TL Mafia LXXII: Gaiden 2 - Page 6
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Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
On August 30 2015 12:44 Hopeless1der wrote: 1. The question isn't what I think of rsoultin's play/reads, the question is what justanothertownie thinks of rsoultin's play and reads.Sounds like you think rsoultin is/was full of shit. Besides her considering you scum, what do you disagree with and why? If you can't sufficiently answer this then you have no right to complain about how or where jat gets his reads from and you should be ashamed of yourself for raising a useless point (or should be scum). Jat, I'll leave it to you to actually answer this question though I suspect it's fairly straightforward. I'm glad that of all the things you could do, you chose to comment on something that I said is probably not significant. For your information, I left that there in case someone did find it significant, I don't care if you find it meaningless. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
Vivax's scumread of me (Trfel) + Show Spoiler + On August 27 2015 18:33 Vivax wrote: Both of these things are indicative of me being mafia. But why isn't he pushing me as mafia at this point?I'm still trying to figure out if he's just faking things really really badly or pretending to be dumb on purpose. On August 28 2015 04:37 Vivax wrote: Why does he mention Palmar's townread on me in this post? Does he not want to address me with his scumread? He has enough information to be actually pushing me here. It feels like he is being aggressive for the purpose of being aggressive here, not actually trying to push a scumread.I don't really feel this jat wagon, plus it's his birthday. His list of lynchables is pretty much exactly where I'm at (Trfel/WoS/Mr CC), rest feels like policy (I would add BF to that) but that's never a bad shot on D1. What's alarming is that the leaders of Jat's wagon aren't really here to reconsider with all this new information, I'm especially expecting Palmar to reconsider things, given marv's timing of the vote I'd expect him to be quite sure about his decision already, so I'm curious on that front too. I feel like Trfel has been really stiff in his play so far, contrary to the things he did as town like claiming scum at SoD he has been feeling very artificial this game. Palmar for some reason believes he's town, I want to see it. ##Vote Trfel The funny thing is that despite always making more reasons to lynch me, he doesn't really push me all that much. Not when it matters. Not at all on Day 2. He's just content with lynching Mr. Cheesecake (more on this later). Vivax's read progression on boxerfred + Show Spoiler + On August 28 2015 04:37 Vivax wrote: Boxerfred is a policy lynch.I don't really feel this jat wagon, plus it's his birthday. His list of lynchables is pretty much exactly where I'm at (Trfel/WoS/Mr CC), rest feels like policy (I would add BF to that) but that's never a bad shot on D1. The only post that boxerfred makes after this (in the thread) is this one:After this post, Vivax tries to get support for lynching me. On August 28 2015 05:33 Vivax wrote: He basically says that boxerfred and Hopeless1der are random lynches, and that he doesn't want to take them.Do explain in detail, we need to consolidate. Can I warm you up for a Trfel lynch? BF and hopeless feel more craphshooty than him. On August 28 2015 06:21 Vivax wrote: And now he says that boxerfred ninjavoting makes him mafia. This is where Vivax's scumread completely breaks down. Boxerfred's filter is here. He said that he didn't have time to play until tomorrow, voted on the biggest wagon because he got a PM that told him that he needed to vote, and that he isn't sorry. Vivax feels that this is not alignment indicative. However, why is ninja voting alignment indicative at all? It's not. Had he remembered to vote the first time, he wouldn't ninja vote at all. As it is, if he is town, he gets yet another PM from the host, which likely makes him go and actually vote. Ninja voting here fits exactly with boxerfred's play so far from a town perspective, and logically is no scummier than anything boxerfred has already done, which Vivax doesn't want to lynch him for.Boxer isn't voting and if he ninjavotes he's an easy catch on D2. Then boxerfred votes in the voting thread, and Vivax pushes him. On August 28 2015 06:22 Vivax wrote: Yeah I'm voting boxerfred for the ninja now On August 28 2015 06:25 Vivax wrote: Also the fact he remains silent with all these votes on him feels very reassuring. Vivax no longer wants to vote for me (his strongest scumread for basically all of the day) to vote for boxerfred. However, even with the lynch being close between