TL Mafia LXX: Guardians of the Galaxy - Page 26

On March 23 2015 22:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Poker is fun until you log a million hands, lose all patience and start tilting at regular intervals.

On March 24 2015 00:32 Alakaslam wrote:

Kappa

On March 24 2015 00:35 Palmar wrote:
mig was actually some serious shit in poker too.

On March 24 2015 00:44 Artanis[Xp] wrote:

If I knew, I'd tell you.

On March 24 2015 00:47 Palmar wrote:

No if I talk too much about stuff not relevant to the game people will lynch me and I will have to spam again which always sucks.

On March 24 2015 01:28 rsoultin wrote:
^^ i've got things and gems and joyfulness ^^

like seriously, things no one else has talked about

>>

<<

viva may even stop calling me an idiot!

-sits on rayn's head-

onegu says he has his soul read on you

if i treat you as if i believe you're 100% town instead of just possibly town, will you talk to me?

On March 24 2015 01:46 raynpelikoneet wrote:

I don't think Palmar is mafia with Toad and Toad is mafia so Palmar is probably town.
Seriously, Toad is so scummy.

On March 24 2015 01:55 rsoultin wrote:


yeah i've come to the conclusion based on voting alone really lol that both Palmar and Onegu are not scum in this game

which is nice

i love clearing questionmarks ^^

On March 24 2015 02:26 Trfel wrote:
I guess, I don't think that there is much to be gained from analyzing votes that occurred well before the deadline, when half the game hadn't voted at all yet. For example, raynpelikoneet added the third vote on LightningStrike, bringing LightningStrike into a 3-3-3 tie for first with sicklucker and Vivax. However, I don't think this clears raynpelikoneet, because there were about nine hours left in the day at this point, and the votes were very widely spread (such that the vote count was sure to change drastically).

In the same way, I don't see Onegu voting for LightningStrike as saying much about Onegu, since while he did push LightningStrike into the voting lead, he did so with seven hours remaining, and the votes still very spread out and fluctuating. I think voting a partner into the lead is a fine play for scum to do here, as the risk is rather small.

And I don't townread people who are staying out of the main wagons with several hours to go before the deadline. There is plenty of time for stuff to happen, plenty of time to save LightningStrike if things go bad. In fact, I think it makes sense for scum to push the counterwagon to LightningStrike with something more like three hours left to the deadline, and not earlier. Especially in a large game like this.

And I don't see what the switch to Bill Murray provides, except those who switched to Bill Murray instead of the vigilante Vivax are more likely to be town (sorry Vivax!). But even that isn't confirmed, as scum was readily willing to roleblock Vivax, solving that problem.

Palmar wasn't in a position to hammer Vivax, so I don't townread him for hammering Bill Murray instead. Same with raynpelikoneet. So I don't townread them for doing so.

LightningStrike's vote even further cements Vivax as town. And that's the only thing I really see in the voting analysis at this time, unfortunately. What am I missing?

However, this obviously ignores what players were actually doing in the thread, and is based on votes alone.