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Newbie Student Mafia XXVIII - Page 85

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:40 GMT
#1681
On January 27 2018 08:00 Rels wrote:
Now HF:
- has been pushing for mafia objectives all game long: lynch Damdred or BTDT over DF during D1, lynch prp over Damerion D2, soft a role during the night N2, believed Damerion's claim D3. Now I want to make it clear that being wrong does not make anyone scum by itself. But. HF is a very strong a logical player, as either alignment. And this game is being seen more or less the same way by a lot of players I consider strong: rsoultin, KSC, JAT ... but HF for some reason has had the exact opposite view of the game than all of these players. Even if it doesn't make HF scum by itself, it's a big indicator that he's been this wrong in this straight-forward game.
- has entered pointless debate mode whenever he's been attacked. That started D1 when he deflected rsoul's accusation of defending DF by saying he was going home, which was not the original point; and that continued all game until earlier, where he was whining about being tunneled so much and trying to throw shade at me.
- and last but not least, my case on him. Regardless of everything I've said above, the case by itself make him scum. It's just impossible that town!HF would risk the cop getting roleblocked. I know that for a player that never played with HF, it seems dumb to have that kind of certainty over this: if that's the case and you refuse to take my word for it, I would ask you to do your research and verify how HF plays as town during the night.

People should stop thinking hf is good as town. Been saying this for so long.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:42 GMT
#1682
Hmmm. Yeah Rels filter is bad. I read it.
Dont know yet. Dont know yet.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:44 GMT
#1683
On January 19 2018 11:55 Mocsta wrote:
TL;DR: ##Vote: Damdred
============================
I am concerned...

I am seeing a pattern of people issuing town reads (solely) for being congruent with their reads.

Show nested quote +
Does it really bear repeating: Mafia know who the town is!


============================

If you want me to join the town circle-jerk club.
Fine: There is only one individual that gives me consitently good feelings and that is + Show Spoiler +
TWAT.

Why?

Because whilst mafia and town have the same priorites during Day1 (i.e. establish innocence); I dont believe mafia are capable of consistently simulating in parallel:
- paranoia
- confirmation bias / fixed dichotomy mindset
- willingness to throw out a position


Whilst I dont agree with the conclusions drawn by this player, I dont think the motives are malicious due to the above.

============================

But, I would rather weigh in on nulls and reds.


Priority #1: What to make of damerion/damdred case
  • Case is quite subjective to me, and presents a damned-if-you, damned-if-you-don't argument.
    Acceptable for early Day1 and overall, I catergorise this as a poke.
  • Damdred brushing off the case is only indicative of confidence, rather than alignment
  • Damerion followup is OK given the case/poke premise of meta.
  • Damdred wanting to work together is only indicative of understanding the game mechanics , rather than alignment.

Whilst I have no qualm with Damdred brushing off the case, i do have a problem with how Damdred clings to the mocsta/DF thread sentiment throughout his filter and case response.

"Why doesn't it make sense that they could be scum together (mocsta and DF), they have no real interactions together (yet)...But still a bit much to make a decision either way I suppose. But both are scummy"
"But id be happy just lynching moc today anyway."
"but also seems like a way to change conversation away from DF and moc who I guess you have at null?"

This is wishy washy at best, and non-congruent with the town-play meta argument at worst.

I think a town that is +1 bandwagoning would be more likely to get frustrated during this exchange. Especially in day1 when circles are small, and paranoia can be at its peak.
This is not present at all. Rather, whilst being poked Damdred remains calculated in response; making it even more intrigruing that a firm opinion is held without a firm base. Uncharacteristic of a measured thinker.

Overall, I observe Damdred employing an "appeal to emotion" through reconjuring thread bias without further substantiating or developing it.
Whilst, town is capable of using this (typically under confirmation bias) - at what point can it be deduced that Damdred is experiencing confirmation bias?? At what point can it be deduced that Damdred is poking somone, or laying a trap?

Rather, I prefer the simplest explanation: that an appeal to emotion is a tactic associated with lazy mafia play.

