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Newbie Student Mafia XXVIII - Page 6

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Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 13:25 GMT
#910
20/80 i mean
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:06 GMT
#981
On January 24 2018 23:01 Rels wrote:
So, when you add the fact that it's basically the best moment to claim if you're scum, given that you're the prime lynch candidate, it's difficult to believe you.
Dont worry, my vote is staying where it is

However, this batch of discussion (including JAT) is tunneled.
Town or Mafia would feel pressured after Night2. I could see a blue hardclaiming in that circumstance.
This is essentially a damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don't scenario.

It doesnt matter though, the setup makes the claim extremely unlikely.


However, I was having trouble sleeping last night thinking of all the different perutations with this setup.

One oddity I couldnt get past regarding the the BTDT roleblock claim, is that the vet can be roleblocked for 1-shot NK.
Wouldnt ideal strategy be then to RB+NK?
Otherwise, vet can not only claim they are reason there was no NK, but can also claim the RB which makes them confirmed town.

I still cant fathom at all how a townie could vote to avoid modkill, but avoid sharing the roleblock knowledge.

The timing of everything is just frustrating.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:10 GMT
#987
On January 25 2018 01:29 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2018 01:14 Rels wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:10 justanothertownie wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:09 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:06 Holyflare wrote:
On January 20 2018 05:39 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 05:24 Holyflare wrote:
This
Is
Not
Town
Damdred


No problem with lynching btdt or damdred. Now you're making noise. Didn't you dislike df before?


No I also dislike df but I won't lie and say that I've read anything he's said. Have no problem lynching him but I'm very very sure on damdred. No way he keeps both of these mafia reads for the whole game.


So why are you more fine with btdt than df? You didn't seem to be concerned at all about the btdt counterwagon and now you're yelling.

On January 20 2018 06:33 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:30 Holyflare wrote:
Hey your accusation is changing. Better get that in check. I had a bit of free time at work previously to skim and see a btdt post where he fucked off said lol mafia and went about working again. Now I'm home with more free time and am posting more.

What you're seemingly saying is that I'm doing mafia things deflecting off df when he's going up for lynch even though I'm saying I don't care if he dies. Even though I've stuck to my same scum reads and have pushed the same things.

Maybe I should be less active instead then?


No, I mean you claiming that your difference in behavior to two different counterwagons is related to work is unverifiable. Could you perhaps have only time to read one post and that explains your reaction? Sure. Could it be you are scum and we're now pushing scum so suddenly it's more important to push the counterwagon, i.e. damdred? Sure. There is no way for me to know which of the two it is.

It looks suspicious if darth foley flips scum because of that. No more, no less.

Feel free to be as active as you like. I'm done with you for now.

^^^^
Interesting observation considering the damdred/darthfoley flips.
The question is: is this coincidence and does HF just have a really bad towngame or is he simply mafia?

I changed my mind a few times regarding this question. But HF total lack of interest when he thought we had a claim / counterclaim situation + him believing Damerion instantly make me think he's scum and just faking this apathy. Cause it's the only thing me and rsoul townread him for.


What was the correct reaction? You have to see it from my perspective tbh. I spend the game looking at Damerion giving him the massive benefit of the doubt and crumbing cop all night so I'm excited that I was actually right. Then btdt claims rb on my way into work and I'm deflated af because I think it's a cc and my ego takes another hit at being wrong so I just auto vote Damerion and go to work (which is super busy) and don't care much more than that.
NAI

why cant mafia be excited to find a cop crumb? especially if one of them is Godfather...
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:15 GMT
#989
On January 25 2018 01:36 beentheredonethat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2018 23:36 justanothertownie wrote:
On January 24 2018 23:05 beentheredonethat wrote:
Which brings me back to the original "wait, D3 and HF is alive" thing which I came up with jokingly. Reading OP is for scum and chumps he says yet he's not considered to be a chump, eh?

I mean we're still lynching into uncced blue.

