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Newbie Student Mafia XVII: Fullmetal Edition - Page 11

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disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 01:45 GMT
#1545
On November 21 2015 10:39 The Shining wrote:
Srsly tho, this game shouldn't be this hard after a scumflip.


This. After the flip I was like: "Fuck yeah! Scum can basically go and concede now!"
Now I am kinda confused. Breshke did a good job not giving us much to work on...
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 01:58 GMT
#1548
On November 21 2015 10:50 Damdred wrote:
I will give an updated list once I get home but...the game is hard and I feel waffly


Yeah. It is 3am here, so I will probably go to bed very soon. Will try to come up with some updated stuff tomorrow afternoon. Tomorrow I won't be around for EoN. Saturday evening and I actually have plans. Will probably be around until like 2h before EoN and back later. Slight chance of phone posts and probably won't be able to resist checking who got shot.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 15:04 GMT
#1555
Bah, Totally overslept, which leaves with less time than expected b4 I'll go out.
Kinda worried that Onegu hasn't done anything yet like 12hours after he replaced in, but I don't remember where his timezone puts him.
So the Eversince/Onegu slot remains an enigma.

Will try to put out some current reads.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 15:18 GMT
#1556
Oh, Trfel: when you are back I would be greatly interested in who you would lynch and how your PoE looks like.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 15:35 GMT
#1557
Random thought of fun: What if Breshke was trying to roleplay? He got sloth after all. No wonder he couldn't bother to show up.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 15:46 GMT
#1558
currently: not interested in lynching

Damdred uncc blue. Damdred logic is stronk.
MoosyDoosy interested in seeing what he does when he comes back. uncc blue.
disformation my role pm says town.

The Shining Somewhat biased because activity. Didn't like his EoD1 post, but we talked about that a bit D2 and I agreed that most of it was fair enough after he explained it a bit. Looks a bit more active and investigating this night, motivation spur from town lynching the roleblocker I think. Currently town lean.
NocturneMage Him being scum is pretty tinfoil to me. If he is scum he would have improved his scum game by like 2000% since NSM13. He is also very active and trying to figure out/look at things from different angles. That being said I will probably read his filter later when I am back, just to make sure nothing slipped through my fingers.

wtf bananaboat

Onegu I hope I don't need to explain this one.
FF If he wants to, he can do very good posts (eg the one on breshke). It is a bit troublesome that he only did so after pressure was applied to him. But I have seen other town act this way (sicklucker in nsm10 day 2).
ritoky The tone says town, but I wish he had a bit more impact this game and his stuff on FF D2 seems questionable.
Trfel Either town with a bad day or suicidal scum. Looking forward to see what he brings when he returns.

Would still shoot Onegu with the hypothetical gun. :p
Will look at FF, ritoky, Trfel and NM filters again...
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 15:56 GMT
#1559
On November 21 2015 10:27 The Shining wrote:
Mmmmm. If only you weren't so aware of your own meta >.< it really throws me off. Plus, not having a past scum game to refer to.

Those are pretty early solid votes on Bresh, though...


I am not sure if I am able to replicate my meta and the waffling in situations where I actually have perfect information. scumformation or disformafia could be really awesome if manage to get it right, though.
I was actually hoping to roll scum and find out this game, but I got VT.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 16:59 GMT
#1562
On November 22 2015 01:44 Trfel wrote:
Hi.

I've got plans for today. If scum shoots me, we'll all be super happy anyway.

I guess Damdred is just town. Which leaves me to a POE list of Fecalfeast, disformation, and Onegu.

There's quite likely at least one hole in my POE list, some of the points raised against ritoky were pretty good.

I'll take a look this evening, hopefully.


Yeah, I too feel like I have overlooked something somewhere. But currently I am not seeing it.

@MD:
If you had a second shot, who would you shoot right now?
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 17:13 GMT
#1564
On November 22 2015 02:10 Damdred wrote:
I'm here but will be afkish until after deadline tbh.

if I was scum I would shoot me today then finish me tommorow so I wasn't in lylo with them!