============================

Priority #2: Other comments of interest


Holyflare
Im confused by HF - until he "couldnt fathom the mindset" of kelsier, I wasnt actually sure why damdred was voted.
On one hand, I feel that HF is constantly prodding people in a constructive manner;
On the other hand, whilst he has communicated why he voted damdred, its for reasoning I dont agree with (i.e.
focusing on behaviour rather than motive).
Am i wrong to expect more?

Darthfoley
Reads like he is observing the game and commenting for funsies.
I dont know how to explain it other than its feels like he is here, yet not actually in the moment?!?!
More investigating required.

mderg
I feel that mderg is trying to post just enough to not be forgotten.
Its interesting that the biggest attempt to persuade the thread revolves around shifting the focus from damdred to
damerion. "Using the fact that Damdred left the thread is like the weakest reason to push the read I can imagine."
Given I think the poke was fair game, i think this is hyperbole from mderg.
An interesting connection with potentially interesting timing nonetheless.

Oh lol. Mocsta played a super active early game.
RIP rels?
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:45 GMT
#1684
On January 19 2018 12:31 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
KelsierSC:
Main issue is the damdred discussion... I didn't feel he was really pushing a scum read that hard.
Is that not the point? Damdred was appealing to thread bias to push scum reads on his behalf...A soft push bruh.


Show nested quote +
KelsierSC:
I've agreed with most everything that Tina has said and I knew she would like costa. They both post in similair style.
Costa's enthusiasm is enough for a tone read pass D1.
Firstly, Tina hasnt put me in town circle?? Secondly, this is a not a logical conclusion as when reversed: If Tina is mafia and likes enthusiasm; your logic infers it would be a naturally difficult for her to call me mafia... i.e. whether rsoultin is town or mafia, I end up town.


Show nested quote +
KelsierSC:
my scummy reads come from people who agree on the damdred wagon when they should probably know better.
I dont understand how you can elicit such a strong opinion when damdred hasnt flipped? I do think Damdred is scummy, so why should others know better? The strong opinion is what makes this feel like a cheap way to open the door to target that wagon.


Show nested quote +
KelsierSC:
I don't like Mderg I think his disappointment at the thread felt fake and his 10 page hf point was not my experience of hf at all. In general I have disagreed with almost everything he said apart from his agreement that damerion is just too aggro. So I could see Mderg knowing both damdred and damerion are town and trying to get some credit later...maybe im just biased with that .
What credit? He was trying to sway the case from damdred to damerion?

Either you are using too much intraverted intuition to converge possibilities or or intentionally misinterpretting events.


Show nested quote +
KelsierSC:
I like kmatt but just because his 4d chess comment was really funny.
This I do agree with.

Convincing.
Also read last quote.
I had a good night of sleep.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
January 30 2018 10:47 GMT
#1685
On January 30 2018 19:40 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2018 08:00 Rels wrote:
Now HF:
- has been pushing for mafia objectives all game long: lynch Damdred or BTDT over DF during D1, lynch prp over Damerion D2, soft a role during the night N2, believed Damerion's claim D3. Now I want to make it clear that being wrong does not make anyone scum by itself. But. HF is a very strong a logical player, as either alignment. And this game is being seen more or less the same way by a lot of players I consider strong: rsoultin, KSC, JAT ... but HF for some reason has had the exact opposite view of the game than all of these players. Even if it doesn't make HF scum by itself, it's a big indicator that he's been this wrong in this straight-forward game.
- has entered pointless debate mode whenever he's been attacked. That started D1 when he deflected rsoul's accusation of defending DF by saying he was going home, which was not the original point; and that continued all game until earlier, where he was whining about being tunneled so much and trying to throw shade at me.
- and last but not least, my case on him. Regardless of everything I've said above, the case by itself make him scum. It's just impossible that town!HF would risk the cop getting roleblocked. I know that for a player that never played with HF, it seems dumb to have that kind of certainty over this: if that's the case and you refuse to take my word for it, I would ask you to do your research and verify how HF plays as town during the night.

