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Newbie Student Mafia XXIII - Page 60

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Skynx
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
Turkey7150 Posts
October 01 2016 17:43 GMT
#1181
Parking on Stut. I like the TT case on Scott, Xat not much changes, Dan is still very weak.

Stutters still worst here.
"When seagulls follow the troller, it is because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea. Thank you very much" - King Cantona | STX 4 eva
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 01 2016 18:11 GMT
#1182
Stutters, are you around? It'd be for the best if you could do something yourself.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
October 01 2016 18:15 GMT
#1183
Well TT, let's see what you got:

My replies in bold

On October 01 2016 19:49 Tictock wrote:
The Case on Scott


Just for a change of pace and to keep this post from getting unmanageable I'm going to link to posts rather than quote them directly, at least for the most part.

Regarding Lunatic:
Feel like I should just get the done first and get it out of the way.

Scott first mentions Lunatic in #380 though he is pretty much just mirroring what has already been said about Lunatic. In the very next post Scott throws out doubts because nobody is defending Lunatic.

Last we get #518 which is when Scott decided to vote for Lunatic. To me this post reads as though Scott is reluctant to lynch Lunatic, but has no better alternatives (this will get into my next point).

So Scott parroted the concerns people had with Lunatic, threw out doubts, then voted Lunatic when there was really no other option. Also worth noting that after Scott posts #380 he has nothing to say about any other reads besides a post responding to stutters where he concludes SEQ was just under a null read.

So this doesn't make me mafia though - You just all think I rode the phat bus. Hey I was worried there was no one defending Luna, like I've mentioned multiple times. When no one defends, OFTEN it's a townie. Luna's screw up was so bad though.

D1 Read's and Progression:
Not quite the same as the last point, but related.

I pointed out that Scott didn't really talk about his reads after #380, but before that he posted #307 where he townreads Calix and Rels, and scumreads Jealous and Dane.

The problem here is that Scott gives no real indication of why he thinks they are scum, and these reads basically disappear after #380. In fact both Jealous and Dane later show up in #661 as townreads with no real mention of them in between.

So basically besides what I already talked about with Lunatic, Scott has no read progression at all with his D1 reads.

EoN2 Reads List:
Reviewing Scotts filter I realized that his reads posted in #1076 don't really make sense given his progression.

THESE ARE ALMOST THE SAME FUCKING READS YOU HAVE! SO WHY AM I MAFIA?


The biggest thing is the read on Xata, Scott had Xata as a townread in #661 and the only post relating to Xata I could find is Scott reacting to Xata's big "Possible teams" post. Problem is the read shift to scum here seems a bit exaggerated,
Show nested quote +
Guy is pretty defensive, doesn't like to give up information unless forced (Don't give town a damn thing style) - and feel like he's trying to mislynch Skynx, since I'm either being really pocketed or he's town. He also in his "scum team" and other posts seem to leave me as low hanging fruit.


I'm not gunna dig into this read much, besides note that it's odd that Scott accuses Xata of trying to mislynch Skynx. I will also make note for my next point that based on this reads list Xata is Scott's strongest scum read.

Push on Stutters today:
As I said before this was what first got me reconsidering my read on Scott.

So coming into today Scott and I apparently have very similar reads and Scott asks me,
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2016 07:02 scott31337 wrote:
A'ight. What do you think TT? Put some pressure on Xata? Wait for stutters to shit out some info? What do you think?

Which seems fine and resonable so I reply that pushing stutters is kinda pointless and ask him to talk to me about Xata. Scott still never responded to this.

Instead Scott "starts to see the light" and makes the push on Stutters. This bothers me not just because scott asked my opinion and this was the opposite of it, but because Stutters is already super-low hanging fruit that is widely scumread. What really makes this push unlikely to come from town imo is just how bad the points Scott brought up where. The comment stutters made about playing with Xata in the past is so NAI I'm amazed Scott even tried to make a post about it (I suspect that post was made to give screenshots and make it look like scott was trying to dig into things). The stuff about the past game where Super vigged Stutters had no real connection to this game since Super townread Stutters and when I spent 5 min glancing at Stutters filter that game I thought it was pretty clear the play we see from Stutters this game is very different from that scumgame.

Basically neither point Scott makes should suggest Stutters is scum, and reviewing the same stuff Scott did I came to the opposite conclusion.

Whats amazing is that even when I say we aren't lynching Stutters and that I want to lynch Scott, here is his response.
Show nested quote +
On October 01 2016 06:41 scott31337 wrote:
If you all think Stutters is town and do not want to lynch him - it's fine. Him and Xatalos make the most sense to me though.

