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[M][T] Secret Hitler, Act I, Take II - Page 24

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
November 03 2018 01:24 GMT
#461
On November 03 2018 08:59 byj wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2018 23:23 Grackaroni wrote:
On November 02 2018 23:21 kitaman27 wrote:
On November 02 2018 23:13 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I aisi have absolutely zero idea how anyone could ever think byj is even remotely townie, so that read of yours sounds like bs. Unless you have some extremely through meta-analysis.


I went by his single game in the database:
https://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/533201-elementary-mafia?user=byj

Dude had a bunch of 1 liners, didn't really care how he looked, and ended up getting mislynched as town. I definitely don't feel good about having him in my top 4, but I think he looks slightly better than prpl at the moment and is more of an afk than having done anything inherently scummy so far.


+1 to this.


How do you guys feel now? Shouldn't I be practically scum now, due to not talking but voting?


wut

Are you trying to refute my post or something? o.O
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
byj
Profile Joined November 2015
525 Posts
November 03 2018 14:10 GMT
#462
On November 03 2018 10:24 kitaman27 wrote:
Are you trying to refute my post or something? o.O

Asking for updates, not refuting
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
November 03 2018 14:52 GMT
#463
It doesn't look good, if that's what you're asking. I think if you're liberal that you need to start posting or nobody is ever going to consider nominating you and that puts town in a really sticky situation because we'd need to identify the exact four liberals due to the term limits.
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
happykrogan
Profile Joined March 2017
Germany408 Posts
November 03 2018 15:23 GMT
#464
On November 03 2018 08:59 byj wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2018 23:23 Grackaroni wrote:
On November 02 2018 23:21 kitaman27 wrote:
On November 02 2018 23:13 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I aisi have absolutely zero idea how anyone could ever think byj is even remotely townie, so that read of yours sounds like bs. Unless you have some extremely through meta-analysis.


I went by his single game in the database:
https://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/533201-elementary-mafia?user=byj

Dude had a bunch of 1 liners, didn't really care how he looked, and ended up getting mislynched as town. I definitely don't feel good about having him in my top 4, but I think he looks slightly better than prpl at the moment and is more of an afk than having done anything inherently scummy so far.


+1 to this.


How do you guys feel now? Shouldn't I be practically scum now, due to not talking but voting?

Why didn't you talk but vote?
It depends why you did as it was obviously intentional.
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
November 03 2018 15:54 GMT
#465
ELECTION 3

[image loading]

A liberal policy has been enacted!


It is Conversion's turn to be the presidential candidate and select a candidate for chancellor. This selection must be made in , after which everyone will get to vote.

Due to term limits, Grackaroni and prplhz are ineligible to be chosen as chancellor.
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 03 2018 16:07 GMT
#466
Choose krogan
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 03 2018 16:08 GMT
#467
Or wait who's up for president next
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
happykrogan
Profile Joined March 2017
Germany408 Posts
November 03 2018 16:10 GMT
#468
2-0 great!
From which policies did you choose?
happykrogan
Profile Joined March 2017
Germany408 Posts
November 03 2018 16:11 GMT
#469
On November 04 2018 01:08 prplhz wrote:
Or wait who's up for president next

Conversion. It stands in the election post.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
November 03 2018 16:28 GMT
#470
I got L/L/F and I discarded the fascist policy.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
November 03 2018 16:33 GMT
#471
On November 03 2018 08:59 byj wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2018 23:23 Grackaroni wrote:
On November 02 2018 23:21 kitaman27 wrote:
On November 02 2018 23:13 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I aisi have absolutely zero idea how anyone could ever think byj is even remotely townie, so that read of yours sounds like bs. Unless you have some extremely through meta-analysis.


I went by his single game in the database:
https://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/533201-elementary-mafia?user=byj

Dude had a bunch of 1 liners, didn't really care how he looked, and ended up getting mislynched as town. I definitely don't feel good about having him in my top 4, but I think he looks slightly better than prpl at the moment and is more of an afk than having done anything inherently scummy so far.


+1 to this.


How do you guys feel now? Shouldn't I be practically scum now, due to not talking but voting?

What kind of a question is this?

Why did you vote no without saying anything?
happykrogan
Profile Joined March 2017
Germany408 Posts
November 03 2018 16:34 GMT
#472
On November 04 2018 01:28 Grackaroni wrote:
I got L/L/F and I discarded the fascist policy.

prplhz can you confirm that?
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 03 2018 16:37 GMT
#473
On November 04 2018 01:28 Grackaroni wrote:
I got L/L/F and I discarded the fascist policy.

Its okay, although i would have prolly preferred if you discarded liberal.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 03 2018 16:39 GMT
#474
So grackaroni is pretty much conf town if we draw 3 more liberal policies.
table for two on a tv tray
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
November 03 2018 16:39 GMT
#475
On November 04 2018 01:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2018 01:28 Grackaroni wrote:
I got L/L/F and I discarded the fascist policy.

Its okay, although i would have prolly preferred if you discarded liberal.

I considered it but I think with 2 liberal policies you really need to get an L enacted.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 03 2018 16:39 GMT
#476
Bad thing is this doesnt tell anything about prplhz.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 03 2018 16:41 GMT
#477
On November 04 2018 01:39 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2018 01:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On November 04 2018 01:28 Grackaroni wrote:
I got L/L/F and I discarded the fascist policy.

Its okay, although i would have prolly preferred if you discarded liberal.

I considered it but I think with 2 liberal policies you really need to get an L enacted.

The thing is, had prplhz enacted fascist and youd have 1v1 at least i would always believe you over him.
table for two on a tv tray
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
November 03 2018 16:44 GMT
#478
I kind of ditzed when thinking about vote analysis yesterday. I forgot that there's probably still a lot of confusion among mafia whether prplhz/I are town or not.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
November 03 2018 16:52 GMT
#479
Most likely probabilities atm (assuming Krogan and I both told the truth)

P(3 fascist) = 33.94%
P(2 fascist 1 liberal) = 50.91%
P(1 fascist 2 liberal) = 14.55%
P(3 liberal) = 0.61%
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
November 03 2018 17:01 GMT
#480
I'd choose Rayn over Krogan for chancellor
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