People should stop thinking hf is good as town. Been saying this for so long.
Whats the point of this post.

No need to shit on people that are dead. So are you being a tool for the sake of it, or relating this to Rels?
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:49 GMT
#1686
On January 20 2018 23:26 Mocsta wrote:
I shall illuminate my top 2 reads in further detail to connect how and more importantly why they are a scum pairing.
Please refer to my 4000 word case below.

Why is DF scum
Read DF Filter, and dont tell me you dont see this....
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Why is HF scum
Read HF Filter, and dont tell me you dont see this...
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]



and...

wait for it.

[image loading]


Why does it work together
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


I understand this post now.
It is quite funny.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:50 GMT
#1687
On January 30 2018 19:47 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2018 19:40 Koshi wrote:
On January 27 2018 08:00 Rels wrote:
Now HF:
- has been pushing for mafia objectives all game long: lynch Damdred or BTDT over DF during D1, lynch prp over Damerion D2, soft a role during the night N2, believed Damerion's claim D3. Now I want to make it clear that being wrong does not make anyone scum by itself. But. HF is a very strong a logical player, as either alignment. And this game is being seen more or less the same way by a lot of players I consider strong: rsoultin, KSC, JAT ... but HF for some reason has had the exact opposite view of the game than all of these players. Even if it doesn't make HF scum by itself, it's a big indicator that he's been this wrong in this straight-forward game.
- has entered pointless debate mode whenever he's been attacked. That started D1 when he deflected rsoul's accusation of defending DF by saying he was going home, which was not the original point; and that continued all game until earlier, where he was whining about being tunneled so much and trying to throw shade at me.
- and last but not least, my case on him. Regardless of everything I've said above, the case by itself make him scum. It's just impossible that town!HF would risk the cop getting roleblocked. I know that for a player that never played with HF, it seems dumb to have that kind of certainty over this: if that's the case and you refuse to take my word for it, I would ask you to do your research and verify how HF plays as town during the night.

People should stop thinking hf is good as town. Been saying this for so long.
Whats the point of this post.

No need to shit on people that are dead. So are you being a tool for the sake of it, or relating this to Rels?

Probably tool.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:51 GMT
#1688
On January 21 2018 20:47 Mocsta wrote:
im happy to clear BTDT by association after reading Darthfoley filter
the nitpicking case reminds me of the bullshit he stated for me being scum.

So i think mderg summary below is accurate.
Show nested quote +
On January 21 2018 19:14 mderg wrote:
So this is where I'm at:

Day One Final Vote Count

Damdred (4): Damerion, Holyflare, TheTwatyEvildoer, Rels, Mocsta, Rels
beentheredonethat (4): rsoultin, KelsierSC, mderg, Rels, darthfoley, prplhz, Rels
darthfoley (3): Damdred, KelsierSC, rsoultin
Holyflare (0): mderg, Mocsta, rsoultin
prplhz (0): Mocsta

Not Voting (2): Kmatt, beentheredonethat


Its not unheard of for scum to not vote, but its not something I would be willing to consider at this stage. Even with 2 town being prime bandwagon, the fact that DF was semi-close to a lynch should force a scum kmatt to vote.
So kmatt is effectively green for today.

Im still green on TWAT + Rels

2 scum within: damerion, HF, mderg, prplhz

If damdred is the player everyone says he is, its quite the mastermind effort to facillitate a lynch him day1.
This points to HF for me by default.

need to know why Hf thinks prplhz is town.