LOL

Mages is a bit odd, his play in general has been pretty towny looking. But the eod is a bit odd, he did start actually pushing trfel on a counter wagon even though I suggested it but he didn't really push that hard either.

Maybe because I was pushing against a trfel lynch. There could be something there but I need to reread him again.

ALSO town points for anyone who will do leg work to look who auto accepted my claim as vet, ignored it and those who were like has to be not true.


YOUR claim as vet or your slots claim as a vet? Got like 30-40mins before I go, might manage that.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 17:15 GMT
#1565
Well your slots claim makes more sense to me. Let us see if I can get it done.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 17:35 GMT
#1566
1) Farah hard claiming blue: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/497023-newbie-student-mafia-xvii-fullmetal-edition?page=53#1045


NM:
"This doesn't feel right." http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/497023-newbie-student-mafia-xvii-fullmetal-edition?page=53#1049
On November 19 2015 07:00 NocturneMage wrote:
given timing, I think she's trying to draw out a blue folks. This is something I learnt in newbie 13/14 anyhow. Discuss.

On November 19 2015 08:07 NocturneMage wrote:
on mobile. this is beyond irritating.

Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:38 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Read what I wrote and apply it. Information is king withholding information when you are a glorified vt now is anti-town especially the leathery out wait the more mafia can mess with town.


no. this is not entirely true. I learnt in nsm14 (the host in the qt mentioned this, unless people here want to say rsoultin is a bad player but somehow I don't think that's the case???) that wifom analysis is powerful. if you are scum and you find a blue, it gives it an easier way for scum to hide because killing blues generally means there's no excuse for certain people to live or not.

additionally the real vet isn't going to claim with 46 hours left in the cycle, piss off, come back and keep saying never lynch an uncounterclaimed blue. you aren't finding scum and your methods don't push town agenda forward in any form.

additionally in a best case scenario town can find the roleblocker first and an unclaimed veteran represents currently a 14% chance of stopping kp.

unless I've fucked up analysis - I find no town motivation for the way you've approached this. I find enough justification for lynching you.

answer me this farah - why did you claim with 46 hours left (an hour ago) in the cycle and why aren't you finding scum?

in your method you wanted to know fecalfeast was vig or not, he said he wasn't. so where does that get you? what is your purpose?

you aren't saying dick all on that.

On November 19 2015 08:39 NocturneMage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 08:33 Fecalfeast wrote:
Ritoky is correct. Even if the claim feels like buttcheeks it's still uncc'd


The only other thing I can think of is wait one cycle and if she is still alive lynch her.

I don't understand how or why she isn't moving forward in her world view.

Anyways looking at other people in the meantime since we don't win until all three are dead.

##unvote

fuck this is irritating.




ritoky:
On November 19 2015 07:02 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:00 The Shining wrote:
On November 19 2015 06:51 NocturneMage wrote:
On November 19 2015 06:43 Breshke wrote:
On November 19 2015 06:24 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Everyone except Ritoky, Eversince and FecalFeast have entered the thread at this point.

You claim your shot as soon as you can as vig so that mafia can't create confusion later on with claiming the shot.

We can eliminate Ritoky from the list of consideration because he hard town read VE throughout the day even if he dropped a bit due to inactivity.

Eversince hasn't been here and didn't respond during the night which makes her highly unlikely to be the vigilante

FecalFeast is the best candidate left currently.


Sorry not sure how I missed this.

I don't think the vigi has to claim straight away but its not worth discussing and i can see why you would think that.


I do not like that post from Farah at all. This is day 2, not mylo.

I might be somewhat new here, but from all the games I've obsed, I can think of a few decent reasons for the vig waiting to claim. I can't see any town motivation personally for trying to openly out the vig or any blue role for that matter.

