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Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
March 22 2018 15:49 GMT
#1701
+ Show Spoiler [Mocsta thoughts] +


On March 20 2018 22:37 Mocsta wrote:
Gonna hit the sack but wanted to say overall this is a good day1 start.

~17pages with 20 people and enough content to gwnuinely scum hunt.

Over the next 24hours we need to focus on resolutions to these topics. With 20 players and ?5? Scum there is a 1/4 chance scum is in every convo. Consolidation will be key as last minute vote swaps is both scum favoured and will make future vote count analysis almost useless.

Off the top of my head big topics are:
Exo/kelsier
Noobking/HF
Probably moosey and the self vote
Df and the roleplay
Slam vibe change
I cant tell if koshi is in the mix or mentiined as collateral

I think only non posters are sicklucker and rels


Thoughts before bed and wjthout properly reading page 21 onwards.
Moose is town
I have no issue with df. Not sure why others are annoyed.
Exo kelsier is tvt
Hf uncertain
Nk scum
Slam need to read medic to confirm vibe change

Dark horse read is one of palmar and hf is scum
Not sure which
Something tickled me weird with palmar. Will see if it still triggers me when i wake.
Hf here cos i found him to be a bit more flacid than i am used to in palmar presence. Could be a respect thing. Meh.

Nite


First occurrence of NK being scum here, by Mocsta, with saying one of Palmar/HF is scum

On March 21 2018 07:46 Mocsta wrote:
So... im in an odd predicament

(1) I have an important dinner tonight so wont be able to critically read anything
(2) Where I work has been thrown in an unplanned shutdown.. I really dont know if I can commit the time to apply critical thought.

I still think Day1 comes down to resolutions on the big topics:
Slam
Moosy
Ex0/KSC,
Koshi/Disfo/n00bking,
DF

Rest is probably side distractions.

My current (albeit loose) thoughts are:

Above null pile (Ex0_, rsoultin, vivax, rayn, Kelsier, ykl, disinfo, Palmar
Null pile (HF, Conversion, Slam, darthfoley, Rels, tictock, sicklucker, koshi, moosy)
Below null pile (n00bking)

Of the above null, I feel least strong about disinfo as its based on a heuristic that is gut feel only.
Conversion is in null pile as I havent focused on anything he has said.
Slam I would still need to meta-dive.
DF I actually like, but I give pause since so many others have issue. I wouldnt lynch today, and would prefer not to use a bullet on.
tictock is in null pile as I was surprised by the content since waking. Maybe im selfish, but I was quite surprised he didnt ask me anything.
moosy i agree is not on the table Day1. Could be easy mislynch; so focus on other scum team.

Apologies to leave it like this.


Palmar suddenly becomes above null, and HF is null. Abandons his Palmar/HF 50/50 scum theory?

On March 21 2018 08:55 Mocsta wrote:
n00bking
indulge with that Ni insight.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/532111-classic-mafia?user=n00bKing
What is your position on top 2 or 3 scum candidates.

+ Show Spoiler [NK] +

#144 - Setup speculation
#159 - Setup speculation
#188 - Vivax -> Moosy clarification: Read unknown
#276 - tictock -> ExO_ clarification: Read unknown
#278 - Interesting Slam comment (indicative of NK/Slam team). DF comment. Vote Disfo. ykl suggestive pressure. No true position taken (as liking Koshi vote can be similar to liking ykl pressure)
#280 - Critiquing grammer
#337 - Confirms that conversion is being ignored. Intentionally dodging ykl (of relevance, as later NK states ykl is good target for pressure. This should then present a fantastic opportunity to counter-pressure)
#339 - Does not take position on mcosta or tictock. Just states that mocsta logic is poor.
#340 - curious about slam. Odd phrasing. Trying to draw out information (one of the first posts from NK trying to do this) - the question is for what purpose.
#341 - Indicates agreement abotu Ex0 not reading the thread (or likely to be town)
#343 - Arguing actions in theory, with no comment on players at hand. Trys to sway HF into a disagreement with tictock
#344 - Comprehension question
#361 - Is arguing logic, without indicating a lean towards any player in question
#591 - Takes position that DF is leaning town
#592 - Filler
#595 - Debate logic. States Exo actions are indicative of town play; but at no points declare Ex0 town
#603 - Requests conversion to build a case against him
#604 - Wants to target lurkers and inexpereinced players to divulge motive.


LOL. now that I have filter dived
scrap that request

##Vote: n00bking

  • Talks about present issues like ExO_, but rarely sharing own position on read
  • Wants lurkers and new players to be pressured, but no where in filter gets hands dirty
  • Argues heavily in favour of ExO, without declaring ExO town at any point.. At not point is demonstrating consideration for whether ExO / HF / tictock is T v T or T v S.
  • Does not seem to consider Conversion is scum. Merely wasting time regardless of being earnest or genuine.