gonna start looking into mderg in more detail


Mocsta is actually obvious town lol.
Goddamn.
I had a good night of sleep.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
January 30 2018 10:51 GMT
#1689
On January 30 2018 19:50 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2018 19:47 Mocsta wrote:
On January 30 2018 19:40 Koshi wrote:
On January 27 2018 08:00 Rels wrote:
Now HF:
- has been pushing for mafia objectives all game long: lynch Damdred or BTDT over DF during D1, lynch prp over Damerion D2, soft a role during the night N2, believed Damerion's claim D3. Now I want to make it clear that being wrong does not make anyone scum by itself. But. HF is a very strong a logical player, as either alignment. And this game is being seen more or less the same way by a lot of players I consider strong: rsoultin, KSC, JAT ... but HF for some reason has had the exact opposite view of the game than all of these players. Even if it doesn't make HF scum by itself, it's a big indicator that he's been this wrong in this straight-forward game.
- has entered pointless debate mode whenever he's been attacked. That started D1 when he deflected rsoul's accusation of defending DF by saying he was going home, which was not the original point; and that continued all game until earlier, where he was whining about being tunneled so much and trying to throw shade at me.
- and last but not least, my case on him. Regardless of everything I've said above, the case by itself make him scum. It's just impossible that town!HF would risk the cop getting roleblocked. I know that for a player that never played with HF, it seems dumb to have that kind of certainty over this: if that's the case and you refuse to take my word for it, I would ask you to do your research and verify how HF plays as town during the night.

People should stop thinking hf is good as town. Been saying this for so long.
Whats the point of this post.

No need to shit on people that are dead. So are you being a tool for the sake of it, or relating this to Rels?

Probably tool.
2nd honest comment you have made, after appreciating my picture humour.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:52 GMT
#1690
##unvote Mocsta
##Vote Rels
I had a good night of sleep.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
January 30 2018 10:53 GMT
#1691
On January 30 2018 19:52 Koshi wrote:
##unvote Mocsta
##Vote Rels
Im not understanding this, whatsoever.

Happy to listen. though.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:54 GMT
#1692
Well you are not mafia.
Rels said he mindmelds with mderg.
JAT is blue.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:56 GMT
#1693
And Rels his filter is really bleak. The HF stuff is all great fun but I did the same with Palmar last year.

The total picture is completely missing in Rels his filter. He isnt prodding enough people and he doesnt store and remember good posts in his head.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:56 GMT
#1694
Guess I ll read mderg. Cba to read dead people.
I had a good night of sleep.
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16342 Posts
January 30 2018 10:57 GMT
#1695
Classic koshi. Calling people bad for townreading mocsta before reading himself.
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16342 Posts
January 30 2018 10:58 GMT
#1696
On January 30 2018 19:56 Koshi wrote:
And Rels his filter is really bleak. The HF stuff is all great fun but I did the same with Palmar last year.

The total picture is completely missing in Rels his filter. He isnt prodding enough people and he doesnt store and remember good posts in his head.

True.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 10:59 GMT
#1697
On January 19 2018 18:50 mderg wrote:
Trying to shortly summarize my thoughts on everyone


Twat: probably town
kmatt: no idea
Damerion: don't like his tunneling on damdred, could be scum
btdt: no idea
Mocsta: probably town, conversation with rsoultin looks like town on town argument
Rels: just latches onto the damdred wagon and his work is done
rsoultin: probably town
df: meh
damdred: leaning town
prplhz: no idea
Kelsier: leaning towads town very slightly
Holyflare: I would expect more from town hf but I always have him as scum

Mderg this Rels read. Remember it.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 11:03 GMT
#1698
On January 19 2018 20:21 mderg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 19:59 KelsierSC wrote:
On January 19 2018 19:51 mderg wrote:
On January 19 2018 19:29 KelsierSC wrote:
On January 19 2018 18:50 mderg wrote:
Trying to shortly summarize my thoughts on everyone


Twat: probably town
kmatt: no idea
Damerion: don't like his tunneling on damdred, could be scum
btdt: no idea
Mocsta: probably town, conversation with rsoultin looks like town on town argument
Rels: just latches onto the damdred wagon and his work is done
rsoultin: probably town
df: meh
damdred: leaning town
prplhz: no idea
Kelsier: leaning towads town very slightly
Holyflare: I would expect more from town hf but I always have him as scum


I don't think a list like this is very good. In reality you have provided yourself a lot of outs to change opinion without putting forward anything new.