So? If he was real he would be rbed until all eternity now. He is literally useless now if he is the cop. Which he isn't.

There is no way this setup has both a cop and a vig.

You're just repeating what I said already . I'm a bit torn on that matter.
Slow down. Not true.

I dont want to talk anymore about this fake-cop claim.

But a dead cop is the same as a dead townie. Remember, if damerion was a "mislynch", the game would be in LYLO next cycle.

There are (perceived) valid reasons for even a town player to "fake-claim" in that scenario - unfortunately.

In the end, damerion is mafia. We know it, he knows it.
Anything he says is likely to be filled with WIFOM.

DONT DRINK THE WINE!

That Kelsier post may be the key to why he was shot night 1. Thats the type of WIFOM i prefer to talk about.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:23 GMT
#997
On January 25 2018 08:19 Holyflare wrote:
You are massively missing Kmatt's posts.
What about them?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:27 GMT
#998
The whole irony of this is:
HF lynched damdred for a reaction he believes wasnt anti-town play
Now Rels has pinged HF in the same reaction loop.

And HF doesnt want a bar of it lol.

Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:29 GMT
#1000
On January 25 2018 08:16 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2018 08:10 Mocsta wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:29 Holyflare wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:14 Rels wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:10 justanothertownie wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:09 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:06 Holyflare wrote:
On January 20 2018 05:39 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 05:24 Holyflare wrote:
This
Is
Not
Town
Damdred


No problem with lynching btdt or damdred. Now you're making noise. Didn't you dislike df before?


No I also dislike df but I won't lie and say that I've read anything he's said. Have no problem lynching him but I'm very very sure on damdred. No way he keeps both of these mafia reads for the whole game.


So why are you more fine with btdt than df? You didn't seem to be concerned at all about the btdt counterwagon and now you're yelling.

On January 20 2018 06:33 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:30 Holyflare wrote:
Hey your accusation is changing. Better get that in check. I had a bit of free time at work previously to skim and see a btdt post where he fucked off said lol mafia and went about working again. Now I'm home with more free time and am posting more.

What you're seemingly saying is that I'm doing mafia things deflecting off df when he's going up for lynch even though I'm saying I don't care if he dies. Even though I've stuck to my same scum reads and have pushed the same things.

Maybe I should be less active instead then?


No, I mean you claiming that your difference in behavior to two different counterwagons is related to work is unverifiable. Could you perhaps have only time to read one post and that explains your reaction? Sure. Could it be you are scum and we're now pushing scum so suddenly it's more important to push the counterwagon, i.e. damdred? Sure. There is no way for me to know which of the two it is.

It looks suspicious if darth foley flips scum because of that. No more, no less.

Feel free to be as active as you like. I'm done with you for now.

^^^^
Interesting observation considering the damdred/darthfoley flips.
The question is: is this coincidence and does HF just have a really bad towngame or is he simply mafia?

I changed my mind a few times regarding this question. But HF total lack of interest when he thought we had a claim / counterclaim situation + him believing Damerion instantly make me think he's scum and just faking this apathy. Cause it's the only thing me and rsoul townread him for.


What was the correct reaction? You have to see it from my perspective tbh. I spend the game looking at Damerion giving him the massive benefit of the doubt and crumbing cop all night so I'm excited that I was actually right. Then btdt claims rb on my way into work and I'm deflated af because I think it's a cc and my ego takes another hit at being wrong so I just auto vote Damerion and go to work (which is super busy) and don't care much more than that.
NAI

why cant mafia be excited to find a cop crumb? especially if one of them is Godfather...


what does this even mean? are you saying damerion is the cop?
No, im saying you are presenting biased position.

"im town, i was excited to find the cop crumb"
well, if anything, mafia are more excited is the other side of the coin.

NAI.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:29 GMT
#1001
EBWOP
On January 25 2018 08:27 Mocsta wrote:
The whole irony of this is:
HF lynched damdred for a reaction he believes wasnt anti-town play
Now Rels has pinged HF in the same reaction loop.