NK is playing filler this cycle, while chastising other players for being illogical.
Classic scum maintaining activity by shitting on others to avoid posting real content.

P.S.NK known for wordplay.. pay attention to end of day posts with moosy/prplhz last game. If NK flips scum, slam is almost certainly scum


Votes for NK, says he is scum. "Known for wordplay" assumes previous game meta being applied to scumread him here.

On March 20 2018 18:14 Holyflare wrote:
Yeah I'm just gonna vote noobking and have free mafia.


On March 21 2018 08:58 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 21 2018 08:34 Holyflare wrote:
On March 21 2018 07:46 Mocsta wrote:
So... im in an odd predicament

(1) I have an important dinner tonight so wont be able to critically read anything
(2) Where I work has been thrown in an unplanned shutdown.. I really dont know if I can commit the time to apply critical thought.

I still think Day1 comes down to resolutions on the big topics:
Slam
Moosy
Ex0/KSC,
Koshi/Disfo/n00bking,
DF

Rest is probably side distractions.

My current (albeit loose) thoughts are:

Above null pile (Ex0_, rsoultin, vivax, rayn, Kelsier, ykl, disinfo, Palmar
Null pile (HF, Conversion, Slam, darthfoley, Rels, tictock, sicklucker, koshi, moosy)
Below null pile (n00bking)

Of the above null, I feel least strong about disinfo as its based on a heuristic that is gut feel only.
Conversion is in null pile as I havent focused on anything he has said.
Slam I would still need to meta-dive.
DF I actually like, but I give pause since so many others have issue. I wouldnt lynch today, and would prefer not to use a bullet on.
tictock is in null pile as I was surprised by the content since waking. Maybe im selfish, but I was quite surprised he didnt ask me anything.
moosy i agree is not on the table Day1. Could be easy mislynch; so focus on other scum team.

Apologies to leave it like this.


As if I'm null while you simultaneously scum read noobking.
Perhaps its the ply of your toilet paper, but you havent tickled me yet in the way a town HF normally tickles me.

I realise I don't know how a scum!HF tickles, but I have certainly seen the town tickle across the games this year.
Until I see a bit more of that magic around the game, you are still in my null pile.


Point of contention here-- I do agree with HF. Why is Mocsta calling HF null when they share the scumread? should be at least the same level of Palmar since they agree with a scumread ? Question here for me is why is Palmar above HF with the similar read?

On March 21 2018 10:35 Mocsta wrote:
NK

I have no desire to argue with a scum read. Its pointless for the spectators.

The only comment I will make is that #652 reads like a classic scum "what have i done wrong" post.

The short of it is this: You are intelligent enough to have awareness of how you play the game as town. This is very clear from filter diving prior town/scum games. There is good consistency, so kudos to you.

However, following a checklist of town tells; doesn't account for the dynamic nature of each game as an individual sum of parts.

You are playing like old-school rubber-band AI; when you need to implement machine learning to truly be considered elite.

You are scum. Nothing further to say.


Reinforcing n00bking is scum, but doesn't re-evaluate his HF read

On March 21 2018 15:57 Mocsta wrote:
anyways, sorry slam
i had enough for today, and already 10 pages of filter for ppl to wake up to & i dont want to add anymore.

my vote is sticking with n00bking and i hope yours it too!

big split shenanies should be prevented in unknown setup game.
we need to be able to hold people accountable for voting actions once more informatino is known.




sticks with n00bking here

On March 22 2018 00:46 Mocsta wrote:
Wrfrf

Wht is ff voting nk

Yikes


gets off n00bking because FF votes him? even though he was happy with disfo/nk wagon, hops off to Rels. Also, not a lot on FF from his filter from what I can gather... so why is FF voting for NK enough to make him vote off his preferred disfo/nk wagons? Wondering if disfo claimed here or not, would have to double check

On March 22 2018 07:27 Mocsta wrote:
i have to vote conversion at this point just to save myself ffs.
i dont think i filter-dived him before, so taking a leap of faith.

wtf is going on.


This is not a good post. Instead of trying to divert a lynch towards one of his many scum reads, he just wants to coinflip on me. His vote pattern is now n00bking -> rels -> me

After that he goes back to rels and then leaves a farewell post.. that doesn't do much
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
March 22 2018 15:49 GMT
#1702
Mocsta, why on earth is Palmar more town than HF when he's sharing a similar scum read on you?

Also, you had people willing to divert onto a Rels lynch, so why
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
March 22 2018 15:50 GMT
#1703
On March 23 2018 00:49 Conversion wrote:
Mocsta, why on earth is Palmar more town than HF when he's sharing a similar scum read on you?

