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Newbie Student Mafia X - Page 100

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
May 30 2015 03:48 GMT
#1981
I just said that bunnies thanks. What a player
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
May 30 2015 03:49 GMT
#1982
like dont roleblock anyone whos heavily scum read because he wont be delivering kp. Roleblock null to townie people like me
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
May 30 2015 04:39 GMT
#1983
I'm so disappointing in Town. That EoD was embarrassing to see, everyone waffling hard kus nobody bothered to think through their votes ahead of time.


so is anyone going to make a case on SL now?


That quote epitomizes towns thinking to me right now.

Do you guys remember the one thing I was REALLY pushing for yesterday?

Hint: it wasn't a lynch on plots

+ Show Spoiler +
It was critical thinking and good reasoning over why we were going to lynch someone


Town deserves to lose this game IMO.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
May 30 2015 04:42 GMT
#1984
I'm interested to see what plots does with his "RB" here.

I've got a fairly good idea what I would do in his shoes, but speculating on it now does town no good.

That's all from me, I'm too disappointed in people to keep playing right now.
I can take that responsibility.
cakepie
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
985 Posts
May 30 2015 08:40 GMT
#1985
For those who want to read the flavor, the nightpost has been updated with storyline goodness! Sorry for the wait, todayesterday was unexpectedly busy so I had a late start writing and just wasn't able to finish in time for the flips.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
May 30 2015 11:14 GMT
#1986
Okay. Looking at that great EoD from D3:

sicklucker posted 50mins b4 deadline and 7mins after Night post. He kept his vote on bunnies. Could have been lurking.

boxerfred is really surprised/annoyed what is happening and decides to "not buy it" and keep his vote on bunnies.

batsnacks and plotspot actively push their vote on Sulfurus and switch of bunnies. Doesn't really explain the switch,

barakos sheeps batsnacks/plotspot.

ticktoc was not around.

plotspot switches from bunnies to Sulfurus while imploring the people to follow suit by citing the math stuff.

disformation: is also really surprised/annoyed by the shennanies and does a dumb decision while under time pressure.


batsnacks can you please explain why you started that shennanies stuff?
sicklucker why didn't you try to keep peoples votes on bunnies if you thought she was the better lynch? As per:
On May 28 2015 21:42 sicklucker wrote:
ok well i think ill do this.

##unvote ##vote bunnies

so my logic here is im a little suspect of bats claim now. But if bats is real theres certainly a god father in the game to help balance this absurd number of roles. I think that makes bunnie the god father.

I think bunnies is the safe lynch in both worlds.

Random thought. If barkos really was rbed that makes him close to confirmed town because he might have delivered the kp

Or rather: what made you go from above opinion to:
On May 30 2015 06:00 sicklucker wrote:
bah I could go either way probably sulp. Gonna read boxers filter now because I love shennanies

plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 30 2015 11:51 GMT
#1987
yeah I'm sorry I pressured you for this. Did you really flip a coin for that?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 30 2015 11:53 GMT
#1988
I don't know I wont be so active today. The game it feels like there's less and less to talk about really, and I'm running with a heavy cloud around.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
May 30 2015 11:54 GMT
#1989
I won't be here until probably 8am (CEST, ~4 hours)
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
May 30 2015 12:02 GMT
#1990
I have a few things planned today as well. Will be around the ~3 hours before EoN. I will try to elaborate on the coinflip, because I will get asked about that D4 anyway (and you should ask me about that!). But not sure when I will get around to that. Probably later today.
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
May 30 2015 18:34 GMT
#1991
I really didnt care who got lynched out of the two. But I thought bunnies was a slightly better tactical lynch and I said so many times if you ignored my advice thats on you.

I was in an intense dota game from 50 minutes before to 5 minutes after and I didnt bother to check for two people that I want lynched regardless
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
May 30 2015 18:37 GMT
#1992
This is the second lynch inarow that bats saved bunnies from the jaws of death. If he does not die today we snap lynch bunnies.

plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 30 2015 21:51 GMT
#1993
Okay here is the case, it will come down to these two players. I have no clue. They are like the yin and yang of what I think as opposed to what everybody else thinks.