Seeing TicTock go after me makes me sad though - We've been having in sync thoughts and I guess cuz I had a few beers and things started to make more sense now he thinks I am mafia. But I'm pretty sure he's town. I don't why this has happened (his 180) - I guess cause of my base case on Stutters? It was more that he hasn't done shit - I know the mafia game link was weak.

I'll be back and forth - probably going out to eat though. Going to take it pretty easy today, I have a test tomorrow to take and I want a clear mind for it. Speaking of, I won't be here for deadline.


No shits given if we don't lynch Stutters, no effort to push Xata, zero effort to read Xata better or read anyone else for that matter. Even admits his own point on Stutters was weak.

Misc:

Just a couple things I noticed that bug me.

Show nested quote +
On September 27 2016 07:04 scott31337 wrote:
On September 26 2016 23:11 Superbia wrote:
Boy I do hope scum doesn't figure out I'm a PR.


Some one that may have been around after this post? Hmmm
Could be lurkers too, I shouldn't think too much of it.


Scott has pushed this a couple times as to why Super got killed. Scum didn't buy that post, nobody ever got fooled by that post. Even joking around I'm not sure why Scott would repeat this, but he did.

Show nested quote +
On September 30 2016 07:03 scott31337 wrote:
Also if there's a cop - remember there's a miller and a godfather, your checks can mean nothing.


Who wants to bet Scott is the goon? Lol.

Seriously though, this struck me as odd. I don't know why would town think to post this, but obv scum worried about getting checked would benefit from reminding any cop that there is some hate on his checks.




I think that about covers it. I've got a bit more to say as I've got a pretty good running theory about who the last scum is as well, but I'll go ahead and save that for now kus it might get confusing.


I'm VT. This will be my last defending post. LIKE I POSTED YESTERDAY, I have a test to take in an hour. Go ahead and lynch me. Go ahead and say "He would've defeneded more."
I don't have time to. I need a calm mind for my test, and this will not help.
I think town is losing traction but do a lot of posting and we can get this game back.

I love how I got the same reads as TT and post the same fucking reads 30 seconds later but I'm fucking mafia.

GLHF
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 01 2016 18:21 GMT
#1184
Was there only one comment on Tictock's case or did I miss something?
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
DanelerH
Profile Joined August 2016
96 Posts
October 01 2016 18:23 GMT
#1185
On October 02 2016 03:21 Xatalos wrote:
Was there only one comment on Tictock's case or did I miss something?


I think there were two: the first was after the Lunatic section and the second was after the reads section.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 01 2016 18:30 GMT
#1186
Indeed.

Well, it wasn't really about what your reads were at that point, scott, but how they changed over time. Even if you have the same reads as someone, it doesn't mean you're the same alignment, especially if the path you took to arrive at those reads doesn't make sense.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
LightningStrike
Profile Joined February 2011
United States14276 Posts
October 01 2016 18:38 GMT
#1187
Day 3 Vote Count

Stutters695 (4: scott31337, ptmc, Calix, Skynx
Scott31337 (2): Tictock, Xatalos
Skynx (0): Xatalos
Xatalos (0): scott31337


Not Voting (3): Stutters695, Jealous, DanelerH
At the current vote count, Stutters695 is slated to be lynched.
You have to vote here. Voting is mandatory!

May the next light shine/Former #1 Alliance LoL fan/ Current Teamliquid LoL Fan
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
October 01 2016 18:43 GMT
#1188
On October 02 2016 01:33 Xatalos wrote:
Hm, is anyone else around?

I hope people will see the light about scott so that I won't have to tell my other reasoning on stutters. It would almost certainly be detrimental if I had to do that.


I'm also totally down for a Xat lynch, this shit is so bad. Why the fuck would you continue to dangle and hold back info like this is beyond me, and especially at this point in the day.

Besides it's not like you've done anything today Xat.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
October 01 2016 18:52 GMT
#1189
Ah Scott don't be like that man, it's a game.

I'm changing my mind here anyways, I'm trying too hard to look for the outside chance when we have plenty of mislynches left to do this properly.

Stutters needs to go. I think he actually has a chance to flip town, but he has to go since he has shown no interest in playing the game.

We can deal with Scott vs Xata tomorrow when more people are around and active anyways. Besides Scott's outburst kinda makes me think he's town.

Xata is actually who I should be pushing kus I really really think he is scum at this point, but I'm too lazy at this point to make another case. Also just seems like today is a bad day to do much at EoD with people not really around.