boxerfred and Hopeless1der, Vivax doesn't push boxerfred at all. He's still around, just seemingly not caring about the lynch. I do not understand how town!Vivax can have a strong scumread on me, be null on boxerfred, and then when boxerfred ninja votes (which is not alignment indicative, as previously demonstrated), Vivax decides to vote for boxerfred even when someone else is trying to get a wagon on me and then not seem to care if boxerfred is lynched over Hopeless1der or not. Other Things + Show Spoiler + I feel like VIvax is more invested in being townread than pushing for the lynches that he wants. He plays at the start of the game, but once he starts getting townread he lets up the pressure on me (a relatively hard target) and lynches boxerfred instead (a relatively easy target), despite what his posts would have had you expect. Then on Day 2, his posting drops significantly and he easily goes along with the Mr. Cheesecake wagon. With the thread mostly inactive (marvellosity, justanothertownie, and Palmar busy on the weekend, WaveofShadow and rsoultin night killed) and the lynch not decided, I would expect town!Vivax to start being more active and leading the thread. He has scumreads and loves to lead town when he's needed to do so. But he's willing to relax and not do anything. I think that Vivax is capable of this play as mafia, and I think that his play is mafia-motivated. I don't see desire to lead the thread and push his preferred lynches. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
Change of opinion on early argument between justanothertownie and rsoultin/Palmar about Trfel + Show Spoiler + On August 26 2015 20:26 KelsierSC wrote: So marvellosity is a point of contention, and I (Trfel) was responding to a comment that someone else made, so my question isn't strange.VE made the point about marv playing like palmar and trefl was questioning him plus marv was a point of contention so the question isn't really that strange. On August 26 2015 20:33 KelsierSC wrote: But maybe it's interesting? What?mhmm maybe...i'd be interested to see what trefl says to you being interested in the post he made about being interested On August 26 2015 22:02 KelsierSC wrote: And he's withholding judgement until I explain it, when he's already provided a perfectly reasonable explanation himself? Especially when he already made a townread on me? I don't understand why he's waiting for this, it feels like a way to not fully commit to his initial townread of me.i'm probably going to see the justification before i judge it. On August 26 2015 23:50 KelsierSC wrote: Wait, what? Look at the nested quote from justanothertownie, this read makes no sense. Justanothertownie says that there hasn't been anything else interesting, but KelsierSC is saying that things have moved on and asking for other reads. Justanothertownie is calling his early question to me the best observation of the game, while KelsierSC is townreading me, already provided a valid explanation, and is wanting to delay talking about this observation until I return to the thread. But he says that justanothertownie's point is good?!?! He disagrees with everything that justanothertownie said in tihs post.this is actually a good point things have moved on a bit, you have any reads? On August 26 2015 23:57 KelsierSC wrote: From "I don't like the case on jat" to this? For little/no reason? It feels like KelsierSC was defending justanothertownie from (supposedly) temporary pressure, but then as the pressure became clearly very serious, KelsierSC became more willing to join it. Feels like he's trying to give himself the option of lynching justanothertownie if the wagon stays strong. It just seems opportunistic.mhmm why? i don't know if he is mafia but he's on probation This is all I really have. Other than this, I don't feel like KelsierSC's filter is very content dense. Generally, I feel like KelsierSC gives a lot of strong, aggressive pushes and insightful comments, but I don't see very many of these here. However, in a high activity game with a ton of really good players, it can be much harder to be the first to say something (and let's be honest, it's generally impractical to actually get a push going in a game with marvellosity without getting his support first). I don't really feel like I can townread KelsierSC, but I definitely don't want to lynch him today. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