The Eversince comment is a bad one because you don't know for sure if she's reading and just choosing not to post for medical/whatever and may have just slipped a PM. Who knows.

The ritoky comment is bad in the event someone tinfoiled (is that the right English word) geript and scum went bluehunting on VE, which would implicate a veteran, someone who might know VE's play to take a gander on him. You cannot eliminate that possibility.


The ritoky comment is good, IMO, because he hard towned both VE and geript iirc. So why would he vig either of them? And his last post saying vigging either was dumb makes it moot since its pretty obvs he isn't the Vig then


except it implies she knows VE was the vigi shot and not geript. TMI as fuck.

On November 19 2015 07:06 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:00 NocturneMage wrote:
given timing, I think she's trying to draw out a blue folks. This is something I learnt in newbie 13/14 anyhow. Discuss.


it doesn't make a whole lot of sense. if she's the vigi there's no point to say anything but "i'm the vigi". if she is the doctor she just signed her death warrant. if she's veteran there's a guaranteed roleblocker and in most setups that counters vet protection so she is dead anyway unless we lynch exactly the RB today. if she's mafia being obtuse about it is less encouraging of a cc from blues, but she isn't an auto-lynch atm so claiming this early is.....idk it all just confuses me.

On November 19 2015 07:12 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 06:13 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Never killing me


eh she might be blue.....

On November 19 2015 07:13 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:10 Trfel wrote:
The fact that she claimed, but didn't bother going through MoosyDoosy's case point by point is really, really suspicious.

I know I'm not the only one who asked for that.

Would FarahBlackwing fakeclaim here as town? I would think not, but am I wrong?


she is a new player, they are more prone to get ants in their pants and claim stupidly or too early than to make a fake claim that they know will get them into a screaming match w/ 40+ hours left in the day....unless you're me and fake claim cop your 2nd game ever.

On November 19 2015 08:32 ritoky wrote:
the only way i am lynching farah today is if someone cc's her or i hard read someone as doctor. there's literally no other reason to lynch her.




trfel
On November 19 2015 07:10 Trfel wrote:
The fact that she claimed, but didn't bother going through MoosyDoosy's case point by point is really, really suspicious.

I know I'm not the only one who asked for that.

Would FarahBlackwing fakeclaim here as town? I would think not, but am I wrong?

On November 19 2015 07:14 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 08:38 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Then your vote where your idea is instead of doing the opposite of what you said you would do.

And not sure what you are referring to with the like Damdred thing and putting my gender in quotation marks.

I really do not care if I am eliminated at this stage.
I can't see this coming from a person who would fakeclaim here as town. That settles that.

On November 19 2015 07:45 Trfel wrote:
Ugh, I hate being sick, it makes it so hard for me to think T.T

I'm really, really considering lynching FarahBlackwing here.

The only reason for her to claim this early is that she doesn't have enough time to properly defend herself.
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 06:53 FarahBlackwing wrote:
I'll head this off now probably not enough time to fight off a snowball.

Hard claiming blue.
So she's really busy, but she spent time trying to guess who the vigilante is (of all things) instead of responding to the case? Instead of trying to find mafia?
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:38 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Read what I wrote and apply it. Information is king withholding information when you are a glorified vt now is anti-town especially the leathery out wait the more mafia can mess with town.
This is in no way a justification for the time spent.

To me, it almost feels like FarahBlackwing's attempts to find the vigilante were to figure out what the thread influence would look like post-claim, which is useful to know if she's mafia. Especially if she's mafia trying to do something like fakeclaim.

Fecalfeast doesn't have a large amount of thread presence, and imagining for a moment that he became confirmed town by claiming vigilante, I don't think that much would change. Meaning that mafia thread influence would be maximized, encouraging a fakeclaim.

On November 19 2015 08:25 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 08:23 FarahBlackwing wrote:
##unvote
##Vote farahblackwing


Lets ride
Sure.