Also, you had people willing to divert onto a Rels lynch, so why did you jump on me to save yourself when you had enough time to get people onto a lynch that wasn't you?



EBWOP. fat palmed my left click onto post..
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
March 22 2018 15:57 GMT
#1704
Read my case yo. You missed out the parts where mocsta says noobking looks better but then says he's scummy a few posts later but then repeats he looks better again when everyone unvoted him.
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
March 22 2018 15:59 GMT
#1705
On March 23 2018 00:57 Holyflare wrote:
Read my case yo. You missed out the parts where mocsta says noobking looks better but then says he's scummy a few posts later but then repeats he looks better again when everyone unvoted him.


I read that. I just want him to answer that first because his reasons for saying you are not great makes no sense when you literally share the same scum read as him. Also him voting me "to save himself" looks bad too because I wanted to lynch n00bking all of day1 until no one else wanted to... and he wanted to until FF randomly voted n00bking
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
March 22 2018 16:03 GMT
#1706
On March 23 2018 00:57 Holyflare wrote:
Read my case yo. You missed out the parts where mocsta says noobking looks better but then says he's scummy a few posts later but then repeats he looks better again when everyone unvoted him.


https://www.liquidhearth.com/forum/mafia/532111-classic-mafia?user=Holyflare&page=6

A bit on the page before if you're bored.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
March 22 2018 16:17 GMT
#1707
Hey Noobking, who is mafia and more specifically, why?
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
March 22 2018 16:21 GMT
#1708
On March 22 2018 07:29 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2018 07:25 Mocsta wrote:
On March 20 2018 19:48 Palmar wrote:
I'm going with a rather strict "vote on a case" policy this game
On March 22 2018 05:43 Palmar wrote:
Throwing down a vote on disfo just so I get a vote out there. I don't remember why I thought he could be mafia but I don't really care.
On March 22 2018 05:51 n00bKing wrote:
*thumbs up*
Good post.
I am not sure why n00bking decided to change posting style the past 12hours, but its working for me. Overall: not a concern to me anymore.

This is not a good post, it's just him taking things at face value.

I still haven't read more than half the game and I don't feel strongly enough about anyone being mafia to build a case myself, and no one else is pushing any kind of a case.

So what does he expect, that I just don't vote at all? It's probably the most scummy post that noobking has made because he's creating something out of nothing.

I'm voting on tone reads right now. disfo sounded off in the early game.

actually I forgot this shit too

noobking is so mafia
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
March 22 2018 16:22 GMT
#1709
On March 23 2018 00:49 Conversion wrote:
Mocsta, why on earth is Palmar more town than HF when he's sharing a similar scum read on you?

Also, you had people willing to divert onto a Rels lynch, so why

I don't scumread mocsta, pay attention.
Computer says mafia
Conversion
Profile Joined April 2010
United States3308 Posts
March 22 2018 16:27 GMT
#1710
On March 23 2018 01:22 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2018 00:49 Conversion wrote:
Mocsta, why on earth is Palmar more town than HF when he's sharing a similar scum read on you?

Also, you had people willing to divert onto a Rels lynch, so why

I don't scumread mocsta, pay attention.


Bad pronoun usage there. Well, bad grammar overall.

Mocsta, why on earth is Palmar above null and HF is null when HF is sharing a similar scum read to you, Mocsta?
ExO_
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States2316 Posts
March 22 2018 17:19 GMT
#1711
On March 22 2018 23:01 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2018 22:41 n00bKing wrote:
On March 22 2018 21:54 ExO_ wrote:
On March 22 2018 21:15 n00bKing wrote:
Or should they not kill anyone, hold their shot, and hope to get off a shot later in the game?


I think there's two approaches here I would consider:

Shoot Disinfo. Operate on the assumption that Scum won't target him for KP going into Night 1. If he's telling the truth I'll know then. Especially with the way the voting went (chaos after he blue claimed) maybe could use his thoughts and my own thoughts to formulate an educated opinion on who is scum. And if he was lying, easy scum dead.


Alternatively I might shoot Vivax. Might just be OMGUS but I don't think Vivax has scum hunted this game. I think his post have largely distracted town and can't make sense coming from a towny point of view. He's scum reading both myself and Keslier -- this doesn't make sense in my opinion. Particularly with the discussion I had with Keslier earlier in the day. And I don't think he's ever given a good explanation.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 22 2018 03:32 Calix wrote:

Day 1 Vote Count



disformation [5]: Koshi, n00bking, KelsierSC, raynpelikoneet, Holyflare
n00bking [4]: Conversion, Holyflare, Mocsta, MoosyDoosy, Tictock, Fecalfeast, disformation
KelsierSC [2]: ExO_, darthfoley
rsoultin [1]: Alakaslam, Rels
ExO_ [1]: Vivax, Tictock, MoosyDoosy
Alakaslam [1]: rsoultin
Rels [1]: Mocsta
ykl [0]: Alakaslam
Mocsta [0]: MoosyDoosy
Tictock [0]: Mocsta, MoosyDoosy
Palmar [0]: Koshi

Not Voting [5]: ykl, Palmar, sicklucker, disformation, Alakaslam


disformation is currently the lynch.