And HF doesnt want a bar of it lol.


Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:49 GMT
#1004
HF
I will admit my first read is compelling, and you made me nod my head.

In particular, given that this individual is self-admittedly barely reading the game: the godfather instant assertion I think is a bona fide point to raise.

The non-congruence is potentially NAI as it may be be associated with reading in pockets of time.

You have motivated me to look through his filter in more depth, bbs
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 24 2018 23:51 GMT
#1005
On January 25 2018 08:35 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 25 2018 08:29 Mocsta wrote:
On January 25 2018 08:16 Holyflare wrote:
On January 25 2018 08:10 Mocsta wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:29 Holyflare wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:14 Rels wrote:
On January 25 2018 01:10 justanothertownie wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:09 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:06 Holyflare wrote:
On January 20 2018 05:39 rsoultin wrote:
[quote]

No problem with lynching btdt or damdred. Now you're making noise. Didn't you dislike df before?


No I also dislike df but I won't lie and say that I've read anything he's said. Have no problem lynching him but I'm very very sure on damdred. No way he keeps both of these mafia reads for the whole game.


So why are you more fine with btdt than df? You didn't seem to be concerned at all about the btdt counterwagon and now you're yelling.

On January 20 2018 06:33 rsoultin wrote:
On January 20 2018 06:30 Holyflare wrote:
Hey your accusation is changing. Better get that in check. I had a bit of free time at work previously to skim and see a btdt post where he fucked off said lol mafia and went about working again. Now I'm home with more free time and am posting more.

What you're seemingly saying is that I'm doing mafia things deflecting off df when he's going up for lynch even though I'm saying I don't care if he dies. Even though I've stuck to my same scum reads and have pushed the same things.

Maybe I should be less active instead then?


No, I mean you claiming that your difference in behavior to two different counterwagons is related to work is unverifiable. Could you perhaps have only time to read one post and that explains your reaction? Sure. Could it be you are scum and we're now pushing scum so suddenly it's more important to push the counterwagon, i.e. damdred? Sure. There is no way for me to know which of the two it is.

It looks suspicious if darth foley flips scum because of that. No more, no less.

Feel free to be as active as you like. I'm done with you for now.

^^^^
Interesting observation considering the damdred/darthfoley flips.
The question is: is this coincidence and does HF just have a really bad towngame or is he simply mafia?

I changed my mind a few times regarding this question. But HF total lack of interest when he thought we had a claim / counterclaim situation + him believing Damerion instantly make me think he's scum and just faking this apathy. Cause it's the only thing me and rsoul townread him for.


What was the correct reaction? You have to see it from my perspective tbh. I spend the game looking at Damerion giving him the massive benefit of the doubt and crumbing cop all night so I'm excited that I was actually right. Then btdt claims rb on my way into work and I'm deflated af because I think it's a cc and my ego takes another hit at being wrong so I just auto vote Damerion and go to work (which is super busy) and don't care much more than that.
NAI

why cant mafia be excited to find a cop crumb? especially if one of them is Godfather...


what does this even mean? are you saying damerion is the cop?
No, im saying you are presenting biased position.

"im town, i was excited to find the cop crumb"
well, if anything, mafia are more excited is the other side of the coin.

NAI.


No, mafia is only excited if he's the actual cop. And you're saying he's not the actual cop... ergo...
I hate this saying, but at this point I will agree to disagree.

Its not worth shitting the thread up on this matter any further.
mafia are excited to find blue crumbs, and obviously also excited when the blue is manifested.
/end
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 01:12 GMT
#1006
kmatt filter is interesting to examine with hindsight of town flips.

sublte confidence when responding to reads on town players
e.g
On January 18 2018 12:49 Kmatt wrote:
[re: prplhz]
I didn't think much of the vote unless you're on some 4d-chess game and know him to be scum already.
On January 20 2018 01:51 Kmatt wrote:
Also I don't see myself voting Damdred today unless he does something seriously incriminating. [..].
This is of note as HF pointed out, because, there is nothing to represent why the reaction WAS NOT seriously incriminating.