##vote FarahBlackwing

On November 19 2015 08:38 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 08:33 Fecalfeast wrote:
Ritoky is correct. Even if the claim feels like buttcheeks it's still uncc'd
But when it's this bad? And when the person claiming is being this malicious?

And right after we saw MoosyDoosy avoid a lynch through martyring?

This simply isn't town play. Giving up a power role for this is not a trade that should even need to happen.




The Shining
On November 19 2015 07:11 The Shining wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:02 NocturneMage wrote:
wait he hard townread both? interesting, I stand corrected on that then.


Ya in his post trashing my EoD post he said him geript and you were all town and "everyone know this" implying a hard townread. He also had geript on a town list before then.

But it is interesting that Farrah knows VE was the Vig shot and hard claimed blue. If she were the Vig I don't think she'd be speculating on who the vig is, unless like NM said it was for a gotcha! Cc play. But its too early in the day and risky for it to be a scum play to try and save herself or draw out a blue. Idk I'm confused on this one.



disformation
On November 19 2015 07:45 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 07:44 ritoky wrote:
On November 19 2015 07:38 Fecalfeast wrote:
On November 19 2015 06:20 FarahBlackwing wrote:
I'm pretty sure fecal is the vig which makes the game pretty easy.

I'm catching up sorry I had a lot of business to take care of today.

I am not the vig


can you make me fall in love with you today. i gave you a town pass cuz you courted me and were funny, but you're starting to make your way toward my PoE at a quicker and quicker rate. so plz defecate town rainbows if you're town.


Since farah is currently an uncced blue, I would very much like this, too.

On November 19 2015 10:44 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 10:37 Trfel wrote:
How did you arrive at FarahBlackwing being town?


tinfoil + uncced blue

Other great theories:
She and MD are a scumteam and are competing on how hard they bullshit town into oblivion.

On November 19 2015 10:48 disformation wrote:
Oh, crap.
What if eversince is the real vet and not around to cc?

Also going to stop ranting and grasping at straws like a madmen. Sry for cluttering up the thread...




MD
On November 19 2015 08:19 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Okay Farah is scum lmao. There's little reason to believe her claim. She literally acted scummy as fuck during N1. Like what point is there in doing that as veteran? Best case scenario she's kept around and her role is useless. Worst case scenario vigi shoots her and both roles are wasted. Like hello?

On November 19 2015 08:23 MoosyDoosy wrote:
I'm going to look into Breshke and Trfel. Farah is still scummy as fuck but it would be best to keep her around for one more day and see what she does especially if she's un cc'd.

On November 19 2015 08:25 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 08:23 The Shining wrote:
On November 19 2015 08:23 FarahBlackwing wrote:
##unvote
##Vote farahblackwing


Lets ride


Moosy pt2?

No one can Moosy like me. XD She's cute but I can understand why she did what she did if she's actually town.

@FarahBlackwing, answer this one question and I decide whether I want you dead today or not. Why did you claim this early?

On November 19 2015 08:27 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 08:26 Fecalfeast wrote:
Why were you okay with being killed day 1 as vet, farah?

Yeah, this is the biggest problem as I pointed out. She acted so fucking scummy that her role was essentially useless.

On November 19 2015 08:28 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 19 2015 08:27 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Either lynch me or believe me I will be as obstinate as possible until one or the other happens.

This is coming from the player that says I play like shit in games I sign up for lmao. Oh wellz, my vote's staying where it is.



