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Mafia Mini Mafia2: another miniature game of mafia - Page 9

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 12 2015 04:48 GMT
#2363
I'm going to bed have a day shift so can't look at votes till the evening.

Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 02:57 GMT
#2410
Hi everyone I just got home from my shift of doom and I wanted to put some thoughts into the thread in case I die by some wifom kill tonight. As such here we go. Day one we had this vote as our final vote, will put hard confirmed by flips.lynches into this first one.

Vivax (1) - DreadReturn
GlowingBear (2) - Damdred, Palmar,
Eden1892 (2) - Yamato77, Ritoky,
Damdred (1) - GlowingBear,
DreadReturn (7) - Vivax, Koshi, HolyFlare, Onegu, ObiWanShinobi, Eden1892, Rsoultin,

Next blue claims and i'm coloring myself green because confirmed to myself and I think my GB push and lynching mafia is pretty good ^_-. Just a couple of thoughts before I go to the day 2 vote count to see some things.

I don't believe that the DR wagon can be entirely town based, I think at least one mafia was on that way. Like really sure that mafia was either in a position to afk or jumped off at some point after the wagon gained enough votes for them to shenanigans onto someone else without much consequence I'll come back to that thought and go into a bit more detail near the end.

Koshi (1) - Koshi
Vivax (1) - Yamato77
GlowingBear (3) - Palmar, Damdred, ObiWanShinobi, Sicklurker
Yamato77 (2) - Vivax, ritoky
ObiWanShinobi (2) - Eden, GlowingBear

Once again confirmed people colored in and I colored myself green.

To start off my thoughts. Its interesting to me that Ritoky voted on Yamato like he did. The choices were (obi and myself were on Yamato at the time) help Palmar push GB when he wasn't in the thread, vote Vivax with Yamato (who ritoky was previously town reading) or vote Yamato with Vivax, Obi and Damdred.

He says he really likes Palmars case the best out of all of this but decides to push Yamato ahead, as I mentioned before Ritoky had a hard hard town read on Yamato previously in D1 but decides to vote him d2 even though he has little to no interaction with him and even though he loves the GB case presented by Palmar and knows his town read Damdred would jump on a GB lynch he doesn't go that way onto confirmed mafia and instead he jumps onto Yamato pushing him ahead of Vivax 4-3 or 4-3-1 ahead of Vivax and GB at this point. He then goes back to afk land.

I think this heavily implies that Ritoky who would normally go against the grain in this situation and vote his favorite case instead of one that he thinks just isn't bad is scum in this scenario. I don't see any other way after re-reading how the voting went down.

I know its been pointed out before but the way Ritoky went about the vote D1 is strange as well, (and feeds into my above point) he was so strongly town reading yamato at that point he was following him wherever he went even if it meant not jumping onto GB who he admittedly wanted to at that point in time. Has to be Ritoky here I think based on association and his weird progression on voting Yamato.

I also think if Ritoky is mafia it clears Yamato a bit since Ritoky hammered him basically and there was little to no push to move the vote off Yamato. This is a bit weaker at this point especially since he keeps fading in and out of afk land but I think it makes me not want to lynch him if Ritoky flips scum.

Koshi (1) - Koshi
Vivax (1) - Yamato77
GlowingBear (3) - Palmar, Damdred, ObiWanShinobi, Sicklurker
Yamato77 (2) - Vivax, ritoky
ObiWanShinobi (2) - Eden, GlowingBear

Now we get to the bit of a logical leap about what happened with the votes.

There are only three partners that I think Ritoky/GB can potentially have with how the vote went down.

The most likely due to how the votes spontaneously moved about would be Vivax. When myself and Obi moved from Yamato to GB at that point in time we effectively hammered Vivax with that move, even though votes are tied it switches from 4-3-1 (Yamato, Vivax, GB) to 3-3-2 (Vivax, GB, Yamato) if we hadn't of had GB start pushing obi at that point Eden wouldn't of moved to obi more than likely and Vivax would of been lynched.

What is the motivation though to flip a lynch from town Vivax to town Obi if you lynch yourself? I don't think that there is motivation in doing this if you can't guarantee your own survival if both are town, I just don't see it. The only scenario that makes sense to me is that Vivax is a more powerful/important scum team member and GB was trying to save the RB at that junction of the game. It makes the most sense with how the vote went.

The second partner that makes sense is Eden with the ferocity that he tried to hit the votes off of GB and onto Obi. It could very well be Eden was doing that, but I have a hard time that scum Eden would hard align himself with partner GB like that.

The third scenario is that Obi bussed GB into the ground and GB was trying to give him as much cred as possible to take into the end game for the hard carry. This is slightly more likely than 2 especially with how fake the push from GB felt and how contrived it felt also. But I also don't want to give this much thought until we see what Ritoky/Vivax flip at this point without new information.

Koshi (1) - Koshi
Vivax (1) - Yamato77
GlowingBear (3) - Palmar, Damdred, ObiWanShinobi, Sicklurker
Yamato77 (2) - Vivax, ritoky
ObiWanShinobi (2) - Eden, GlowingBear

the green on Eden probably is the lightest and obi is probably the most tinfoil at this moment as a last resort that I don't really believe when he could of hammered Yamato over scum partner GB.


Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 03:50 GMT
#2416
Everything I said makes sense rit, why did you vote your town read Yamato over the case that you liked the most ritoky?