Can you expand on df and explain why he is meh.


The goal of that list was not to put out anything groundbrakingly new. It's a way to summarize and organize my thoughts.

Everything df said (except the townread on Rels imo) kind of makes sense. But I had pretty much no idea what he said before going through his filter. So his play feels a bit off despite making logically sound arguments.


Ok that makes some sense.

On January 19 2018 19:53 mderg wrote:
On January 19 2018 19:49 KelsierSC wrote:
Though I disagree with HF on his damdred read, I do want to see more from damdred this day.

Reading through HF's explanation. I could understand that if you were reading a guy as scummy from before. (due to his df/mcosta read) then with that biased you could see his response as panicked.

I thought about the perspective of if I was scum HF/Rels. I think my initial interpretation was wrong.I don't think scum HF and Rels jump on this case and call it good. Especially Rels , if damdred flips town he looks super shady.

I think if Damdred is town then you just soft defend him , in the way I have done tbh, and then look for some random lynch later on, if damdred is lynched then a town goes down and you look good.

I think Mderg did that and maybe df but i'm not 100%.

with btdt I liked something he did early, mentioning the bad read on hf and he read rsoultin as town so I gave him a few plus points. I didn't like his Mcosta is weird with a massive quote post , i'd need to see more though.

At this point i'd lynch between mderg, maybe df then prplhz,kmatt and btdt need to put more into the thread.



soft defending a townie who's getting lynched is always making you look suspicious. That wouldn't be good scum play.


So based on rsoultin and HF's discussion and previous thoughts. You believe that damdred is town and Rels is scum who has just sidled onto the wagon without saying much. Do you think one of HF and damerion is also scum aswell? or both?

I don't think all 3 of them are scum together. Both damerion and hf are in my would lynch because scummy pile with damerion being higher up in the scummy department.

Who are the 3 names? Rels damerion and hf?
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 11:04 GMT
#1699
On January 19 2018 21:11 mderg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 19 2018 21:06 Holyflare wrote:
On January 19 2018 20:00 rsoultin wrote:
On January 19 2018 19:49 KelsierSC wrote:
Though I disagree with HF on his damdred read, I do want to see more from damdred this day.

Reading through HF's explanation. I could understand that if you were reading a guy as scummy from before. (due to his df/mcosta read) then with that biased you could see his response as panicked.

I thought about the perspective of if I was scum HF/Rels. I think my initial interpretation was wrong.I don't think scum HF and Rels jump on this case and call it good. Especially Rels , if damdred flips town he looks super shady.

I think if Damdred is town then you just soft defend him , in the way I have done tbh, and then look for some random lynch later on, if damdred is lynched then a town goes down and you look good.

I think Mderg did that and maybe df but i'm not 100%.

with btdt I liked something he did early, mentioning the bad read on hf and he read rsoultin as town so I gave him a few plus points. I didn't like his Mcosta is weird with a massive quote post , i'd need to see more though.

At this point i'd lynch between mderg, maybe df then prplhz,kmatt and btdt need to put more into the thread.




To be fair, I think scumRels would be way more likely to do that if there was an alternative lynch going, which there wasn't. It still felt like a half-assed drive-by shooting but I can't say that it makes him scum.

Not feeling a mderg lynch. It's not sparkly but I get a little swimming against the current and a little waffley not sure not sure from his filter that just feels towny to me. Not my strongest read, of course, but I'd rather not lynch him.

Meeeh btdt's filter is just so weak for me. Hold on. I already forgot specifics.


I too get a ray of hope from mderg.

Who are you and what did you do to the real holyflare?

The bolded nested quote might be interesting. Something Rels did that was shady if damdred flipped.

Lots of talk about it.
I had a good night of sleep.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
January 30 2018 11:07 GMT
#1700
On January 20 2018 08:49 mderg wrote:
Kelsier is scum btw

This comes afterr he townreads Rels a bit.
Hmm townie looking for a new mafia? Maybe
I had a good night of sleep.
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