The deadline is Wednesday, Mar 21 10:59pm GMT (GMT+00:00) which is in .

If there is an error in the vote count, let us know via PM.


On March 22 2018 03:48 Vivax wrote:
##Unvote
##Vote KelsierSC




At the time, Keslier is the 3rd wagon but 2 votes behind. He hops on the wagon with me, his primary scum read all game. I'm just not sure I believe if he really thinks I'm scum he's going to hop on a wagon with me to try to get traction for a new target (or just throw his vote away on 3rd party).


So Vivax or Disinfo. I feel like if I was a better player I would go with Disinfo because potentially more information could be learned by confirming he's blue. However I personally would be more likely to go with Vivxa: I think he's likely to be scum.

Thanks. A potential flaw in your disformation plan is that, again, he could be a mafia Veteran. So I think that would keep him from being a good Vigilante target, even aside from the talk of how a Vigilante is better off shooting into the trash-tier people who aren't really playing.


There's no such thing as mafia veteran.


slip?
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
March 22 2018 17:27 GMT
#1712
You'd think my question wouldn't be particularly hard to answer.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22106 Posts
March 22 2018 17:35 GMT
#1713
I claim town mayor
ExO_
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States2316 Posts
March 22 2018 17:36 GMT
#1714
On March 22 2018 23:03 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2018 22:51 ExO_ wrote:
On March 22 2018 22:18 rsoultin wrote:
ExO, explain your read on df please. I can't find a read on him in your filter anywhere, so if you have made one and I'm just being a tard with ctrl+f, if you could quote it that would be great.

(god, i'm a dip lol >< didn't even see that second spoiler from df in the moment)


Haven’t offered an opinion on DF, havent read him too closely either. However he agreed with my suspicions on you and I soft town read him at that point.

I’m still not convinced you aren’t scum though rsoul. The effort at End of Day makes me think yoy might be - but only because of effort and post count. Content wise I still think you’ve been really just meh on everyone except Slam. And I have to ask myself, were you pushing Rels based on a real read, or because you thought you could get others to go for him


I'm glad that you've realized that I can only literally be two alignments this game. I will admit that my push on Rels was pretty bad, because it was mostly emotional and I probably should have let that go in favor of a lynch I could be more objective about.

I'm going to ignore the part where you said I might be scum only for effort and post count as the obvious writing mistake it was.

So, why was DF more of a slight townread to you than Rels when practically all that Rels was doing was calling me scum/a good lynch?


DF addressed and agreed with me directly. Rels didn’t. Given the choice between the two I thought Rels was less active and scummier.
ExO_
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States2316 Posts
March 22 2018 17:37 GMT
#1715
On March 23 2018 02:27 rsoultin wrote:
You'd think my question wouldn't be particularly hard to answer.


I’m on my phone at lunch, give me a litttle bit of time lol. I’ve andwered you now — any followup?
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
March 22 2018 17:38 GMT
#1716
Important update


I am still on page 62.
I had a good night of sleep.
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
March 22 2018 17:38 GMT
#1717
Nh. Fair enough. Carry on. I probably won't revisit this unless DF ends up being scum, and even then it'll be a do I believe ExO or not sort of deal.
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22106 Posts
March 22 2018 17:40 GMT
#1718
last will

You can play around with the low tier, but high tier is must kill
rsoultin
Profile Blog Joined November 2014
Netherlands15308 Posts
March 22 2018 17:49 GMT
#1719
This is more of a nagging gnatty thing in the back of my mind, but I don't remember an ExO being this chill or apologetic about his scumreads.

-puts that on list of things to check before EoN-
"rsoultin: Mafia Suicide Inducer...you have unlimited shots because you are so god-damn relentless." - marvellosity (2015)
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
March 22 2018 17:50 GMT
#1720
On March 22 2018 08:49 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2018 08:48 Holyflare wrote:
Thing is Mocsta, I don't need you to retort my case against you. I just need you to do other stuff if you're town. I want to see who you scum read next and why. Want you to pick out info from this lynch on Rels where you base it from your perspective.

I'll be waiting.
Are you slipping I wont be shot 2nite?

I am going to call Mocsta town this game.
I like this post and the disjointed post.
I had a good night of sleep.
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