You seem to want to scum read me in your post but don't reach a conclussiok just throw dirt towards me.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 04:00 GMT
#2421
Ehh I had forgotten about new years and I even hosted it. I was thinking of Linux though where he wasn't as hard aligning. Still though I think vivax makes the most sense
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 04:08 GMT
#2427
Palmar had a bullet, he's the claimed vigilante.

we will see who he shot
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 12:10 GMT
#2460
On April 13 2015 20:39 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2015 11:57 Damdred wrote:
The most likely due to how the votes spontaneously moved about would be Vivax. When myself and Obi moved from Yamato to GB at that point in time we effectively hammered Vivax with that move, even though votes are tied it switches from 4-3-1 (Yamato, Vivax, GB) to 3-3-2 (Vivax, GB, Yamato) if we hadn't of had GB start pushing obi at that point Eden wouldn't of moved to obi more than likely and Vivax would of been lynched.

What is the motivation though to flip a lynch from town Vivax to town Obi if you lynch yourself? I don't think that there is motivation in doing this if you can't guarantee your own survival if both are town, I just don't see it. The only scenario that makes sense to me is that Vivax is a more powerful/important scum team member and GB was trying to save the RB at that junction of the game. It makes the most sense with how the vote went.

The second partner that makes sense is Eden with the ferocity that he tried to hit the votes off of GB and onto Obi. It could very well be Eden was doing that, but I have a hard time that scum Eden would hard align himself with partner GB like that.

The third scenario is that Obi bussed GB into the ground and GB was trying to give him as much cred as possible to take into the end game for the hard carry. This is slightly more likely than 2 especially with how fake the push from GB felt and how contrived it felt also. But I also don't want to give this much thought until we see what Ritoky/Vivax flip at this point without new information.

Can you explain me how this happened more in detail Damdred? Especially if we are looking between scum in Vivax/Ritoky/obi and yamato.


Sure, Obi had put forward the idea that he was willing to lynch Yamato (this was after Ritoky had already voted Yamato and afk'd at that point) but he was ok with lynching GB and if Yamato came back and did things he would be a lot more willing to switch to GB.

Yamato came back and did a few posts and then said he would be back later after deadline, obi threatened him with lynching him and I told him don't be a terrorist lets just lynch GB instead. So I switched to GB and obi followed me and this put Yamato at 2 votes and GB at 3 votes. But since vivax was at three votes first he would be lynched. So we asked Yamato to switch to GB but Yamato was back into afk.

At that point GB came in (was currently voting the lynch leader in Vivax) and said Obi is really scum guys look how passive and other things. This is where it gets interesting GB says that everyone should vote Obi and hammers himself basically by moving his vote and getting Eden to move his. At that point in time the only way that anyone but GB was getting lynched was if GB and Eden moved to Yamato which didn't happen/couldn't happen as I believe they both had Yamato as town.

They hoped SL would move to Obi I believe and I would move to obi to hammer him over GB but we didn't.

Its just really strange that you would move off the vote leader in vivax if you are going to die yourself as scum.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 12:11 GMT
#2461
I have to drive real fast but will be around for a bit
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 13:39 GMT
#2465
Traffic was killer this morning sadly.

Ok Koshi, can you tell me why you like an obi scum more than Vivax/Yamato at this point?
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 13:47 GMT
#2466
Vivax talk to me where you want to go today and tomorrow in detail and why you would go down that path. Would it be lynch Yamato today? Lynch Ritoky?
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 16:55 GMT
#2500
Actually Yamato, why does gbs lynch confirm obi as town but since I was mehish d1 I would be the mafia. I believe I was the one who initiated the switch to GB and refused to hammer obi there.

So whys it me out of those three
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 16:57 GMT
#2501
Overall I know he's saying he doesn't think its one of us but it feels like there's enough wiggle room oj the read of me and a bit of uneven reading to form a scum read later if there has to be
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 17:06 GMT
#2502
Also Yamato you pointed out things in ritokys filter you didn't like could you point out the sincere good things that you mention that cause you to go idk.

I have a thought but I'll save it until Yamato answers
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 17:16 GMT
#2504
Are you going to lynch him or push him today or going to push koshi?
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 21:37 GMT
#2549
I want to dwelve deeper into the Yamato vote. And some other things.

You voted one of your top town reads because Vivax had an ok case. Limited time or not you usually make your mind up on your own and go your own way at points. The Yamato lynch was already pretty sealed if obi and I hadn't of jumped ship.

What about the case brought him to a coin flip enough to not try to push GB at least a bit more than asking I believe it was SL where you should go?

Also I want you to read my post and at least pay attention to the vote movement part I talked about and give opinions about that.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 22:01 GMT
#2558
Ok, but what about the parts where GB moved his vote hammering himself at that point.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 22:16 GMT
#2560
Ok well, lets move on from that. I don't follow your reasoning there or what your conclusion is which you can explain to me again if you want.

So how much of the game past/day have you caught up on at this point.

Also when you conclude about Vivax do you think any of the people were bussing GB?
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 22:43 GMT
#2564
Koshi (1) - Koshi
Vivax (1) - Yamato77, GlowingBear, Eden
GlowingBear (3) - Palmar, Damdred, ObiWanShinobi,
Ritoky (1) - Sicklucker
Yamato77 (2) - Vivax, ritoky
ObiWanShinobi

This is what the vote looks like before Eden and GB move onto obi.

Does it change anything?

Also your reads aren't that concrete at all i'm not sure if you actually called anyone scum in there besides hypotheticals
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 13 2015 23:02 GMT
#2568
Oh good yamato is here.

What do you make of everything ritoky is saying here Yamato?
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 14 2015 01:14 GMT
#2571
I'm still thinking that rit is scum. Not much concrete reads and not really making any hard calls.

Yamato whenever you can really want to know where your heads at on who is scum
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
April 14 2015 03:27 GMT
#2584
So your scum team is Yamato/Vivax(koshi)?
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