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Aperture Mafia 4: This Time it's Personal - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Prev 1 2 All
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 03 2015 19:25 GMT
#5332
Like, I feel like with damdred kita bh we probably have the active component of the scum team.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 03 2015 19:29 GMT
#5340
On April 04 2015 04:27 Blazinghand wrote:
ok but assuming I AM telling the truth, it's probably like 80%+ that marv checked VA right?

well no

i mean you're ignoring again the thing where marv said as cop not to check the person you are most publicly suspicious of

and i just posted that exact argument and the fact that you're ignoring it

so lol
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 03 2015 19:31 GMT
#5345
On April 04 2015 04:29 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2015 04:25 strongandbig wrote:
Like, I feel like with damdred kita bh we probably have the active component of the scum team.


All I ask is that you don't base your entire outlook on this game on the assumption that I'm mafia because I am not.


idk man ive been burned before

by you playing with exactly this playstyle

like, think of it this way - if you are town, then that means some other vet is scum, and has been out accomplishing things while you haven't been, so if we lose it's really more on you than on me
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 03 2015 19:32 GMT
#5346
On April 04 2015 04:30 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2015 04:29 strongandbig wrote:
On April 04 2015 04:27 Blazinghand wrote:
ok but assuming I AM telling the truth, it's probably like 80%+ that marv checked VA right?

well no

i mean you're ignoring again the thing where marv said as cop not to check the person you are most publicly suspicious of

and i just posted that exact argument and the fact that you're ignoring it

so lol


OK I have a plan to convince you, i'll use it tomorrow, for now let's talk about keirathi


how about we talk about kita
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 03 2015 19:32 GMT
#5347
On April 04 2015 03:16 strongandbig wrote:
OK so false alarm. Anyway, here's my first read - this is something I've been thinking for several days now.

Remember that for all of these reads, I don't have the benefit of PMs so there's a lot of information I'm lacking.

So I think that Kita is mafia. The things he's pushing in thread and the kind of posts he's making are exactly the kind of things I remember him doing as mafia.

- Being really active.
Straight up activity has won Kita at least one game as mafia that I've been in where he was actually more active in thread than any townie; I distinctly remember the sentiment "kita can't be mafia, if he is we might as well give up because he's the only one being active." He's the kind of player who is confident enough in not getting caught out as mafia that he can put in a lot of effort and not just make a lot of posts but actually maintain thread presence.

- Being really active without actually accomplishing anything.
Think about it - who has he pushed this game? What has he really gotten done in terms of scumhunting? No one and nothing. And yet he's got a ten page filter, and has some of the longest posts (at least that I remember seeing when I was skimming the thread).

- Making the kind of posts that demonstrate effort without actually accomplishing objectives.
List posts. list posts and more list posts. But in none of those list posts does he really present and push a preferred lynch target.
Also the big early BH read post. So much effort, so little conclusion.
Same for the VE read post, really.

- Declining activity as the game goes on and his position is more and more secure.
Admittedly this one is based on my impressions, but there's a pretty clear scum motive to this trend.

This isn't how Kita plays as town. I mean, unless things have changed since I was here, but I remember Kita being someone who would make plans and push things - not necessarily cases but either cases or plans or coordination. Right now I can't say Kita is pushing anything except his own activity.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 03 2015 21:32 GMT
#5388
On April 04 2015 06:25 kitaman27 wrote:
If I lose two large games in a row where town only has a single mislynch to win then I'd probably be pretty speechless -_-

This would be more like three mislynches though right? I feel like in the scenario where he's some kind of third party who wants to get lynched, it counts as a mislynch to lynch him
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 00:16 GMT
#5464
Hey all - gotta say good bluff by damdred but good we got a scummer.

Anyway I'm with my gf so I will probably not be cry active until tomorrow, but I should get plenty in before deadline.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 11:40 GMT
#5499
I still want to kill Kita and bh

If anyone has reasons not to do either of those and those reasons are based on previous pm interactions or other non public information it would help me not tunnel if you could pm me them
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 17:15 GMT
#5519
On April 05 2015 01:16 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2015 10:40 kitaman27 wrote:
JAT do you see any benefit from keeping HF's claim private knowledge?

No. At least I see no benefit in him keeping it to himself. He should claim to me in pms asap since I am confirmed town.
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2015 12:10 VayneAuthority wrote:
my gut reads are always on point, 2 for 2 this game y0l0. tired but ill be around for a bit before i head to bed if anyones around

Neat. Any more gut reads?
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2015 20:40 strongandbig wrote:
I still want to kill Kita and bh

If anyone has reasons not to do either of those and those reasons are based on previous pm interactions or other non public information it would help me not tunnel if you could pm me them

If Kita is scum then damdred "different checked" him and rsoultin and then they killed rsoultin in the night. Damdred also claimed to have watched slam and seen Kita there making him likely Moriarty.
Does not seem like very reasonable scum play to me.



So if damdred was actually faking a red check on Kita then either it's super next level or it's solid evidence that Kita and damdred aren't on the same team. That doesn't mean Kita is pro town and I maintain that this is Kita's anti-town play. We haven't hit any anti-town 3p so far and they definitely exist, plus don't forget aperture one was a multifaction game.