Tictock: like virtually everybody reads this guy town, and that not only based on his Mason claim. For this claim we only have as a clue because Breshke didn’t leave a clue. I was wondering why Breshke never did that, as opposed to only say “only one” or something before his demise. Could Breshke have thought “it doesn’t matter, when there is another blue role, then it can only mean that I am the only Mason, town will figure it out, I won’t risk giving things away, if there is still a chance left I didn’t die and still could hide our setup.”? Supporting this is the relentless will of Tictock to go against me, even beyond the logic of what a townie would do, when everything has been detailed out. It’s just INSANE. I know why others might think I could be technically still Mafia, but since I know am not this, this even makes more sense that he is actually scum. What did I miss here?

Bunnies: then we have bunnies, who almost everybody thought was scum, where I thought she was just lazy, plus the green-check mechanics gave her an 84% chance of being town than scum (I was wrong yesterday when I thought it was only 80%). Like today it is, 80% when we take into consideration that boxerfred, disformation, SL and Barakos are also in the pool. Usually this is the theory, but does math really help here? Even the math falls, when I start to read 3 of the remaining 4 players town, because it’s IMPOSSIBLE of all of them to be mafia. So what? it reduces it down to 50-60% still. If I RB her, there is a chance we establish her as town, at least more than when she was not RBed in comparison to any players I haven’t RB yet.

I think that’s it, everything else is purely WIFOM in a setup where I increase my chances from maybe 15% to 25% if I think hard enough to spin this thing. Is it really worth it? I think it fits that I select two players on the extremities of my thinking versus that of what others think. Nothing in between, so if you guys have anything to suggest concerning these two that is able to push my one decision over my other, please do so right now. We still have some time left.
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
May 30 2015 21:53 GMT
#1994
+ Show Spoiler +
If I die you kill bats immediately. As unlikely as it may sound. If bats is fake claiming his play here is to kill someone skeptical and knowledgeable like me and push a lynch on plots as a fake
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 30 2015 21:57 GMT
#1995
I'm not even sure about you SL, you are in the middle of all this, this could all be your grand scheme of persuasion.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
May 30 2015 21:57 GMT
#1996
Bunnies: then we have bunnies, who almost everybody thought was scum, where I thought she was just lazy, plus the green-check mechanics gave her an 84% chance of being town than scum (I was wrong yesterday when I thought it was only 80%). Like today it is, 80% when we take into consideration that boxerfred, disformation, SL and Barakos are also in the pool. Usually this is the theory, but does math really help here? Even the math falls, when I start to read 3 of the remaining 4 players town, because it’s IMPOSSIBLE of all of them to be mafia. So what? it reduces it down to 50-60% still. If I RB her, there is a chance we establish her as town, at least more than when she was not RBed in comparison to any players I haven’t RB yet.

Either bunnies or barakos are town, so your list is false. If bunnies is indeed GF, Barakos' green check holds. And the other way around of course. Also, if you are scum RB, both green check hold. So whatever your logic is, it's incomplete.
Barakos
Profile Joined February 2012
Germany358 Posts
May 30 2015 21:57 GMT
#1997
don't block tictock.. he is like the only confirmed town besides you.

potential mafia at this point are bunnies, disfo, boxer, sl. (bats too, but blocking him seems pointless, cause he is most likely killed tonight, if he is actually cop)

If I were you, I'd pick one of those. Not saying anything more. ^^

Someone said pick someone, who seems towny, cause this might make for a surprise... or pick the most scummy, caus mafia might suspect you to pick someone town.. just please block out of the 4 names.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 30 2015 21:58 GMT
#1998
you gave me hints and all but it's so elusive, maybe I'm just not experienced enough to understand all this
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 30 2015 21:59 GMT
#1999
Ok here goes nothing. A poem to end the night.

+ Show Spoiler +
Double Spoiler + Show Spoiler +

2 nights long, I misled scum
Then things got really troublesome
7 of us will remain,
when Bats dies, was it all in vain?
Ticktock ticktock… time runs short
I must do it or abort
What to do if I was wrong?
You guys have to end the song


boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
May 30 2015 21:59 GMT
#2000
On May 31 2015 06:57 Barakos wrote:
don't block tictock.. he is like the only confirmed town besides you.

potential mafia at this point are bunnies, disfo, boxer, sl. (bats too, but blocking him seems pointless, cause he is most likely killed tonight, if he is actually cop)

If I were you, I'd pick one of those. Not saying anything more. ^^

Someone said pick someone, who seems towny, cause this might make for a surprise... or pick the most scummy, caus mafia might suspect you to pick someone town.. just please block out of the 4 names.

Add yourself if you add bunnies. Though I think blocking bunnies is like the best thing to do. However, do whatever you feel like and don't tell who you block at all. Not even now.
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