Its also interesting that his activity spikes to peak levels following the cop play, with an intent to draw a claim.
On January 25 2018 03:45 Kmatt wrote:
lmao no. If I see a counterclaim of any other blue I would hang him on the spot. The fact that no townie is taking an easy 1-for-1 tells me that he wasn't bullshitting.

The other point of interest is the Day1 vote.
On January 20 2018 09:00 kitaman27 wrote:
Day One Final Vote Count

Damdred (4): Damerion, Holyflare, TheTwatyEvildoer, Rels, Mocsta, Rels
beentheredonethat (4): rsoultin, KelsierSC, mderg, Rels, darthfoley, prplhz, Rels
darthfoley (3): Damdred, KelsierSC, rsoultin

Not Voting (2): Kmatt, beentheredonethat

Damdred has been lynched.
After DF flipped, I thought that a scum kmatt would HAVE to vote as too risky for foley.
However, when you re-look at the order the votes came in, the line-in-the-sand was quite firmly drawn (i.e. existing vote count was committed).. so even if BTDT voted on DF, Damdred would still be lynched for getting to 4 votes first.

Its an interesting observation with hindsight now, because kmatt actually had the power to lynch btdt to save df.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 03:39 GMT
#1007
Lol, was reading a QT from one the newbies games raised prior for setup discussion.

Found this lol "also we can make the basic assumption based on our roles that there's 2 town PRs. likely 1 cop/vigi and 1 doc/vet"
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 13:42 GMT
#1010
No doubt

Thoughts on kmatt stuff above?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 14:07 GMT
#1014
Im saying our greatest responsibility is to vote

Howevee the day1 lynch would only hit darthfoley if both absentee voters placed their votes together.

If the two absent voters are town. Scum should be panicked given dameriom and dathfoley were locked on thrir targrts.

However if one of the absent voters is scum. Well. Darthfoley was never at risk of being lynched.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 14:12 GMT
#1015
On January 25 2018 22:51 justanothertownie wrote:
Not a lot. Doesn't really convince me. Sure, I don't have a good reason to think kmatt is town but this stuff does not do it for me. Especially the first part of HFs post just looks like he is trying to paint something weird as scummy when it is just weird.
i thought the first part was quite solid acutally

I dont understand town motivation for this from any perspective.

Why cant weird correlate with scummy?

The wholr point of this game is to catch people acting awkward because they are being intentionally psychopathic?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 14:13 GMT
#1016
On January 25 2018 22:53 justanothertownie wrote:
I also do not award scumpoints for defending damerion this phase and have no idea why HF does.

Not sure if this is a typo

As can be construes that you are awarsing HF toen points lol

Im pretty sure this isnt what you meant
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 14:17 GMT
#1017
Lastly.

One weird interaction in isolation may be meaningless

This is about multiple weird events and improved context given flips.

For a guy that doesnt have firm scum reads.. he sure as heck has excellent town reads through these "weird" comments and no explanation
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 14:27 GMT
#1019
Hf comment is understood now

Anything to do with damerion today is wifom
Eslecially because thread absence does not ewuate to qt absence

I think caution should br applied in particular when he also was fishing for a counter claim

Definitely not pro town mkve. Even more so with coaching factor
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 20:50 GMT
#1032
Lol
Gf or mafia

Pretty obvious choice to me...
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
January 25 2018 20:51 GMT
#1033
On January 26 2018 01:10 mderg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 26 2018 00:58 Rels wrote:
On January 26 2018 00:40 mderg wrote:
I can definitely see Hf's points

nothing that makes Kmatt particulary scum. Especially compared to Damerion's Damdred read + claim or HF's badness + cop softness during the night.

imo kmatts play is more likely to come from scum than from town. That doesn't necessarily mean that he is scum, though. I can imagine the role wifom coming from a uncertain town player.
inject more wifom

Even with coach.....
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