That said, this is enough for me to start considering other options for the next lynch.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 18:11 GMT
#5533
Kita has persuaded me in PMs that he shouldn't be a lynch target tomorrow. I'm not 100% convinced he's town but I am convinced that his alternative explanations for the thigns I thought made him scum are reasonable. As much as I can, I will be holding his filter to a higher standard starting tomorrow (in terms of pushing objectives and scumhunting).

I also sent some thoughts about some players to him but I see no reason not to share those in thread:

- batsnacks I haven't really read as trying to be helpful or reasonable in the thread; scummy but I would have to thread dive him before committing to a lynch
- while batsnacks has kind of jumped out as being antitown I have no impression of sepulchre, that probably reflects badly on both him and me.
- VE looks shitty but sometimes he just plays shitty. I just skimmed his filter, I actually kind of like his reasoning on crossfire (that he put more effort into looking good re-entering the thread than he did into actually making use of his "gambit") but other than that there's a lot of stuff I don't like - especially that he's jumping from tunnel to tunnel without really caring what happened to the previous tunnel. Actually, I really don't like his filter - if you're town he's probably scum. Even if you're scum, he isn't playing like town but sometimes he just does that and I don't really know how to evaluate it. (I know there's no evidence that hosts actually balance vets but I still believe they do).
- I haven't seen anything that makes me think yamato isn't town
- VA - I haven't really seen anything super convincing. I mean, he was marv's main scum read so we should probably lynch him just for that. This BH thing could be a double bus, I guess.
- xfire - idk there, like I think it was weird that he sent me his pms without anyone asking greymist and without letting anyone know he asked greymist, it made me think maybe he was in a scum QT with greymist; but I also think it was probably towny of him to take the initiative there and send them to me. He hasn't been very effective but I'm not sure if I should expect him to be, and he's linked in some way to the sherlock circle thing. I guess I wouldn't want to kill him but if someone made a case I would be open to it.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 18:28 GMT
#5536
On April 05 2015 03:15 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2015 03:11 strongandbig wrote:
Kita has persuaded me in PMs that he shouldn't be a lynch target tomorrow. I'm not 100% convinced he's town but I am convinced that his alternative explanations for the thigns I thought made him scum are reasonable. As much as I can, I will be holding his filter to a higher standard starting tomorrow (in terms of pushing objectives and scumhunting).

I also sent some thoughts about some players to him but I see no reason not to share those in thread:

- batsnacks I haven't really read as trying to be helpful or reasonable in the thread; scummy but I would have to thread dive him before committing to a lynch
- while batsnacks has kind of jumped out as being antitown I have no impression of sepulchre, that probably reflects badly on both him and me.
- VE looks shitty but sometimes he just plays shitty. I just skimmed his filter, I actually kind of like his reasoning on crossfire (that he put more effort into looking good re-entering the thread than he did into actually making use of his "gambit") but other than that there's a lot of stuff I don't like - especially that he's jumping from tunnel to tunnel without really caring what happened to the previous tunnel. Actually, I really don't like his filter - if you're town he's probably scum. Even if you're scum, he isn't playing like town but sometimes he just does that and I don't really know how to evaluate it. (I know there's no evidence that hosts actually balance vets but I still believe they do).
- I haven't seen anything that makes me think yamato isn't town
- VA - I haven't really seen anything super convincing. I mean, he was marv's main scum read so we should probably lynch him just for that. This BH thing could be a double bus, I guess.
- xfire - idk there, like I think it was weird that he sent me his pms without anyone asking greymist and without letting anyone know he asked greymist, it made me think maybe he was in a scum QT with greymist; but I also think it was probably towny of him to take the initiative there and send them to me. He hasn't been very effective but I'm not sure if I should expect him to be, and he's linked in some way to the sherlock circle thing. I guess I wouldn't want to kill him but if someone made a case I would be open to it.

Any opinion on HTS?

I can read her filter but it's hard because I've never played with her before.
After a quick scan of her filter, it looks like her posts are more reasoned/thoughtful than others I could name, nothing super jumps out at me but I haven't done a super deep read or anything. Is there a case I should be considering? I've read some people say they have meta reasons, like she's less active or invested or whatever than in town games, but obviously I can't evaluate that since she joined after I went on hiatus.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 18:35 GMT
#5538
OK that soudns like she straight up got caught in his lie, why are we not just kiling her?
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 18:36 GMT
#5541
Also - I want opinions on this. I propose that there are three factions, one of which has each sherlock. BH in some way knows that VA is on the other scum team. That would explain his tunnel and would let us kill BH without a claim from moriatry.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 19:29 GMT
#5563
JAT DID YOU GET MY PM
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 19:29 GMT
#5564
sry caps lock is my push to talk key
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 04 2015 23:10 GMT
#5651
Gg commend me
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
strongandbig
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4858 Posts
April 08 2015 02:41 GMT
#6629
So I replaced into a like 300 page thread after a >6 month hiatus, played for 48 hours during which we lynched scum, and then was worth a hit with a scum NK while giving my strongest power to a townie. I consider this a successful replacement game even though my team ended up losing. I think I did as much as I could do here.

Yes, I pushed town Kita pretty hard, but I don't think my reasoning there was terrible, and I did see my way past that (mostly due to Kita pm'ing me a very detailed and reasonable explanation for everything), and I refocused onto the actually-scum bh. I vote me for Most Valuable Replacement of this game.
"It's the torso" "only more so!"
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