So safety lynch on Stutters. Kus I think we would all sorta hate ourselves if he turns out to be scum and let him live any longer.

##Vote: Stutters
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
October 01 2016 18:54 GMT
#1190
Also sorta spite for Xata trying to make this "I've got info that proves he's town but I don't wanna say it yet" shit.
I can take that responsibility.
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
October 01 2016 19:26 GMT
#1191
I don't feel so hot and can't sleep so haven't read the chat properly.

Skimmed the Scott case and I think Stutters is the better option, partly because I think he's scummier than Scott, partly because of policy and a little bit because I'd rather give Scott a better shot to defend himself if possible. I don't think his response is worth noting rn because he seems frustrated due to his RL commitments not game stuff. Stutters has had plenty of opportunities and he's ignored all of them.
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
October 01 2016 19:30 GMT
#1192
I'm town guys. I truly am sorry for not being more active.

Anyway, once I flip town:

Lynch Scott. Last scum is hiding somewhere between Skynx, ptmc, TT and jealous. I'll try to read them before I get lynched.

Don't lynch Xata tomorrow.

##vote: scott31337
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
October 01 2016 19:31 GMT
#1193
Daneler is just sitting on the sidelines and Xatalos being a smug bastard with his SECRET TOWN-READ GUISE is well, smug. Never have I related to a post as hard as #1190.

Town needs to start fucking doing shit. Picked the wrong time to say that cos it's the weekend but half the players are just popping in with some shitty posts and AFKing again.
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
October 01 2016 19:37 GMT
#1194
Okay so Stutters' vote is self-preservation so NAI but I find it super-interesting that we have two closely contested trains for the first time this game.

This isn't going anywhere as I don't know what to make of it right now but 100% worth remembering for later.
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
October 01 2016 19:46 GMT
#1195
Completely forgot Dan as well.

Anyway, once you guys see I'm town, go back and look at people's reads over me. Do they flow logically from a town perspective?

Anyway Dan's case on me is terrible. Luna probably picked me because it's a simple meta read to see I'm town and I'm a decent person too buddy up to because my reads are ass but I go hard when I think I've caught scum. Outside of that, he hasn't done much of anything.

Definitely deserves a closer look.
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
October 01 2016 19:53 GMT
#1196
Stutters, what do you make of Daneler's push on Lunatic?

I thought the initial case was crap, his follow-up was decent and then he kind of dropped off after that.

In fact, how much have you read up on anyway?
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 01 2016 19:58 GMT
#1197
On October 02 2016 04:30 Stutters695 wrote:
I'm town guys. I truly am sorry for not being more active.

Anyway, once I flip town:

Lynch Scott. Last scum is hiding somewhere between Skynx, ptmc, TT and jealous. I'll try to read them before I get lynched.

Don't lynch Xata tomorrow.

##vote: scott31337


Please start shooting townie rainbows all over me to A) prevent me from having to do something possibly stupid if you're town and especially to B) make sure you're actually town and I'm not doing something truly terrible. If you can do that, that would be the absolute best scenario.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
October 01 2016 20:01 GMT
#1198
On October 02 2016 04:53 Calix wrote:
Stutters, what do you make of Daneler's push on Lunatic?

I thought the initial case was crap, his follow-up was decent and then he kind of dropped off after that.

In fact, how much have you read up on anyway?

I've read everything, just haven't posted a lot.

He jumped on the already forming wagon from Rels and Calix. Outside of his terrible associative case on me, he hasn't really done anything. I'd almost rather him over Scott after rereading but living is kind of key so I'll take what I can get.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
October 01 2016 20:01 GMT
#1199
On October 02 2016 03:54 Tictock wrote:
Also sorta spite for Xata trying to make this "I've got info that proves he's town but I don't wanna say it yet" shit.


[image loading]
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
October 01 2016 20:01 GMT
#1200
On October 02 2016 04:58 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 02 2016 04:30 Stutters695 wrote:
I'm town guys. I truly am sorry for not being more active.

Anyway, once I flip town:

Lynch Scott. Last scum is hiding somewhere between Skynx, ptmc, TT and jealous. I'll try to read them before I get lynched.

Don't lynch Xata tomorrow.

##vote: scott31337


Please start shooting townie rainbows all over me to A) prevent me from having to do something possibly stupid if you're town and especially to B) make sure you're actually town and I'm not doing something truly terrible. If you can do that, that would be the absolute best scenario.


Just don't lol. It's ok if I die.
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