So I need to say this now. Mr. Cheesecake Current (Unofficial) Vote Count Mr. Cheesecake (4): marvellosity, justanothertownie, VisceraEyes, MoosyDoosy Vivax (1): Mr. Cheesecake All four of the people voting for Mr. Cheesecake are generally townread, I'd say it's quite likely that all four are town. Assuming that this is true, mafia is very disinterested in voting for Mr. Cheesecake (suggesting that this is not a bus), and doesn't care to start another wagon (suggesting that they are okay with Mr. Cheesecake being lynched). The only way that Mr. Cheesecake is mafia here is if his teammates have zero thread presence, which I find unlikely given that he's seemingly been putting a lot of effort into defending himself. Even if one of the people on the wagon is mafia, the point stands. + Show Spoiler + Note that I do have some reservations about justanothertownie and VisceraEyes, though no one else seems to and I realize that I am almost certainly being stupid, even if I don't know exactly why. I'll deal with it later. Even before reading his filter, this makes me very hesitant to lynch Mr. Cheesecake. And for those of you who say "but this point is invalid because you're bringing it up, and you're mafia!", you're wrong, so deal with it. As for that meta point on Mr. Cheesecake, things change over time. I don't think that Mr. Cheesecake's meta from two years ago is very applicable here. However, having overly "constructed" or "correct" posts is potentially a valid argument. As for the argument of Mr. Cheesecake's early townread on justanothertownie showing too much information, I disagree. I find it more suspicious that he wavered on this townread, but he's clear in his explanation and I can definitely see it coming from town (and he explained it exactly so). Many of his reads line up with mine, and he got there first (though this doesn't say much, given how stupid I am and my read accuracy ![]() Plus, his frustration feels truly genuine. I'm aware that he could be trying to pocket me, and if so, it worked T.T Ok, most of it's just the vote count, and that he's just putting a lot of effort into this game. His posts show critical thinking and he does seem to be trying to solve the game. And he's reasonably willing to push his reads. I'd give him a town lean here, not accounting for the risk of me being pocketed. But I don't think I want to lynch him. List Post Because I'm not sure it's clear where I stand on everyone after all of this. "Standard" format this time, most town to most scum. marvellosity Palmar MoosyDoosy justanothertownie Mr. Cheesecake VisceraEyes Hopeless1der KelsierSC deconduo (and yes, I know about the green check) Vivax ##vote Vivax Open to any questions/comments, honestly would love to discuss the game with people. Though I may not have time to answer most questions until after the lynch. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
I'd at least appreciate it if everyone yelled at me and called me a moron. Seriously, either vote for Vivax instead of Mr. Cheesecake, or tell me why I am wrong. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
Lynching Palmar over the weekend is really, really stupid. Give him another day to actually play. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
And Palmar wasn't supposed to be lynched. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
##unvote ##vote Hopeless1der | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
On August 31 2015 06:55 MoosyDoosy wrote: Mod confirmed.Wait, Palmar you think he's town or you know he's town? In regards to Trfel. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
On August 31 2015 06:56 justanothertownie wrote: I don't want to kill Mr. Cheesecake, but I will lynch him when the alternative is Palmar.Why are you voting hopeless after telling us to kill CC Trfel? | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
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Trfel
7015 Posts
Otherwise, Palmar is mafia with me and I didn't actually ask him if my plan was good or not. | ||
Trfel
7015 Posts
KelsierSC is likely mafia, which is nice because I've been suspicious of him for a while. Despite no one wanting to talk to me about him. Palmar is still town, which is nice because I've been townreading him for the entire game. Hopeless1der flipped town, which shows that my (eventual) townread on him was good. I thought it was good, but no one wanted to talk about him, so whatever. Still unsure about Mr. Cheesecake, but his emotions (as Palmar pointed out) seem quite towny. He really does seem invested in the game. Still think that deconduo is likely mafia, even though no one else wants to talk about him. Though this is sort of understandable, for now, anyway. Still think that Vivax could be mafia, despite no one wanting to talk about him. You guys can thank me post-game. I've already had a few controversial townreads confirmed to be correct. If you really want to ignore everything I'm saying, I can't stop you. | ||
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