp?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 13:29 GMT
#746
On December 11 2023 22:25 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 22:18 DarthPunk wrote:
On December 11 2023 22:16 Vivax wrote:
On December 11 2023 22:14 DarthPunk wrote:
On December 11 2023 22:06 Vivax wrote:
On December 11 2023 22:04 DarthPunk wrote:
On December 11 2023 22:00 Vivax wrote:
It's hard to explain but town DP usually glows intensely and is very conscious about steering the thread to where he wants to (which usually isn't a bad direction), here he's more of a bystander who croaks at everything, tone-wise. The way he treated me I find his vote not being on me scummy and out of character.

Holyflare always plays pro-scum no matter the alignment so him hopping onto my wagon with Trfel is NAI at best.

Just got up to rant and give a few unripe thoughts. But having a wagon on myself is helpful in that I know it has to be at least partially mafia driven.

What exactly is scummy about my vote not being on you, considering:

A.) it was

B.) the massive push i made on marv

and

C.) what do you mean by the way I treated you?


When Palmar initiated the wagon yesterday you were keen on burying me even when I was adressing DMB for example (you defended her post instead).
It's something you do on a level of confidence that doesn't match you just casually switching to marv. Even a look at the votecount made me sus of you.


I don't think I 'casually' switched to marv, the marv stuff was bothering me for a while.

I also think you are mafia FWIW. Particularly after this dramatic entrance.


It's not me you have to tell that to.
It's a shit wagon on the wrong player

This is where you can already start judging who jumps on it.
Palmar is probably town in this case. It's the bottom feeders latching to it that are more interesting.


You are saying that your wagon is shit and on the wrong player?

Who do you think is the right player then?


Gut and purely from gamestate I'd say DP, Sandro, Trfel are the mafia (lots of unproductive verbosity from two while Sandro makes sense from a more frozen perspective).

In this context your unvote makes sense cause you don't want all three on a wagon.

HF, Chezinu would be policy lynches.


You think the world is that mafia went after mafia who OMGUSed back onto their mafia partner, just for the 3rd mafia partner to pick one of the mafia partners to start tunelling?

What on earth
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 15:34 GMT
#796
It's also just a not very good post regardless because it doesn't make any sense
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 17:12 GMT
#844
I am an asset
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 17:26 GMT
#848
On December 12 2023 02:18 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 20:28 Holyflare wrote:
Also idk if this was clarified anywhere but is it 2 mafia or 3 with 12 people? Assuming 2

Can I just say, Hf, this is a really icky post. And you should know why.


don't really care tbh it wasn't in the OP and I didn't expect grack to reply
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 17:27 GMT
#849
Would do and have done the same as either alignment tbh so no use talking about it
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 17:37 GMT
#853
On December 11 2023 05:27 Chezinu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 11 2023 05:25 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On December 11 2023 05:07 sandroba wrote:
I understand your point about feigning certainty as a strategy but fail to see how that makes me suspicious still. Are you saying that although my post had good observations and moved the game in a pro-town manner because I didn't do it like you would have done it is suspicious? Not sure I buy that completely from your perspective.
Definitely not something to hinge a whole narrative on and derive reads from. Especially when your own post is full of tentative language and demonstrations of uncertainty regarding palmar's posts.

I think you should start raising suspicions, or at least having reads, in case you're town, but then again i don't know if i need to tell you this.

People suspect you, if you're town, get over it, stop defending and start producing something of substance (because people suspect you as you don't produce anything of substance -- right or wrong)



If you need help sandroba, you can read my posts to learn how to have people not think you post nothing of substance.


+ Show Spoiler +
Lol!!


Noting this post because it's the first one where Chez breaks character and it's rayn talking about Sandroba doing nothing and deflecting.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
December 11 2023 18:23 GMT
#863
good meme
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