EPT[M][T] Secret Hitler, Act I, Take II - Page 7
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
So about 65% of the time we hit at least one liberal (well i'd stop right away if we get liberal anyways). If we happen to hit FFF the deck is resuffled. Second fascist policy goes to krogan who i believe is town, he gets the investigation. I would trust the result. krogan can investigate kitaman. Third fascist policy goes to kitaman, in case he is town. If not then we will do something else but we know kitaman (or at least one of krogan / kitaman) is mafia. Is there anyone who believes that krogan is mafia? Because in my opinion from the presidents (if you think someone is mafia there) Grackaroni looks the worst for not passing FL instead of LL (passibg FL to prplhz is the correct play there). That's not much, but still a possiblilty, i would find it more likely that mafia are just rels/byj/kitaman/(prplhz). | ||
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raynpelikoneet
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
 Probably the only downside is if the last 2 liberal cards are in the bottom 3, or if we happen to elect hitler as chancellor after 3F. | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:03 Grackaroni wrote: I don't like the plan because it goes really badly if Krogan is scum, and I think there is still a decent chance that he is scum. Thinking about the president powers I'd rather try Kita or Rels (would prefer Rels but I assume it will be Kita) and leave you with the check if there's a failed mission. Basically your town ppl are; you, me, conversion, rels, kitaman right? | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:11 Grackaroni wrote: No I'm pretty close to the same page as Rels. I think the most likely team is Prplhz/Kitaman/HK Can you elaborate here a bit more. Why does Conversion's gov pass if this is the case? Or even your gov? | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
We downvote you, the next whoever that was, me -> 1F We downvote next 3 -> 2F -> krogan gets investigation -> krogan investigates you (gets town - you're ok, gets scum, one of you 2 are scum and we re-evaluate) We downvote next 3 (if you = town) -> 3F -> you get to choose president there Now if this happens, we will re-evaluate there. If there is a liberal passed anywhere on the path we re-evaluate there. | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:29 Grackaroni wrote: Kitaman/HK were both pushing against Conversion which aside from you was why I ended up choosing Prplhz, so I didn't like that. If this is town/town then maybe you are right and Rels/Byj are scum downvoting and one scum upvoted. But if prplhz is scum then I'm much more suspicious of Kita/HK who passed the mission when it was going to be a close vote. (Also if I was mafia then this is like your entire mafia team down voting a scum mission and all town upvoting.) Honestly I haven't put much effort into analyzing anything recently though and I may be completely wrong just from looking at the second vote count. I recall Happykrogan kind of wavering his way into voting yes on this and being kind of suspicious of it but I don't see remember anything about Prplhz here and I don't see why scum prplhz would upvote this mission if you/conversion are both town. I can't figure out your conclusion here. Can you put some effort at some point into well.. making a conclusion. Because to me it feels like you aren't really saying anything like "this is why i think this is true" instead of "this might be or this might not be". | ||
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raynpelikoneet
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
On November 07 2018 07:35 kitaman27 wrote: Do you think that's better than passing a Kita/Krogan pair with a 65% chance of a liberal card getting to Krogan and then doing a single draw rotation afterwards if we get FFF since that would leave the deck at 3F, 2L and then we can follow through like planned? The problem is that's not going to necessarily be 3F 2L. If the last draw would have 100% chance of drawing at least 1L (unless someone is lying) it'd make perfect sense to do that, but i wanna cover possible "fuck ups" with at least [i]guaranteed[/] information. | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43268 Posts
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