FF:
On November 19 2015 08:33 Fecalfeast wrote:
Ritoky is correct. Even if the claim feels like buttcheeks it's still uncc'd



On November 19 2015 12:40 Tictock wrote:
Effective immediately, FarahBlackwing will be replaced by Damdred


Can do this part when I am back at home later.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 17:40 GMT
#1567
NM does't believe the claim but backs off after a while.
ritoky is a bit sceptical but arrives at the conclusion that the claim is legit.
trefel goes from "nah this is not a fakeclaim" to "lynch with fire"
The Shining I don't know.
disformation well she is uncc
MD "lynch with fire"
FF well she is uncc

Will later look at what happens after Damdred comes in and stays with the claim
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 17:41 GMT
#1568
If mafia shoots me (lol), you will have to do the legwork yourselves.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 21 2015 18:50 GMT
#1569
phone post:
random thought: where is NM at? i dont remember him posting this night at all...
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 22 2015 00:17 GMT
#1609
On November 22 2015 04:18 NocturneMage wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2015 05:58 disformation wrote:
On November 20 2015 11:13 ritoky wrote:
pretty good post by trfel about ff. + trfel angry might mean trfel the town out of trfel/breshke and i was just wrong.

pretty good post by ff about breshke. hate that it took a good case on him to prompt it though.



On November 20 2015 14:17 ritoky wrote:
it still really irks me that ff only did something after he got cased.

random thought: if breshke is mafia, ff can still easily be with him.


On November 20 2015 14:25 ritoky wrote:
##vote: breshke

also in support of a shining or ever lynch. might be convinced of an ff lynch.


Why is he voting Breshke together with FF who he suspects and kinda wants to lynch, too?
And why is he suggesting to lynch two ppl who are very afk at that time?


Show nested quote +
On November 21 2015 05:41 The Shining wrote:
Yes. And rits d1 votes were me>Moosy>Scott. Im town, Moosy is unccd vig, scott flipped town. If he was suspicious of me enough to vote me, he should've been more worried about me voting Scott with him instead of realizing Scott was town right at deadline because of his post 3 mins before EoD.

And the refusal to evaluate. And his always softing me but no push or outright reasoning for why I'm scum.

I want to lynch ritoky.


Confirming you are basically saying that ritoky is suspicious for voting with his scumreads on other people? Makes sense. I did not think too much of him initially because of all the vote switching he did (and others like Farah I think switched multiple times) but I'd have to take a closer look at his filter.


Correct.

Will answers Damdred's question next and then finish up the legwork from earlier.
If there are any other questions: I am kinda around, response times might be low cause I'm writing walls.

Also: GG sweetheart, I'll miss ya.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 22 2015 00:20 GMT
#1610
Damdred you still around? Was the legwork from earlier what you were looking for? Any conclusions from that?
I found Trfel going from "Nah this is not a fake claim" "to lets lynch her" a bit confusing after farah's claim.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 22 2015 00:44 GMT
#1614
On November 22 2015 09:28 Damdred wrote:
This whole game makes me want to lynch ff and trfel sorta. Its hard


I currently feel like Trfel has pulled so many strange plays, I won't be able to figure out his alignment unless he flips...

Current PoE is:

Trfel, FF, ritoky, Onegu

Unless The Shining or NM have played a very good game and managed to pull some wool over my eyes. Will probably read their filters again tomorrow to make sure.

Could the game be stupid and really simple with a Breshke/Trfel/Onegu team?
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 22 2015 00:53 GMT
#1616
On November 22 2015 09:46 Fecalfeast wrote:
I'm fine sacrificing myself to the dark gods, as I said. I'd again like to kill me before we are in mylo if we go the PoE route though.


Ugh, I don't know. Your tone and my gut say that I do not want to lynch you. But I do not have much else to go one besides your stuff on Breshke, which I like, too.
And when I look at Trfel all I am seeing is wtf bananaboat.

Also what happened to the "yo mafia you don't want to leave me alive" stuff?

I would very much like it, if you had it in you to do a huge town-rainbow-dump into the thread.^^
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 22 2015 00:55 GMT
#1618
FYI: Also kinda tired, so the other posts I promised will take a bit.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 22 2015 01:00 GMT
#1621
On November 22 2015 09:55 Fecalfeast wrote:
fiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiine

uuuuuuuuuuuuuuggggggggggggghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh


My, what a fine sample! *Looks at it through a magnifying glass usually reserved for the finest of diamonds*
At least you make me laugh. <3
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